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Chelsea v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Marco Rose is aiming for a crucial away win in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Bournemouth side to the Stamford Bridge to visit Chelsea and Xabier Alonso Olano. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League clash, with Chelsea and Bournemouth going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the highly popular over market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
57%
1.70
6%
-
Draw
21%
4.00
7%
-
Bournemouth
23%
4.33
8%
-
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.50-
Draw 1-1
9%
9.00
13%
-
Chelsea 2-0
8%
12.00-
Chelsea 1-0
7%
12.00
9%
-
Chelsea 3-1
7%
13.00
13%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Bournemouth 2-1
6%
17.00
13%
-
Chelsea 3-0
5%
17.00
11%
-
Bournemouth 1-0
4%
21.00
24%
-
Chelsea 3-2
4%
21.00-
Chelsea 4-1
4%
23.00
21%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
24%
-
Chelsea 4-0
3%
29.00
15%
-
Bournemouth 2-0
3%
29.00
12%
-
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.50
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.63
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.53
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.38
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.50
2%
-
BTTS - No
37%
2.50
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.88
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.50-
Home/draw
77%
1.20
2%
-
Away/draw
43%
2.10
8%
-
Home/away
79%
1.22
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.14
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.10
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.73
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3.75
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.29
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6.50
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.11
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
17.00-
Home DNB
71%
1.30
4%
-
Away DNB
37%
3.40
13%
-
Chelsea win to nil
25%
3.75-
Bournemouth win to nil
9%
10.00
11%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
33%
2.63
9%
-
Chelsea / Bournemouth
3%
29.00-
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Chelsea
16%
5.50-
Draw / Bournemouth
8%
11.00
16%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.50
7%
-
Bournemouth / Chelsea
5%
19.00
10%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
12%
7.50
15%
-
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City5500815 
Apr 24
Dec 12
Apr 10
l
 
2-1F
2
Arsenal5401412 
Mar 13
l
 
2-1F
Apr 24
Dec 12
3
Brighton53111110 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 17
Dec 2
Jan 5
4
Brentford523069 
May 30
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 20
5
Leeds523049 
Nov 21
Jan 23
Oct 31
Feb 6
6
Liverpool523039 
Dec 5
May 1
l
 
0-1A
May 30
7
Everton523039 
May 15
Oct 17
d
 
1-1F
Apr 17
8
Hull522128 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 20
Dec 5
May 1
9
Newcastle522108 
Jan 3
Feb 10
Mar 13
d
 
2-2F
10
Chelsea5212-27 
-
-
May 23
Oct 10
11
Ipswich5203-46 
Feb 20
Dec 30
Jan 16
Nov 8
12
Man Utd512205 
Oct 31
Feb 6
May 8
Oct 25
13
Nottm Forest5122-15 
Jan 30
Nov 27
Nov 21
Jan 23
14
Sunderland5113-44 
Jan 16
Nov 8
Oct 18
May 15
15
C Palace5113-54 
Dec 2
Jan 6
Feb 20
Dec 30
16
A Villa5113-54 
Dec 19
Feb 27
Jan 2
Feb 10
17
Bournemouth5032-23 
Oct 10
May 23
-
-
18
Coventry5104-93 
Mar 3
Dec 27
Dec 19
Feb 27
19
Fulham5023-32 
Apr 10
w
 
2-3F
Jan 30
Nov 29
20
Spurs5023-62 
Oct 24
May 8
Mar 3
Dec 26
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Bournemouth 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
12
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Chelsea have drawn with Bournemouth in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 2015
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
13
10
Games: Scored
6 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
3 / 9
CHE
4
D
2
BOU
3
League games at Bournemouth since 2016
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
14
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
CHE
5
D
3
BOU
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Chelsea in their meeting with Bournemouth, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive English Premier League outings.

Chelsea 10th Bournemouth 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
20%
better
CHE
BOU
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored10
6
Avg. goals scored2
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
CHE
BOU
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded12
8
Avg. goals conceded2.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
5
Conversion rate against23%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%

Chelsea v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5331
M RogersM RogersJ Pedro M Lacroix
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Chavarría DEF5
-
M Lacroix DEF51
1
-
M Rogers MID531
1
-
C Palmer MID522
1
-
P Neto FWD51
-
E Martínez GLK4
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
-
L Colwill DEF4
1
-
M Gusto DEF4
-
W Fofana DEF4
1
-
J Hato DEF42
-
R James  DEF4
1
-
R Lavia MID41
1
-
J Pedro  FWD433
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD4
-
V Barco MID3
1
-
D Welbeck FWD3
-
G. Quenda FWD2
-
J Henderson MID1
-
M Caicedo MID1
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5333
Đorđe PetrovićM TavernierEvanilson A Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK5
-
A Silva DEF5
2
-
A Truffert DEF5
1
-
A Smith DEF5
3
-
J Hill DEF5
1
-
A Scott MID51
1
-
L Cook MID5
1
-
T Adams MID5
-
Evanilson  FWD53
1
-
M Tavernier FWD53
2
-
R Rocha FWD5
-
J Kluivert MID41
1
-
R Christie MID4
-
D Brooks  FWD4
1
-
B Doak FWD4
-
D Jebbison FWD3
-
A Toth MID2
-
Álvaro Rodríguez FWD2
-