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Arsenal v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Dec, 20:15 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal and Manchester United meet at the Emirates Stadium on Wednesday night, with both Mikel Arteta and Erik ten Hag seeking a win in the English Premier League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a sound selection is published below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for each one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Arsenal and Man Utd will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
58%
1.44
10%
1.50
6%
Draw
23%
4.50
13%
4.40
2%
Man Utd
20%
7.00
27%
6.00
20%
Arsenal 1-0
11%
9.00
10%
7.00
13%
Draw 1-1
11%
9.50
12%
8.00
7%
Arsenal 2-0
10%
8.00
20%
7.50
6%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
9.007.50
Arsenal 3-0
6%
11.00
27%
9.50
14%
Draw 0-0
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Arsenal 3-1
6%
13.0010.00
Man Utd 1-0
6%
21.0015.00
15%
Man Utd 2-1
5%
21.00
11%
15.00
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00
27%
13.00
8%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
17.00
13%
Arsenal 4-0
3%
21.00
9%
15.00
12%
Man Utd 2-0
3%
41.00
21%
23.00
10%
Arsenal 4-1
3%
21.00
9%
15.00
12%
Man Utd 3-1
2%
51.00
24%
34.00
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.62
3%
1.62
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
2.30
3%
2.20
4%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.30
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.50
17%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.80
11%
1.75
8%
BTTS - No
48%
1.95
11%
1.95
9%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.002.90
1%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50
16%
5.25
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11.00
29%
9.00
20%
Home/draw
80%
1.10
4%
1.12
4%
Away/draw
42%
2.62
14%
2.60
13%
Home/away
77%
1.18
3%
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.20
3%
1.20
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4.50
10%
4.20
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2.62
10%
2.50
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.50
4%
1.48
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4.50
4%
4.33
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.20
2%
1.18
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9.00
13%
8.00
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.07
1%
1.06
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Home DNB
74%
1.14
7%
1.17
6%
Away DNB
36%
5.50
38%
4.50
22%
Arsenal win to nil
32%
2.50
23%
-
Man Utd win to nil
10%
13.00
18%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
38%
2.20
12%
2.20
8%
Arsenal / Man Utd
2%
41.0034.00
31%
Arsenal / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
15%
Draw / Arsenal
19%
4.33
9%
4.20
3%
Draw / Man Utd
6%
15.00
25%
11.00
10%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.50
7%
6.00
8%
Man Utd / Arsenal
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Man Utd / Man Utd
8%
12.00
33%
9.00
20%
Man Utd / Draw
5%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Man Utd are in 9th position in the Premier League on 19 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Man Utd have conceded 10 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1311111834 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
l
 
0-3A
Jan 5
2
Arsenal 137421225 
-
-
Mar 8
Dec 4
3
Chelsea137421225 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 18
4
Brighton13652523 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
Jan 19
l
 
2-1A
5
Man City13724323 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
Dec 15
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 25
Dec 7
Apr 1
7
Spurs136251420 
Jan 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
8
Brentford13625320 
Apr 12
Jan 1
w
 
2-1A
May 3
9
Man Utd 13544419 
Dec 4
Mar 8
-
-
10
Fulham13544019 
Apr 1
Dec 8
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
11
Newcastle13544019 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
Dec 30
Apr 12
12
A Villa13544-319 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
13
Bournemouth13535118 
May 3
l
 
2-0A
Dec 22
Apr 26
14
West Ham13436-715 
Feb 22
w
 
2-5F
May 10
l
 
2-1A
15
Everton13256-1111 
Dec 14
Apr 5
w
 
4-0F
Feb 22
16
Leicester13247-1110 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 15
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
17
C Palace13166-79 
Apr 26
Dec 21
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
18
Wolves13238-109 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
Apr 19
Dec 26
19
Ipswich13166-119 
Dec 27
Apr 19
Feb 26
d
 
1-1F
20
Southampton131210-155 
w
 
3-1A
May 25
Jan 16
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
9
Arsenal have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Arsenal 2ND
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Man Utd 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Arsenal have beaten Man Utd in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Arsenal have not lost to Man Utd in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Arsenal since 1992
Arsenal
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
50
36
Games: Scored
27 / 32
20 / 32
Clean sheets
12 / 32
5 / 32
ARS
15
D
9
MNU
8
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
52
24
Games: Scored
24 / 32
20 / 32
Clean sheets
12 / 32
8 / 32
ARS
5
D
9
MNU
18
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Manchester United makes sense in this context.

Arsenal 2nd Man Utd 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Man Utd scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Arsenal have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277925/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.8
1
Attack rating
29%
better
ARS
MNU
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score2
4
Scored first9
6
Goals scored26
17
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
ARS
MNU
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded14
13
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

Arsenal v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
135104
D RayaK HavertzB SakaD Rice
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK13
2
-
G Magalhães DEF133
1
-
L Trossard FWD1331
1
1
W Saliba DEF12
2
1
T Partey MID122
2
-
K Havertz MID1251
2
-
B Saka FWD12510
3
-
J Timber DEF111
3
-
D Rice MID111
3
1
G Jesus  FWD11
4
-
G Martinelli FWD1132
-
B White DEF91
2
-
R Calafiori DEF81
1
-
M Merino MID61
1
-
M Ødegaard MID612
1
-
R Sterling FWD61
-
O Zinchenko DEF5
-
J Kiwior DEF5
-
Jorginho MID5
3
-
T Tomiyasu DEF1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13455
A OnanaM RashfordB FernandesL Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK13
-
N Mazraoui  DEF131
1
-
D Dalot DEF131
3
-
M Ligt DEF131
2
-
B Fernandes MID1325
1
1
J Zirkzee FWD1331
1
-
A Garnacho FWD1331
1
-
M Rashford FWD1341
2
-
Casemiro MID121
1
-
L Martínez  DEF11
5
-
A Diallo FWD1115
2
-
C Eriksen MID9
2
-
M Ugarte MID8
2
-
K Mainoo MID8
5
-
R Höjlund FWD81
-
J Evans  DEF6
1
-
H Maguire DEF6
3
-
M Mount  MID5
2
-
V Lindelöf DEF4
1
-
L Shaw DEF2
-
Antony FWD2
-
T. Collier MID1
-