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Sport Recife v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 20:00 BST, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

Cruzeiro are away from home on Sunday night, as manager Sergiy Lavrinenko takes his men to visit Sport Recife and Pepa at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh in the Serie A. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The stats suggest S. Recife and Cruzeiro both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
42%
6/5-
Draw
28%
9/4-
Cruzeiro
30%
23/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
S. Recife 1-0
13%
5/1-
Cruzeiro 1-0
10%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
S. Recife 2-1
8%
9/1-
S. Recife 2-0
8%
17/2-
Cruzeiro 2-1
7%
11/1-
Cruzeiro 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
S. Recife 3-1
4%
20/1-
S. Recife 3-0
3%
20/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
2%
33/1-
S. Recife 3-2
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-0
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10-
BTTS - No
54%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1-
Home/draw
70%
1/3-
Away/draw
58%
4/6-
Home/away
72%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/7-
Away DNB
49%
5/4-
S. Recife win to nil
26%
12/5-
Cruzeiro win to nil
18%
4/1-
S. Recife / S. Recife
22%
11/4-
S. Recife / Cruzeiro
2%
33/1-
S. Recife / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / S. Recife
16%
4/1-
Draw / Cruzeiro
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Cruzeiro / S. Recife
3%
28/1-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
15%
9/2-
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
S. Recife2 - 1Santos
S. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
S. Recife4 - 0Guarani
S. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 2Operario
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
S. Recife1 - 1Goias
S. Recife2 - 0CRB
S. Recife3 - 2Ituano
S. Recife0 - 1Cortiba
S. Recife3 - 2Amazonas
S. Recife3 - 1Ponte Preta
S. Recife1 - 1America
S. Recife1 - 2Novorizontin
S. Recife1 - 0Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 0Paysandu
S. Recife1 - 2Avai
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife1 - 2America
HS. Recife4 - 0Guarani
HS. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife3 - 1Novorizontin
HS. Recife2 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife0 - 0Mirassol
AS. Recife1 - 0Paysandu
HS. Recife1 - 1Goias
HS. Recife2 - 0CRB
Cruzeiro 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Internacional3 - 0Cruzeiro
Juventude0 - 1Cruzeiro
Bragantino1 - 1Cruzeiro
Corinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR3 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Cuiaba0 - 0Cruzeiro
Internacional1 - 0Cruzeiro
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Criciuma1 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Atletico Go0 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
ACruzeiro1 - 1Sao Paulo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Internacional
HCruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
ACruzeiro1 - 0Juventude
HCruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
ACruzeiro1 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
ACruzeiro1 - 2Corinthians
HCruzeiro2 - 1Criciuma
HCruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Athletico PR
HCruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
ACruzeiro0 - 1Fluminense
HCruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 0Cuiaba
HCruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
HCruzeiro3 - 1Atletico Go
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Sport Recife of late. It has been 6 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Cruzeiro.

S. Recife 20th Cruzeiro 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that S. Recife will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Cruzeiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
S. Recife’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Cruzeiro have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294530/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.3
1
Attack rating
REC
CRU
41%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score3
2
Scored first1
3
Goals scored3
7
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal17
7
Conversion rate for6
14
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
REC
CRU
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
12
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

S. Recife v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6113
C FrançaC BarlettaHeredaC Rivera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK6
1
-
J Silva DEF6
1
-
Hereda DEF61
-
Chico DEF6
1
-
L Lima MID61
2
-
C Barletta FWD61
-
L Lobato FWD6
-
C Rivera MID5
3
-
C Alberto FWD5
-
S Oliveira MID41
1
-
F Domínguez MID4
1
-
L Cunha DEF3
1
-
I Cariús DEF3
-
M Alexandre DEF3
3
-
C Ortíz FWD3
-
Pablo FWD3
1
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID2
-
G Paciência FWD2
-
R Atencio FWD2
-
Romarinho FWD1
-
G Maia FWD1
-
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
C CássioK JorgeL SilvaF Bruno
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK6
2
-
Kaiki DEF61
1
-
L Romero MID61
2
-
F Bruno DEF5
3
-
L Silva MID52
-
M Pereira MID5
2
-
C Eduardo  MID5
-
K Jorge FWD531
2
-
Dudu FWD51
-
L Villalba DEF4
1
-
Christian MID411
1
-
Walace MID4
1
-
G Barbosa FWD41
-
Marquinhos FWD4
-
J Alves DEF3
1
William DEF32
1
-
Fagner DEF3
1
-
M Gamarra DEF2
-
M Henrique MID2
1
-
Y Bolasie FWD2
-
L Díaz FWD2
-
Marlon DEF1
-
Rodriguinho MID1
-
J. da Silva Marques MID1
-
J Dinenno FWD1
-