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Middlesbrough v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 15:00 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Southampton, led by manager William Still, visit Rob Edwards and his Middlesbrough side at the Riverside Stadium on Sunday afternoon in the Championship. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
48%
--
Draw
23%
--
Southampton
29%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
M'Boro 1-0
8%
--
M'Boro 2-0
7%
--
Southampton 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Southampton 1-0
6%
--
M'Boro 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
M'Boro 3-0
4%
--
Southampton 2-0
4%
--
M'Boro 3-2
4%
--
Southampton 3-1
3%
--
Southampton 3-2
3%
--
M'Boro 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
M'Boro win to nil
22%
--
Southampton win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 36 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 10 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Southampton are in 11th position in the Championship on 31 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 19 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2214623048 
l
 
2-4A
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
2
M'Boro221264942 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
3
Ipswich2210751537 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
4
Hull221147237 
Dec 29
w
 
1-4F
Jan 17
l
 
3-1A
5
Preston22994736 
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
May 2
6
Millwall221057-635 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Jan 1
l
 
3-2F
7
QPR221048-234 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 7
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
8
Stoke221039733 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
9
Bristol C22967633 
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
10
Watford22886332 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
11
Southampton22877531 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
-
-
12
Derby22877131 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 1
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
13
Leicester22877031 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
14
Birmingham22859129 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
w
 
3-1F
Dec 29
15
Wrexham226106028 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
16
West Brom228410-428 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 16
w
 
3-2F
Mar 11
17
Charlton21768-527 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
18
Sheff Utd228212-326 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 9
Jan 21
w
 
1-2A
19
Swansea227510-626 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
20
Blackburn217410-425 
Dec 26
Mar 21
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
21
Portsmouth215610-1021 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
22
Oxford Utd224711-919 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
Dec 26
23
Norwich224612-1018 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
24
Sheff Wed211614-27-9 
Apr 21
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro3 - 1QPR
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
M'Boro2 - 4Coventry
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
M'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1West Brom
M'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro0 - 0Norwich
M'Boro2 - 1Plymouth
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro2 - 1Oxford Utd
M'Boro2 - 1QPR
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
M'Boro0 - 1Watford
M'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
M'Boro2 - 0West Brom
M'Boro1 - 1Cardiff
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro3 - 1QPR
AM'Boro2 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 1Hull
HM'Boro2 - 1Derby
HM'Boro2 - 4Coventry
AM'Boro1 - 1Oxford Utd
HM'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
AM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
AM'Boro0 - 3Watford
HM'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
AM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
HM'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
HM'Boro0 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro2 - 1West Brom
AM'Boro2 - 2Preston
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
AM'Boro2 - 1Norwich
Southampton 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich2 - 1Southampton
Millwall3 - 2Southampton
Charlton1 - 5Southampton
QPR1 - 2Southampton
Blackburn2 - 1Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Sheff Utd1 - 2Southampton
Hull3 - 1Southampton
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Ipswich1 - 1Southampton
Everton2 - 0Southampton
Leicester2 - 0Southampton
West Ham1 - 1Southampton
Spurs3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Ipswich1 - 2Southampton
Nottm Forest3 - 2Southampton
Man Utd3 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton1 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 2Norwich
HSouthampton3 - 2West Brom
HSouthampton3 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton2 - 3Millwall
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 1Derby
ASouthampton2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
ASouthampton1 - 3Hull
HSouthampton0 - 0Portsmouth
ASouthampton2 - 2Watford
HSouthampton1 - 2Stoke
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Southampton
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
10 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
3 / 13
MID
6
D
2
SOU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
M'Boro3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
M'Boro3 - 2
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
22
15
Games: Scored
12 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
2 / 14
MID
2
D
7
SOU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Southampton have conceded in each of their last 5 Championship matches. A PG of 1.8 for R. Edwards's side suggests that run should continue.

M'Boro 2nd Southampton 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
MID
SOU
5%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score4
3
Scored first11
12
Goals scored33
36
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
11%
better
MID
SOU
view stats
Games conceded17
19
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded24
31
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

M'Boro v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22854
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyH Hackney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK221
-
H Hackney MID2235
4
-
T Conway FWD2232
3
-
C Brittain DEF214
3
-
A Jones DEF2111
3
1
M Whittaker FWD2183
3
-
L Ayling DEF2012
4
-
M Targett DEF1921
2
-
K Sène FWD192
2
-
D Burgzorg FWD1912
1
-
A Morris MID172
-
A Browne MID16
1
-
S Nypan MID15
2
-
D Strelec FWD143
1
-
S Silvera FWD14
3
-
D Fry DEF112
-
S Hansen FWD111
-
R McGree MID1021
1
-
G Edmundson DEF5
1
-
A Bangura DEF41
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID4
-
A Gilbert MID411
1
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
M. Hamilton FWD1
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191146
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Armstrong FWD22114
3
-
R Manning DEF2142
3
-
J. Robinson FWD1921
-
N Wood DEF1811
3
-
F Azaz MID1863
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF1731
5
-
C. Jander MID172
2
-
T Fellows MID163
2
-
L Scienza FWD1632
-
G Bazunu GLK15
1
-
F Downes MID15
6
-
R Fraser FWD152
-
C Archer FWD141
1
-
J Stephens DEF131
2
-
S Charles MID121
3
-
R Edwards DEF11
-
D Downs FWD111
1
-
J Quarshie DEF10
1
-
M Roerslev DEF9
1
-
Welington  DEF9
1
1
R Stewart FWD821
2
-
A McCarthy GLK7
-
J Aribo MID7
1
-
E Jelert DEF3
-
K Matsuki MID2
1
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Birmingham v Derby
Fri 26th Dec, 12:30
Millwall v Ipswich
Fri 26th Dec, 13:00
Sheff Wed v Hull
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
West Brom v Bristol C
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Stoke v Preston
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Coventry v Swansea
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Oxford Utd v Southampton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Norwich v Charlton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
M'Boro v Blackburn
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Leicester v Watford
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Portsmouth v QPR
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Wrexham v Sheff Utd
Fri 26th Dec, 17:30
Coventry v Ipswich
Mon 29th Dec, 18:00
Wrexham v Preston
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
West Brom v QPR
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Blackburn
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Portsmouth v Charlton
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Swansea
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Norwich v Watford
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Millwall v Bristol C
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
M'Boro v Hull
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Leicester v Derby
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Stoke v Sheff Utd
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Birmingham v Southampton
Mon 29th Dec, 20:15
Blackburn v Wrexham
Thu 1st Jan, 12:30
Southampton v Millwall
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Swansea v West Brom
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Derby v M'Boro
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Watford v Birmingham
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
QPR v Norwich
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Preston v Sheff Wed
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Ipswich v Oxford Utd
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Hull v Stoke
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Charlton v Coventry
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Portsmouth
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Leicester
Thu 1st Jan, 17:30
QPR v Sheff Wed
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Sheff Utd v Oxford Utd
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Birmingham v Coventry
Sun 4th Jan, 12:00
Norwich v Stoke
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
M'Boro v Southampton
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Blackburn v Charlton
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Millwall v Swansea
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Portsmouth v Ipswich
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Hull v Watford
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Derby v Wrexham
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Preston
Sun 4th Jan, 15:00
Leicester v West Brom
Mon 5th Jan, 20:00