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Rochdale v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale

the Crown Oil Arena crowd welcome Swindon Town's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Jim McNulty's Rochdale face Ian Holloway's troops in the League Two. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to League Two match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Rochdale's next match is v Tranmere at 15:00 on Saturday 10th October
Swindon Town's next match is v Crewe at 12:30 on Saturday 10th October
The last English League Two meeting between Rochdale and Swindon was on Saturday 3rd October 2026
English League Two
October 3rd 2026
Rochdale 1
0 Swindon
 
C. Hayes 88'
 
ROC
SWI
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
11
5
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
7
18
Yellow/red cards
1/1
 
RochdaleSwindon
 
N. Ramming
C. Tasker
K. Wilson
H. Gilmour
E. Francis (E. Dieseruvwe 73')
B. Adeeko
J. Smith (L. Hannant 23')
S. Sherring
A. Flint
D. Brown
G. Middleton
C. Ripley
S. Negru
J. Ball
(O. Clarke 69') T. Nichols
K. Majekodunmi
D. Butler
(D. Butterworth 90') B. Kirkman
(L. Millard 90') J. Thomson
A. Munda
(J. Hungbo 83') A. Drinan
A. Hackford

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Rochdale or Swindon are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rochdale are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rochdale
57%
6/5
2%
-
Draw
23%
13/5
6%
-
Swindon
20%
19/10
3%
-
Rochdale 1-0
11%
9/1
18%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
-
Rochdale 2-0
10%
12/1
9%
-
Rochdale 2-1
10%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
25%
-
Rochdale 3-0
6%
20/1-
Swindon 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
-
Rochdale 3-1
6%
16/1
12%
-
Swindon 2-1
5%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
8%
-
Swindon 2-0
3%
16/1-
Rochdale 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
-
Rochdale 4-0
3%
40/1-
Rochdale 4-1
3%
33/1-
Swindon 3-1
2%
20/1
9%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
13/20
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
6/5
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
21/20
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
8/15
8%
-
BTTS - No
48%
11/8
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
4/1
17%
-
Home/draw
80%
2/5-
Away/draw
43%
4/6
2%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/11
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
7/2
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
6/4
17%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/2
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/11
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1
23%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
25%
-
Home DNB
73%
8/13
3%
-
Away DNB
36%
6/5
2%
-
Rochdale win to nil
32%
10/3
8%
-
Swindon win to nil
10%
5/1
8%
-
Rochdale / Rochdale
23%
13/5
3%
-
Rochdale / Swindon
3%
25/1
10%
-
Rochdale / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Rochdale
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Swindon
12%
6/1
7%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Swindon / Rochdale
4%
20/1
9%
-
Swindon / Swindon
18%
15/4
5%
-
Swindon / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win League Two table

Rochdale have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Rochdale have conceded 6 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Rochdale have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Swindon lay in 12th place on 11 points in the League Two league table having played 8 matches. Swindon are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Swindon have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Swindon have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rochdale
Swindon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Salford9513316 
Dec 29
Apr 3
Apr 17
l
 
1-0A
2
Barnet7430715 
Nov 28
May 1
Jan 19
Oct 20
3
Crewe9360415 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Oct 10
Apr 13
4
Cheltenham9432215 
May 8
Dec 1
w
 
2-1F
Mar 13
5
Bristol R9504015 
Dec 19
Jan 9
Jan 23
Oct 24
6
York8422614 
Nov 14
Feb 27
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
7
Walsall8350614 
Feb 20
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 17
Jan 16
8
Chesterfield9423314 
Jan 1
Mar 26
Nov 28
May 1
9
Grimsby9342313 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Nov 14
Feb 27
10
Gillingham9342213 
l
 
1-4A
Feb 13
May 8
Dec 1
11
Rochdale9414-113 
-
-
Apr 27
l
 
1-0A
12
Tranmere9252011 
Apr 13
Oct 10
Dec 19
Jan 9
13
Swindon9324-411 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
-
-
14
Shrewsbury9324-511 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
Mar 29
Dec 26
15
Newport9243010 
Mar 6
l
 
3-0A
Mar 20
Nov 21
16
Accrington9243-110 
Oct 24
Jan 23
d
 
1-1A
Apr 24
17
Rotherham9243-110 
Mar 29
Dec 26
Oct 31
Jan 30
18
Fleetwood9243-110 
Apr 24
w
 
1-2F
Apr 10
Dec 12
19
Colchester8242-210 
Feb 6
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
Feb 13
20
Exeter9234-19 
Apr 10
Dec 12
Dec 29
Apr 3
21
Oldham8215-47 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 17
Feb 6
l
 
3-0A
22
Northampton7133-36 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Mar 6
d
 
0-00-0
23
Port Vale7124-65 
Jan 30
Oct 31
w
 
3-1A
Feb 9
24
Crawley7115-74 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 13
Jan 1
Mar 26
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Rochdale 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Swindon 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rochdale since 2007
Rochdale
Swindon
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
ROC
2
D
5
SWI
1
League games at Swindon since 2006
Swindon
Rochdale
Goals: Scored
17
8
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
ROC
1
D
2
SWI
5
Goal Statistics

Rochdale's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Swindon Town have conceded in each of their last 7 League Two outings. A PG of 1.8 for J. McNulty's side suggests that run should continue.

Rochdale 11th Swindon 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Rochdale will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Swindon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Rochdale have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-24
Swindon have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2026/2027 season
Rochdale
PG (predicted goals)
Swindon
1.8
1
Attack rating
15%
better
ROC
SWI
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score3
4
Scored first3
1
Goals scored9
9
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
6
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
20
Avg. XG for0.8
1
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
23%
better
ROC
SWI
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded11
12
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+23%

Rochdale v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Rochdale League Two squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9222
D BrownD BrownG MiddletonH Gilmour
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Ramming GLK8
1
-
C. Tasker DEF51
-
S Sherring DEF5
1
-
A Flint DEF411
-
K. Wilson DEF9
1
-
H Gilmour MID9
2
-
B Adeeko MID911
1
-
J Smith MID71
-
E Francis MID8
1
1
G Middleton MID52
1
-
D Brown FWD922
-
Subs
S Waller GLK1
-
S Beckwith DEF
-
L Hannant MID71
1
-
C Hayes FWD21
-
E Dieseruvwe FWD91
-
Z. Silcott-Duberry FWD5
-
I Henderson FWD3
-
Swindon League Two squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9525
C RipleyA DrinanA. MundaK. Majekodunmi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ripley GLK9
1
-
J Ball DEF5
1
-
S Negru DEF91
-
K. Majekodunmi DEF9
4
1
D Butler DEF51
1
-
A. Munda MID82
1
-
J Thomson MID71
1
-
T Nichols MID6
1
-
A Hackford FWD5
-
A Drinan FWD95
-
B Kirkman FWD7
-
Subs
L Ward GLK
-
J Debayo DEF4
1
-
O Clarke MID81
2
-
D Butterworth MID4
1
-
J. Pearman MID3
-
L. Millard FWD61
-
J Hungbo FWD61
-