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Derby County v Wrexham : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

John Eustace's Derby County side enjoy home advantage in the Championship on Sunday afternoon, as Phil Parkinson's Wrexham visit the Pride Park Stadium. Championship statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
34%
--
Draw
30%
--
Wrexham
36%
--
Draw 1-1
14%
--
Wrexham 1-0
13%
--
Derby 1-0
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Wrexham 2-1
7%
--
Wrexham 2-0
7%
--
Derby 2-1
7%
--
Derby 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Wrexham 3-1
3%
--
Wrexham 3-0
2%
--
Derby 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-0
2%
--
Wrexham 3-2
1%
--
Derby 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
42%
--
BTTS - No
58%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
70%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
55%
--
Away DNB
57%
--
Derby win to nil
22%
--
Wrexham win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Derby have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 12 games at home winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Wrexham are in 15th position in the Championship on 28 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Wrexham have conceded 17 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Wrexham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2214623048 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
w
 
3-2A
Apr 25
2
M'Boro221264942 
Jan 1
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
1-1F
3
Ipswich2210751537 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
4
Hull221147237 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Mar 10
l
 
2-0A
5
Preston22994736 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Dec 29
d
 
1-1F
6
Millwall221057-635 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
7
QPR221048-234 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
8
Stoke221039733 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
9
Bristol C22967633 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
w
 
2-0F
Feb 13
10
Watford22886332 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
d
 
2-2F
Mar 7
11
Southampton22877531 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
12
Derby22877131 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
13
Leicester22877031 
l
 
1-3A
Dec 29
Jan 20
d
 
1-1A
14
Birmingham22859129 
Mar 21
Dec 26
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
15
Wrexham226106028 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
-
-
16
West Brom228410-428 
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3A
Apr 3
17
Charlton21768-527 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
18
Sheff Utd228212-326 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
Dec 26
Mar 21
19
Swansea227510-626 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Mar 14
l
 
2-1F
20
Blackburn217410-425 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
Jan 1
21
Portsmouth215610-1021 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
Feb 24
d
 
0-00-0
22
Oxford Utd224711-919 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
23
Norwich224612-1018 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
Jan 17
w
 
2-3A
24
Sheff Wed211614-27-9 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Derby0 - 0Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
Wrexham 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Hull2 - 0Wrexham
Preston1 - 1Wrexham
Ipswich0 - 0Wrexham
Portsmouth0 - 0Wrexham
M'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Leicester1 - 1Wrexham
Norwich2 - 3Wrexham
Millwall0 - 2Wrexham
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Lincoln0 - 2Wrexham
Blackpool1 - 2Wrexham
Wigan0 - 0Wrexham
Cambridge2 - 2Wrexham
Exeter0 - 2Wrexham
Wycombe0 - 1Wrexham
Reading2 - 0Wrexham
Huddersfield0 - 1Wrexham
Mansfield1 - 2Wrexham
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWrexham1 - 2Swansea
HWrexham2 - 2Watford
AWrexham0 - 2Hull
AWrexham1 - 1Preston
HWrexham1 - 1Blackburn
HWrexham2 - 0Bristol C
AWrexham0 - 0Ipswich
HWrexham1 - 0Charlton
AWrexham0 - 0Portsmouth
HWrexham3 - 2Coventry
AWrexham1 - 1M'Boro
HWrexham1 - 0Oxford Utd
AWrexham0 - 1Stoke
HWrexham1 - 1Birmingham
AWrexham1 - 1Leicester
HWrexham1 - 1Derby
AWrexham3 - 2Norwich
HWrexham1 - 3QPR
AWrexham2 - 0Millwall
HWrexham2 - 2Sheff Wed
Goal Statistics
Derby 12th Wrexham 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Wrexham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Wrexham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Wrexham
1
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
DER
WRX
view stats
Games scored20
18
Failed to score2
4
Scored first11
12
Goals scored31
27
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
DER
WRX
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded30
27
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

Derby v Wrexham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221057
J ZetterströmC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK22
1
-
M Clarke DEF2211
3
-
D Sanderson DEF211
5
-
B Clark MID211
3
-
E Adams MID201
7
-
A Weimann  MID2012
1
-
P. Agyemang FWD1853
1
-
C Elder DEF1712
4
-
B Díaz FWD171
3
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
K Jackson FWD16
1
-
L Salvesen FWD1621
2
-
J Ward MID1515
-
D Ozoh MID131
4
-
S Langas DEF1221
1
-
R Brewster FWD121
1
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Forsyth DEF9
2
-
L Thompson MID91
3
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
D Batth DEF6
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD51
-
C Nelson DEF1
-
Wrexham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22835
M CleworthK MooreM CleworthL O'Brien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cleworth DEF2213
1
-
G Dobson MID221
4
-
M James MID221
2
-
K Moore FWD2181
4
-
R Longman FWD2011
1
-
A Okonkwo GLK19
1
-
J Windass MID1963
2
-
L O'Brien MID1832
5
-
N Broadhead FWD1831
-
S Smith FWD181
2
-
D Hyam DEF17
1
-
J McClean MID162
2
-
B Sheaf MID16
5
-
D Scarr DEF12
2
-
R Barnett DEF11
-
G Thomason MID112
2
-
I Kaboré DEF103
1
-
C Doyle DEF10
2
1
L Brunt DEF9
1
-
L Cacace DEF7
-
R Hardie FWD6
-
C Coady DEF5
-
D Ward GLK4
-
O Rathbone MID21
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Birmingham v Derby
Fri 26th Dec, 12:30
Millwall v Ipswich
Fri 26th Dec, 13:00
Sheff Wed v Hull
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
West Brom v Bristol C
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Stoke v Preston
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Coventry v Swansea
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Oxford Utd v Southampton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Norwich v Charlton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
M'Boro v Blackburn
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Leicester v Watford
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Portsmouth v QPR
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Wrexham v Sheff Utd
Fri 26th Dec, 17:30
Coventry v Ipswich
Mon 29th Dec, 18:00
Wrexham v Preston
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
West Brom v QPR
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Blackburn
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Portsmouth v Charlton
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Swansea
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Norwich v Watford
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Millwall v Bristol C
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
M'Boro v Hull
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Leicester v Derby
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Stoke v Sheff Utd
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Birmingham v Southampton
Mon 29th Dec, 20:15
Blackburn v Wrexham
Thu 1st Jan, 12:30
Southampton v Millwall
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Swansea v West Brom
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Derby v M'Boro
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Watford v Birmingham
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
QPR v Norwich
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Preston v Sheff Wed
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Ipswich v Oxford Utd
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Hull v Stoke
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Charlton v Coventry
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Portsmouth
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Leicester
Thu 1st Jan, 17:30
QPR v Sheff Wed
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Sheff Utd v Oxford Utd
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Birmingham v Coventry
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Norwich v Stoke
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
M'Boro v Southampton
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Blackburn v Charlton
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Millwall v Swansea
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Portsmouth v Ipswich
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Hull v Watford
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Derby v Wrexham
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Preston
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Leicester v West Brom
Mon 5th Jan, 20:00