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Southampton v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton and their boss Russell Martin will be looking to get one over on Michael Carrick and his Middlesbrough side on Friday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.

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Southampton's next match is v Stoke at 15:00 on Saturday 27th April
Middlesbrough's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and M'Boro was on Friday 29th March 2024
English Championship
March 29th 2024
Southampton 1
1 M'Boro
 
A. Armstrong 12'90' E. Latte Lath
 
SOU
MID
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
8
5
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
5
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
SouthamptonM'Boro
 
G. Bazunu
K. Walker-Peters
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Bree
S. Armstrong (J. Aribo 90')
W. Smallbone (S. Edozie 90')
F. Downes
K. Sulemana (R. Fraser 63')
C. Adams (D. Brooks 63')
A. Armstrongfootball icon (S. Mara 85')
S. Dieng
L. Engel
M. Clarke
L. Ayling
(S. Silvera 75') S. Greenwood
(L. Thomas 90') F. Azaz
L. O'Brien
D. Barlaser
J. Howson
(A. Gilbert 81') I. Jones
football iconE. Latte Lath
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of M'Boro get ready for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After studying the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both clubs know how to find the back of the net and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Southampton
58%
8/15
3%
8/158/15
4%
13/25
3%
Draw
20%
15/4
10%
18/5
15%
18/5
10%
7/2
5%
M'Boro
22%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
9/2
10%
9/2
10%
Southampton 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
13/27/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
18%
15/2
6%
9/1
18%
8/1
13%
Southampton 2-0
8%
10/1
29%
17/2
12%
9/1
18%
17/2
6%
Southampton 1-0
7%
11/1
41%
9/1
18%
10/1
38%
10/1
16%
Southampton 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
14%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
15%
12/1
13%
11/1
4%
M'Boro 2-1
6%
14/112/114/114/1
7%
Southampton 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/112/1
8%
11/1
Southampton 3-2
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
24%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
M'Boro 1-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
25/1
53%
19/1
18%
Southampton 4-1
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
16/1
26%
15/1
16%
Draw 0-0
3%
25/1
73%
16/1
31%
25/1
73%
20/1
24%
Southampton 4-0
3%
20/116/120/1
9%
18/1
10%
M'Boro 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/133/1
17%
30/1
19%
M'Boro 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
22/1
12%
28/1
15%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1/3
18%
-4/11
16%
2/5
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
12/5
51%
-2/1
36%
19/10
14%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/11
3%
-4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2/1-13/8
6%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
73%
-20/1
62%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1/2
10%
10/21
9%
4/9
14%
12/25
5%
BTTS - No
37%
6/4
19%
6/4
16%
13/8
25%
31/20
9%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
6/4
19%
6/4
11%
6/4
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/24/1
400%
4/14/1
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
18%
6/16/1
13%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/7
3%
2/13
2%
1/62/15
3%
Away/draw
42%
11/8
3%
29/20
7%
6/4
9%
31/20
9%
Home/away
80%
2/11
2%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
1/5
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/10
8%
-1/9
8%
1/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
6/1
56%
-5/1
39%
27/5
21%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
10/11
27%
-10/11
27%
27/25
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
10/11
27%
-4/5
25%
3/4
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
2/1
33%
-9/4
28%
5/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/5
17%
-1/3
14%
3/10
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
4/1
44%
-9/2
39%
21/4
22%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/6
9%
-1/8
8%
1/9
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80
2%
--1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
53%
--20/1
17%
Home DNB
72%
1/42/92/91/5
4%
Away DNB
36%
11/43/1
5%
3/17/2
13%
Southampton win to nil
25%
12/5
24%
-9/4
16%
-
M'Boro win to nil
8%
12/1
30%
-12/1
30%
-
Southampton / Southampton
36%
5/4
6%
5/4
5%
5/4
5%
6/5
6%
Southampton / M'Boro
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
24%
33/1
17%
35/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
14/114/1
Draw / Southampton
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
18/519/5
Draw / M'Boro
7%
11/1
9%
10/112/1
8%
23/2
14%
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
23%
6/1
8%
15/2
31%
13/2
7%
M'Boro / Southampton
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
16/1
11%
16/1
6%
M'Boro / M'Boro
10%
15/27/17/1
6%
8/1
13%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
14/114/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Southampton have outscored their opponents by 73 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Southampton have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 45 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 24 goals at home.

M'Boro are in 10th position in the Championship on 54 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 33 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 0 and won 7. M'Boro have conceded 23 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Southampton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
M'Boro
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-0A
 Leicester44304104794 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 4
 Leeds4527993990 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
 Ipswich43261163289 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
 Southampton H44259102484 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 West Brom442012122372 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2A
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
 Norwich44219141672 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
 Hull44191213969 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Coventry431712141363 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
 M'Boro Away4418917463 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Preston4418917-563 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Cardiff4419520-1162 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Bristol C44161117459 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
5-0A
 Sunderland4416820156 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Swansea44151118-556 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
 Watford44121715153 
May 4
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
 QPR45141120-1253 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Millwall44141119-1253 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
 Stoke44131120-1650 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Blackburn44131021-1649 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Plymouth44121220-1148 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Wed4413823-2947 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-4A
 Birmingham44121022-1646 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-3A
d
 
1-1F
 Huddersfield4491718-2744 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Rotherham4441228-5324 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
see results
HOME FORM
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Southampton1 - 2Millwall
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Southampton5 - 3Huddersfield
Southampton4 - 0Sheff Wed
Southampton2 - 1Plymouth
Southampton5 - 0Swansea
Southampton4 - 0Blackburn
Southampton2 - 0Cardiff
Southampton1 - 0Bristol C
Southampton2 - 1West Brom
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
Southampton1 - 1Rotherham
Southampton3 - 1Leeds
Southampton0 - 1Ipswich
Southampton1 - 4Leicester
Southampton2 - 1QPR
Southampton4 - 4Norwich
Southampton4 - 4Liverpool
Southampton0 - 2Fulham
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
HSouthampton4 - 2Sunderland
ASouthampton4 - 3Birmingham
HSouthampton1 - 2Millwall
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
ASouthampton2 - 0West Brom
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton5 - 3Huddersfield
ASouthampton2 - 0Rotherham
ASouthampton3 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASouthampton1 - 1Norwich
HSouthampton2 - 1Plymouth
HSouthampton5 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 0QPR
HSouthampton4 - 0Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 1Watford
HSouthampton2 - 0Cardiff
HSouthampton1 - 0Bristol C
ASouthampton1 - 1Huddersfield
M'Boro 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
see results
AWAY FORM
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 2M'Boro
Leeds3 - 2M'Boro
Bristol C3 - 2M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Sunderland0 - 4M'Boro
Watford2 - 3M'Boro
Sheff Wed1 - 1M'Boro
Blackburn2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom4 - 2M'Boro
Coventry3 - 0M'Boro
Coventry0 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
AM'Boro2 - 0QPR
HM'Boro3 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro0 - 2Stoke
HM'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
AM'Boro2 - 1Leicester
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro1 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Rotherham
AM'Boro3 - 1Millwall
HM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Huddersfield
AM'Boro0 - 1Rotherham
HM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
AM'Boro2 - 1Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Hull
HM'Boro0 - 2Ipswich
AM'Boro2 - 3Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
SOU
5
D
5
MID
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
All league games since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
38
33
Games: Scored
21 / 25
18 / 25
Clean sheets
7 / 25
4 / 25
SOU
10
D
7
MID
8
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
Southampton1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
Southampton3 - 0
1 - 3Southampton
Draw2 - 2Draw
M'Boro3 - 1
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 2
M'Boro3 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Southampton
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Southampton in their meeting with Middlesbrough, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 48 consecutive Championship matches.

Southampton 4th M'Boro 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Southampton will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+41
Southampton have scored 41% more goals at home than predicted
+14
M'Boro have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/259999/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
23%
better
SOU
MID
view stats
Games scored40
35
Failed to score4
9
Scored first31
23
Goals scored85
64
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate18%
15%
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
7%
better
SOU
MID
view stats
Games conceded32
33
Clean sheets12
11
Conceded first12
20
Goals conceded61
60
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate18%
16%
KickOff rating
+7%

Southampton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
42201210
G BazunuA ArmstrongA ArmstrongJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK42
1
-
J Bree DEF151
1
J Stephens DEF211
5
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF3623
3
-
K Walker-Peters DEF3832
4
-
W Smallbone MID3953
8
-
F Downes MID3122
9
-
S Armstrong MID4147
5
-
A Armstrong FWD422012
5
-
C Adams FWD36133
4
-
K Sulemana FWD223
3
1
Subs
J Lumley GLK
-
J Bednarek DEF382
10
-
R Manning DEF342
8
-
J Rothwell MID124
1
-
S Edozie MID2863
2
-
R Fraser MID3562
5
-
D Brooks  MID1424
1
-
J Aribo MID3031
5
-
S Mara FWD2732
1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321258
S DiengE LathL AylingL Ayling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK32
2
-
L Ayling DEF175
8
-
M Clarke DEF213
2
-
L Engel DEF3524
4
-
J Howson MID3522
8
-
D Barlaser MID292
2
-
L O'Brien MID211
1
-
I Jones MID3263
7
-
F Azaz MID1732
1
-
S Greenwood MID3653
7
-
E Lath FWD2712
5
-
Subs
J Jones GLK
-
A Dijksteel DEF18
1
-
L Thomas DEF9
-
L. McCabe MID1
-
L. Woolston MID
-
A Gilbert FWD91
-
S Silvera FWD3542
-
P Willis FWD
-
C. Lennon FWD
-