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Sao Paulo v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Feb, 00:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

The Serie A is the focus for both Sao Paulo and Gremio on Thursday morning, as managers Hernán Jorge Crespo and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro face one another at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
50%
--
Draw
25%
--
Gremio
25%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
--
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
--
Sao Paulo 2-0
9%
--
Gremio 1-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Gremio 2-1
6%
--
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
--
Gremio 2-0
4%
--
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
--
Gremio 3-1
2%
--
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
--
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Sao Paulo win to nil
28%
--
Gremio win to nil
13%
--
Win / draw / win form
3
Sao Paulo have won 3 consecutive home league games
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Gremio 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Sao Paulo have beaten Gremio in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Sao Paulo have not lost to Gremio in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
SAO
4
D
3
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
SAO
1
GRE
6
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 8th Gremio 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Gremio have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
20%
better
SAO
GRE
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored2
1
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for29
13
Avg. XG for0.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
21%
better
SAO
GRE
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded1
2
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against10%
20%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%

Sao Paulo v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE