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Sunderland v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Apr, 20:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Régis Le Bris welcomes Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira to the Stadium of Light on Friday night, as their Sunderland and Nottingham Forest sides do battle in the English Premier League. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Sunderland and Nottm Forest have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
40%
17/10
2%
9/5
Draw
27%
9/4
5%
11/5
3%
Nottm Forest
33%
6/4
2%
6/4
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
5/1
Sunderland 1-0
11%
8/1
6%
7/1
Nottm Forest 1-0
10%
15/2
13%
13/2
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
20%
15/2
Sunderland 2-1
8%
11/117/2
Nottm Forest 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Sunderland 2-0
7%
14/112/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
6%
12/110/1
10%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Sunderland 3-1
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
Sunderland 3-0
3%
33/122/1
12%
Nottm Forest 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Nottm Forest 3-0
2%
28/118/1
Sunderland 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
11/10
12%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/11
10%
7/10
1%
Home 1st Goal
49%
21/20
2%
11/10
Away 1st Goal
46%
20/21
2%
19/20
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
20%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
5%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
9%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
8%
17/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
16/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/2
8%
4/1
Home/draw
67%
1/2
2%
1/2
Away/draw
60%
4/92/5
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
6%
7/20
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/5
16%
2/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/4
17%
13/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/7
8%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
6/1
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
20%
7/1
Home DNB
59%
10/1119/20
Away DNB
52%
4/53/4
Sunderland win to nil
23%
7/2
4%
-
Nottm Forest win to nil
19%
10/3
7%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
18%
15/4
5%
7/2
2%
Sunderland / Nottm Forest
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sunderland
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
Nottm Forest / Sunderland
3%
28/122/1
12%
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
20%
10/33/1
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Sunderland have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Both Sunderland and Nottingham Forest have scored 36 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Nottm Forest are in 16th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Nottm Forest have conceded 39 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3321753770 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
2
Man City3220753667 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Man Utd33161071358 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 17
4
A Villa331779658 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
5
Liverpool33167101155 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
6
Chelsea33139111148 
May 24
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
May 4
7
Brentford3313911448 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
8
Bournemouth3311157048 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 24
l
 
2-0A
9
Brighton33121110647 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
10
Everton3313812147 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
11
Sunderland33121011-446 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 24
12
Fulham3313614-345 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
13
C Palace3111911-142 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Newcastle3312615-342 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
May 10
l
 
2-0A
15
Leeds3391212-739 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
16
Nottm Forest339915-936 
Apr 24
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
West Ham328816-1732 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
18
Spurs3371016-1131 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
19
Burnley334821-3320 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
Wolves333822-3717 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 0Spurs
Sunderland0 - 1Brighton
Sunderland1 - 3Fulham
Sunderland0 - 1Liverpool
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Sunderland2 - 1C Palace
Sunderland0 - 0Man City
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Sunderland2 - 0Wolves
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Sunderland2 - 1Brentford
Sunderland3 - 0West Ham
Sunderland0 - 1Coventry
Sunderland0 - 1QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland1 - 0Spurs
ASunderland2 - 1Newcastle
HSunderland0 - 1Brighton
ASunderland1 - 0Leeds
ASunderland1 - 1Bournemouth
HSunderland1 - 3Fulham
HSunderland0 - 1Liverpool
ASunderland0 - 3Arsenal
HSunderland3 - 0Burnley
ASunderland1 - 3West Ham
HSunderland2 - 1C Palace
ASunderland0 - 3Brentford
ASunderland1 - 1Spurs
HSunderland0 - 0Man City
HSunderland1 - 1Leeds
ASunderland0 - 0Brighton
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs0 - 3Nottm Forest
Man City2 - 2Nottm Forest
Brighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
Leeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
West Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
Fulham1 - 0Nottm Forest
Everton3 - 0Nottm Forest
Wolves0 - 1Nottm Forest
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Bournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
West Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
Spurs1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 3A Villa
HNottm Forest0 - 2Everton
HNottm Forest1 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest0 - 1Fulham
HNottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
ANottm Forest0 - 3Everton
ANottm Forest1 - 0Wolves
HNottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1993
Sunderland
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
SUN
2
D
2
NFO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
0 - 1Nottm Forest
Sunderland2 - 0
Sunderland1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Nottm Forest
League games at Nottm Forest since 1994
Nottm Forest
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
SUN
5
D
1
NFO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
0 - 1Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
1 - 2Sunderland
Nottm Forest2 - 0
0 - 3Sunderland
1 - 4Sunderland
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Sunderland's defensive record is very strong, R. Le Bris's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Nottingham Forest makes sense in this context.

Sunderland 11th Nottm Forest 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Sunderland have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Nottm Forest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
11%
better
SUN
NFO
view stats
Games scored21
18
Failed to score11
14
Scored first11
8
Goals scored33
32
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
16%
better
SUN
NFO
view stats
Games conceded22
24
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first18
21
Goals conceded36
44
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

Sunderland v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29659
T HumeB BrobbeyG XhakaT Hume
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Hume DEF321
9
-
E Fée MID3044
5
-
R Roefs GLK29
3
-
O Alderete DEF2811
6
-
G Xhaka MID2815
5
-
N Sadiki MID271
7
-
W Isidor FWD274
2
-
N Mukiele DEF2624
4
-
D Ballard DEF2621
3
-
L Geertruida DEF25
1
-
B Brobbey FWD2561
5
-
C Talbi FWD2441
-
R Mandava DEF191
7
1
E Mayenda FWD192
-
H Diarra MID1521
4
-
C Rigg MID14
1
-
R Mundle FWD14
1
-
B Traoré FWD121
1
-
L O'Nien DEF9
1
1
D Cirkin DEF7
1
-
N Angulo FWD5
-
M Ellborg GLK3
-
D. Bi FWD1
-
Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32946
N MilenkovićM Gibbs-WhiteC Hudson-OdoiN Milenković
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Milenković DEF32
6
-
E Anderson MID3222
6
-
M Gibbs-White MID3292
1
-
N Williams DEF3123
5
1
I Jesus FWD3133
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD3034
-
M Sels GLK25
2
-
O Hutchinson MID2513
1
-
Murillo DEF241
5
-
I Sangaré MID2422
5
-
D Ndoye FWD2411
1
-
N Domínguez MID211
2
-
R Yates MID171
1
-
O Aina  DEF161
3
-
Morato DEF15
4
-
N. Savona DEF142
2
-
T Awoniyi FWD122
1
-
J McAtee MID10
1
-
D Bakwa FWD101
1
-
C Wood FWD92
-
John GLK5
1
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
J Paula DEF3
-
L Lucca FWD31
-
L Netz DEF2
-
Z Abbott DEF2
-
A Gunn GLK1
-