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Norwich City v Cardiff City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Carrow Road, Norwich

Metin Diyadin pays counterpart Johannes Hoff Thorup a visit on Saturday lunch time in the Championship, as their Cardiff City and Norwich City teams go head to head at the Carrow Road. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Championship clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Norwich are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Norwich
56%
8/13
6%
-
Draw
22%
10/3
8%
-
Cardiff
23%
15/4
13%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
13%
-
Norwich 2-1
10%
15/2-
Norwich 1-0
8%
8/1
20%
-
Norwich 2-0
8%
8/1
6%
-
Norwich 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
-
Cardiff 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Norwich 3-0
5%
12/1-
Cardiff 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
31%
-
Norwich 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
-
Norwich 4-1
3%
20/1
19%
-
Cardiff 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Norwich 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Cardiff 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
11/8
19%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
15/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
6%
-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
10%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
21/10
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2-
Home/draw
77%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
44%
5/4
10%
-
Home/away
78%
1/5
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
25%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4
17%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
38%
5/2
8%
-
Norwich win to nil
26%
9/4
8%
-
Cardiff win to nil
10%
9/1
25%
-
Norwich / Norwich
33%
6/4
9%
-
Norwich / Cardiff
2%
33/1-
Norwich / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Norwich
17%
15/4-
Draw / Cardiff
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
Cardiff / Norwich
4%
18/1
10%
-
Cardiff / Cardiff
10%
7/1
7%
-
Cardiff / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Norwich have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 7 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Norwich have outscored their opponents by 67 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Norwich have played 22 games at home winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 48 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 32 goals at home.

Cardiff are in 24th position in the Championship on 44 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 42 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

45 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 17 and won 9. Cardiff have conceded 69 goals, scored 46, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Norwich
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds45281346497 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
7-0A
2
Burnley45271625197 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-0A
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
4
Sunderland452113111576 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Coventry4519917466 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
7
Millwall45181215066 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
8
Blackburn4519818565 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
9
M'Boro451810171064 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
West Brom45141912861 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
11
Swansea4517919-560 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
13
Watford4516821-856 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Norwich Home45131517154 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
May 3
15
QPR45131418-1153 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Portsmouth45141120-1353 
l
 
3-5A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
w
 
4-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Derby45131022-849 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
20
Preston45101916-1149 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
21
Luton45131022-2249 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
22
Hull45121221-1048 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
23
Plymouth45111321-3646 
w
 
6-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
24
Cardiff Away4591719-2344 
May 3
l
 
2-1F
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Norwich 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Cardiff 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Norwich have beaten Cardiff in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Norwich since 2003
Norwich
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
24
11
Games: Scored
11 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
2 / 13
NOR
9
D
2
CAR
2
League games at Cardiff since 2004
Cardiff
Norwich
Goals: Scored
22
20
Games: Scored
12 / 14
12 / 14
Clean sheets
2 / 14
2 / 14
NOR
6
D
1
CAR
7
Goal Statistics
Norwich 14th Cardiff 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Norwich will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Norwich have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+2
Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280633/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Norwich
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
2
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
NOR
CAR
view stats
Games scored34
30
Failed to score11
15
Scored first22
18
Goals scored67
46
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
3%
better
NOR
CAR
view stats
Games conceded37
37
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first20
24
Goals conceded66
69
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Norwich v Cardiff Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Norwich Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4417713
S DuffyB SainzC DoyleC Doyle
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Duffy DEF443
4
-
J Stacey DEF4025
4
-
B Sainz FWD40174
8
-
C Doyle DEF3917
13
-
O Schwartau FWD391
4
-
K. Fisher DEF384
10
-
A. Crnac FWD3874
2
-
A Gunn GLK34
1
-
J Córdoba DEF331
4
2
E Marcondes MID3356
5
-
A Slimane MID3322
8
-
K McLean MID334
6
1
M Espinoza MID3143
7
-
J Sargent FWD31154
2
-
B Chrisene DEF261
2
-
J Sörensen MID26
2
-
O Hernández FWD223
2
-
A Forson MID2022
1
-
J. Wright MID143
1
-
L Dobbin FWD102
1
-
G Long GLK9
-
L Mahovo DEF8
-
L Gibbs MID8
-
R. McConville DEF7
-
G Forsyth MID5
-
V Nuñez GLK3
-
M Jurásek FWD2
-
Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
401249
C O'DowdaC RobinsonR ColwillC Chambers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Colwill MID4214
3
-
C O'Dowda MID4122
7
-
C Chambers DEF4021
9
-
P Ng DEF3511
9
-
D Goutas DEF3411
3
1
A Robertson MID3433
8
-
C Robinson FWD34121
1
2
Y Méïté FWD343
2
-
C Willock MID3122
-
J Bagan DEF301
4
1
A Rinomhota MID301
7
-
J Alnwick GLK29
2
-
O Tanner FWD2922
1
-
C. Ashford MID2723
-
A Ghazi FWD2531
-
J Daland DEF20
3
-
W Fish DEF20
4
-
J Ralls MID201
6
-
Y Salech FWD1961
2
-
D Turnbull MID181
2
-
E Horvath GLK16
-
S Mannsverk MID141
4
-
W Alves MID1313
-
I Davies FWD92
1
-
A Ramsey MID8
1
-
J Collins DEF3
1
-
R. Kpakio DEF21
-