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Peterborough United v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 12:30 BST, ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

Robbie Savage's Peterborough United side are on home soil in the League One on Saturday lunch time, as Gary Bowyer's Burton Albion travel to the ABAX Stadium. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Peterborough and Burton combined during 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 77% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Peterborough 42%	5/6	-
Draw 27%	14/5 3%	-
Burton 31%	14/5 6%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6/1 7%	-
Peterborough 1-0 12%	17/2 5%	-
Burton 1-0 10%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 9%	14/1 12%	-
Peterborough 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Peterborough 2-0 8%	9/1 9%	-
Burton 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Burton 2-0 5%	22/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1	-
Peterborough 3-1 4%	12/1	-
Peterborough 3-0 3%	16/1	-
Burton 3-1 3%	28/1 12%	-
Peterborough 3-2 2%	20/1	-
Burton 3-0 2%	40/1	-
Burton 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	8/13 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	5/4 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10 2%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	14/1 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 51%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	12/5 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	11/2 8%	-
Home/draw 69%	1/4 3%	-
Away/draw 58%	10/11	-
Home/away 73%	1/4 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/11 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	7/2 10%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	6/4 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/2 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/2 4%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	2/11 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	8/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/14	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	14/1 12%	-
Home DNB 61%	2/5	-
Away DNB 50%	7/4	-
Peterborough win to nil 24%	11/4	-
Burton win to nil 18%	7/1	-
Peterborough / Peterborough 29%	15/8	-
Peterborough / Burton 3%	28/1	-
Peterborough / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Peterborough 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Burton 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Burton / Peterborough 4%	20/1 11%	-
Burton / Burton 14%	5/1	-
Burton / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Peterborough have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Peterborough have conceded 13 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Peterborough have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Burton lay in 10th place on 12 points in the League One league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burton have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Burton have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Peterborough Burton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	6	19	Mar 20	Nov 21	Apr 13	w 0-1F
2	Bradford	9	5	2	2	3	17	Mar 6	l 2-0A	Oct 20	Jan 19
3	Stockport	9	5	1	3	9	16	Apr 13	l 1-0A	Mar 26	Jan 2
4	Huddersfield	9	4	4	1	7	16	Jan 19	Oct 20	l 1-3A	Apr 27
5	Cambridge	9	4	4	1	3	16	Nov 28	Feb 27	d 2-2F	Feb 13
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	11	15	Apr 3	Dec 29	Dec 12	Apr 10
7	Sheff Wed	8	4	3	1	7	15	l 1-2A	Feb 13	Dec 26	Mar 29
8	Oxford Utd	7	4	2	1	7	14	Nov 14	May 1	Feb 20	l 3-0A
9	Stevenage	8	3	3	2	4	12	d 0-00-0	Feb 9	d 1-1F	Mar 6
10	Burton	10	3	3	4	-2	12	Oct 17	Jan 16	-	-
11	AFC Wim	9	3	3	3	-3	12	Mar 26	Jan 1	w 4-1A	Feb 9
12	L Orient	9	3	2	4	2	11	May 8	Dec 1	Oct 24	Jan 23
13	Luton	8	3	2	3	1	11	Oct 31	Jan 30	Nov 21	Mar 20
14	Mansfield	8	3	2	3	-2	11	w 2-1F	Mar 13	d 2-2F	Apr 17
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	-6	10	Dec 26	Mar 29	Jan 30	Oct 31
16	Doncaster	8	2	3	3	0	9	l 0-2A	Apr 17	Apr 24	l 1-0A
17	Leicester	8	2	3	3	-4	9	Apr 24	w 1-3F	Mar 13	w 1-2F
18	Blackpool	8	2	2	4	-1	8	Feb 6	l 4-0A	Jan 8	Dec 19
19	Peterborough	9	2	2	5	-7	8	-	-	Jan 16	Oct 17
20	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	-7	8	Dec 12	Apr 10	Apr 3	Dec 29
21	Bromley	8	2	2	4	-11	8	Jan 23	Oct 24	May 1	Nov 28
22	Notts C	8	1	4	3	-3	7	-	Apr 27	Feb 6	l 2-1F
23	MK Dons	8	0	6	2	-6	6	Feb 20	d 1-1A	Feb 27	Nov 14
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	-8	4	Jan 9	Dec 19	Dec 1	May 8

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Peterborough	0 - 2	Doncaster
Peterborough	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
Peterborough	0 - 0	Stevenage
Peterborough	2 - 1	Mansfield
Peterborough	1 - 3	Doncaster
Peterborough	0 - 0	Mansfield
Peterborough	1 - 1	Burton
Peterborough	1 - 3	Port Vale
Peterborough	1 - 1	Cardiff
Peterborough	5 - 0	Rotherham
Peterborough	3 - 3	Exeter
Peterborough	6 - 1	Wigan
Peterborough	2 - 3	Huddersfield
Peterborough	0 - 1	Plymouth
Peterborough	3 - 1	Bolton
Peterborough	1 - 1	Reading
Peterborough	1 - 0	L Orient
Peterborough	2 - 1	Northampton
Peterborough	0 - 1	Stevenage
Peterborough	3 - 0	Stockport

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Peterborough	3 - 1	Leicester
A	Peterborough	0 - 1	Stockport
H	Peterborough	0 - 2	Doncaster
A	Peterborough	1 - 1	MK Dons
H	Peterborough	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Peterborough	0 - 0	Stevenage
A	Peterborough	0 - 4	Blackpool
H	Peterborough	2 - 1	Mansfield
A	Peterborough	0 - 2	Bradford
H	Peterborough	1 - 3	Doncaster
H	Peterborough	0 - 0	Mansfield
A	Peterborough	1 - 3	Stockport
H	Peterborough	1 - 1	Burton
H	Peterborough	1 - 3	Port Vale
A	Peterborough	1 - 3	Blackpool
H	Peterborough	1 - 1	Cardiff
A	Peterborough	1 - 2	Luton
A	Peterborough	1 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Peterborough	5 - 0	Rotherham
A	Peterborough	1 - 2	L Orient

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Doncaster	1 - 0	Burton
Plymouth	0 - 1	Burton
Oxford Utd	3 - 0	Burton
Notts C	2 - 1	Burton
Leicester	1 - 2	Burton
L Orient	2 - 2	Burton
Peterborough	1 - 1	Burton
Mansfield	0 - 0	Burton
Blackpool	1 - 0	Burton
Northampton	0 - 2	Burton
Exeter	1 - 1	Burton
Wycombe	3 - 0	Burton
Luton	1 - 1	Burton
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
Lincoln	2 - 1	Burton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Reading	2 - 0	Burton
Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
Wigan	1 - 0	Burton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burton	0 - 1	Doncaster
H	Burton	1 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Burton	1 - 0	Plymouth
H	Burton	2 - 2	Mansfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Oxford Utd
H	Burton	2 - 2	Cambridge
H	Burton	4 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Burton	1 - 2	Notts C
A	Burton	2 - 1	Leicester
H	Burton	1 - 1	Stevenage
A	Burton	2 - 2	L Orient
H	Burton	1 - 1	Exeter
A	Burton	1 - 1	Peterborough
H	Burton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Burton	0 - 0	Mansfield
H	Burton	1 - 1	Barnsley
A	Burton	0 - 1	Blackpool
H	Burton	2 - 1	Bradford
H	Burton	1 - 2	Reading
A	Burton	2 - 0	Northampton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Peterborough

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

PET

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Peterborough
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Burton
Peterborough	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Peterborough	1 - 0
Peterborough	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Burton

Burton

Peterborough

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

1 / 8

PET

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
	0 - 1	Peterborough
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Peterborough
	2 - 5	Peterborough
Burton	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Peterborough
Burton	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Peterborough 19th	Burton 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Peterborough will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Peterborough’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-19 Burton have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2026/2027 season

PET

BAL

45%

better

view stats

Games scored	4		8
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	2		6
Goals scored	7		14
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	10		5
Conversion rate for	10		20
Avg. XG for	1.5		0.8
KickOff rating		+45%

better

PET

BAL

view stats

Games conceded	8		9
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	6		4
Goals conceded	14		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.5
KickOff rating		0%

Peterborough v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Peterborough League One squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	2	1	2
A Bass	H Leonard	B. Shofowoke	B Khela

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Bass GLK	9			-
L Kelly MID	9			-
B. Shofowoke FWD	9		1	-
H Leonard FWD	9	2		1 -
H. Mills DEF	8		1	1 -
H. Jones MID	8			-
B Woods MID	8	2		-
E. Williams FWD	8			1 -
B Khela MID	7			2 -
D. Ormerod FWD	7			-
O Edwards FWD	7	1		-
J Feeney DEF	6			2 -
C Johnston DEF	6			2 -
D Okagbue DEF	6			1 1
C Conn MID	6	1		-
J. Dornelly DEF	5		1	-
H. Ashfield MID	5			1 -
T O'Connor MID	4			-
E Weir DEF	3			1 -
V. Masara FWD	3			-
L. Mendonça DEF	2			1 -
M Garbett MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	1	3
H Leonard	H Leonard	B. Shofowoke	O Edwards

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Leonard FWD	2	9
B Woods MID	2	2		1
O Edwards FWD	1	1		3
C Conn MID	1	1
L Kelly MID		1		1
B. Shofowoke FWD		2	1	2
H. Mills DEF		1	1
H. Jones MID		1
E. Williams FWD		2		1
B Khela MID		4
C Johnston DEF				1
J. Dornelly DEF			1	2
H. Ashfield MID		2
E Weir DEF		1
M Garbett MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
433	23	47
L Kelly	H. Mills	H Leonard

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Kelly MID	433	12	20
A Bass GLK	402		4
H. Mills DEF	396	23	40
D Okagbue DEF	375	3	31
J Feeney DEF	368	4	43
C Johnston DEF	320	11	29
B Woods MID	199	10	20
J. Dornelly DEF	180	6	16
T O'Connor MID	178	3	19
H. Jones MID	175	6	16
B Khela MID	172	7	20
O Edwards FWD	154	11	37
E. Williams FWD	128	14	24
H Leonard FWD	119	4	47
L. Mendonça DEF	109	3	6
B. Shofowoke FWD	108	5	16
H. Ashfield MID	89	5	18
E Weir DEF	87	4	16
C Conn MID	54	1	13
D. Ormerod FWD	36	1	10
V. Masara FWD	12		2
M Garbett MID	2		1

Burton League One squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	3	3	4
C Addai	J Armer	K Lofthouse	C Tilt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Addai GLK	10			-
J Armer DEF	10	3	1	2 -
C Webster MID	10	1		-
K Chauke MID	10	1		-
W Collar MID	10			1 -
C Tilt DEF	9	1		3 1
S. Krubally MID	9		2	4 -
F Delap DEF	8	3		1 -
T Sibbick DEF	8			-
K Adom FWD	8			-
K Lofthouse DEF	7		3	1 -
G Evans MID	7	1		1 -
C. Vickers FWD	7	1	2	-
R Rodrigues FWD	6			-
M Dennis FWD	6	1		2 -
H. Araujo DEF	5			1 -
Z. Scutt FWD	5			-
J Lewis DEF	3			1 -
E. Adeile DEF	3			-
J Sraha DEF	1			-
G Arubi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	3	2
J Armer	C Webster	K Lofthouse	C. Vickers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Armer DEF	3	5	1	1
F Delap DEF	3	4		1
C Webster MID	1	6
K Chauke MID	1	1
C Tilt DEF	1	2
G Evans MID	1	3
C. Vickers FWD	1	3	2	2
M Dennis FWD	1	3
W Collar MID		2
S. Krubally MID			2	1
T Sibbick DEF		1
K Adom FWD		1
K Lofthouse DEF			3	1
R Rodrigues FWD		1		1
H. Araujo DEF		1
G Arubi FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
408	28	69
C Addai	T Sibbick	C Tilt

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Addai GLK	408		2
F Delap DEF	386	17	45
G Evans MID	362	6	24
C Tilt DEF	349	15	69
K Chauke MID	315	19	39
C Webster MID	310	12	44
T Sibbick DEF	249	28	50
J Armer DEF	239	16	59
C. Vickers FWD	226	6	16
S. Krubally MID	159	17	40
K Lofthouse DEF	157	11	45
W Collar MID	144	9	26
R Rodrigues FWD	111	9	29
H. Araujo DEF	65	6	12
M Dennis FWD	59	3	18
K Adom FWD	36	4	15
J Lewis DEF	28	5	13
Z. Scutt FWD	27		5
G Arubi FWD	9		3
E. Adeile DEF	4	3	4
J Sraha DEF	4	1	3