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Vitória v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 22:30 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vasco da Gama are away from home on Saturday night, as manager Fabio Pecchia takes his team to visit Vitória and Thiago Carpini Barbosa at the Estádio Manoel Barradas in the Serie A. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
41%
27/20-
Draw
27%
9/4-
Vasco d Gama
33%
21/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Vitoria 1-0
11%
13/2-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
9%
8/1-
Vitoria 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
8%
10/1-
Vitoria 2-0
7%
10/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Vitoria 3-1
4%
20/1-
Vitoria 3-0
3%
20/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
25/1-
Vitoria 3-2
2%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-0
2%
33/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/11-
BTTS - No
48%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2-
Home/draw
67%
4/11-
Away/draw
59%
4/7-
Home/away
73%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2-
Home DNB
59%
8/13-
Away DNB
51%
6/5-
Vitoria win to nil
23%
11/4-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
18%
4/1-
Vitoria / Vitoria
22%
11/4-
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/1-
Vitoria / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Vitoria
15%
9/2-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
16%
4/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Vitoria1 - 0Juventude
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria1 - 0Cuiaba
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria0 - 1Botafogo
Vitoria2 - 1Criciuma
Vitoria0 - 1Athletico PR
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 1Internacional
Vitoria0 - 2Atletico Go
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
HVitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Criciuma2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Atletico Go0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Athletico PR1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Ceara
HVasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Cuiaba
HVasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
AVasco d Gama1 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Sao Paulo
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Juventude
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
VIT
1
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 0
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
VIT
2
VDG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 3Vitoria
2 - 3Vitoria
Goal Statistics
Vitoria 16th Vasco d Gama 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Vasco d Gama have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294528/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
32%
better
VIT
VDG
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score1
3
Scored first2
1
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
VIT
VDG
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded9
8
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+18%

Vitoria v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
JamersonMatheuzinhoJamersonClaudinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Claudinho DEF6
2
-
Z Marcos DEF6
-
Jamerson DEF62
-
L Halter DEF61
1
-
R Ryller MID6
1
-
J Costa FWD61
1
-
L Arcanjo GLK5
-
Matheuzinho MID52
1
-
G Baralhas MID5
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD52
-
F Fabrício FWD51
-
Ronald MID4
1
-
W Oliveira MID3
1
-
Osvaldo FWD3
-
W Rato MID21
-
L Braga FWD21
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
Edu DEF1
-
Neris DEF1
1
-
R Cáceres DEF1
1
-
C Eduardo FWD1
-
Carlinhos FWD11
1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6422
L JardimP VegettiD PayetJair
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK6
-
J Victor DEF6
1
-
Jair MID6
2
-
H Moura MID6
2
-
P Vegetti FWD641
2
-
L Piton  DEF5
1
-
P Henrique DEF5
2
-
L Freitas DEF5
-
B Garré MID5
-
R Rocha FWD511
-
A Teixeira FWD5
1
-
D Payet MID42
-
Adson MID4
-
P Coutinho MID41
-
Paulinho MID4
1
-
T Tchê MID3
-
J Bebanz DEF2
-
M Santos MID2
-
V Luis DEF1
-
M Lemos  DEF1
-
J Meneses MID1
-