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Southampton v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 27th Nov, 20:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

the St. Mary's Stadium faithful welcome Middlesbrough's supporters on Friday night, as Tonda Eckert's Southampton clash with Kim Hellberg's team in the Championship. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
55%
--
Draw
22%
--
M'Boro
23%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Southampton 2-1
10%
--
Southampton 1-0
9%
--
Southampton 2-0
8%
--
Southampton 3-1
6%
--
M'Boro 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Southampton 3-0
5%
--
M'Boro 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Southampton 3-2
4%
--
M'Boro 2-0
3%
--
Southampton 4-1
3%
--
Southampton 4-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
45%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
Southampton win to nil
26%
--
M'Boro win to nil
10%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league. Southampton are unbeaten in 4 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 4 games. Southampton are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 2 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 4 goals, scored 8, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 7 games at home, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 2nd place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham158521429 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Feb 19
d
 
2-2F
2
M'Boro158521129 
Nov 27
Mar 13
-
-
3
Stoke15924629 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 3
Feb 16
w
 
2-3F
4
Wolves15843828 
Mar 16
Dec 5
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
5
West Brom15843828 
Jan 26
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 17
6
Swansea15825426 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
Nov 24
May 1
7
Southampton158431424 
-
-
Mar 13
Nov 27
8
QPR15663624 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 23
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
9
West Ham156541423 
Dec 29
w
 
2-3F
Apr 24
Dec 8
10
Sheff Utd15645222 
May 1
Nov 24
Mar 20
Dec 26
11
Portsmouth15645222 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Dec 19
Apr 3
12
Norwich15708821 
Feb 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-3A
Feb 13
13
Blackburn15636-121 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Mar 2
l
 
2-1F
14
Cardiff15465018 
Jan 1
Dec 12
d
 
2-2A
Jan 16
15
Wrexham15465-218 
Feb 20
l
 
2-1A
Jan 27
l
 
2-0A
16
Millwall15537-418 
w
 
5-1A
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
17
Bristol C15537-818 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 13
Nov 21
Feb 5
18
Bolton15528-917 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 16
Dec 29
w
 
1-5F
19
Charlton15456-1017 
Mar 20
Dec 26
w
 
3-0F
Jan 23
20
Watford15438-1015 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1A
Jan 30
d
 
0-00-0
21
Lincoln15438-1115 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
22
Burnley15177-910 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
23
Derby15249-1610 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Dec 5
Mar 16
24
Preston152211-178 
Jan 30
l
 
1-0A
Jan 1
Dec 12
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Southampton have drawn with M'Boro in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
23
16
Games: Scored
13 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
2 / 15
SOU
5
D
8
MID
2
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Southampton
Goals: Scored
24
18
Games: Scored
11 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
4 / 15
SOU
5
D
3
MID
7
Goal Statistics
Southampton 7th M'Boro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Southampton have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+17
M'Boro have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
SOU
MID
1%
better
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score2
2
Scored first9
9
Goals scored29
30
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
7%
better
SOU
MID
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded15
19
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+7%

Southampton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15754
D PeretzC LarinF AzazR Manning
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK15
-
R Manning DEF1513
4
-
J Bree DEF1521
2
-
F Azaz MID1535
1
-
K Matsuki MID1541
1
-
K Schlotterbeck  DEF132
1
-
J Ward-Prowse MID1311
-
F Downes MID132
4
-
D Mubama FWD1311
1
-
L Dobbin FWD1311
1
-
L Scienza FWD1322
-
J Stephens DEF11
-
C Larin FWD117
3
-
S Edozie FWD1111
-
C. Bragg MID911
2
1
T Fellows MID81
1
-
Welington  DEF72
-
N Wood DEF7
2
-
C. Jander MID3
1
-
Z Abbott DEF2
1
-
R. Akachukwu MID1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151353
R VítekW. LankshearA Cozier-DuberryS Berhalter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK15
-
C Brittain DEF1512
2
-
S Berhalter MID1532
3
-
R McGree MID153
3
-
A Malanda DEF141
1
-
N Borges DEF141
1
-
A Morris MID142
-
M Arfsten FWD141
-
K Joseph FWD14
-
M Peart-Harris MID13
1
-
W. Lankshear FWD1313
2
-
T Conway FWD1314
-
L Ayling DEF122
-
A Phillips DEF121
2
-
J Sarmiento  FWD121
-
A Cozier-Duberry FWD1035
-
A Jones DEF51
1
-
L. Castledine MID5
-
D Strelec FWD5
-
S Byram DEF2
1
-
R Pukstas MID1
-