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Newport County v Grimsby Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 15:01 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

Home advantage can be vital in the League Two, and David Robert Hughes’s Newport County will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. David Artell’s Grimsby Town are their opponents at the Rodney Parade. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this League Two clash.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Newport and Grimsby will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither David Robert Hughes or David Artell has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to about a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Grimsby coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
26%
31/1010/3
11%
Draw
24%
14/5
12%
11/4
7%
Grimsby
50%
3/44/5
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Grimsby 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
6/1
Grimsby 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Grimsby 2-0
8%
8/17/1
6%
Newport 1-0
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Newport 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
8%
Grimsby 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Grimsby 3-0
5%
14/111/1
8%
Newport 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Grimsby 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Newport 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Grimsby 4-1
2%
28/120/1
9%
Newport 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/5
3%
4/5
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1/1
3%
10/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/48/5
4%
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/133/5
4%
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/11
4%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
5%
19/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/2
6%
6/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
13/5
4%
13/5
5%
Home/draw
50%
1/1
5%
1/1
8%
Away/draw
74%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/1
7%
13/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/1
8%
2/1
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
2%
7/20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
15%
9/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
1/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
10/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Home DNB
43%
9/421/10
13%
Away DNB
67%
1/31/3
5%
Newport win to nil
13%
7/1-
Grimsby win to nil
26%
9/4-
Newport / Newport
12%
6/111/2
8%
Newport / Grimsby
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Newport / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Newport
9%
8/115/2
6%
Draw / Grimsby
17%
15/418/5
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Grimsby / Newport
3%
33/125/1
Grimsby / Grimsby
29%
7/4
5%
17/10
6%
Grimsby / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Newport have conceded 54 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newport have played 14 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Grimsby lay in 9th place on 44 points in the League Two league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Grimsby have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Grimsby have played 14 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newport
Grimsby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley2917842159 
Mar 17
l
 
2-1A
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
2
Notts C2916671554 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
l
 
0-2A
Feb 28
3
Cambridge2815851653 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
4
Swindon2916491352 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
5
Salford291649652 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
-
w
 
0-2F
6
MK Dons2914962551 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 14
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3F
7
Walsall291478949 
l
 
2-4F
Mar 21
Feb 18
w
 
0-1F
8
Chesterfield2911126745 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 28
9
Grimsby281288944 
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
-
-
10
Crewe3012810844 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
3-2F
11
Barnet2911108743 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Accrington2912710543 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
13
Colchester2811981042 
Mar 7
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
14
Gillingham289118338 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
15
Fleetwood2810711037 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 28
Mar 17
w
 
0-1F
16
Oldham278118235 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
17
Tranmere298813-732 
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 2
18
Cheltenham289316-2130 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
w
 
7-1A
w
 
0-2F
19
Bristol R298318-2127 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
20
Crawley296815-1526 
Apr 3
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 6
21
Barrow276615-1424 
d
 
2-2F
May 2
Mar 21
d
 
2-2F
22
Shrewsbury285815-2423 
Mar 28
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
23
Newport285518-2520 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
24
Harrogate304620-2918 
Apr 11
w
 
0-3F
Apr 3
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Grimsby have won 3 consecutive away league games
7
Grimsby have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
3
Grimsby have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Newport 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport1 - 4Accrington
Newport2 - 1Chesterfield
Newport2 - 0Crewe
Newport0 - 0Barnet
Newport0 - 2Fleetwood
Newport2 - 2Barrow
Newport2 - 4Walsall
Newport0 - 2Cheltenham
Newport0 - 1Swindon
Newport1 - 3Gillingham
Newport2 - 3Bristol R
Newport1 - 2MK Dons
Newport0 - 1Salford
Newport1 - 1Notts C
Newport1 - 4Tranmere
Newport0 - 0Walsall
Newport0 - 2Colchester
Newport1 - 1Bromley
Newport0 - 2Notts C
Newport3 - 0Harrogate
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewport0 - 3Bristol R
HNewport1 - 4Accrington
HNewport2 - 1Chesterfield
ANewport2 - 3Gillingham
ANewport1 - 2Bromley
HNewport2 - 0Crewe
HNewport0 - 0Barnet
ANewport1 - 4Colchester
HNewport0 - 2Fleetwood
ANewport2 - 2Crewe
HNewport2 - 2Barrow
ANewport0 - 3Oldham
ANewport0 - 1Shrewsbury
HNewport2 - 4Walsall
ANewport3 - 0Harrogate
HNewport0 - 2Cheltenham
ANewport1 - 0Accrington
HNewport0 - 1Swindon
ANewport1 - 4Chesterfield
HNewport1 - 3Gillingham
Grimsby 15TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colchester0 - 1Grimsby
Cheltenham0 - 2Grimsby
Fleetwood0 - 1Grimsby
Bromley2 - 0Grimsby
Shrewsbury1 - 1Grimsby
Swindon2 - 2Grimsby
Barrow2 - 2Grimsby
Crewe3 - 2Grimsby
Salford0 - 2Grimsby
Barnet3 - 0Grimsby
MK Dons2 - 3Grimsby
Accrington1 - 1Grimsby
Walsall0 - 1Grimsby
Harrogate3 - 3Grimsby
MK Dons0 - 0Grimsby
Port Vale2 - 2Grimsby
Harrogate2 - 2Grimsby
Crewe2 - 0Grimsby
Colchester1 - 2Grimsby
Walsall1 - 3Grimsby
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGrimsby2 - 2MK Dons
AGrimsby1 - 0Colchester
AGrimsby2 - 0Cheltenham
HGrimsby1 - 0Barnet
AGrimsby1 - 0Fleetwood
HGrimsby1 - 0Shrewsbury
HGrimsby0 - 0Oldham
AGrimsby0 - 2Bromley
HGrimsby0 - 2Notts C
AGrimsby1 - 1Shrewsbury
HGrimsby1 - 2Tranmere
AGrimsby2 - 2Swindon
HGrimsby0 - 1Chesterfield
AGrimsby2 - 2Barrow
AGrimsby2 - 3Crewe
HGrimsby1 - 0Gillingham
HGrimsby1 - 2Colchester
AGrimsby2 - 0Salford
HGrimsby7 - 1Cheltenham
AGrimsby0 - 3Barnet
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Grimsby have not lost to Newport in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newport since 2017
Newport
Grimsby
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
4 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
3 / 7
NEW
3
D
3
GRI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Grimsby
Newport1 - 0
Newport1 - 0
Newport1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Grimsby since 2016
Grimsby
Newport
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
NEW
2
D
1
GRI
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Grimsby
Grimsby2 - 1
Grimsby1 - 0
Grimsby1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Newport
Grimsby4 - 2
Grimsby3 - 0
1 - 2Newport
Grimsby1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Grimsby Town have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive League Two outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Newport County on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newport 23rd Grimsby 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Newport will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Grimsby will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Newport have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Grimsby have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Grimsby
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
NEW
GRI
19%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score9
6
Scored first11
16
Goals scored29
41
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
NEW
GRI
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
18
Clean sheets4
10
Conceded first16
11
Goals conceded54
32
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Newport v Grimsby League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26446
L. JenkinsC Baker-RichardsonK. WhitmoreM Spellman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Jenkins DEF282
4
-
B Kamwa FWD271
-
C Antwi MID243
1
-
M Spellman FWD2231
5
1
M Baker DEF2011
4
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD2041
2
1
C Evans DEF19
3
-
B Lloyd MID191
3
-
J Wright GLK17
1
-
T Davies DEF17
1
-
S Braybroke MID1721
3
-
J. Thomas DEF16
-
K. Whitmore MID1634
5
-
M. Reindorf FWD161
2
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF1511
6
-
H. Ogunneye DEF151
3
-
N Opoku FWD1542
1
1
G Garner FWD1521
2
-
C Brennan DEF14
2
-
M Smith MID132
4
-
J Clarke DEF12
-
N Tzanev GLK11
-
L Shephard DEF71
-
A Odimayo DEF5
-
J. Warner DEF1
-
Grimsby League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28976
H RodgersJ KabiaC VernamG McEachran
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Rodgers DEF2821
5
-
C McJannett DEF2811
4
-
C Vernam FWD2867
1
-
J Kabia FWD2891
4
-
E Khouri MID2741
4
-
G McEachran MID261
6
-
K Green MID2462
4
1
D Burns MID2312
3
-
J Walker  MID2242
2
-
J Amaluzor FWD2222
2
-
R Staunton DEF202
-
C Pym GLK19
1
T Warren DEF18
2
-
J Sweeney DEF1832
3
-
J Soonsup-Bell FWD141
-
G Turi MID13
2
-
D Rose FWD132
1
-
D Tharme DEF11
1
-
C Oduor MID10
-
C. Gardner MID61
1
-
S Lavelle DEF5
-
J Svanthórsson FWD5
-
N. Eccleston DEF2
-
Z. Gilsenan MID2
-
H. Brown MID2
-
C Casper GLK1
-