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Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 20:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Sparta Rotterdam are on the road on Saturday night, as manager Maurice Steijn takes his men to visit Ajax and Fred Grim at the Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Eredivisie matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Ajax and S.Rotterdam will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Fred Grim or Maurice Steijn has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.14 equating to about a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
53%
8/13-
Draw
23%
16/5-
S.Rotterdam
24%
4/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2-
Ajax 2-1
10%
15/2-
Ajax 1-0
9%
9/1-
Ajax 2-0
8%
17/2-
S.Rotterdam 2-1
6%
14/1-
Ajax 3-1
6%
11/1-
S.Rotterdam 1-0
6%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Ajax 3-0
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1-
Ajax 3-2
3%
18/1-
S.Rotterdam 2-0
3%
28/1-
Ajax 4-1
3%
20/1-
Ajax 4-0
2%
22/1-
S.Rotterdam 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
7/5-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/7-
BTTS - No
42%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/8-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7/1-
Home/draw
76%
1/6-
Away/draw
47%
5/4-
Home/away
77%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
5/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Home DNB
69%
1/4-
Away DNB
40%
11/4-
Ajax win to nil
26%
9/4-
S.Rotterdam win to nil
11%
10/1-
Ajax / Ajax
35%
7/5-
Ajax / S.Rotterdam
2%
33/1-
Ajax / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Ajax
18%
15/4-
Draw / S.Rotterdam
8%
10/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
S.Rotterdam / Ajax
4%
18/1-
S.Rotterdam / S.Rotterdam
10%
7/1-
S.Rotterdam / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 10 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

S.Rotterdam are in 7th position in the Eredivisie on 37 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. S.Rotterdam have conceded 29 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
S.Rotterdam
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2521224365 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
6-1A
2
Feyenoord2515372048 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
l
 
0-4A
w
 
3-4F
3
Ajax25111131644 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
Mar 14
4
NEC2512761843 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
5
Twente25101141541 
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-5A
May 10
6
AZ Alkmaar251168239 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
7
S.Rotterdam2511410-1037 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
-
-
8
Utrecht25979734 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
9
Heerenveen25979-134 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Fortuna259511-632 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
11
Groningen259412-231 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
GA Eagles256118-129 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
13
PEC Zwolle257711-1628 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
14
FC Volendam257612-1227 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
0-1F
15
Excelsior257513-1626 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
16
NAC255713-1422 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
17
Telstar254912-1021 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 22
18
Heracles255218-3317 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
6
Ajax have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
S.Rotterdam 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
17
Ajax have not lost to S.Rotterdam in 17 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2017
Ajax
S.Rotterdam
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
AJA
7
D
1
League games at S.Rotterdam since 2016
S.Rotterdam
Ajax
Goals: Scored
9
22
Games: Scored
5 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
4 / 9
AJA
7
D
2
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 15 consecutive Eredivisie matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Sparta Rotterdam on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ajax 3rd S.Rotterdam 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that S.Rotterdam will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Ajax have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
S.Rotterdam’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
S.Rotterdam
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
AJA
SPA
view stats
Games scored23
20
Failed to score2
5
Scored first15
13
Goals scored47
32
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
7%
better
AJA
SPA
view stats
Games conceded19
16
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded31
42
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

Ajax v S.Rotterdam Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221385
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2442
1
-
O Gloukh MID2455
2
-
M Godts FWD23138
2
-
Y Baas  DEF2241
2
1
Y Regeer MID202
5
-
W Weghorst FWD2062
4
-
V Jaroš GLK19
1
-
L Rosa DEF19
2
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
O Wijndal DEF171
3
-
J. Mokio MID1721
-
J Sutalo DEF16
1
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
R. Bounida MID1514
3
-
K Dolberg FWD1532
1
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID141
2
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
S. Steur MID10
-
S Berghuis  FWD1012
1
-
A. Bouwman DEF71
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD5
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-
S.Rotterdam Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251035
J DrommelT LauritsenT LauritsenM. Young
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Drommel GLK25
1
-
M. Young DEF251
5
-
T Lauritsen FWD25103
4
-
T Quintero DEF231
3
1
J Kitolano MID2352
2
-
M Bergen FWD2232
1
-
B Indi  DEF211
3
1
S Sambo DEF192
5
-
P Clement MID1923
2
-
J Baas MID18
3
-
A. Santos MID171
2
-
S Mito FWD1653
-
A. Oufkir FWD1612
2
-
J Toornstra MID14
5
-
L Duijvestijn MID13
2
-
P Aanholt DEF1113
1
-
S Bakari DEF10
-
M Kleijn DEF91
-
S Ltaief MID91
-
J Guzmán MID5
-
T Velthuis DEF3
-