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Manchester City v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Chelsea pay English Premier League competitors Manchester City a visit on Saturday evening, as Mauricio Pochettino guides his team into an away clash with Pep Guardiola & co. at the Etihad Stadium. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Premier League match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Manchester City's next match is v Bournemouth at 17:30 on Saturday 24th February
Chelsea's next match is v Liverpool at 15:00 on Sunday 25th February
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and Chelsea was on Saturday 17th February 2024
English Premier League
February 17th 2024
Man City 1
1 Chelsea
 
R. Hernández Cascante 83'42' R. Sterling
 
MCI
CHE
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
12
2
Corners
12
1
Possession
70%
30%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
Man CityChelsea
 
E. Santana de Moraes
K. Walker
M. Akanji
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
N. Aké
R. Hernández Cascantefootball icon
K. De Bruyne
J. Doku
E. Haaland
P. Foden
J. Álvarez (B. Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva 64')
Đ. Petrović
A. Disasi
L. Colwill
M. Gusto
B. Chilwell
(T. Chalobah 71') C. Palmer
C. Gallagher
M. Caicedo Corozo
E. Fernández
(C. Casadei 82') N. Jackson
(C. Nkunku 64') football iconR. Sterling
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Man City and Chelsea have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.67.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Man City
64%
1/3
5%
3/10
4%
1/3
5%
3/10
4%
Draw
18%
5/1
20%
9/2
15%
9/2
10%
21/4
12%
Chelsea
18%
13/2
15%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
15/2
6%
Man City 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
18%
11/1
26%
11/1
26%
11/1
14%
Man City 2-0
8%
9/1
18%
8/1
20%
8/1
13%
17/2
27%
Man City 3-1
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
14%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
Man City 1-0
6%
14/1
58%
11/1
41%
10/1
29%
11/1
33%
Man City 3-0
6%
10/19/1
5%
9/19/1
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
14/115/1
6%
Chelsea 2-1
5%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
20/1
5%
Man City 3-2
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
26%
16/1
11%
17/1
10%
Man City 4-1
5%
14/1
29%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
13/1
18%
Man City 4-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/114/1
12%
13/1
7%
Chelsea 1-0
3%
33/1
62%
33/1
31%
33/1
48%
25/1
24%
Man City 4-2
3%
28/1
29%
25/1
24%
25/1
24%
20/1
28%
Draw 0-0
3%
28/1
71%
28/1
71%
25/1
53%
25/1
30%
Chelsea 3-2
2%
40/145/1
18%
40/135/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1/3
13%
3/10
15%
4/11
11%
8/25
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
12/5
42%
11/5
33%
2/1
26%
47/20
31%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/4
3%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/4
7%
5/2
3%
9/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
71%
28/1
71%
22/1
35%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
4/7
10%
4/7
10%
4/7
6%
4/7
10%
BTTS - No
36%
5/4
13%
13/10
15%
5/4
7%
13/10
15%
BTTS - Home Win
37%
13/10
20%
5/4
18%
13/10
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1
9%
11/19/1-
Home/draw
82%
1/10
1%
1/20
1%
1/11
2%
1/14
1%
Away/draw
36%
9/4
18%
12/5
13%
21/10
13%
5/2
8%
Home/away
82%
1/8
4%
2/15
3%
1/7
3%
1/8
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/10
6%
1/11
5%
1/10
6%
1/12
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6/1
40%
13/2
50%
11/2
44%
13/2
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
4/5
24%
4/5
22%
5/6
23%
17/20
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
1/1
27%
10/11
22%
5/6
20%
19/20
21%
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
2/1
25%
9/5
28%
2/1
25%
19/10
28%
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
2/5
12%
2/5
15%
4/11
11%
2/5
14%
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
4/1
38%
15/4
37%
4/1
33%
17/4
34%
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/6
8%
1/6
8%
1/7
7%
1/7
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80
1%
1/66
1%
-1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
35%
28/1
71%
-1.00
95%
Home DNB
77%
1/8
4%
1/10
2%
1/9
3%
1/10
1%
Away DNB
31%
5/1
20%
11/2
18%
5/1
20%
23/4
8%
Man City win to nil
27%
7/4
10%
17/10
10%
13/8
5%
-
Chelsea win to nil
6%
16/1
31%
22/1
35%
16/1
31%
-
Man City / Man City
46%
10/11
9%
10/11
9%
9/10
7%
5/6
6%
Man City / Chelsea
2%
40/160/1
9%
50/155/1
16%
Man City / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
20/1
11%
16/118/1
Draw / Man City
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
10/315/4
8%
Draw / Chelsea
5%
18/1
27%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
18/1
12%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
25%
17/2
27%
9/1
25%
19/2
24%
Chelsea / Man City
5%
16/1
11%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
17/1
10%
Chelsea / Chelsea
6%
14/1
25%
16/1
13%
11/1
9%
13/1
8%
Chelsea / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
20/116/119/1
5%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table. Man City are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 11 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 10th position in the Premier League on 34 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Chelsea have conceded 24 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Man City
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Chelsea
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1F
Mar 10
 Liverpool2517623557 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
-
-
 Man City Home2517533256 
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 31
l
 
1-0A
 Arsenal2517443655 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 16
Apr 3
l
 
1-0A
 A Villa2515461949 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
d
 
3-3A
Apr 20
 Spurs2514561447 
-
w
 
1-4A
Mar 3
w
 
0-3F
 Man Utd251429144 
Apr 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 17
 Brighton251087838 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 20
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Newcastle25114101237 
Mar 11
l
 
4-1A
May 19
w
 
1-3A
 West Ham251069-836 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
4-4F
 Chelsea Away2510510135 
-
-
May 4
l
 
2-1A
 Wolves2510510-135 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-1F
May 11
 Fulham258512-729 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
6-1F
Feb 24
 Bournemouth247710-1328 
May 19
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
 Brentford257414-925 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
 C Palace256712-1625 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
 Nottm Forest256613-1224 
l
 
0-1A
May 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
 Everton258611-620 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
 Luton245514-1320 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
 Burnley253418-3013 
Mar 30
w
 
1-4A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Utd253418-4313 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
Win / draw / win form
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
3
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Chelsea 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Man City have not lost to Chelsea in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
30
29
Games: Scored
18 / 26
18 / 26
Clean sheets
8 / 26
8 / 26
MCI
11
D
2
CHE
13
All league games since 1992
Man City
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
58
75
Games: Scored
33 / 53
38 / 53
Clean sheets
15 / 53
20 / 53
MCI
18
D
8
CHE
27
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 8 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Man City 2nd Chelsea 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Man City have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Chelsea have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258796/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
2.4
1.2
Attack rating
27%
better
MCI
CHE
view stats
Games scored23
20
Failed to score2
5
Scored first16
10
Goals scored58
42
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate19%
17%
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
18%
better
MCI
CHE
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first9
14
Goals conceded26
41
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate18%
17%
KickOff rating
+18%

Man City v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251778
J ÁlvarezE HaalandP FodenRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK24
4
-
K Walker DEF242
2
-
M Akanji DEF182
3
-
R Dias DEF21
-
N Aké  DEF2022
-
Rodri MID2263
7
1
P Foden MID2587
1
-
K Bruyne MID614
-
J Álvarez MID2587
2
-
J Doku MID1725
3
-
E Haaland FWD20175
1
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK2
-
J Stones DEF11
2
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
M Nunes MID2
1
1
O Bobb MID811
-
M. Susoho MID
-
M Kovacic MID18
3
-
B Silva MID2164
5
-
S Gómez MID31
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241069
C GallagherC PalmerC PalmerN Jackson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK10
1
-
M Gusto DEF184
5
1
A Disasi DEF231
6
-
L Colwill DEF2211
2
-
B Chilwell  DEF111
5
-
M Caicedo MID221
7
-
E Fernández MID223
6
-
C Palmer MID21106
7
-
C Gallagher MID2424
5
-
R Sterling MID2363
5
-
N Jackson FWD2273
9
-
Subs
M Bettinelli GLK
1
-
T Chalobah DEF1
-
A Gilchrist DEF5
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF
-
M Mudryk MID1932
3
-
C Casadei MID2
-
O. Harrison MID
-
C Nkunku  FWD72
-
N Madueke FWD122
1
-