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Southampton v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

The Championship is the focus for both Southampton and Middlesbrough on Saturday afternoon, as bosses William Still and Rob Edwards battle it out at the St. Mary's Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
21%
--
Draw
22%
--
M'Boro
57%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
M'Boro 2-1
10%
--
M'Boro 1-0
9%
--
M'Boro 2-0
9%
--
M'Boro 3-1
7%
--
M'Boro 3-0
6%
--
Southampton 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Southampton 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
M'Boro 3-2
4%
--
M'Boro 4-1
3%
--
M'Boro 4-0
3%
--
Southampton 2-0
3%
--
Southampton 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
55%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
29%
--
Home/draw
43%
--
Away/draw
79%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
36%
--
Away DNB
72%
--
Southampton win to nil
9%
--
M'Boro win to nil
28%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
M'Boro5410613 
Sep 27
Jan 4
-
-
2
Stoke5401612 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
Sep 30
Jan 21
3
Bristol C5320811 
Apr 21
Oct 21
Mar 14
Dec 20
4
Leicester5311310 
Nov 25
Feb 14
Feb 24
Nov 4
5
West Brom5311210 
Dec 9
Mar 11
Sep 19
Jan 17
6
Coventry523089 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Nov 25
Feb 14
7
Swansea522128 
Oct 18
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
8
Preston522118 
Nov 1
May 2
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
9
Portsmouth522118 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
Apr 11
Oct 4
10
Norwich521217 
Mar 7
Dec 13
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
11
Birmingham5212-17 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Nov 8
Feb 28
12
QPR5212-37 
Feb 24
Nov 5
Dec 13
Mar 7
13
Millwall5212-37 
Jan 1
Nov 29
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
14
Ipswich513146 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
Oct 17
Apr 18
15
Southampton513106 
-
-
Jan 4
Sep 27
16
Blackburn520306 
Apr 25
Oct 25
Dec 26
Mar 21
17
Watford5122-15 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
Nov 1
18
Charlton5122-25 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Mar 11
Dec 9
19
Derby5122-35 
Apr 11
Oct 4
Nov 29
Jan 1
20
Hull5122-45 
Jan 17
Sep 20
Dec 29
Dec 5
21
Wrexham5113-24 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Oct 25
May 2
22
Oxford Utd5023-32 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 21
Nov 22
23
Sheff Wed5014-91 
Nov 8
Feb 28
Apr 21
Oct 22
24
Sheff Utd5005-110 
Jan 21
Sep 30
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton0 - 0Portsmouth
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton0 - 0Portsmouth
ASouthampton2 - 2Watford
HSouthampton1 - 2Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton1 - 2Arsenal
ASouthampton0 - 2Everton
HSouthampton0 - 0Man City
ASouthampton0 - 2Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 2Fulham
ASouthampton1 - 1West Ham
HSouthampton0 - 3A Villa
ASouthampton1 - 3Spurs
HSouthampton1 - 1C Palace
HSouthampton1 - 2Wolves
ASouthampton1 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 4Chelsea
HSouthampton0 - 4Brighton
HSouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
M'Boro 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston2 - 2M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Coventry2 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 2M'Boro
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd3 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro2 - 2Preston
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
AM'Boro2 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro3 - 0Millwall
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
AM'Boro0 - 2Coventry
HM'Boro0 - 0Norwich
AM'Boro1 - 2Sheff Wed
HM'Boro2 - 1Plymouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Millwall
HM'Boro0 - 1Leeds
AM'Boro2 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro2 - 1Oxford Utd
AM'Boro0 - 0Luton
HM'Boro2 - 1QPR
AM'Boro0 - 1Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 0Derby
AM'Boro3 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Watford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
21
14
Games: Scored
11 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
2 / 13
SOU
5
D
6
MID
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Southampton
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
10 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
3 / 13
SOU
5
D
2
MID
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
M'Boro3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
M'Boro3 - 2
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Southampton 15th M'Boro 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Southampton have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+20
M'Boro have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
2.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.1
2
Attack rating
SOU
MID
43%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
4
Goals scored6
9
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal9
4
Conversion rate for11
25
Avg. XG for2
1.3
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
SOU
MID
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded6
3
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+46%

Southampton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
G BazunuR ManningR FraserS Charles
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK5
-
R Manning DEF52
1
-
J Stephens DEF51
1
-
S Charles MID5
2
-
J. Robinson FWD51
-
A Armstrong FWD5
-
C Archer FWD51
1
-
R Fraser FWD51
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF41
2
-
F Downes MID4
2
-
R Stewart FWD4
-
M Roerslev DEF3
1
-
Welington  DEF3
1
-
D Downs FWD31
1
-
N Wood DEF21
1
-
J Quarshie DEF2
-
R Edwards DEF2
-
K Matsuki MID2
1
-
F Azaz MID2
-
C. Jander MID1
-
L Scienza FWD1
-
T Fellows FWD1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
S BrynnT ConwayM WhittakerM Whittaker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK5
-
L Ayling DEF5
1
-
C Brittain DEF5
1
-
A Jones DEF51
1
-
A Morris MID51
-
H Hackney MID511
1
-
M Whittaker FWD52
2
-
T Conway FWD521
1
-
D Fry DEF41
-
S Hansen FWD41
-
S Silvera FWD4
2
-
D Burgzorg FWD41
1
-
S Nypan MID3
1
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
M Targett DEF211
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID2
-
K Sène FWD2
-
A Browne MID1
-
D Strelec FWD1
-