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Sao Paulo v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 01:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo faithful welcome Fortaleza's travelling contingent on Saturday morning, as Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo clash with Juan Pablo Vojvoda's charges in the Serie A. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
54%
4/5
6%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
6%
-
Fortaleza
20%
15/4
13%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
15%
9/2
21%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
6/1
22%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
21%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Fortaleza 1-0
8%
17/2
21%
-
Sao Paulo 3-0
6%
12/1
24%
-
Fortaleza 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
40%
-
Fortaleza 2-0
3%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Fortaleza 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
27/20
18%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
13%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5
22%
-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13
17%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
22%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
29%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/6
4%
-
Away/draw
46%
1/1
9%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9
11%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/4
21%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2
29%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1
43%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
40%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
16%
-
Home DNB
72%
3/10
4%
-
Away DNB
38%
12/5
13%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
34%
13/8
19%
-
Fortaleza win to nil
12%
6/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
29%
15/8
7%
-
Sao Paulo / Fortaleza
2%
40/1
21%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / Fortaleza
9%
17/2
12%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
Fortaleza / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1
13%
-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
10%
15/2
31%
-
Fortaleza / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
6
Sao Paulo have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Atletico Go3 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Juventude0 - 3Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
Internacional2 - 1Fortaleza
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Bragantino1 - 2Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 2Fortaleza
Criciuma1 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
A Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
Cuiaba5 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFortaleza0 - 0S. Recife
HFortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
AFortaleza1 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 1Mirassol
HFortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 3Atletico Go
AFortaleza0 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Flamengo
AFortaleza2 - 2Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
AFortaleza3 - 0Juventude
AFortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
HFortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
AFortaleza1 - 3Gremio
HFortaleza1 - 0Cuiaba
HFortaleza4 - 1Bahia
AFortaleza1 - 1Athletico PR
AFortaleza1 - 2Internacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Fortaleza have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Fortaleza have not lost to Sao Paulo in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2019
Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
FOR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
1 - 2Fortaleza
1 - 2Fortaleza
0 - 1Fortaleza
0 - 1Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
League games at Fortaleza since 2019
Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
D
3
FOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
Fortaleza1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 10th Fortaleza 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294515/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Fortaleza
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
10%
better
SAO
FOR
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score2
2
Scored first3
2
Goals scored6
5
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
12
Avg. XG for1
0.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
SAO
FOR
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded5
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
12
Conversion rate against9%
8%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Sao Paulo v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
RafaelFerreiraFerreiraE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK6
1
-
C Soares DEF61
1
-
E Díaz DEF6
3
-
Alisson MID6
2
-
M Antônio MID6
3
-
Ferreira FWD632
2
-
A Silva FWD621
2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF5
-
A Franco DEF5
1
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID51
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID5
-
Luciano FWD5
-
Wendell DEF4
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
Sabino DEF3
1
-
R Arboleda DEF3
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF3
-
D Bobadilla MID3
1
-
Rodrigo MID3
2
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD31
-
Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6123
J RicardoJ LuceroP FernándezE Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ricardo GLK6
-
B Kuscevic DEF6
-
Y Pikachu FWD6
-
J Lucero FWD61
1
-
E Mancuso DEF5
1
-
D Luiz DEF5
1
-
J Welison MID5
-
L Sasha MID5
-
D Barbosa DEF41
-
M Rossetto MID4
-
P Fernández MID42
1
-
E Martínez  MID41
3
-
Tinga DEF31
-
Titi DEF3
1
1
Calebe MID3
1
-
M Moisés FWD31
1
-
Marinho FWD31
-
K Andrade FWD3
1
-
Brenno GLK1
1
1
B Pacheco DEF1
-
T Pochettino MID1
-
B Lopes FWD1
-