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AZ v NAC Breda : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 13:30 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Leeroy Echteld's AZ side are on home soil in the Eredivisie on Sunday afternoon, as Carl Hoefkens's NAC Breda arrive at the AFAS Stadion. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: AZ Alkmaar to win

A Eredivisie victory in front of their own fans for Leeroy Echteld's AZ Alkmaar side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A AZ Alkmaar win is the way to go, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
66%
-2/5
Draw
19%
-17/4
NAC
15%
-11/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
11%
-15/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
10%
-7/1
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
10%
-17/2
Draw 1-1
9%
-8/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
8%
-9/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
7%
-8/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
-18/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-0
4%
-12/1
NAC 2-1
4%
-14/1
NAC 1-0
4%
-18/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
4%
-12/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
-14/1
NAC 2-0
2%
-25/1
AZ Alkmaar 5-0
2%
-20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
-4/11
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
-15/8
Home 1st Goal
58%
-4/11
Away 1st Goal
39%
-21/10
No 1st Goal
3%
-16/1
BTTS - Yes
53%
-4/7
BTTS - No
47%
-13/10
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-29/20
BTTS - Draw
15%
-9/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
-15/2
Home/draw
85%
-1/9
Away/draw
34%
-9/5
Home/away
81%
-2/13
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
-1/9
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
-5/1
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
-10/11
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
-4/5
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
-2/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
-7/20
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
-4/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
-1/7
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1/200
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-16/1
Home DNB
80%
-2/13
Away DNB
28%
-19/5
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
35%
--
NAC win to nil
7%
--
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
40%
-19/20
AZ Alkmaar / NAC
3%
-28/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
17%
-18/5
Draw / NAC
6%
-12/1
Draw / Draw
10%
-7/1
NAC / AZ Alkmaar
5%
-14/1
NAC / NAC
9%
-15/2
NAC / Draw
5%
-14/1
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. AZ Alkmaar have outscored their opponents by 55 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

NAC are in 17th position in the Eredivisie on 25 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 10 and won 3. NAC have conceded 54 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
NAC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV3326345281 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord3318872462 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
3
Twente33151352358 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
4
NEC33151172356 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-0A
5
Ajax33141362155 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
AZ Alkmaar3314910751 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 17
7
Utrecht33148111150 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
8
Heerenveen3214810650 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
May 10
d
 
3-3A
9
Groningen3313614345 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
S.Rotterdam3312714-2143 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
11
Fortuna3311616-1239 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-3A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
12
GA Eagles3381411238 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
6-0A
13
PEC Zwolle3391014-2537 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
14
Excelsior339816-1435 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
15
Telstar3381015-734 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
16
FC Volendam338817-1932 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
17
NAC3251017-2525 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
Heracles335424-4919 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
6
AZ Alkmaar have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
NAC have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0Fortuna
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Heracles
AZ Alkmaar3 - 1S.Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2Twente
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 0GA Eagles
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 0Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Fortuna
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 3Groningen
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 0Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2PSV
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 2Utrecht
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 1S.Rotterdam
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Excelsior
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
NAC 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Utrecht2 - 0NAC
Fortuna1 - 1NAC
PEC Zwolle2 - 1NAC
GA Eagles6 - 0NAC
Telstar3 - 0NAC
Heracles0 - 1NAC
PSV2 - 2NAC
Groningen0 - 0NAC
S.Rotterdam1 - 0NAC
Excelsior1 - 0NAC
FC Volendam2 - 1NAC
Heerenveen3 - 3NAC
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Twente2 - 2NAC
NEC3 - 0NAC
Feyenoord2 - 0NAC
NEC3 - 0NAC
Fortuna1 - 0NAC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1NAC
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANAC0 - 2Utrecht
HNAC0 - 2Ajax
ANAC1 - 1Fortuna
HNAC0 - 0S.Rotterdam
ANAC1 - 2PEC Zwolle
ANAC0 - 6GA Eagles
HNAC3 - 3Feyenoord
ANAC0 - 3Telstar
HNAC1 - 0FC Volendam
ANAC1 - 0Heracles
HNAC0 - 2Excelsior
HNAC2 - 2Twente
ANAC2 - 2PSV
HNAC3 - 4NEC
ANAC0 - 0Groningen
HNAC0 - 1Telstar
HNAC1 - 1Utrecht
ANAC0 - 1S.Rotterdam
ANAC0 - 1Excelsior
HNAC0 - 1PSV
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to NAC in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2017
AZ Alkmaar
NAC
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
AZ
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
Draw1 - 1Draw
AZ Alkmaar5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
League games at NAC since 2018
NAC
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
2
9
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
AZ
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NAC
0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
1 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for NAC Breda fans, as should a 6 Eredivisie matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

AZ Alkmaar 6th NAC 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of NAC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
AZ Alkmaar have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-40
NAC have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
NAC
2.2
0.9
Attack rating
42%
better
AZ
BRE
view stats
Games scored28
18
Failed to score4
14
Scored first19
8
Goals scored54
30
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
19%
better
AZ
BRE
view stats
Games conceded23
27
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first12
22
Goals conceded47
55
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%

AZ Alkmaar v NAC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311569
A PenetraT ParrottM WitW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF3121
5
-
W Goes DEF311
9
-
I Jensen FWD3124
-
M Wit DEF3036
9
-
S Mijnans MID28105
1
-
P Koopmeiners MID272
5
-
K. Smit MID2633
5
-
T Parrott FWD26153
3
-
Weslley FWD2522
-
R. Daal FWD221
1
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK211
1
-
I Sadiq FWD202
3
-
M. Chávez García DEF192
5
-
E. Dijkstra DEF18
1
-
M Šín MID1811
1
-
M Meerdink FWD1741
1
-
D Kasius DEF1622
3
-
J Zoet GLK111
-
K. Boogaard MID102
1
-
J Clasie MID101
3
1
J Hornkamp FWD8
-
B Duijl DEF71
-
A. Oufkir FWD7
1
-
S Maikuma DEF6
-
M Dekker DEF6
-
W. Bouziane FWD41
-
R Ichihara DEF2
-
H Verhulst GLK1
-
NAC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31559
D BielicaM NassohL HoltbyR Hillen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bielica GLK31
3
-
B Kemper  DEF3133
3
-
K Sowah MID3111
3
-
M. Balard MID301
4
1
C Leemans MID301
4
-
L Holtby MID2815
2
1
M Nassoh MID2851
4
1
C. Valerius DEF26
5
-
J. Talvitie FWD2622
-
R Hillen DEF241
8
1
C Brym FWD2324
4
-
R. Paula MID2122
1
-
B Lucassen DEF201
1
-
D Odoi DEF18
2
-
A Ayew FWD151
1
-
L Greiml DEF141
2
1
P. Reulen FWD141
1
-
M Soumano FWD143
-
E Mahmutovic DEF13
2
-
F Jensen MID10
1
A Salama FWD81
-
B Ghalidi FWD8
1
-
J. Candelaria DEF6
-
K Lamprou GLK1
-