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Vasco da Gama v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama and their boss Fernando Diniz Silva will be aiming to beat Hernán Jorge Crespo and his Sao Paulo side on Saturday night, as the pair meet at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da in the Serie A. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for each one.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Vasco d Gama and Sao Paulo combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
37%
27/20-
Draw
28%
11/5-
Sao Paulo
35%
15/8-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
11%
13/2-
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
8%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
10/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
7%
10/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-0
3%
22/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
3%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
28/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
10/11-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5-
BTTS - No
51%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1-
Home/draw
65%
2/5-
Away/draw
63%
8/15-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Home DNB
56%
4/6-
Away DNB
55%
11/10-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
22%
3/1-
Sao Paulo win to nil
21%
4/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
21%
3/1-
Vasco d Gama / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
15%
9/2-
Draw / Sao Paulo
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Sao Paulo / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
17%
15/4-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Sao Paulo 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
VDG
4
D
1
SAO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
VDG
1
D
1
SAO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's defensive record is to be admired, H. Crespo's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Vasco da Gama makes sense in this context.

Vasco d Gama 11th Sao Paulo 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
8%
better
VDG
SAO
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score1
2
Scored first5
4
Goals scored15
15
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
VDG
SAO
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
7
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded16
7
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
12
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+40%

Vasco d Gama v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE