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Millwall v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 15:00 BST, The Den, London

Millwall are in Championship action on Saturday afternoon, as Alex Neil looks to get one over on Fabio Celestini and his Burnley side at The Den. Championship stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
57%
--
Draw
20%
--
Burnley
23%
--
Millwall 2-1
9%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
Millwall 3-1
7%
--
Millwall 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Millwall 1-0
6%
--
Burnley 2-1
6%
--
Millwall 3-0
5%
--
Millwall 3-2
5%
--
Millwall 4-1
4%
--
Burnley 1-0
4%
--
Burnley 3-2
3%
--
Millwall 4-0
3%
--
Millwall 4-2
3%
--
Burnley 3-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
67%
--
BTTS - No
33%
--
BTTS - Home Win
35%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
43%
--
Home/away
80%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
71%
--
Away DNB
37%
--
Millwall win to nil
22%
--
Burnley win to nil
8%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Championship league table. Millwall are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Millwall have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Burnley are in 22nd position in the Championship on 10 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Burnley have conceded 30 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham158521429 
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
Nov 25
May 1
2
M'Boro158521129 
Apr 6
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
3
Stoke15924629 
May 1
Nov 25
Dec 19
Apr 3
4
Wolves15843828 
Jan 1
Dec 12
l
 
1-2F
Jan 16
5
West Brom15843828 
Jan 30
l
 
3-0A
Mar 2
l
 
3-1F
6
Swansea15825426 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
7
Southampton158431424 
Apr 17
l
 
5-1F
Apr 24
Dec 9
8
QPR15663624 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Jan 26
d
 
1-1F
9
West Ham156541423 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
Mar 6
10
Sheff Utd15645222 
Dec 8
Apr 24
Jan 1
Dec 12
11
Portsmouth15645222 
Dec 29
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
12
Norwich15708821 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
Apr 17
l
 
4-1A
13
Blackburn15636-121 
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
Nov 22
Feb 7
14
Cardiff15465018 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Jan 30
l
 
5-4F
15
Wrexham15465-218 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 20
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
16
Millwall15537-418 
-
-
Mar 13
Nov 28
17
Bristol C15537-818 
Mar 6
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 10
18
Bolton15528-917 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
Mar 20
Dec 26
19
Charlton15456-1017 
Dec 19
Apr 3
d
 
2-2F
Feb 16
20
Watford15438-1015 
Mar 17
Dec 5
Feb 27
w
 
0-4F
21
Lincoln15438-1115 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 16
Dec 29
l
 
4-1F
22
Burnley15177-910 
Nov 28
Mar 13
-
-
23
Derby15249-1610 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 23
d
 
1-1F
Feb 20
24
Preston152211-178 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
Dec 6
Mar 16
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall4 - 1Derby
Millwall2 - 2Lincoln
Millwall0 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 2West Ham
Millwall4 - 0Bolton
Millwall0 - 3Wrexham
Millwall3 - 0Norwich
Millwall0 - 2Hull
Millwall2 - 0Oxford Utd
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Millwall1 - 2Norwich
Millwall1 - 2Blackburn
Millwall1 - 0Derby
Millwall3 - 0Birmingham
Millwall1 - 3Portsmouth
Millwall1 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall4 - 0Charlton
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Bristol C
Millwall0 - 0Ipswich
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMillwall0 - 3West Brom
AMillwall0 - 3Birmingham
HMillwall4 - 1Derby
AMillwall1 - 2Portsmouth
HMillwall2 - 2Lincoln
HMillwall0 - 1Swansea
AMillwall1 - 0Preston
HMillwall2 - 2West Ham
AMillwall2 - 2M'Boro
AMillwall1 - 3Blackburn
HMillwall4 - 0Bolton
HMillwall0 - 3Wrexham
AMillwall1 - 5Southampton
HMillwall3 - 0Norwich
AMillwall2 - 0Bristol C
HMillwall0 - 2Hull
AMillwall0 - 0Hull
HMillwall2 - 0Oxford Utd
AMillwall1 - 1Leicester
AMillwall3 - 1Stoke
Burnley 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff5 - 4Burnley
QPR1 - 1Burnley
Lincoln4 - 1Burnley
Watford0 - 4Burnley
Swansea3 - 1Burnley
Wrexham1 - 1Burnley
Norwich4 - 1Burnley
West Brom3 - 1Burnley
Arsenal1 - 0Burnley
Leeds3 - 1Burnley
Nottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
Fulham3 - 1Burnley
Everton2 - 0Burnley
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
1
Draw
9
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley4 - 5Cardiff
ABurnley1 - 1QPR
HBurnley0 - 0Portsmouth
ABurnley1 - 4Lincoln
HBurnley1 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 2Charlton
ABurnley4 - 0Watford
HBurnley1 - 1Derby
ABurnley1 - 3Swansea
ABurnley1 - 1Wrexham
HBurnley1 - 2Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 1M'Boro
ABurnley1 - 4Norwich
ABurnley1 - 3West Brom
HBurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley0 - 1Arsenal
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Millwall since 2001
Millwall
Burnley
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
MIL
3
D
5
BRN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Burnley
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Burnley
League games at Burnley since 2001
Burnley
Millwall
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
MIL
2
D
4
BRN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley3 - 1
Burnley2 - 0
Burnley3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Millwall
0 - 3Millwall
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Millwall in their meeting with Burnley, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive Championship matches.

Millwall 16th Burnley 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Millwall will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Millwall have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.3
1.4
Attack rating
%
better
MIL
BRN
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MIL
BRN
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Millwall v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15436
Z. Norton SturgeL DykesC NeghliJ. Metcalfe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z. Norton Sturge DEF151
4
-
J Cooper DEF1521
2
-
C Taylor DEF1522
-
L Dykes FWD1542
3
-
C Neghli FWD1533
1
-
J. Metcalfe MID1412
5
1
M Sykes MID131
2
-
L Cundle MID1221
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID12
5
-
K Lisbie FWD113
2
-
M Crocombe GLK10
-
D Kelly MID10
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF9
1
-
T Arconte FWD93
-
R Esse MID7
-
Z Lovelace FWD71
-
E Baggott DEF6
-
J Coburn FWD62
1
-
T Crama DEF5
2
-
R Leonard DEF5
1
-
Y. Issoufou FWD5
-
F Marschall GLK4
-
A Doughty MID4
-
C Norre MID4
1
-
M Ivanovic FWD31
-
L Jensen GLK2
-
M Servais MID1
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13456
J LaurentL RamazaniL PiresJ Laurent
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Laurent MID1411
5
1
K Walker DEF13
3
-
M. Alleyne DEF121
1
-
L Pires DEF125
2
-
L Ramazani FWD1241
1
-
O Sonne DEF11
2
-
R Hatate MID1112
2
-
M Edwards FWD112
1
-
Igor DEF102
2
-
U Raghouber MID101
2
-
A Ramsey MID101
1
-
A Hountondji FWD102
-
Z Amdouni FWD1031
-
H Ekdal DEF9
1
-
J Larsen  FWD923
-
A Broja  FWD9
1
-
G Coudert GLK8
1
-
C Roberts DEF8
-
M Weiß GLK7
-
J Vardy FWD711
-
A Ahmedhodzic DEF6
1
-
D. Satpaev FWD6
-
H Mejbri MID5
1
-
J Cullen MID3
-
J Banel FWD31
-
B Humphreys DEF2
-
M Trésor MID2
-