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Arsenal v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Emirates Stadium, London

Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal side enjoy home advantage in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Michael Carrick's Manchester United visit the Emirates Stadium. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

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Arsenal's next match is v Brentford at 20:00 on Thursday 12th February
Manchester United's next match is v West Ham at 20:15 on Tuesday 10th February
The last English Premier League meeting between Arsenal and Man Utd was on Sunday 25th January 2026
English Premier League
January 25th 2026
Arsenal 2
3 Man Utd
 
L. Martínez (OG) 29'37' B. Mbeumo
M. Merino Zazón 84'50' P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu
87' M. Carneiro Da Cunha
 
ARS
MNU
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
9
2
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
ArsenalMan Utd
 
D. Raya Martin
W. Saliba
P. Hincapié Reyna (B. White 58')
G. dos Santos Magalhães
M. Ødegaard (M. Merino Zazón 58')
B. Saka
G. de Jesus (V. Gyökeres 58')
J. Timber
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez (E. Eze 58')
L. Trossard (C. Madueke 75')
D. Rice
J. Dalot Teixeira
H. Maguire
football iconL. Martínez
(B. Šeško 81') football iconP. Chinazaekpere Dorgu
B. Fernandes
S. Lammens
L. Shaw
C. Casimiro
K. Mainoo
(N. Mazraoui 88') A. Traoré
(M. Carneiro Da Cunha 69') football iconB. Mbeumo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Arsenal and Man Utd will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Mikel Arteta Amatriain or Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.20 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
59%
8/15
11%
125/1
Draw
21%
7/2
3%
14/1
Man Utd
19%
19/4
18%
1/33
Arsenal 2-1
10%
8/1
5%
29/10
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
11%
17/5
Arsenal 2-0
9%
15/24/1
6%
Arsenal 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
11/2
Arsenal 3-1
7%
12/1
8%
11/2
9%
Arsenal 3-0
6%
11/1
18%
11/2
Man Utd 2-1
5%
18/1
9%
4/6
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
11%
27/10
15%
Man Utd 1-0
5%
18/1
17%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
13%
7/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/112/1
Arsenal 4-1
3%
22/1
10%
14/1
12%
Arsenal 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
11/1
Man Utd 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Man Utd 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
15/2
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6
10%
1/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
6/5
12%
16/5
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/9
7%
4/9
3%
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
8%
5/2
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
13%
13/2
9%
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/510/11
3%
BTTS - No
44%
19/204/5
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
11%
18/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
9%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/1
17%
2/9
6%
Home/draw
81%
1/7
4%
17/4
Away/draw
41%
11/8
16%
1/1000
Home/away
79%
2/11
2%
1/9
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
4%
1/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
13%
5/1
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
10%
23/20
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
6%
13/20
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
15%
13/2
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
25%
3/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
2/9
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
13%
13/2
Home DNB
74%
1/5
5%
16/1
Away DNB
34%
10/3
21%
1/300
Arsenal win to nil
30%
13/8
10%
-
Man Utd win to nil
9%
10/1
15%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
36%
13/10
14%
17/2
2%
Arsenal / Man Utd
2%
40/150/1
Arsenal / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
28/1
Draw / Arsenal
18%
7/221/20
Draw / Man Utd
7%
12/1
20%
9/2
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
7%
21/10
Man Utd / Arsenal
4%
20/133/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
9%
9/1
23%
22/1
Man Utd / Draw
5%
18/1
11%
33/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Man Utd are in 5th position in the Premier League on 35 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Man Utd have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2517533256 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
2
Man City2414552647 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa251456947 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
4
Man Utd2512851044 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
5
Chelsea2512761743 
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
6
Liverpool241167639 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
May 2
w
 
1-2F
7
Brentford2512310539 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 12
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
8
Everton251078037 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
9
Sunderland25997-236 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
10
Fulham2510411-234 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
11
Bournemouth258107-334 
Apr 11
w
 
2-3A
d
 
4-4F
Mar 20
12
Newcastle259610-133 
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 4
13
Brighton247107231 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
w
 
4-2F
May 24
14
Spurs257810029 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 22
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
15
C Palace24789-429 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Mar 1
w
 
1-2A
16
Leeds257810-929 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-4F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
17
Nottm Forest257513-1326 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
d
 
2-2F
18
West Ham256514-1723 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
d
 
1-1F
Feb 10
19
Burnley253616-2415 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
20
Wolves251519-328 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal0 - 0Liverpool
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Wolves
Arsenal2 - 0Brentford
Arsenal4 - 1Spurs
Arsenal1 - 0C Palace
Arsenal2 - 0West Ham
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Arsenal2 - 2C Palace
Arsenal1 - 1Brentford
Arsenal2 - 1Fulham
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal0 - 1West Ham
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal0 - 0Nottm Forest
HArsenal0 - 0Liverpool
AArsenal3 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal4 - 1A Villa
HArsenal2 - 1Brighton
AArsenal1 - 0Everton
HArsenal2 - 1Wolves
AArsenal1 - 2A Villa
HArsenal2 - 0Brentford
AArsenal1 - 1Chelsea
HArsenal4 - 1Spurs
AArsenal2 - 2Sunderland
AArsenal2 - 0Burnley
HArsenal1 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 0Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0West Ham
AArsenal2 - 1Newcastle
HArsenal1 - 1Man City
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Leeds1 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
Wolves1 - 4Man Utd
C Palace1 - 2Man Utd
Spurs2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Brentford3 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Fulham1 - 1Man Utd
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Leicester0 - 3Man Utd
Everton2 - 2Man Utd
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd2 - 0Man City
AMan Utd2 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Leeds
HMan Utd1 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 0Newcastle
AMan Utd1 - 2A Villa
HMan Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
AMan Utd4 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
AMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
HMan Utd0 - 1Everton
AMan Utd2 - 2Spurs
AMan Utd2 - 2Nottm Forest
HMan Utd4 - 2Brighton
AMan Utd2 - 1Liverpool
HMan Utd2 - 0Sunderland
AMan Utd1 - 3Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 1Chelsea
AMan Utd0 - 3Man City
HMan Utd3 - 2Burnley
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Arsenal have beaten Man Utd in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Arsenal have not lost to Man Utd in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Arsenal since 1992
Arsenal
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
52
36
Games: Scored
28 / 33
20 / 33
Clean sheets
13 / 33
5 / 33
ARS
16
D
9
MNU
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal2 - 0
1 - 3Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 0
1 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man Utd
Arsenal1 - 0
1 - 3Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
1 - 2Man Utd
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal3 - 2
1 - 2Man Utd
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
53
26
Games: Scored
25 / 34
22 / 34
Clean sheets
12 / 34
9 / 34
ARS
6
D
10
MNU
18
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd3 - 2
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd8 - 2
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd6 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, M. Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Manchester United makes sense in this context.

Arsenal 1st Man Utd 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 59% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Man Utd have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
2
1
Attack rating
2%
better
ARS
MNU
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score3
3
Scored first13
15
Goals scored40
38
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for2
2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
39%
better
ARS
MNU
view stats
Games conceded11
19
Clean sheets11
3
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded14
32
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+39%

Arsenal v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25854
D RayaV GyökeresL TrossardJ Timber
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK25
1
-
J Timber DEF2423
4
-
W Saliba DEF21
1
-
G Magalhães DEF1932
1
-
P Hincapié DEF15
2
-
M Ødegaard MID1814
-
M Zubimendi MID2551
4
-
D Rice MID2443
2
-
B Saka FWD2143
1
-
G Jesus  FWD102
1
-
L Trossard FWD2155
1
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK
-
C Mosquera DEF10
1
-
B White DEF71
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF14
3
-
E Eze MID1942
1
-
M Merino MID2143
1
-
G Martinelli FWD1912
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD238
3
-
N Madueke FWD161
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
259128
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lammens GLK19
-
D Dalot DEF2313
3
-
H Maguire DEF1211
1
-
L Martínez  DEF13
-
L Shaw DEF251
4
-
Casemiro MID2352
7
1
K Mainoo MID162
-
A Diallo MID1922
2
-
B Fernandes MID22612
2
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu MID2233
5
-
B Mbeumo FWD2091
3
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK6
-
N Mazraoui  DEF12
1
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
L Yoro DEF22
-
A. Heaven DEF111
1
-
M Mount  MID173
-
M Ugarte MID18
1
-
M Cunha FWD2262
1
-
B Sesko FWD2051
1
-