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Port Vale v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 15:00 BST, Vale Park, Stoke

The League One is the focus for both Port Vale and Luton Town on Saturday afternoon, as managers Darren Moore and Jack Wilshere go head to head at the Vale Park. League One stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Port Vale 42%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Luton 30%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Port Vale 1-0 12%	-	-
Luton 1-0 9%	-	-
Port Vale 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Port Vale 2-0 8%	-	-
Luton 2-1 7%	-	-
Luton 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Port Vale 3-1 4%	-	-
Port Vale 3-0 4%	-	-
Luton 3-1 3%	-	-
Port Vale 3-2 2%	-	-
Luton 3-0 2%	-	-
Luton 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	-	-
BTTS - No 51%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	-	-
Home/draw 70%	-	-
Away/draw 58%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 61%	-	-
Away DNB 49%	-	-
Port Vale win to nil 25%	-	-
Luton win to nil 17%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Port Vale have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Port Vale have conceded 40 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Port Vale have played 14 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Luton lay in 8th place on 45 points in the League One league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Luton have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Luton have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Port Vale Luton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	31	20	6	5	28	66	d 0-00-0	Apr 3	l 0-1A	l 3-1A
2	Lincoln	31	18	8	5	22	62	May 2	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	l 3-1A
3	Bolton	32	15	11	6	12	56	Mar 21	l 4-0A	d 1-1A	May 2
4	Stockport	30	15	8	7	7	53	l 0-3A	Apr 11	Mar 21	w 0-3F
5	Bradford	30	15	7	8	6	52	Mar 10	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	l 2-1A
6	Huddersfield	32	14	7	11	10	49	Mar 14	l 5-0A	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
7	Reading	31	12	10	9	5	46	Feb 21	l 1-0A	Mar 7	l 3-2A
8	Luton	31	13	6	12	3	45	Feb 28	d 2-2A	-	-
9	Stevenage	30	12	9	9	2	45	l 1-2F	Feb 17	w 2-1A	l 2-0A
10	Peterborough	32	14	2	16	2	44	l 0-1A	Mar 7	Apr 3	w 0-2F
11	Wycombe	31	11	10	10	8	43	d 0-00-0	Mar 28	w 4-0F	Mar 14
12	Plymouth	31	12	4	15	-5	40	l 0-1A	Apr 25	l 2-3A	l 1-0A
13	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	5	39	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	l 0-2A	Apr 18
14	Exeter	30	11	6	13	3	39	l 1-3A	w 0-2F	Mar 17	l 1-0A
15	AFC Wim	30	11	6	13	-6	39	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	Apr 6
16	Barnsley	28	10	8	10	-2	38	-	w 0-2F	Apr 25	l 5-0A
17	Northampton	31	9	7	15	-10	34	d 0-00-0	Feb 24	Apr 11	w 0-1F
18	L Orient	30	9	6	15	-9	33	l 2-3F	w 0-1F	w 3-0F	d 1-1A
19	Blackpool	31	9	6	16	-11	33	w 5-1A	Mar 17	w 1-0F	d 2-2A
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	-17	33	l 0-1A	-	w 1-0F	Feb 24
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	-12	32	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	Feb 21	w 0-3F
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	-11	31	Apr 18	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Feb 18
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	-12	31	Apr 6	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Mar 28
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	-18	22	-	-	d 2-2F	Feb 28

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Port Vale	0 - 1	AFC Wim
Port Vale	1 - 3	Exeter
Port Vale	5 - 1	Blackpool
Port Vale	0 - 1	Peterborough
Port Vale	0 - 1	Plymouth
Port Vale	0 - 0	Wycombe
Port Vale	0 - 3	Stockport
Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
Port Vale	2 - 1	Mansfield
Port Vale	2 - 3	L Orient
Port Vale	0 - 1	Doncaster
Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
Port Vale	0 - 1	Gillingham
Port Vale	2 - 2	Grimsby
Port Vale	5 - 0	Bromley
Port Vale	2 - 0	Bradford
Port Vale	0 - 1	Barrow
Port Vale	1 - 0	Morecambe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Port Vale	1 - 0	L Orient
H	Port Vale	1 - 3	Exeter
A	Port Vale	0 - 3	Mansfield
H	Port Vale	5 - 1	Blackpool
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Port Vale	0 - 5	Huddersfield
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Peterborough
A	Port Vale	2 - 2	Luton
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Lincoln
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Port Vale	0 - 4	Bolton
H	Port Vale	0 - 3	Stockport
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Wigan
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	Barnsley
H	Port Vale	2 - 1	Mansfield

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff	3 - 1	Luton
Huddersfield	1 - 0	Luton
Plymouth	1 - 0	Luton
Exeter	1 - 0	Luton
Reading	3 - 2	Luton
L Orient	1 - 1	Luton
Barnsley	5 - 0	Luton
Stockport	0 - 3	Luton
Northampton	0 - 1	Luton
Stevenage	2 - 0	Luton
Blackpool	2 - 2	Luton
Lincoln	3 - 1	Luton
Burton	0 - 3	Luton
Bradford	2 - 1	Luton
Peterborough	0 - 2	Luton
West Brom	5 - 3	Luton
Derby	0 - 1	Luton
Stoke	1 - 1	Luton
Hull	0 - 1	Luton
Cardiff	1 - 2	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Luton	1 - 3	Cardiff
H	Luton	2 - 1	Bradford
H	Luton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Luton	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Luton	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Luton	2 - 2	Lincoln
H	Luton	2 - 1	Stevenage
A	Luton	0 - 1	Exeter
H	Luton	3 - 0	L Orient
H	Luton	4 - 0	Wycombe
A	Luton	2 - 3	Reading
H	Luton	2 - 2	Port Vale
A	Luton	1 - 1	L Orient
H	Luton	1 - 1	Bolton
H	Luton	2 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Luton	0 - 5	Barnsley
H	Luton	0 - 0	Rotherham
A	Luton	3 - 0	Stockport
A	Luton	1 - 0	Northampton
H	Luton	0 - 2	Mansfield

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Port Vale

Luton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

PTV

LUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Port Vale	4 - 0
	1 - 3	Luton
	1 - 2	Luton
Port Vale	3 - 1

Luton

Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

PTV

LUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Luton	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Port Vale
Luton	2 - 1
Luton	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Port Vale 24th	Luton 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Port Vale will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Port Vale have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	-1 Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

PTV

LUT

38%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		23
Failed to score	16		8
Scored first	7		13
Goals scored	22		41
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	11		6
Conversion rate for	9		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+38%

PTV

LUT

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		20
Clean sheets	7		11
Conceded first	17		17
Goals conceded	40		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	19%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+12%

Port Vale v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	6	3	6
C Hall	D Cole	R Paton	F Ojo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hall DEF	23	1		3 -
C Humphreys DEF	23	1		4 -
R Croasdale MID	23	2		3 -
B Heneghan DEF	21		1	5 -
G Hall MID	20		1	1 -
R Curtis FWD	19	2	2	1 -
D Cole FWD	19	6	2	2 -
K John DEF	18	1		4 -
G Byers MID	18	1	1	4 1
J Debrah DEF	17			1 -
J. Headley DEF	17			2 1
F Ojo MID	17			6 -
J Gauci GLK	16			-
J Stockley FWD	16	1		1 -
D Brown FWD	16		1	-
B Garrity MID	15		1	1 -
J Shipley MID	13		2	2 -
R Paton FWD	13	1	3	2 -
M Faal FWD	13			1 -
B Waine FWD	13	2		1 -
M Clark DEF	12		1	2 -
R. Walters MID	12			-
L Gordon DEF	11			3 -
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	9	1		4 -
B Amos GLK	7			-
M Marosi GLK	5			-
M Johnson MID	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	6
D Cole	D Cole	R Paton	D Cole

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Cole FWD	6	16	2	6
R Croasdale MID	2	5		1
R Curtis FWD	2	6	2	5
B Waine FWD	2	6		1
C Hall DEF	1	5		3
C Humphreys DEF	1	1		1
K John DEF	1	1		3
G Byers MID	1	3	1	1
J Stockley FWD	1	4
R Paton FWD	1	7	3	5
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	1	2
B Heneghan DEF		1	1	1
G Hall MID		1	1	5
J Debrah DEF		1		1
J. Headley DEF		4		2
F Ojo MID		1		2
J Gauci GLK				1
D Brown FWD		4	1	2
B Garrity MID		6	1	1
J Shipley MID			2	3
M Faal FWD		4
M Clark DEF			1	2
R. Walters MID		4
L Gordon DEF				2
M Johnson MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
912	40	139
C Hall	G Byers	C Hall

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hall DEF	912	21	139
C Humphreys DEF	888	13	91
G Byers MID	739	40	85
B Heneghan DEF	547	11	102
R Croasdale MID	509	29	84
J Gauci GLK	492		11
F Ojo MID	486	17	59
J Debrah DEF	454	11	77
B Garrity MID	423	30	124
J. Headley DEF	370	30	77
M Clark DEF	336	18	49
D Cole FWD	306	19	108
K John DEF	299	30	91
R Curtis FWD	293	19	84
J Shipley MID	279	9	16
L Gordon DEF	230	10	30
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	219	5	39
J Stockley FWD	195	7	121
G Hall MID	194	28	77
R. Walters MID	179	17	56
M Marosi GLK	177		3
B Amos GLK	175	1	4
R Paton FWD	167	5	19
M Johnson MID	114	7	15
D Brown FWD	98	5	28
M Faal FWD	90	4	37
B Waine FWD	67	9	30

Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	9	5	7
J Keeley	G. Kadua	L Walsh	N Lonwijk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Keeley GLK	30			4 -
C Bramall DEF	27	2	1	2 -
M Andersen DEF	26	2	1	4 -
G Saville MID	26	1	3	6 -
G. Kadua FWD	26	9	1	1 -
N Wells FWD	26	2	3	1 -
J Clark MID	25	9	1	1 -
N Lonwijk DEF	24	1		7 -
K Naismith DEF	24	1	1	3 -
J Yates FWD	22	2	1	1 -
L Walsh MID	21		5	3 -
L Dabo MID	21	1	2	1 -
T Mengi DEF	20			2 -
S Morris FWD	20	3		-
Z Nelson MID	18	1	1	2 -
M Alli FWD	16	1	2	3 -
J. Richards MID	13	3	1	-
C Makosso DEF	11			1 -
L Nordas FWD	11	1	1	-
J Johnson DEF	10			-
J Brown FWD	7			2 -
I Jones FWD	7	1	1	-
H Odoffin MID	6			-
A Al-Hamadi FWD	5			-
J Gbode FWD	5			1 -
R Walters DEF	4			-
S Baptiste MID	4			-
J Shea GLK	1			-
M Nakamba MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	19	5	5
G. Kadua	J Clark	L Walsh	L Walsh

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G. Kadua FWD	9	16	1	1
J Clark MID	9	19	1	4
S Morris FWD	3	4
J. Richards MID	3	3	1	2
C Bramall DEF	2	5	1	4
M Andersen DEF	2	2	1
N Wells FWD	2	16	3	3
J Yates FWD	2	6	1	1
G Saville MID	1	2	3	2
N Lonwijk DEF	1	3		1
K Naismith DEF	1	5	1
L Dabo MID	1	8	2	1
Z Nelson MID	1	3	1
M Alli FWD	1	5	2	1
L Nordas FWD	1	6	1	1
I Jones FWD	1	3	1	1
L Walsh MID		1	5	5
C Makosso DEF		3
J Brown FWD		1		2
H Odoffin MID		2		1
A Al-Hamadi FWD		1
R Walters DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1302	40	143
K Naismith	L Walsh	M Andersen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Naismith DEF	1302	36	131
M Andersen DEF	1268	18	143
J Keeley GLK	1073		13
T Mengi DEF	1070	22	58
L Walsh MID	1043	40	92
N Lonwijk DEF	973	36	106
G Saville MID	881	37	119
J Clark MID	649	22	109
C Bramall DEF	534	16	67
J Johnson DEF	410	19	68
G. Kadua FWD	403	38	116
C Makosso DEF	397	33	71
L Dabo MID	361	23	76
M Alli FWD	323	11	69
N Wells FWD	283	14	69
Z Nelson MID	200	13	40
S Morris FWD	198	12	47
J Yates FWD	196	13	44
J. Richards MID	167	11	26
I Jones FWD	130	12	27
H Odoffin MID	102	11	38
L Nordas FWD	91	2	37
R Walters DEF	87	2	11
S Baptiste MID	81	9	22
J Brown FWD	70	2	25
J Shea GLK	41
A Al-Hamadi FWD	30		8
J Gbode FWD	29	1	10
M Nakamba MID	6	1	2