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Derby County v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Derby County and Watford take on one another at the Pride Park Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both John Eustace and Alessio Dionisi hoping for success in the Championship. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
44%
--
Draw
26%
--
Watford
30%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 1-0
11%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Watford 1-0
8%
--
Derby 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Watford 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Watford 2-0
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Watford 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Watford 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Derby win to nil
24%
--
Watford win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Derby have conceded 30 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 20th place on 15 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches. Watford are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Watford have played 7 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham158521429 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 12
Apr 24
Dec 8
2
M'Boro158521129 
Mar 16
Dec 5
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 30
3
Stoke15924629 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 16
l
 
1-2A
Feb 13
4
Wolves15843828 
May 1
Nov 24
Dec 29
l
 
1-0A
5
West Brom15843828 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
Apr 10
l
 
1-0A
6
Swansea15825426 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Southampton158431424 
Feb 6
Nov 21
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
8
QPR15663624 
Feb 16
l
 
4-1A
Jan 1
Dec 12
9
West Ham156541423 
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 17
10
Sheff Utd15645222 
Dec 29
d
 
1-1F
Feb 6
Nov 21
11
Portsmouth15645222 
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
Mar 20
Dec 26
12
Norwich15708821 
l
 
0-4A
Jan 26
Jan 23
l
 
3-2F
13
Blackburn15636-121 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Nov 25
May 1
14
Cardiff15465018 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
Feb 17
l
 
5-1A
15
Wrexham15465-218 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
16
Millwall15537-418 
Jan 23
l
 
4-1A
Dec 5
Mar 17
17
Bristol C15537-818 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
18
Bolton15528-917 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 30
Dec 19
Apr 3
19
Charlton15456-1017 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 17
20
Watford15438-1015 
Nov 28
Mar 13
-
-
21
Lincoln15438-1115 
Dec 19
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
22
Burnley15177-910 
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-4A
Feb 27
23
Derby15249-1610 
-
-
Mar 13
Nov 28
24
Preston152211-178 
Mar 20
Dec 26
w
 
2-1A
Apr 7
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby3 - 1Bolton
Derby0 - 4Norwich
Derby0 - 1Stoke
Derby1 - 1Wrexham
Derby1 - 2Birmingham
Derby0 - 1West Brom
Derby0 - 3Swansea
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby3 - 1Bolton
HDerby0 - 4Norwich
ADerby1 - 4Millwall
ADerby1 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby0 - 1Stoke
ADerby1 - 4QPR
HDerby1 - 1Wrexham
ADerby1 - 1Burnley
HDerby1 - 2Birmingham
HDerby0 - 1West Brom
ADerby0 - 3West Ham
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
Watford 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich3 - 2Watford
Wolves1 - 0Watford
Cardiff5 - 1Watford
Bristol C1 - 0Watford
West Brom1 - 0Watford
Swansea2 - 0Watford
Wrexham1 - 1Watford
M'Boro5 - 1Watford
West Brom3 - 0Watford
Oxford Utd2 - 0Watford
QPR2 - 1Watford
Stoke3 - 1Watford
Sheff Wed1 - 1Watford
Bristol C1 - 2Watford
Preston2 - 2Watford
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Hull0 - 0Watford
Blackburn1 - 1Watford
Norwich0 - 1Watford
Leicester1 - 2Watford
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford0 - 0M'Boro
HWatford1 - 0Lincoln
AWatford2 - 3Norwich
AWatford0 - 1Wolves
HWatford2 - 0Charlton
AWatford1 - 5Cardiff
HWatford0 - 4Burnley
AWatford0 - 1Bristol C
HWatford1 - 2Stoke
HWatford2 - 1Preston
AWatford0 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 2Swansea
HWatford1 - 1West Ham
AWatford1 - 1Wrexham
HWatford2 - 1Southampton
HWatford0 - 4Coventry
AWatford1 - 5M'Boro
AWatford0 - 3West Brom
HWatford0 - 2Sheff Utd
AWatford0 - 2Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
Watford
Goals: Scored
36
26
Games: Scored
17 / 19
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
2 / 19
DER
8
D
4
WAT
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
2 - 3Watford
0 - 2Watford
0 - 1Watford
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby4 - 2
Derby5 - 1
1 - 2Watford
Derby4 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Derby1 - 0
1 - 2Watford
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Watford
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 1992
Watford
Derby
Goals: Scored
30
21
Games: Scored
14 / 19
13 / 19
Clean sheets
6 / 19
5 / 19
DER
5
D
5
WAT
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford2 - 0
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 1
1 - 2Derby
2 - 3Derby
Watford2 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Watford3 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Watford3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 1
3 - 4Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 23rd Watford 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-32
Watford have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
DER
WAT
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
DER
WAT
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Derby v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14324
B ClarkB ClarkB ClarkD Sanderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Clark MID1532
1
-
D Sanderson DEF13
3
1
S Szmodics MID1331
1
-
L Salvesen FWD132
-
A Mowatt MID12
3
-
R Brewster FWD1211
3
-
R Hedges FWD12
1
-
J Zetterström GLK11
-
O Fraulo MID111
1
-
C Morris FWD1112
1
-
S Langas DEF10
4
-
D Ozoh MID10
3
-
J Ward MID10
-
M Fuseini FWD1012
2
-
R Nyambe DEF91
2
-
H. Meister FWD9
1
-
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
M Johnston DEF8
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD8
2
-
L Travis MID7
2
-
F Bilbija FWD71
-
J Vickers GLK4
-
J Robinson DEF41
-
E Cashin DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
S Duffy DEF1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15335
F RavagliaA. NabizadaI BravoH Kyprianou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Ravaglia GLK15
-
M Pollock DEF151
3
-
E Kayembe MID1511
4
-
I Bravo FWD1513
4
-
M. Doumbia FWD151
2
-
K Keben DEF14
3
-
H Kyprianou MID141
5
-
J Zemura DEF131
3
-
O. Maamma FWD13
2
-
M Payero MID12
3
-
A. Nabizada FWD123
4
-
O Traoré DEF111
2
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD112
-
R Vata FWD111
-
B. Mlacic DEF8
2
-
M Bola DEF7
-
M Boadu FWD721
1
-
S Mavididi FWD71
1
-
K Diatta MID6
-
S Coulibaly DEF5
-
E Bove MID5
1
-
A. Eames DEF3
-