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Arsenal v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Emirates Stadium, London

Daniel Farke guides his Leeds United side to the Emirates Stadium in the English Premier League on Saturday lunch time, with Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal waiting for them. We have odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Arsenal's next match is v Nottm Forest at 16:30 on Sunday 18th October
Leeds United's next match is v Man Utd at 14:00 on Sunday 18th October
The last English Premier League meeting between Arsenal and Leeds was on Saturday 10th October 2026
English Premier League
October 10th 2026
Arsenal 2
1 Leeds
 
R. Calafiori 62'55' J. Justin
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 70'
 
ARS
LEE
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
2
4
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
12
20
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
ArsenalLeeds
 
D. Raya Martin
B. White (J. Timber 63')
G. dos Santos Magalhães
M. Ødegaard (M. Merino Zazón 90')
B. Saka
E. Konsa Ngoyo
R. Calafiorifootball icon (P. Hincapié Reyna 82')
M. Lewis-Skelly (B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 63')
D. Rice
C. Madueke
K. Havertz (V. Gyökeres 63')
J. Trafford
(J. Bahoya 86') J. Bogle
G. Gudmundsson
T. Muharemovic
E. Ampadu
D. Calvert-Lewin
(L. Nmecha 79') football iconJ. Justin
(J. Bijol 86') N. Elvedi
A. Stach
(H. Wilson 71') A. Tanaka
(B. Aaronson 71') N. Okafor

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Arsenal to win

We are predicting Arsenal will claim victory after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Emirates Stadium.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
65%
2/5
12%
-
Draw
21%
15/4
14%
-
Leeds
14%
7/1
33%
-
Arsenal 1-0
12%
13/2
7%
-
Arsenal 2-0
12%
13/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
17/2
21%
-
Arsenal 2-1
10%
8/1
10%
-
Arsenal 3-0
8%
10/1
38%
-
Arsenal 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Leeds 1-0
5%
16/1
27%
-
Arsenal 4-0
4%
20/1
62%
-
Leeds 2-1
4%
20/1
38%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
28%
-
Arsenal 4-1
3%
25/1
24%
-
Arsenal 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
Leeds 2-0
2%
40/1
20%
-
Arsenal 5-0
2%
40/1
58%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1/1
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/9
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
2/1
20%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20
11%
-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
9/4
2%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/1
43%
-
Home/draw
86%
1/12
3%
-
Away/draw
35%
7/4
27%
-
Home/away
79%
2/11
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/1
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
79%
1/6
10%
-
Away DNB
29%
4/1
50%
-
Arsenal win to nil
38%
11/8
30%
-
Leeds win to nil
8%
10/1
35%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
39%
5/4
25%
-
Arsenal / Leeds
2%
40/1
20%
-
Arsenal / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
-
Draw / Arsenal
20%
10/3
8%
-
Draw / Leeds
6%
14/1
35%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
18%
-
Leeds / Arsenal
4%
22/1-
Leeds / Leeds
7%
11/1
48%
-
Leeds / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City66001118 
Nov 29
Jan 30
Jan 6
Dec 2
2
Arsenal6501515 
-
-
May 8
l
 
2-1F
3
Brighton64111313 
May 30
l
 
3-0A
Mar 13
d
 
1-1F
4
Brentford6240610 
Jan 5
Dec 2
d
 
1-1A
Apr 17
5
Everton6240310 
Oct 24
May 23
Jan 1
Feb 10
6
Chelsea6312210 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 13
Jan 23
Nov 21
7
Leeds623139 
w
 
2-1A
May 8
-
-
8
Hull623129 
Nov 7
Jan 16
Mar 3
Dec 29
9
Liverpool623109 
Feb 6
Nov 1
Apr 24
Dec 12
10
Ipswich6303-39 
Jan 2
Feb 10
Dec 5
May 1
11
Newcastle6222-38 
Jan 23
Nov 21
w
 
4-1F
Mar 20
12
C Palace6213-37 
Mar 3
Dec 27
d
 
0-00-0
May 30
13
Man Utd613206 
Dec 19
Feb 27
Oct 18
May 15
14
Coventry6204-66 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 10
Nov 28
Jan 30
15
Nottm Forest6123-35 
May 15
Oct 18
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
16
A Villa6123-55 
Apr 17
w
 
0-1F
Feb 20
Dec 26
17
Sunderland6114-64 
Mar 20
w
 
0-2F
May 23
Oct 25
18
Bournemouth6033-63 
Dec 12
Apr 24
Feb 6
Oct 31
19
Spurs6033-63 
May 1
Dec 5
Nov 7
Jan 16
20
Fulham6024-42 
Feb 20
Dec 30
Dec 19
Feb 27
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal2 - 1Chelsea
Arsenal3 - 0Coventry
Arsenal1 - 0Burnley
Arsenal3 - 0Fulham
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Arsenal2 - 0Everton
Arsenal2 - 1Chelsea
Arsenal3 - 0Sunderland
Arsenal2 - 3Man Utd
Arsenal0 - 0Liverpool
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Wolves
Arsenal2 - 0Brentford
Arsenal4 - 1Spurs
Arsenal1 - 0C Palace
Arsenal2 - 0West Ham
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal0 - 3Brighton
AArsenal2 - 0Sunderland
HArsenal2 - 1Chelsea
AArsenal1 - 0A Villa
HArsenal3 - 0Coventry
AArsenal2 - 1C Palace
HArsenal1 - 0Burnley
AArsenal1 - 0West Ham
HArsenal3 - 0Fulham
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal1 - 2Man City
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 0Everton
AArsenal1 - 0Brighton
HArsenal2 - 1Chelsea
AArsenal4 - 1Spurs
AArsenal2 - 2Wolves
AArsenal1 - 1Brentford
HArsenal3 - 0Sunderland
AArsenal4 - 0Leeds
Leeds 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton1 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest0 - 1Leeds
West Ham3 - 0Leeds
Spurs1 - 1Leeds
Bournemouth2 - 2Leeds
Man Utd1 - 2Leeds
C Palace0 - 0Leeds
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Everton1 - 1Leeds
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds4 - 1Newcastle
ALeeds1 - 1Brighton
HLeeds1 - 1Brentford
ALeeds1 - 0Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3West Ham
HLeeds1 - 0Brighton
ALeeds1 - 1Spurs
HLeeds3 - 1Burnley
ALeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
HLeeds3 - 0Wolves
ALeeds2 - 1Man Utd
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Arsenal have beaten Leeds in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
Leeds
Goals: Scored
40
17
Games: Scored
15 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
1 / 16
ARS
12
D
1
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal4 - 1
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal4 - 2
Arsenal5 - 0
2 - 3Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal2 - 1
1 - 3Leeds
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
13
27
Games: Scored
10 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
6 / 16
ARS
7
D
4
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
0 - 4Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Arsenal
1 - 4Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 4Arsenal
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Arsenal
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Arsenal in their clash with Leeds United, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 21 consecutive English Premier League games.

Arsenal 2nd Leeds 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Leeds scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
2
0.8
Attack rating
5%
better
ARS
LEE
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
ARS
LEE
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded4
3
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
17
Conversion rate against10%
6%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Arsenal v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6332
D RayaB SakaD RiceG Magalhães
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK6
-
B White DEF52
-
E Konsa DEF5
-
G Magalhães DEF6
2
-
R Calafiori DEF612
-
D Rice MID63
1
-
M. Lewis-Skelly MID5
-
B Saka MID63
-
M Ødegaard MID62
1
-
N Madueke MID3
-
K Havertz FWD62
1
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK
-
J Timber DEF3
-
P Hincapié DEF3
-
M Merino MID6
1
-
M Zubimendi MID5
-
E Eze MID4
-
B Guimarães MID42
-
V Gyökeres FWD3
-
M. Dowman FWD1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6313
J TraffordD Calvert-LewinJ Justin D Calvert-Lewin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK6
-
J Justin  DEF611
1
-
N Elvedi DEF5
-
T Muharemović DEF61
1
-
J Bogle  MID61
2
-
E Ampadu MID6
1
-
A Tanaka MID51
2
-
G Gudmundsson  MID41
-
A Stach FWD61
-
N Okafor FWD61
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD631
3
-
Subs
M Zetterer GLK
-
J Bijol DEF4
-
M Bard DEF1
-
S Longstaff MID2
-
B Aaronson MID6
-
I Gruev MID
-
H Wilson FWD5
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD51
-
J Bahoya FWD2
-