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Peterborough United v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

the ABAX Stadium plays host on Saturday afternoon, as Darren Ferguson's Peterborough United are visited by Dino Maamria's Burton Albion in the League One. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Peterborough United's next match is v Oxford Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 9th December
Burton Albion's next match is v Stevenage at 15:00 on Saturday 9th December
The last English League One meeting between Peterborough and Burton was on Saturday 25th November 2023
English League One
November 25th 2023
Peterborough 4
0 Burton
 
J. Randall 6'
E. Mason-Clark 44'
C. Stockton (OG) 61'
K. Poku 66'
 
PET
BAL
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
4
2
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
PeterboroughBurton
 
N. Bilokapic
P. Kioso
J. Knight
R. Edwards (J. Katongo 70')
H. Burrows
H. Kyprianou (R. De Havilland 80')
A. Collins
J. Randallfootball icon
E. Mason-Clarkfootball icon (D. Ajiboye 71')
K. Pokufootball icon (J. Wakeling 80')
R. Jade-Jones (J. Clarke-Harris 79')
M. Crocombe
R. Sweeney
J. Caprice
S. Seddon
A. Oshilaja
(M. Bennett 67') R. Harper
(K. Baah 46') C. Gilligan
(M. Carayol 84') M. Helm
(J. Walker 46') B. Lubala
(J. Gordon 68') football iconC. Stockton
W. Tamen
Best Tip: Peterborough to win

A win on home turf for D. Ferguson's Peterborough side is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Peterborough win is our recommendation, but it could be a close one.

There are more encouraging signs coming from the bookies, with the odds on a Peterborough United win getting shorter and a Burton Albion win drifting. Simply, this means that the market is becoming more assured that Peterborough United will get the win as we get closer to the start of the game.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Peterborough are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Peterborough
58%
1/3
11%
1/3
13%
4/11
9%
2/5
10%
Draw
23%
17/4
21%
4/1
25%
4/1
15%
19/5
17%
Burton
19%
15/2
42%
17/2
58%
7/1
33%
6/1
22%
Peterborough 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
13/2
7%
6/16/1
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
17/2
19%
17/2
19%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
Peterborough 2-0
10%
6/16/1
7%
11/2
13%
23/4
4%
Peterborough 2-1
10%
15/215/2
6%
7/115/2
6%
Peterborough 3-0
6%
8/1
10%
15/2
23%
8/1
18%
8/1
14%
Peterborough 3-1
6%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
12%
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
25%
16/1
31%
14/1
15%
13/1
22%
Burton 1-0
6%
20/1
24%
25/1
53%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Burton 2-1
5%
22/1
21%
25/1
37%
22/1
35%
18/1
19%
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
24%
18/1
12%
18/1
12%
17/1
6%
Peterborough 4-0
3%
14/1
21%
14/1
29%
14/1
29%
14/1
25%
Peterborough 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
25/122/122/1
8%
Peterborough 4-1
3%
18/1
17%
18/1
17%
18/1
17%
18/1
17%
Burton 2-0
3%
40/1
21%
60/1
49%
40/1
21%
33/1
31%
Burton 3-1
2%
50/1
24%
90/1
63%
66/1
63%
55/1
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13
7%
4/7
10%
4/6
3%
4/6
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
5/4
10%
5/4
13%
11/10
5%
11/10
13%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/4
6%
1/3
8%
1/3
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
3/1
14%
29/10
22%
5/2
13%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
25%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
19/20
2%
10/11
4%
10/11
4%
19/20
BTTS - No
48%
4/5
6%
5/6
4%
4/5
2%
10/13
BTTS - Home Win
26%
2/1
8%
19/10
9%
2/1
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
18%
5/1
20%
11/2
18%
21/4
14%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
14/1
36%
14/1
50%
12/1
30%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/12
4%
1/20
5%
1/12
4%
1/16
4%
Away/draw
42%
9/4
30%
23/10
38%
2/1
20%
19/10
21%
Home/away
77%
1/6
3%
1/6
4%
1/6
4%
1/7
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
2/9
2%
1/5
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2
13%
7/2
18%
3/1
7%
10/3
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/4
9%
29/20
13%
13/8
4%
37/20
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/2
7%
1/2
7%
4/9
3%
2/5
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2
18%
10/3
18%
4/122/5
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/11
4%
1/5
5%
1/72/15
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
15/2
23%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/14
2%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/33
2%
-1/50
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
25%
14/1
25%
-14/1
25%
Home DNB
58%
1/9
6%
1/10
8%
1/9
5%
1/10
6%
Away DNB
19%
11/2
44%
11/2
50%
5/1
33%
5/1
33%
Peterborough win to nil
32%
6/5
12%
6/5
15%
23/20
14%
-
Burton win to nil
10%
14/1
36%
18/1
73%
14/1
36%
-
Peterborough / Peterborough
39%
1/1
13%
1/1
17%
Evs
11%
49/50
14%
Peterborough / Burton
2%
50/1
24%
80/1
33%
66/1
31%
60/1
20%
Peterborough / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
20/1
24%
16/117/1
13%
Draw / Peterborough
20%
3/1
8%
29/10
3%
3/1
5%
17/5
2%
Draw / Burton
6%
16/1
31%
18/1
58%
16/1
31%
14/1
25%
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
15%
13/2
25%
13/2
15%
13/2
23%
Burton / Peterborough
4%
18/1
10%
22/118/1
10%
20/1
9%
Burton / Burton
7%
14/1
36%
18/1
58%
12/1
30%
21/2
21%
Burton / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
22/1
21%
18/1
12%
17/1
13%
Win / draw / win League One table

Peterborough have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Peterborough have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Peterborough have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Burton are in 13th position in the League One on 20 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Burton have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Peterborough
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Burton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 16
l
 
3-1F
 Portsmouth1912611642 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 12
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
 Bolton1812331939 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 1
Dec 9
Apr 13
 Oxford Utd1811341336 
Apr 6
Dec 16
Mar 12
d
 
2-2A
 Stevenage2010641036 
Dec 9
Apr 13
-
-
 Peterborough H1910541735 
Mar 9
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-4F
Jan 1
 Derby1810351533 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 13
Dec 29
w
 
1-3A
 Barnsley189451431 
Apr 1
l
 
2-0A
Feb 17
w
 
2-4F
 Blackpool20866830 
Dec 26
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Jan 27
 Lincoln20866630 
Feb 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 13
 Charlton18756526 
Jan 20
Dec 23
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
 Bristol R18666124 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 10
Jan 20
Dec 23
 Shrewsbury207310-1524 
Dec 29
l
 
2-1A
Jan 6
l
 
1-0A
 Northampton197210-523 
Feb 24
l
 
2-0A
Feb 3
l
 
2-1A
 Wigan19937722 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 29
d
 
2-2A
Feb 10
 Wycombe18648-422 
Jan 6
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Apr 1
 L Orient19577-622 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 17
w
 
4-0F
Mar 9
 Burton Away19559-1120 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
Feb 24
 Cambridge19559-1120 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 27
Feb 13
w
 
0-1F
 Port Vale18549-1319 
Mar 23
w
 
2-3F
Mar 2
-
 Exeter185310-1718 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
Apr 6
Dec 16
 Fleetwood184410-1316 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
 Carlisle193610-1115 
Feb 13
l
 
2-1F
Dec 26
w
 
0-1F
 Reading185211-813 
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Mar 23
 Cheltenham183312-1712 
-
Mar 2
Win / draw / win form
Peterborough 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Burton 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Peterborough since 2016
Peterborough
Burton
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
PET
2
D
2
BAL
1
All league games since 2015
Peterborough
Burton
Goals: Scored
17
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
PET
4
D
3
BAL
3
Goal Statistics

Peterborough United have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive League One games. Their PG of 1.8 against Burton Albion on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Peterborough 5th Burton 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Peterborough will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Burton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Peterborough have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-22
Burton have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260309/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Peterborough
PG (predicted goals)
Burton
1.8
1
Attack rating
52%
better
PET
BAL
view stats
Games scored18
9
Failed to score1
10
Scored first14
6
Goals scored37
16
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate16%
10%
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
28%
better
PET
BAL
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded20
27
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate13%
14%
KickOff rating
+28%

Peterborough v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Peterborough League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19767
N BilokapicK PokuK PokuH Kyprianou
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Bilokapic GLK19
1
-
P Kioso DEF1812
6
-
J Knight DEF171
3
-
R Edwards DEF192
1
-
H Burrows DEF1923
3
-
H Kyprianou MID183
7
-
A Collins MID1813
5
-
K Poku MID1876
1
-
J Randall MID1743
1
-
E Mason-Clark MID1873
1
-
R Jade-Jones FWD1723
3
-
Subs
F Talley GLK
-
J. Katongo DEF7
2
-
Z. Sturge DEF8
1
-
R Havilland MID9
-
D Ajiboye FWD1423
2
-
J Wakeling FWD7
-
J Clarke-Harris FWD164
1
-
Burton League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18324
A OshilajaB LubalaM HelmM Crocombe
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Crocombe GLK17
4
-
J Caprice DEF14
2
-
W Tamen DEF1
-
R Sweeney DEF141
1
-
S Seddon DEF171
4
-
R Harper MID10
1
-
C Gilligan MID4
-
M Helm MID1722
4
-
A Oshilaja MID1912
4
-
B Lubala MID1331
3
-
C Stockton FWD6
1
-
Subs
J Blackman GLK3
1
-
M Carayol MID13
1
-
J Gordon FWD16
1
-
M Bennett FWD131
2
-
J Walker FWD91
1
-
B Kamwa FWD5
-
K Baah FWD1421
4
-