Derby County's team badge Watford's team badge

Derby County v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Paul Warne's Derby County side enjoy home advantage in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Tom Cleverley's Watford arrive at the Pride Park Stadium. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Derby County's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Watford's next match is v Coventry at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Watford was on Saturday 18th January 2025
English Championship
January 18th 2025
Derby 0
2 Watford
 
4' I. Louza
66' E. Kayembe
 
DER
WAT
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
9
4
Corners
4
8
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
DerbyWatford
 
J. Widell Zetterström
K. Wilson (J. Ward 81')
E. Cashin
C. Nelson
C. Elder (C. Forsyth 74')
E. Adams
K. Goudmijn (M. Harness 74')
B. Osborn
K. Jackson (C. Taylor 62')
N. Mendez-Laing (D. Brown 74')
J. Yates
J. Bond
(Y. Larouci 64') J. Ngakia
F. Sierralta Carvallo
(R. Andrews 76') J. Abankwah
M. Pollock
(M. Sissoko 46') A. Dele-Bashiru
football iconI. Louza
football iconE. Kayembe
V. Bayo
R. Vata
(A. Obinze Ogbonna 78') K. Baah

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Derby and Watford's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
50%
19/20
19%
21/20
16%
Draw
24%
12/523/10
3%
Watford
26%
29/10
39%
27/10
32%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Derby 1-0
10%
11/2
28%
11/2
13%
Derby 2-1
10%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Derby 2-0
8%
8/1
25%
15/2
23%
Watford 1-0
7%
9/115/2
6%
Watford 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
10/1
22%
Draw 0-0
6%
8/1
25%
13/2
17%
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Derby 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Derby 3-0
5%
16/1
26%
14/1
21%
Watford 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Derby 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Watford 3-1
3%
33/1
62%
22/1
35%
Derby 4-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Watford 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
11/10
17%
11/10
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
8/11
14%
4/6
9%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
10%
10/11
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8
25%
23/20
No 1st Goal
3%
8/1
25%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/11
14%
10/11
10%
BTTS - No
44%
4/5
14%
5/6
9%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
7/210/3
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
7/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7/1
60%
6/1
40%
Home/draw
74%
1/4
11%
1/4
13%
Away/draw
50%
4/5
18%
3/4
14%
Home/away
76%
3/101/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/11
9%
4/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/5
20%
19/10
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3/1
25%
13/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/4
8%
1/4
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/1
45%
6/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/12
5%
1/12
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
16/1
55%
14/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/40
3%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/14
3%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/1
25%
13/2
17%
Home DNB
67%
2/5
19%
4/9
18%
Away DNB
43%
7/4
38%
8/5
30%
Derby win to nil
26%
9/4
25%
-
Watford win to nil
13%
5/1
9%
-
Derby / Derby
25%
9/4
19%
9/4
14%
Derby / Watford
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Derby
16%
15/4
21%
19/5
13%
Draw / Watford
11%
7/1
23%
13/2
25%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
7/2
6%
Watford / Derby
3%
25/120/1
Watford / Watford
14%
11/2
44%
19/4
33%
Watford / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Derby have conceded 29 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Watford lay in 8th place on 38 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 13 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
Feb 11
l
 
2-1A
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley28151122756 
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
4
Sunderland2815941854 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
5
M'Boro2812881244 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
6
Blackburn2812610542 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
7
West Brom289145941 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
8
Watford Away2812511041 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
-
-
9
Bristol C289118238 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
10
QPR289118-338 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
May 3
w
 
2-6F
12
Norwich289910236 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
13
Coventry289811035 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
14
Oxford Utd289811-1035 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
15
Swansea289712-434 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
16
Preston287138-534 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
17
Millwall2771010031 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
18
Portsmouth277812-1129 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
19
Stoke2861012-1028 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
20
Cardiff2861012-1228 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
21
Derby Home287615-727 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
22
Hull286814-1126 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Apr 8
d
 
1-1A
23
Luton287516-1826 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
24
Plymouth284915-3521 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Derby2 - 1West Brom
Derby4 - 0Portsmouth
Derby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
Watford 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff1 - 1Watford
QPR3 - 1Watford
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Hull1 - 1Watford
Plymouth2 - 2Watford
Swansea1 - 0Watford
Sheff Wed2 - 6Watford
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Luton3 - 0Watford
Preston3 - 0Watford
Norwich4 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Millwall2 - 3Watford
M'Boro3 - 1Watford
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Ipswich0 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 2Watford
Birmingham0 - 1Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Rotherham0 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford1 - 1Cardiff
HWatford1 - 2Sheff Utd
AWatford1 - 3QPR
HWatford1 - 2Cardiff
HWatford2 - 1Portsmouth
AWatford1 - 2Burnley
HWatford2 - 1West Brom
AWatford1 - 1Hull
HWatford0 - 0QPR
HWatford1 - 0Bristol C
AWatford2 - 2Plymouth
HWatford1 - 0Oxford Utd
AWatford0 - 1Swansea
AWatford6 - 2Sheff Wed
HWatford1 - 0Blackburn
AWatford1 - 2Leeds
AWatford0 - 3Luton
HWatford2 - 1M'Boro
AWatford0 - 3Preston
HWatford2 - 1Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Watford have beaten Derby in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
Watford
Goals: Scored
34
21
Games: Scored
16 / 17
13 / 17
Clean sheets
4 / 17
1 / 17
DER
8
D
4
WAT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
0 - 1Watford
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby4 - 2
Derby5 - 1
1 - 2Watford
Derby4 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Derby1 - 0
1 - 2Watford
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Watford
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 1992
Watford
Derby
Goals: Scored
28
21
Games: Scored
13 / 18
13 / 18
Clean sheets
5 / 18
5 / 18
DER
5
D
5
WAT
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 1
1 - 2Derby
2 - 3Derby
Watford2 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Watford3 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Watford3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 1
3 - 4Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Derby County's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Watford have conceded in each of their last 8 Championship outings. A PG of 1.7 for Paul Warne's side suggests that run should continue.

Derby 20th Watford 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280404/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
DER
WAT
2%
better
view stats
Games scored20
21
Failed to score6
5
Scored first12
9
Goals scored31
36
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
6%
better
DER
WAT
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded35
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Derby v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27648
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK26
1
-
K Wilson DEF2321
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
E Cashin DEF201
5
-
C Elder DEF201
7
-
K Goudmijn MID2722
4
-
B Osborn MID191
2
-
K Jackson MID2832
4
-
E Adams MID264
8
-
N Mendez-Laing MID2824
2
-
J Yates FWD2562
1
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Forsyth DEF2412
2
-
L Thompson MID16
3
-
M Harness MID2211
7
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD111
1
-
D Brown FWD151
-
T Barkhuizen FWD10
1
-
J Collins FWD17
1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281048
M PollockV BayoM PollockF Carvallo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bond GLK7
-
J Ngakia DEF121
5
-
M Pollock DEF284
5
-
F Carvallo DEF22
8
-
J Abankwah DEF2
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID112
-
E Kayembe MID267
4
-
I Louza  MID161
5
-
K Baah FWD2443
6
2
V Bayo FWD2710
4
-
R Vata FWD1733
-
Subs
M Roberts GLK
-
R Porteous DEF212
7
-
A Ogbonna DEF6
-
Y Larouci DEF262
-
R Andrews DEF2232
2
-
T Ince MID171
-
M Sissoko MID2511
2
-
M. Doumbia FWD4
-
A. Nabizada FWD
-