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Wrexham v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 12:30 BST, Racecourse Ground, Wrexham, Racecourse Ground

It's an away trip for John Eustace's Derby County side on Saturday lunch time, as they make their way to the Racecourse Ground, Wrexham for a Championship clash with Phil Parkinson's Wrexham. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wrexham
50%
--
Draw
25%
--
Derby
25%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Wrexham 1-0
12%
--
Wrexham 2-1
9%
--
Wrexham 2-0
9%
--
Derby 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Derby 2-1
6%
--
Wrexham 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Wrexham 3-0
5%
--
Derby 2-0
4%
--
Wrexham 3-2
3%
--
Derby 3-1
2%
--
Wrexham 4-1
2%
--
Wrexham 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Wrexham win to nil
28%
--
Derby win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Wrexham
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
M'Boro5410613 
May 2
Oct 25
Jan 1
Nov 29
2
Stoke5401612 
Apr 18
Oct 18
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
3
Bristol C5320811 
Nov 26
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
4
Leicester5311310 
Jan 20
Sep 30
Dec 6
Dec 29
5
West Brom5311210 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 3
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
6
Coventry523089 
Oct 31
Apr 25
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
7
Swansea522128 
Mar 14
Dec 19
Feb 14
Nov 25
8
Preston522118 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Sep 20
Jan 17
9
Portsmouth522118 
Feb 24
Nov 5
Dec 20
Mar 14
10
Norwich521217 
Jan 17
Sep 20
Oct 21
Apr 21
11
Birmingham5212-17 
Oct 3
Apr 11
Mar 21
Dec 26
12
QPR5212-37 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
Oct 25
Apr 25
13
Millwall5212-37 
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
Dec 10
Mar 10
14
Ipswich513146 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
15
Southampton513106 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
Oct 4
Apr 11
16
Blackburn520306 
Nov 29
Jan 1
Feb 28
Nov 8
17
Watford5122-15 
Dec 13
Mar 7
Nov 22
Feb 21
18
Charlton5122-25 
Nov 8
Feb 28
Sep 30
Jan 21
19
Derby5122-35 
Sep 27
Jan 4
-
-
20
Hull5122-45 
Mar 10
Dec 10
Nov 4
Feb 24
21
Wrexham5113-24 
-
-
Jan 4
Sep 27
22
Oxford Utd5023-32 
Oct 22
Apr 21
Apr 18
Oct 18
23
Sheff Wed5014-91 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
Mar 7
Dec 15
24
Sheff Utd5005-110 
Dec 26
Mar 21
May 2
Nov 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Wrexham 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham1 - 3QPR
Wrexham2 - 2Sheff Wed
Wrexham2 - 3West Brom
Wrexham3 - 0Charlton
Wrexham1 - 1Bristol R
Wrexham3 - 0Burton
Wrexham1 - 0Stockport
Wrexham1 - 0Rotherham
Wrexham0 - 0Bolton
Wrexham1 - 2L Orient
Wrexham2 - 3Stevenage
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 0Peterborough
Wrexham2 - 1Wigan
Wrexham2 - 1Blackpool
Wrexham2 - 2Cambridge
Wrexham1 - 0Barnsley
Wrexham1 - 0Lincoln
Wrexham3 - 0Exeter
Wrexham1 - 0Mansfield
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWrexham1 - 3QPR
AWrexham2 - 0Millwall
HWrexham2 - 2Sheff Wed
HWrexham2 - 3West Brom
AWrexham1 - 2Southampton
AWrexham2 - 0Lincoln
HWrexham3 - 0Charlton
AWrexham2 - 1Blackpool
HWrexham1 - 1Bristol R
AWrexham0 - 0Wigan
HWrexham3 - 0Burton
AWrexham2 - 2Cambridge
AWrexham2 - 0Exeter
HWrexham1 - 0Stockport
AWrexham1 - 0Wycombe
AWrexham0 - 2Reading
HWrexham1 - 0Rotherham
AWrexham1 - 0Huddersfield
HWrexham0 - 0Bolton
AWrexham2 - 1Mansfield
Derby 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 2Derby
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Hull0 - 1Derby
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
ADerby1 - 0Hull
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
Goal Statistics

Wrexham have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Derby County on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Wrexham 21st Derby 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Wrexham will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Wrexham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Derby have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Wrexham
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.6
1
Attack rating
WRX
DER
2%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
2
Goals scored8
8
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
4
Avg. shots per goal6
3
Conversion rate for17
36
Avg. XG for1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
11%
better
WRX
DER
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded10
11
Avg. goals conceded2
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded14
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against2.5
2.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Wrexham v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Wrexham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5421
C CoadyK MooreJ McCleanM Cleworth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Coady DEF5
-
M Cleworth DEF51
1
-
L O'Brien MID521
1
-
G Dobson MID5
1
-
M James MID5
-
J McClean MID52
1
-
K Moore FWD54
1
-
S Smith FWD51
1
-
R Longman FWD51
-
D Ward GLK4
-
L Brunt DEF4
1
-
R Hardie FWD4
-
R Barnett DEF3
-
N Broadhead FWD3
-
A Okonkwo GLK2
-
C Doyle DEF2
1
-
L Cacace DEF2
-
J Windass MID21
-
D Scarr DEF1
-
B Sheaf MID1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
J ZetterströmC MorrisC Blackett-TaylorD Sanderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK5
1
-
D Sanderson DEF5
2
-
M Clarke DEF5
1
-
E Adams MID51
2
-
A Weimann  MID51
-
C Morris FWD54
2
-
D Batth DEF4
-
R Nyambe DEF4
1
-
C Elder DEF41
1
-
B Clark MID4
1
-
D Ozoh MID4
1
-
K Jackson FWD4
1
-
C Forsyth DEF3
-
L Thompson MID3
1
-
M Johnston DEF2
-
J Ward MID2
-
L Travis MID2
2
-
R Brewster FWD21
-
B Díaz FWD1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD11
-