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Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Brighton and Hove Albion are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Fabian Hürzeler takes his side to visit Sunderland and Régis Le Bris at the Stadium of Light in the English Premier League. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Sunderland and Brighton have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
40%
3.30
14%
3.30
10%
Draw
27%
3.40
5%
3.30
3%
Brighton
34%
2.20
8%
2.20
10%
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.00
Sunderland 1-0
11%
10.00
10%
9.00
6%
Brighton 1-0
10%
8.007.50
6%
Sunderland 2-1
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
10%
Draw 0-0
8%
9.50
5%
9.00
6%
Brighton 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Sunderland 2-0
7%
17.00
12%
15.00
15%
Brighton 2-0
6%
11.0010.00
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0013.00
8%
Sunderland 3-1
4%
29.0021.00
11%
Sunderland 3-0
3%
41.00
21%
26.00
13%
Brighton 3-1
3%
21.0015.00
12%
Brighton 3-0
2%
23.00
12%
17.00
11%
Sunderland 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Brighton 3-2
2%
34.0021.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.001.95
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.801.75
1%
Home 1st Goal
49%
2.20
5%
2.25
7%
Away 1st Goal
46%
1.80
2%
1.80
8%
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50
5%
8.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.801.80
3%
BTTS - No
49%
1.951.95
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6.50
8%
6.00
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.20
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4.75
10%
4.33
6%
Home/draw
66%
1.67
9%
1.65
8%
Away/draw
61%
1.33
7%
1.33
5%
Home/away
73%
1.30
2%
1.33
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.403.20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.75
7%
3.40
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.29
1%
1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7.006.50
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.101.09
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
6%
Home DNB
58%
2.25
7%
2.30
12%
Away DNB
52%
1.57
6%
1.57
8%
Sunderland win to nil
22%
5.50
10%
-
Brighton win to nil
19%
3.75
6%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
16%
5.50
10%
5.00
11%
Sunderland / Brighton
3%
29.00
10%
21.00
Sunderland / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Sunderland
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
8%
Draw / Brighton
15%
5.50
8%
5.50
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.50
10%
4.60
5%
Brighton / Sunderland
3%
34.0026.00
13%
Brighton / Brighton
23%
3.75
10%
3.30
12%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Sunderland have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 38 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Brighton are in 14th position in the Premier League on 37 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 29 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2918653260 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
May 24
l
 
4-2A
4
A Villa291568551 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Chelsea2913971948 
May 24
w
 
1-2A
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
6
Liverpool291469948 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2913511444 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
8
Everton2912710143 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
Fulham2912413-340 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
w
 
2-1F
May 2
13
C Palace2910811-238 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Brighton2991010237 
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
May 17
16
Spurs297814-729 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
Apr 24
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham297715-1928 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley294718-2619 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 3Fulham
Sunderland0 - 1Liverpool
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Sunderland2 - 1C Palace
Sunderland0 - 0Man City
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Sunderland2 - 0Wolves
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Sunderland2 - 1Brentford
Sunderland3 - 0West Ham
Sunderland0 - 1Coventry
Sunderland0 - 1QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Sunderland1 - 0Millwall
Sunderland1 - 1Preston
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASunderland1 - 0Leeds
ASunderland1 - 1Bournemouth
HSunderland1 - 3Fulham
HSunderland0 - 1Liverpool
ASunderland0 - 3Arsenal
HSunderland3 - 0Burnley
ASunderland1 - 3West Ham
HSunderland2 - 1C Palace
ASunderland0 - 3Brentford
ASunderland1 - 1Spurs
HSunderland0 - 0Man City
HSunderland1 - 1Leeds
ASunderland0 - 0Brighton
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
ASunderland0 - 1Fulham
HSunderland2 - 2Arsenal
HSunderland1 - 1Everton
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford0 - 2Brighton
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
C Palace2 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Sunderland of late. It has been 5 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Brighton and Hove Albion.

Sunderland 11th Brighton 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Sunderland have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
SUN
BHA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score10
7
Scored first10
11
Goals scored30
38
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
11%
better
SUN
BHA
view stats
Games conceded20
23
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first16
16
Goals conceded34
36
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

Sunderland v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28557
R RoefsB BrobbeyG XhakaT Hume
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Hume DEF291
7
-
R Roefs GLK28
3
-
E Fée MID2844
5
-
W Isidor FWD264
2
-
N Mukiele DEF2514
4
-
O Alderete DEF2511
5
-
D Ballard DEF2521
3
-
G Xhaka MID2515
4
-
N Sadiki MID241
6
-
L Geertruida DEF23
-
B Brobbey FWD2251
3
-
C Talbi FWD2131
-
R Mandava DEF171
6
1
E Mayenda FWD172
-
R Mundle FWD14
1
-
H Diarra MID122
4
-
B Traoré FWD121
1
-
C Rigg MID11
-
D Cirkin DEF6
1
-
L O'Nien DEF6
1
1
N Angulo FWD5
-
M Ellborg GLK1
-
D. Bi FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291049
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK29
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF28
6
-
D Welbeck FWD2810
4
-
J Hecke DEF2732
7
-
L Dunk DEF27
9
-
D Amarilla MID265
7
-
Y Minteh FWD2514
-
C Quomah MID24
5
-
G Rutter FWD2423
2
-
M Cuyper DEF232
2
-
Y Ayari MID2232
1
-
M Wieffer MID193
6
-
K Mitoma FWD1921
3
-
J Hinshelwood MID1812
-
J Veltman DEF171
4
-
J Milner  MID1711
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1621
2
-
P Groß MID1011
2
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
O Boscagli DEF81
2
-
M O'Riley MID31
-
S March FWD1
-