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Heracles Almelo v Groningen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 13:30 BST, Polman Stadion, Almelo

Ernest Faber's Heracles Almelo side enjoy home advantage in the Eredivisie on Sunday afternoon, as Dick Lukkien's Groningen arrive at the Polman Stadion. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Heracles or Groningen are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Groningen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Heracles 23%	15/4	7/2
Draw 23%	16/5	18/5
Groningen 53%	3/5	8/13
Draw 1-1 11%	8/1	15/2
Groningen 1-0 10%	12/1	10/1
Groningen 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Groningen 2-0 9%	10/1	9/1
Heracles 1-0 6%	22/1	16/1
Heracles 2-1 6%	16/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 6%	22/1	18/1
Groningen 3-1 6%	10/1	17/2
Groningen 3-0 5%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1	9/1
Heracles 2-0 3%	33/1	20/1
Groningen 3-2 3%	16/1	12/1
Groningen 4-1 3%	18/1	14/1
Groningen 4-0 2%	22/1	16/1
Heracles 3-1 2%	33/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	4/11	7/20
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	21/10	2/1
Home 1st Goal 43%	6/4	8/5
Away 1st Goal 54%	1/2	1/2
No 1st Goal 3%	22/1	20/1
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/9	4/9
BTTS - No 45%	13/8	13/8
BTTS - Home Win 12%	6/1	5/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 25%	8/5	6/4
Home/draw 47%	13/10	5/4
Away/draw 77%	2/11	1/5
Home/away 77%	2/9	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/10	1/10
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	6/1	11/2
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	5/6	17/20
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	5/6	17/20
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	2/1	19/10
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	4/11	4/11
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	9/2	19/5
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/7	2/13
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/66	1/200
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	20/1	18/1
Home DNB 40%	11/4	12/5
Away DNB 70%	1/4	2/7
Heracles win to nil 11%	12/1	-
Groningen win to nil 28%	5/2	-
Heracles / Heracles 12%	13/2	11/2
Heracles / Groningen 5%	16/1	16/1
Heracles / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Heracles 7%	10/1	10/1
Draw / Groningen 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Draw 10%	7/1	13/2
Groningen / Heracles 3%	28/1	28/1
Groningen / Groningen 35%	11/8	13/10
Groningen / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Heracles have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 24 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Heracles have conceded 83 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Heracles have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 34 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Groningen lay in 9th place on 45 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Groningen have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Groningen have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Heracles Groningen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSV	33	26	3	4	52	81	l 1-3A	l 4-3A	l 1-2F	l 4-2A
2	Feyenoord	33	18	8	7	24	62	l 0-7A	l 4-2A	l 0-1A	l 3-1A
3	Twente	33	15	13	5	23	58	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 2-1F
4	NEC	33	15	11	7	23	56	l 1-4F	l 4-1A	w 2-1F	l 2-0A
5	Ajax	33	14	13	6	21	55	l 0-3A	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	l 2-0A
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	14	9	10	7	51	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	w 3-0F	l 4-1A
7	Utrecht	33	14	8	11	11	50	d 0-00-0	l 4-0A	l 1-2F	w 0-1F
8	Heerenveen	33	14	8	11	4	50	l 0-3A	l 4-1F	w 2-1A	w 0-2F
9	Groningen	33	13	6	14	3	45	May 17	l 4-0A	-	-
10	S.Rotterdam	33	12	7	14	-21	43	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
11	Fortuna	33	11	6	16	-12	39	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 1-2F	w 1-2F
12	GA Eagles	33	8	14	11	2	38	w 4-2F	l 4-0A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
13	PEC Zwolle	33	9	10	14	-25	37	w 8-2A	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	d 1-1A
14	Excelsior	33	9	8	16	-14	35	d 1-1F	w 1-2A	l 2-3F	w 0-2F
15	Telstar	33	8	10	15	-7	34	d 1-1A	l 3-0A	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
16	FC Volendam	33	8	8	17	-19	32	l 0-2A	l 3-0A	w 3-0F	l 3-2F
17	NAC	33	6	10	17	-23	28	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
18	Heracles	33	5	4	24	-49	19	-	-	w 4-0F	May 17

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Heracles have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heracles	0 - 2	FC Volendam
Heracles	0 - 3	Ajax
Heracles	1 - 1	Excelsior
Heracles	0 - 0	Utrecht
Heracles	1 - 3	PSV
Heracles	0 - 1	NAC
Heracles	2 - 1	Fortuna
Heracles	0 - 2	Twente
Heracles	0 - 3	Heerenveen
Heracles	1 - 1	Telstar
Heracles	4 - 2	GA Eagles
Heracles	8 - 2	PEC Zwolle
Heracles	0 - 7	Feyenoord
Heracles	3 - 0	S.Rotterdam
Heracles	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
Heracles	1 - 4	NEC
Heracles	1 - 2	NEC
Heracles	1 - 4	Feyenoord
Heracles	1 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
Heracles	2 - 1	Twente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Heracles	0 - 3	Telstar
A	Heracles	0 - 1	PEC Zwolle
H	Heracles	0 - 2	FC Volendam
H	Heracles	0 - 3	Ajax
A	Heracles	1 - 4	Heerenveen
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Excelsior
A	Heracles	0 - 4	AZ Alkmaar
H	Heracles	0 - 0	Utrecht
H	Heracles	1 - 3	PSV
A	Heracles	0 - 4	GA Eagles
H	Heracles	0 - 1	NAC
A	Heracles	1 - 4	NEC
H	Heracles	2 - 1	Fortuna
A	Heracles	2 - 4	Feyenoord
H	Heracles	0 - 2	Twente
A	Heracles	0 - 2	S.Rotterdam
H	Heracles	0 - 3	Heerenveen
A	Heracles	3 - 4	PSV
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Telstar
A	Heracles	1 - 1	Fortuna

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Feyenoord	3 - 1	Groningen
Telstar	0 - 2	Groningen
PEC Zwolle	1 - 1	Groningen
FC Volendam	3 - 2	Groningen
Twente	2 - 1	Groningen
S.Rotterdam	2 - 0	Groningen
Heerenveen	0 - 2	Groningen
GA Eagles	1 - 1	Groningen
Excelsior	0 - 2	Groningen
Ajax	2 - 0	Groningen
NEC	2 - 0	Groningen
Fortuna	1 - 2	Groningen
NAC	1 - 2	Groningen
Utrecht	0 - 1	Groningen
PSV	4 - 2	Groningen
AZ Alkmaar	4 - 1	Groningen
PEC Zwolle	2 - 0	Groningen
AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Groningen
Utrecht	3 - 1	Groningen
Feyenoord	4 - 1	Groningen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC
H	Groningen	2 - 3	Excelsior
A	Groningen	1 - 3	Feyenoord
H	Groningen	0 - 0	GA Eagles
A	Groningen	2 - 0	Telstar
H	Groningen	3 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
A	Groningen	1 - 1	PEC Zwolle
H	Groningen	3 - 1	Ajax
A	Groningen	2 - 3	FC Volendam
A	Groningen	1 - 2	Twente
H	Groningen	1 - 2	Utrecht
H	Groningen	1 - 2	PSV
A	Groningen	0 - 2	S.Rotterdam
H	Groningen	1 - 2	Fortuna
A	Groningen	2 - 0	Heerenveen
H	Groningen	0 - 0	NAC
A	Groningen	1 - 1	GA Eagles
H	Groningen	3 - 0	FC Volendam
A	Groningen	2 - 0	Excelsior
A	Groningen	0 - 2	Ajax

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Heracles have not lost to Groningen in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Heracles

Groningen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

0 / 8

HER

GRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heracles
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Heracles	4 - 2
Heracles	1 - 0
Heracles	4 - 1
Heracles	2 - 1
	1 - 4	Groningen
Heracles	5 - 1
Heracles	2 - 1

Groningen

Heracles

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

HER

GRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Groningen
Groningen	4 - 0
Groningen	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Heracles
	0 - 1	Heracles
	1 - 2	Heracles
Groningen	3 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Groningen	2 - 1
Groningen	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Heracles Almelo of late. It has been 11 Eredivisie matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Groningen.

Groningen's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Heracles Almelo have conceded in each of their last 6 Eredivisie outings. A PG of 1.8 for D. Lukkien's side suggests that run should continue.

	Heracles 18th	Groningen 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Heracles will score no more than 1 goal	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Groningen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Heracles have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-9 Groningen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

HER

GRO

29%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		26
Failed to score	16		7
Scored first	8		18
Goals scored	34		47
Avg. goals scored	1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.7
KickOff rating		+29%

HER

GRO

40%

better

view stats

Games conceded	31		23
Clean sheets	2		10
Conceded first	24		13
Goals conceded	83		44
Avg. goals conceded	2.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	21%		15%
Avg. XG against	2		1.5
KickOff rating		+40%

Heracles v Groningen Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	5	6	7
D Mirani	L. Kulenović	A Hrustic	I Mesík

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Mirani DEF	32	3		6 -
I Mesík DEF	30	2		7 -
L. Kulenović FWD	29	5	3	1 1
A Hrustic MID	27	1	6	5 -
T Gilst MID	27	1		3 -
T Bruns MID	26	1		3 -
J Žambůrek MID	25		1	5 -
M Benita DEF	24			6 -
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	24	2		5 -
W Ould-Chikh MID	23	1	4	3 -
M Engels FWD	23	1	2	3 1
B Limbombe FWD	22	1	3	1 -
M Wierik DEF	21	1		2 -
D Kust DEF	20		2	2 -
J Wieckhoff DEF	19			3 -
S Scheperman MID	15	1	1	3 1
T Jansink GLK	14			-
E Ahlstrand MID	13		1	-
L Zeefuik FWD	13	2		5 -
R Pasveer GLK	11			-
Y Sanches FWD	11	2		-
N Ünüvar FWD	10		1	1 -
F Keijzer GLK	8			-
S Cestic DEF	7			-
R. Bozinovski MID	7			1 -
J. Tijink DEF	1			-
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	1			-
S. Blokhuis FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	6	14
L. Kulenović	L. Kulenović	A Hrustic	A Hrustic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L. Kulenović FWD	5	12	3	3
D Mirani DEF	3	5		1
I Mesík DEF	2	7		2
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	2	4		1
L Zeefuik FWD	2	9
Y Sanches FWD	2	4
A Hrustic MID	1	12	6	14
T Gilst MID	1	6		3
T Bruns MID	1	3		1
W Ould-Chikh MID	1	4	4	4
M Engels FWD	1	8	2	6
B Limbombe FWD	1	7	3	5
M Wierik DEF	1	1		1
S Scheperman MID	1	6	1	1
J Žambůrek MID		1	1
M Benita DEF		4		2
D Kust DEF			2	1
J Wieckhoff DEF		1
T Jansink GLK				1
E Ahlstrand MID		2	1
N Ünüvar FWD		2	1	2
S Cestic DEF		2
J Reine-Adélaïde MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1409	44	149
D Mirani	I Mesík	L. Kulenović

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Mirani DEF	1409	34	140
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	1160	24	100
A Hrustic MID	995	34	92
I Mesík DEF	945	44	98
J Žambůrek MID	594	35	89
T Jansink GLK	489		5
M Benita DEF	471	40	89
M Wierik DEF	460	27	86
W Ould-Chikh MID	431	39	102
T Bruns MID	424	32	60
R Pasveer GLK	395		3
L. Kulenović FWD	383	10	149
S Scheperman MID	369	43	84
D Kust DEF	351	32	51
F Keijzer GLK	318
B Limbombe FWD	308	10	47
J Wieckhoff DEF	301	26	47
T Gilst MID	224	11	41
E Ahlstrand MID	204	17	26
L Zeefuik FWD	183	10	82
M Engels FWD	179	7	31
N Ünüvar FWD	157	18	39
S Cestic DEF	155	6	15
R. Bozinovski MID	122	8	16
Y Sanches FWD	114	13	24
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	14		1
S. Blokhuis FWD	2
J. Tijink DEF	1

Groningen Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	9	9	6
T Blokzijl	T Bergen	Y Taha	Y Taha

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Blokzijl DEF	33	1	1	3 -
D. van der Werff MID	33	2	2	2 -
J Schreuders FWD	33	1	2	3 -
T Bergen FWD	33	9	4	4 -
M Peersman DEF	32	3	1	5 -
Y Taha FWD	32	5	9	6 -
D. Janse DEF	30	2	2	6 -
E Vaessen GLK	28		1	3 -
M Rente DEF	28	3	3	4 1
T Land MID	27	2	1	4 1
T. de Jonge MID	27	3	1	3 -
B Willumsson FWD	27	6		2 -
S Resink MID	24	5	5	4 -
T. Mercera DEF	22		1	3 -
W. Prins DEF	20		2	-
M Seuntjens MID	16	1		-
O Zawada FWD	16	3		1 -
T Hearnes MID	9			-
H Jurjus GLK	7			-
M. Hoekstra FWD	4			1 -
R Mendes FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	38	9	16
T Bergen	Y Taha	Y Taha	Y Taha

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Bergen FWD	9	36	4	7
B Willumsson FWD	6	19		1
Y Taha FWD	5	38	9	16
S Resink MID	5	12	5	2
M Peersman DEF	3	6	1	2
M Rente DEF	3	8	3	2
T. de Jonge MID	3	8	1	4
O Zawada FWD	3	6		1
D. van der Werff MID	2	23	2	12
D. Janse DEF	2	5	2	4
T Land MID	2	4	1	4
T Blokzijl DEF	1	1	1	3
J Schreuders FWD	1	19	2	4
M Seuntjens MID	1	4		1
E Vaessen GLK			1	1
T. Mercera DEF			1	1
W. Prins DEF			2	2
T Hearnes MID		2		1
R Mendes FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1913	60	209
T Blokzijl	S Resink	T Bergen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Blokzijl DEF	1913	39	125
D. Janse DEF	1636	37	125
M Peersman DEF	1245	37	119
E Vaessen GLK	1184	2	22
S Resink MID	1157	60	164
J Schreuders FWD	1047	46	125
T Land MID	826	36	55
M Rente DEF	818	43	157
T. de Jonge MID	769	48	82
T Bergen FWD	732	43	209
D. van der Werff MID	711	45	88
Y Taha FWD	655	45	99
T. Mercera DEF	268	25	57
B Willumsson FWD	246	12	57
H Jurjus GLK	246		1
W. Prins DEF	171	23	34
M Seuntjens MID	94	3	6
O Zawada FWD	86		25
T Hearnes MID	78	3	19
M. Hoekstra FWD	17		5
R Mendes FWD	3		1

Dutch Eredivisie match betting previews, predictions and odds

S.Rotterdam v Excelsior

Sun 17th May, 13:30

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FC Volendam v Telstar

Sun 17th May, 13:30

Heracles Almelo v Groningen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Heracles have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Groningen lay in 9th place on 45 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Heracles v Groningen Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

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