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Portsmouth v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 19:45 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

It's an away trip for Alan Sheehan's Swansea City side on Tuesday evening, as they make their way to the Fratton Park for a Championship clash with John Mousinho's Portsmouth. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as our predictive algorithm on this one. Portsmouth and Swansea haven't typically been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.36.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portsmouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Portsmouth 50%	2.15 14%	2.15 17%
Draw 27%	3.40	3.25 2%
Swansea 23%	3.25 20%	3.50 30%
Portsmouth 1-0 14%	6.50 32%	6.50 24%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	5.75 4%
Portsmouth 2-0 10%	9.50 27%	9.00 18%
Draw 0-0 9%	8.50 29%	7.50 21%
Portsmouth 2-1 9%	9.50 5%	8.00 6%
Swansea 1-0 9%	8.50 11%	8.00 6%
Swansea 2-1 6%	12.00 20%	11.00 22%
Portsmouth 3-0 5%	19.00 27%	15.00 29%
Portsmouth 3-1 4%	19.00 10%	15.00 12%
Draw 2-2 4%	17.00 31%	13.00 18%
Swansea 2-0 4%	15.00 15%	13.00 8%
Portsmouth 3-2 2%	34.00 31%	26.00 24%
Portsmouth 4-0 2%	41.00 20%	29.00 15%
Swansea 3-1 2%	29.00 38%	23.00 53%
Portsmouth 4-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	2.20 22%	2.15 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	1.67 17%	1.65 14%
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.80 6%	1.80 8%
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.30 18%	2.38 19%
No 1st Goal 6%	8.50 29%	7.50 21%
BTTS - Yes 45%	1.91 14%	1.95 18%
BTTS - No 55%	1.80 14%	1.80 16%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	5.00 5%	4.60 2%
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.75 10%	4.50 13%
BTTS - Away Win 9%	7.00 40%	7.00 52%
Home/draw 77%	1.33 8%	1.30 10%
Away/draw 50%	1.67 11%	1.67 13%
Home/away 73%	1.30	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	1.40 12%	1.36 9%
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	3.00 25%	2.88 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	4.33 35%	3.90 34%
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1.22 10%	1.22 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9.00 64%	8.00 45%
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1.07 6%	1.06 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	19.00 73%	15.00 36%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.02 3%	1.01 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.07 3%	1.07 3%
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	8.50 29%	7.50 21%
Home DNB 69%	1.53 16%	1.50 18%
Away DNB 42%	2.38 30%	2.38 29%
Portsmouth win to nil 31%	3.50 22%	-
Swansea win to nil 14%	5.50 10%	-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth 23%	3.50 13%	3.30 15%
Portsmouth / Swansea 3%	34.00 31%	26.00 24%
Portsmouth / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
Draw / Portsmouth 16%	5.00 17%	5.00 17%
Draw / Swansea 11%	7.00 8%	7.50 25%
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75 14%	4.50 10%
Swansea / Portsmouth 3%	26.00	21.00
Swansea / Swansea 15%	5.50 27%	5.25 31%
Swansea / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%

Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Portsmouth have conceded 39 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Swansea lay in 13th place on 49 points in the Championship league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Portsmouth Swansea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	36	22	8	6	36	74	l 1-2A	Apr 21	Mar 21	l 1-0A
2	M'Boro	36	20	9	7	23	69	w 1-0F	Apr 11	Apr 6	l 1-0A
3	Millwall	36	19	8	9	9	65	w 3-1F	w 1-3F	d 1-1F	l 2-1A
4	Ipswich	35	18	10	7	26	64	-	l 2-1A	l 1-4A	l 3-0A
5	Hull	36	18	6	12	5	60	l 0-1A	l 3-2F	d 2-2F	l 2-1A
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	9	57	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	w 2-1A	Mar 13
7	Derby	36	15	9	12	7	54	Mar 16	d 1-1F	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
8	Southampton	35	14	11	10	11	53	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	d 0-00-0
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	4	51	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	w 0-2F
10	Bristol C	36	14	8	14	2	50	l 0-1A	l 5-0A	w 1-0F	l 3-0A
11	Sheff Utd	36	15	4	17	2	49	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 3
12	Birmingham	36	13	10	13	-1	49	May 2	l 4-0A	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
13	Swansea	36	14	7	15	-1	49	Mar 10	l 1-0A	-	-
14	Preston	36	12	13	11	-1	49	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-1A
15	Stoke	36	13	8	15	3	47	l 0-1A	Apr 25	w 2-0F	l 2-1A
16	QPR	36	13	8	15	-12	47	d 1-1F	Mar 21	l 0-1A	Apr 21
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	3	45	l 1-2A	Apr 3	w 2-1F	Apr 25
18	Charlton	36	11	11	14	-10	44	w 2-1F	w 1-3F	May 2	d 1-1A
19	Portsmouth	35	10	10	15	-10	40	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 10
20	Blackburn	36	10	9	17	-13	39	w 2-1A	d 1-1F	w 3-1F	w 1-2A
21	West Brom	36	9	9	18	-18	36	w 3-0F	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	l 3-2F
22	Leicester	36	10	11	15	-9	35	Apr 18	d 1-1A	l 1-3A	Apr 11
23	Oxford Utd	36	8	11	17	-14	35	Apr 6	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
24	Sheff Wed	36	1	8	27	-51	-7	l 0-2A	w 0-1F	w 4-0F	w 0-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Hull
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Portsmouth	3 - 0	West Brom
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Southampton
Portsmouth	2 - 1	Charlton
Portsmouth	1 - 1	QPR
Portsmouth	2 - 1	Blackburn
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Bristol C
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Millwall
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Wrexham
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Stoke
Portsmouth	1 - 2	Coventry
Portsmouth	1 - 0	M'Boro
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Watford
Portsmouth	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Preston
Portsmouth	1 - 2	Norwich
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Hull
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Watford
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Blackburn
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Hull
A	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Wrexham
A	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Millwall
A	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Charlton
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Preston
H	Portsmouth	3 - 0	West Brom
H	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Southampton
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Watford
A	Portsmouth	1 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Portsmouth	0 - 5	Bristol C
H	Portsmouth	2 - 1	Charlton
H	Portsmouth	1 - 1	QPR
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Derby
H	Portsmouth	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Swansea
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Portsmouth	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Millwall

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ipswich	3 - 0	Swansea
Derby	2 - 0	Swansea
Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
Hull	2 - 1	Swansea
Millwall	2 - 1	Swansea
Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Swansea
Coventry	1 - 0	Swansea
Stoke	2 - 1	Swansea
West Brom	3 - 2	Swansea
Bristol C	3 - 0	Swansea
Preston	2 - 1	Swansea
Charlton	1 - 1	Swansea
Southampton	0 - 0	Swansea
Blackburn	1 - 2	Swansea
Birmingham	1 - 0	Swansea
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Swansea
M'Boro	1 - 0	Swansea
Millwall	1 - 0	Swansea
QPR	1 - 2	Swansea
Sunderland	0 - 1	Swansea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swansea	2 - 0	Stoke
A	Swansea	0 - 3	Ipswich
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Preston
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Bristol C
A	Swansea	0 - 2	Derby
H	Swansea	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Swansea	2 - 0	Watford
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Hull
H	Swansea	3 - 1	Blackburn
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Birmingham
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Millwall
H	Swansea	1 - 0	West Brom
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Coventry
H	Swansea	2 - 1	Wrexham
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Stoke
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Swansea	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Swansea	2 - 3	West Brom
H	Swansea	1 - 2	Derby

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Portsmouth

Swansea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

0 / 2

Clean sheets

2 / 2

1 / 2

POR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
Portsmouth		4 - 0
Draw		0 - 0		Draw

Swansea

Portsmouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

POR

SWA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Swansea	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Portsmouth

Goal Statistics

	Portsmouth 19th	Swansea 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Portsmouth will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Portsmouth have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Swansea have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

POR

SWA

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		28
Failed to score	12		8
Scored first	15		16
Goals scored	35		42
Avg. goals scored	1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+14%

POR

SWA

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	28		25
Clean sheets	7		11
Conceded first	18		19
Goals conceded	45		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Portsmouth v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	6	6	8
R Poole	A Segecic	J Murphy	J Swift

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Poole DEF	32		1	5 -
C Bishop FWD	32	2		2 -
T Devlin DEF	30	5	1	1 1
Z Swanson DEF	30	2		4 -
A Segecic MID	29	6	1	1 -
A Dozzell MID	29	1	1	7 -
C Chaplin FWD	27	1	3	1 -
N Schmid GLK	25			-
M Pack MID	25	2		6 -
C Ogilvie DEF	24	1		3 -
J Williams DEF	23	1	1	3 -
J Swift MID	23	2	2	8 -
M Kosznovszky MID	15			1 -
M. Yang FWD	15	3	1	2 -
J Knight DEF	14			-
J Murphy FWD	14		6	3 -
M Kirk FWD	13	1		1 -
I Bowat DEF	12	1		1 -
H. Matthews DEF	11			1 -
C Shaughnessy DEF	10	1		-
L Roux MID	10			3 -
H Blair FWD	10			-
F Bianchini FWD	10		1	-
J Bursik GLK	9			1 -
C Lang FWD	8	2		1 -
T. Waddingham FWD	4			1 -
B Killip GLK	2			-
J. Farrell DEF	1			-
F Umeh FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	6	7
A Segecic	C Bishop	J Murphy	A Segecic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Segecic MID	6	13	1	7
T Devlin DEF	5	11	1	5
M. Yang FWD	3	5	1
C Bishop FWD	2	17		1
Z Swanson DEF	2	8
M Pack MID	2	5		4
J Swift MID	2	7	2	2
C Lang FWD	2	5		1
A Dozzell MID	1	3	1	3
C Chaplin FWD	1	7	3	5
C Ogilvie DEF	1	3
J Williams DEF	1	1	1	1
M Kirk FWD	1	8
I Bowat DEF	1	2
C Shaughnessy DEF	1	1		1
R Poole DEF		4	1	1
J Murphy FWD		10	6	7
L Roux MID				1
F Bianchini FWD		5	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1484	56	218
R Poole	T Devlin	C Bishop

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Poole DEF	1484	34	156
N Schmid GLK	1120	1	10
A Dozzell MID	1037	26	78
M Pack MID	983	14	88
C Ogilvie DEF	871	25	146
Z Swanson DEF	865	56	127
T Devlin DEF	838	56	144
J Swift MID	713	24	58
C Chaplin FWD	628	22	71
C Bishop FWD	549	17	218
J Knight DEF	407	6	47
J Williams DEF	403	34	67
C Shaughnessy DEF	388	5	52
J Bursik GLK	381		5
H. Matthews DEF	366	10	36
A Segecic MID	317	19	72
I Bowat DEF	276	9	46
M Kosznovszky MID	227	12	33
J Murphy FWD	200	9	61
L Roux MID	160	7	11
M. Yang FWD	151	9	29
F Bianchini FWD	121	13	39
C Lang FWD	118	9	37
B Killip GLK	77		1
M Kirk FWD	54	2	19
H Blair FWD	47	6	28
T. Waddingham FWD	6	1	3
J. Farrell DEF	3		1
F Umeh FWD	3

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	17	8	10
L Vigouroux	Z Vipotnik	J Tymon	M Stamenić

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	36			-
C Burgess DEF	36			7 -
E Galbraith MID	36	2	1	5 -
Ronald FWD	36	3	4	3 -
B Cabango DEF	35	1		8 -
J Tymon DEF	35	1	8	8 -
G Franco MID	35	3	4	6 -
J Eom FWD	35	1	1	1 -
Z Vipotnik FWD	34	17	2	1 -
L Cullen MID	30	5		5 -
M. Widell MID	28		1	3 -
M Stamenić MID	27	2	2	10 -
J Key DEF	26	1		3 -
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	25	1	2	1
Z Inoussa FWD	25		2	4 -
J Fulton MID	24	1		4 -
A Idah FWD	18	3	1	1 -
K Casey DEF	8		1	-
B Hedilazio FWD	6			-
I Samuels-Smith DEF	5		1	2 -
B Wales FWD	4			-
R Santos DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	28	8	15
Z Vipotnik	Z Vipotnik	J Tymon	J Tymon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Vipotnik FWD	17	28	2	4
L Cullen MID	5	13
Ronald FWD	3	15	4	3
G Franco MID	3	7	4	4
A Idah FWD	3	6	1	1
E Galbraith MID	2	12	1	5
M Stamenić MID	2	8	2	2
B Cabango DEF	1	5
J Tymon DEF	1	9	8	15
J Eom FWD	1	12	1	7
J Key DEF	1	1		1
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	1	4	2
J Fulton MID	1	2
C Burgess DEF		3
M. Widell MID		5	1	1
Z Inoussa FWD		7	2	2
K Casey DEF		1	1
I Samuels-Smith DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2498	98	211
C Burgess	G Franco	B Cabango

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Burgess DEF	2498	38	200
B Cabango DEF	2227	63	211
E Galbraith MID	1951	52	158
J Tymon DEF	1497	41	94
L Vigouroux GLK	1150		17
G Franco MID	1134	98	200
M Stamenić MID	1101	40	90
J Key DEF	958	29	70
Ronald FWD	657	46	169
J Eom FWD	534	38	132
J Fulton MID	451	18	52
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	415	16	61
Z Vipotnik FWD	384	8	86
L Cullen MID	362	18	55
Z Inoussa FWD	331	17	85
M. Widell MID	299	25	70
K Casey DEF	203		16
A Idah FWD	141	2	21
I Samuels-Smith DEF	112	9	14
B Hedilazio FWD	68	2	15
R Santos DEF	13	1	1
B Wales FWD	7	1	3