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Hull City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 15:00 BST, KCOM Stadium, Hull

Home advantage makes a difference in the Championship, and Sergej Jakirović’s Hull City will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Javier Gracia Carlos’s Watford are their visitors to the KCOM Stadium. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will change as you explore each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hull 45%	-	-
Draw 25%	-	-
Watford 29%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Hull 1-0 10%	-	-
Hull 2-1 9%	-	-
Watford 1-0 8%	-	-
Hull 2-0 8%	-	-
Watford 2-1 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Hull 3-1 5%	-	-
Watford 2-0 5%	-	-
Hull 3-0 4%	-	-
Watford 3-1 3%	-	-
Hull 3-2 3%	-	-
Watford 3-2 2%	-	-
Watford 3-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	-
BTTS - No 46%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 71%	-	-
Away/draw 55%	-	-
Home/away 75%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 63%	-	-
Away DNB 47%	-	-
Hull win to nil 24%	-	-
Watford win to nil 15%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Hull have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Hull have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Hull have played 12 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Watford are in 10th position in the Championship on 32 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Watford have conceded 9 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hull Watford
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	22	14	6	2	30	48	Apr 6	d 0-00-0	May 2	l 3-1A
2	M'Boro	22	12	6	4	9	42	l 1-4A	Dec 29	w 3-0F	Apr 25
3	Ipswich	22	10	7	5	15	37	l 0-2A	Feb 14	Feb 24	d 1-1F
4	Hull	22	11	4	7	2	37	-	-	w 2-1A	Jan 4
5	Preston	22	9	9	4	7	36	d 2-2A	Jan 20	d 1-1A	Feb 14
6	Millwall	22	10	5	7	-6	35	Mar 7	w 1-3F	Jan 17	l 1-0A
7	QPR	22	10	4	8	-2	34	Feb 21	l 3-2F	w 2-1F	Apr 3
8	Stoke	22	10	3	9	7	33	Jan 1	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	Mar 14
9	Bristol C	22	9	6	7	6	33	Feb 7	l 4-2F	d 1-1F	Feb 27
10	Watford	22	8	8	6	3	32	Jan 4	l 2-1F	-	-
11	Southampton	22	8	7	7	5	31	w 3-1F	Jan 17	d 2-2A	Feb 7
12	Derby	22	8	7	7	1	31	Feb 24	l 2-1A	Feb 21	w 2-3A
13	Leicester	22	8	7	7	0	31	w 2-1F	Apr 22	Mar 21	Dec 26
14	Birmingham	22	8	5	9	1	29	Apr 18	w 2-3F	Jan 1	l 2-1A
15	Wrexham	22	6	10	6	0	28	w 2-0F	Mar 10	Mar 7	d 2-2A
16	West Brom	22	8	4	10	-4	28	w 1-0F	Mar 14	w 2-1A	Apr 21
17	Charlton	21	7	6	8	-5	27	d 1-1F	Apr 25	Apr 6	l 1-0A
18	Sheff Utd	22	8	2	12	-3	26	w 1-0F	Apr 11	Apr 18	l 1-0A
19	Swansea	22	7	5	10	-6	26	Jan 24	d 2-2A	Jan 31	d 1-1F
20	Blackburn	21	7	4	10	-4	25	l 0-3A	Jan 31	l 0-1A	Jan 24
21	Portsmouth	21	5	6	10	-10	21	w 3-2A	Feb 28	Jan 21	d 2-2A
22	Oxford Utd	22	4	7	11	-9	19	w 3-2F	Apr 3	w 2-1A	Apr 11
23	Norwich	22	4	6	12	-10	18	May 2	w 0-2F	w 3-2A	Dec 29
24	Sheff Wed	21	1	6	14	-27	-9	Mar 21	Dec 26	d 1-1A	Mar 10

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull	1 - 0	West Brom
Hull	2 - 0	Wrexham
Hull	1 - 4	M'Boro
Hull	0 - 2	Ipswich
Hull	3 - 2	Portsmouth
Hull	1 - 1	Charlton
Hull	2 - 1	Leicester
Hull	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
Hull	2 - 2	Preston
Hull	3 - 1	Southampton
Hull	0 - 3	Blackburn
Hull	3 - 2	Oxford Utd
Hull	0 - 1	Derby
Hull	2 - 1	Preston
Hull	1 - 1	Coventry
Hull	0 - 1	Luton
Hull	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Hull	2 - 0	Plymouth
Hull	1 - 1	Norwich
Hull	1 - 2	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hull	1 - 0	West Brom
A	Hull	3 - 1	Millwall
H	Hull	2 - 0	Wrexham
H	Hull	1 - 4	M'Boro
A	Hull	2 - 1	Stoke
H	Hull	0 - 2	Ipswich
A	Hull	2 - 3	QPR
H	Hull	3 - 2	Portsmouth
A	Hull	1 - 2	Derby
A	Hull	2 - 0	Norwich
H	Hull	1 - 1	Charlton
H	Hull	2 - 1	Leicester
A	Hull	3 - 2	Birmingham
H	Hull	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Hull	2 - 2	Preston
A	Hull	1 - 2	Watford
H	Hull	3 - 1	Southampton
A	Hull	2 - 2	Swansea
A	Hull	2 - 4	Bristol C
H	Hull	0 - 3	Blackburn

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham	2 - 2	Watford
Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
Derby	2 - 3	Watford
Ipswich	1 - 1	Watford
Coventry	3 - 1	Watford
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Watford
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Watford
Millwall	1 - 0	Watford
Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
Charlton	1 - 0	Watford
Blackburn	2 - 1	Watford
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Watford
West Brom	2 - 1	Watford
Bristol C	2 - 1	Watford
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Watford
Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
M'Boro	0 - 1	Watford
Sunderland	2 - 2	Watford
Coventry	2 - 1	Watford
Derby	0 - 2	Watford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
A	Watford	2 - 2	Wrexham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Birmingham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Preston
A	Watford	3 - 2	Derby
H	Watford	1 - 1	Bristol C
A	Watford	1 - 1	Ipswich
H	Watford	3 - 0	M'Boro
A	Watford	1 - 3	Coventry
H	Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Watford	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Watford	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Watford	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Watford	2 - 1	Hull
A	Watford	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Watford	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Watford	2 - 2	Southampton
A	Watford	1 - 1	Swansea

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Watford have not lost to Hull in 5 consecutive league meetings

Hull

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

HUL

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hull
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Watford
Hull	1 - 0
Hull	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Watford
Hull	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Hull	4 - 1
Hull	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Watford

Watford

Hull

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

5 / 11

Clean sheets

6 / 11

4 / 11

HUL

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Watford	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Hull
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Hull
	0 - 2	Hull
Watford	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Hull City have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.5 against Watford on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Hull 4th	Watford 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Hull will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Hull’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

21%

better

HUL

WAT

view stats

Games scored	19		18
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	13		6
Goals scored	37		31
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	22		14
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+21%

10%

better

HUL

WAT

view stats

Games conceded	17		20
Clean sheets	5		2
Conceded first	8		16
Goals conceded	35		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Hull v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hull Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	10	8	7
I Pandur	J Gelhardt	R Giles	M Crooks

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Pandur GLK	22			4 -
R Giles DEF	22		8	5 -
R Slater MID	22	1	1	4 -
K Joseph FWD	21	6		3 -
C Hughes DEF	20		1	2 -
J Egan DEF	19	1		2 -
J Gelhardt FWD	19	10	2	3 -
A Hadziahmetovic MID	18			-
L Coyle DEF	17		4	3 -
D Gyabi MID	17	1		-
E Destan FWD	16	2		3 -
M Crooks MID	15	1	2	7 -
D Akintola FWD	15	1	1	3 -
O McBurnie FWD	13	9	3	3 -
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	13	1		-
S Ajayi DEF	12	1		-
C Drameh DEF	12		1	1 -
Belloumi FWD	11		3	1 -
J Lundstram MID	10	1		4 -
L Millar FWD	9	1	2	1 -
K Palmer MID	7			-
A Famewo DEF	6			-
B Williams DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	25	8	12
J Gelhardt	J Gelhardt	R Giles	R Giles

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Gelhardt FWD	10	25	2	2
O McBurnie FWD	9	13	3	5
K Joseph FWD	6	14
E Destan FWD	2	3		2
R Slater MID	1	4	1	3
J Egan DEF	1	3
D Gyabi MID	1	2
M Crooks MID	1	3	2	1
D Akintola FWD	1	4	1	2
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	1	3
S Ajayi DEF	1	4
J Lundstram MID	1	2
L Millar FWD	1	2	2	2
R Giles DEF		2	8	12
C Hughes DEF		1	1	1
L Coyle DEF		1	4	5
C Drameh DEF		3	1	1
Belloumi FWD		6	3	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
993	37	106
C Hughes	M Crooks	C Hughes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hughes DEF	993	30	106
I Pandur GLK	848	1	13
J Egan DEF	758	24	92
M Crooks MID	553	37	80
L Coyle DEF	551	21	65
R Slater MID	529	26	66
R Giles DEF	523	20	36
A Hadziahmetovic MID	493	32	62
J Gelhardt FWD	425	22	103
J Lundstram MID	405	19	32
S Ajayi DEF	381	18	50
C Drameh DEF	305	20	43
K Joseph FWD	234	27	88
O McBurnie FWD	193	10	66
D Gyabi MID	173	14	32
E Destan FWD	134	4	37
Belloumi FWD	128	9	28
L Millar FWD	111	4	19
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	102	14	37
K Palmer MID	101	5	17
D Akintola FWD	100	11	26
A Famewo DEF	19	7	11
B Williams DEF	4	1	1

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	8	4	5
I Louza	L Kjerrumgaard	J Ngakia	I Louza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Kayembe MID	20	2		2 -
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	20	8		1 -
J Ngakia DEF	19	2	4	1 -
I Louza MID	19	6	4	4 1
H Kyprianou MID	19		1	5 -
N Irankunda FWD	19	2	1	5 -
M Bola DEF	18	1	3	2 -
K Keben DEF	17		1	3 -
M Pollock DEF	17		1	3 -
M Sissoko MID	17			-
V Semedo FWD	17	2	1	2 -
E Selvik GLK	16			1 -
M. Doumbia FWD	16	2	1	2 -
K Baah FWD	15	1	1	4 -
M. Alleyne DEF	13			2 -
T Ince FWD	12	1		-
J Abankwah DEF	10			1 1
R Vata FWD	10	2	2	-
O. Maamma FWD	9	2	1	1 -
N Baxter GLK	7			-
J Petris DEF	7			2 -
G Chakvetadze MID	6			2 -
C Wiley DEF	5			-
N Mendy MID	5			-
F Mendy DEF	2			-
J Morris DEF	1			1 -
P Dwomoh MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	4	10
L Kjerrumgaard	L Kjerrumgaard	J Ngakia	I Louza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	8	19
I Louza MID	6	14	4	10
E Kayembe MID	2	6		3
J Ngakia DEF	2	4	4	5
N Irankunda FWD	2	9	1	5
V Semedo FWD	2	11	1
M. Doumbia FWD	2	8	1	3
R Vata FWD	2	8	2	2
O. Maamma FWD	2	8	1	1
M Bola DEF	1	4	3	4
K Baah FWD	1	7	1	1
T Ince FWD	1	5
H Kyprianou MID		2	1	1
K Keben DEF		1	1	1
M Pollock DEF		1	1
M Sissoko MID		1
M. Alleyne DEF				1
J Petris DEF				1
G Chakvetadze MID		1
C Wiley DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1225	62	109
I Louza	J Ngakia	J Ngakia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Louza MID	1225	25	76
M Pollock DEF	950	15	97
K Keben DEF	855	14	64
J Ngakia DEF	745	62	109
H Kyprianou MID	661	23	82
M Bola DEF	649	14	56
M. Alleyne DEF	570	24	67
E Kayembe MID	568	11	46
J Abankwah DEF	458	13	49
E Selvik GLK	451	1	7
N Irankunda FWD	253	15	82
M. Doumbia FWD	226	6	46
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	209	8	77
N Baxter GLK	189		1
O. Maamma FWD	186	16	43
M Sissoko MID	178	13	22
T Ince FWD	154	8	14
R Vata FWD	130	7	25
K Baah FWD	116	4	30
N Mendy MID	115	2	10
J Petris DEF	114	4	29
G Chakvetadze MID	97	6	11
V Semedo FWD	92	5	24
C Wiley DEF	92	7	11
F Mendy DEF	40	6	10
P Dwomoh MID	2
J Morris DEF	1