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Southampton v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 12th May, 20:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Middlesbrough are on the road on Tuesday night, as manager Kim Hellberg takes his side to visit Southampton and William Still at the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
46%
--
Draw
24%
--
M'Boro
30%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Southampton 2-1
9%
--
Southampton 1-0
9%
--
M'Boro 2-1
7%
--
Southampton 2-0
7%
--
M'Boro 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Southampton 3-1
5%
--
M'Boro 2-0
4%
--
Southampton 3-0
4%
--
Southampton 3-2
3%
--
M'Boro 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
3%
--
Southampton 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Southampton win to nil
22%
--
M'Boro win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry46281175295 
-
-
-
-
2
Ipswich46231583384 
-
-
-
-
3
Millwall462411111583 
-
-
-
-
4
Southampton462214102680 
-
-
May 9
May 12
5
M'Boro462214102580 
May 12
May 9
-
-
6
Hull46211015473 
-
-
-
-
7
Wrexham46191413471 
-
-
-
-
8
Derby4620917869 
-
-
-
-
9
Norwich4619819765 
-
-
-
-
10
Birmingham46171316164 
-
-
-
-
11
Swansea46181018-264 
-
-
-
-
12
Bristol C46171118062 
-
-
-
-
13
Sheff Utd4618622060 
-
-
-
-
14
Preston46151516-760 
-
-
-
-
15
QPR46161020-1258 
-
-
-
-
16
Watford46141517-1257 
-
-
-
-
17
Stoke46151021-555 
-
-
-
-
18
Portsmouth46141319-1555 
-
-
-
-
19
Charlton46131419-1453 
-
-
-
-
20
Blackburn46131320-1452 
-
-
-
-
21
West Brom46131419-1051 
-
-
-
-
22
Oxford Utd46111421-1447 
-
-
-
-
23
Leicester46121618-1046 
-
-
-
-
24
Sheff Wed4621232-600 
-
-
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
M'Boro have drawn 4 consecutive away league games
10
Southampton have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
6
M'Boro have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton2 - 2Ipswich
Southampton2 - 2Bristol C
Southampton3 - 0Blackburn
Southampton2 - 1Derby
Southampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
Southampton1 - 0Norwich
Southampton5 - 0QPR
Southampton1 - 1Charlton
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Southampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Southampton0 - 0Millwall
Southampton1 - 1Coventry
Southampton3 - 2West Brom
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 0Leicester
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
Southampton0 - 2Preston
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton3 - 1Preston
HSouthampton2 - 2Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 2Bristol C
ASouthampton2 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton3 - 0Blackburn
HSouthampton2 - 1Derby
ASouthampton5 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 0Norwich
ASouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
HSouthampton5 - 0QPR
HSouthampton1 - 1Charlton
ASouthampton4 - 3Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 0Watford
ASouthampton2 - 0Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Portsmouth
HSouthampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
M'Boro 5TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham2 - 2M'Boro
Ipswich2 - 2M'Boro
Swansea2 - 2M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 0M'Boro
QPR0 - 4M'Boro
Birmingham1 - 3M'Boro
Coventry3 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
West Brom2 - 3M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Charlton1 - 2M'Boro
Hull1 - 4M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 1M'Boro
Leicester1 - 1M'Boro
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
AM'Boro2 - 2Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Millwall
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
HM'Boro1 - 0Norwich
HM'Boro4 - 0Preston
AM'Boro2 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro3 - 2West Brom
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Southampton have not lost to M'Boro in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
22
15
Games: Scored
12 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
2 / 14
SOU
5
D
7
MID
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Southampton
Goals: Scored
24
18
Games: Scored
11 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
3 / 14
SOU
5
D
2
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro4 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
M'Boro3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
M'Boro3 - 2
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Southampton have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Middlesbrough on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Southampton 4th M'Boro 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Southampton have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+11
M'Boro have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
15%
better
SOU
MID
view stats
Games scored41
35
Failed to score5
11
Scored first25
25
Goals scored82
72
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
SOU
MID
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded35
33
Clean sheets11
13
Conceded first18
17
Goals conceded56
47
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+8%

Southampton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
41101012
T Harwood-BellisF AzazL ScienzaF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Manning DEF4386
4
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF4171
9
-
F Azaz MID41107
5
-
T Fellows MID376
2
-
L Scienza MID37710
1
-
C. Jander MID3621
6
-
F Downes MID363
12
-
N Wood DEF3511
5
-
J Stephens DEF322
5
-
S Charles MID3133
6
-
C Archer FWD3043
2
-
J. Robinson FWD2621
-
R Stewart FWD2583
2
-
D Peretz GLK20
2
-
K Matsuki MID2042
1
-
J Bree DEF1822
1
-
Welington  DEF183
2
1
C Larin FWD1681
1
-
J Quarshie DEF13
2
-
S Edozie FWD122
-
M Roerslev DEF9
1
-
E Jelert DEF81
-
A McCarthy GLK7
-
O Romeu MID6
2
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
461479
S BrynnM WhittakerM WhittakerL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK461
1
-
T Conway FWD46135
6
-
L Ayling DEF4315
9
-
M Targett DEF4244
5
-
C Brittain DEF415
6
-
A Morris MID403
4
-
M Whittaker FWD40147
4
-
A Browne MID3843
2
-
H Hackney MID3857
4
-
D Strelec FWD3281
1
-
D Fry DEF293
1
-
K Sène FWD282
2
-
R McGree MID2553
3
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
S Silvera FWD2221
3
-
A Malanda DEF21
4
-
A Gilbert MID2111
5
-
J Sarmiento  FWD17
1
-
S Hansen FWD171
1
-
A Bangura DEF1311
-
L. Castledine MID91
-
G Edmundson DEF7
1
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
F. Munroe DEF3
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-