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Aston Villa v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Feb, 14:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa side enjoy home advantage in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Keith Andrews's Brentford visit the Villa Park. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither A Villa or Brentford are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
53%
2.00
5%
-
Draw
24%
3.50-
Brentford
23%
3.50
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
A Villa 1-0
11%
9.50
12%
-
A Villa 2-1
10%
9.50-
A Villa 2-0
9%
11.00
10%
-
Brentford 1-0
7%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00
9%
-
Brentford 2-1
6%
15.00-
A Villa 3-1
6%
17.00-
A Villa 3-0
5%
19.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Brentford 2-0
3%
21.00-
A Villa 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
-
A Villa 4-1
2%
34.00-
A Villa 4-0
2%
41.00-
Brentford 3-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.67-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.30
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.67
5%
-
BTTS - No
47%
2.10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.75
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6.50
7%
-
Home/draw
77%
1.29
3%
-
Away/draw
47%
1.80
2%
-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.25
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.00
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.00
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.40
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5.50
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00
9%
-
Home DNB
70%
1.44
3%
-
Away DNB
40%
2.63
4%
-
A Villa win to nil
29%
3.75
10%
-
Brentford win to nil
12%
7.00-
A Villa / A Villa
27%
3.20
3%
-
A Villa / Brentford
3%
34.00-
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A Villa
16%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Brentford
10%
8.50-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Brentford / A Villa
4%
23.00-
Brentford / Brentford
14%
6.00
8%
-
Brentford / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 35 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 11 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Brentford are in 7th position in the Premier League on 33 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Brentford have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Brentford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2215522650 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
Feb 12
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City2213452443 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
l
 
0-1A
May 9
3
A Villa221345843 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
4
Liverpool221066436 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
May 24
5
Man Utd22985635 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
6
Chelsea229761234 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford221039533 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Newcastle22967533 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
w
 
3-1A
Feb 7
9
Sunderland22895033 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
10
Everton22958-132 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
w
 
2-4F
11
Fulham22949-131 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
12
Brighton22796330 
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
13
C Palace22778-228 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
l
 
2-0A
14
Spurs22769227 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
15
Bournemouth22697-627 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
w
 
4-1F
Mar 3
16
Leeds22679-725 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
17
Nottm Forest226412-1322 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
18
West Ham224513-2017 
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
May 2
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley223514-1914 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
20
Wolves221516-268 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
Mar 16
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
Brentford 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 0Brentford
Everton2 - 4Brentford
Wolves0 - 2Brentford
Spurs2 - 0Brentford
Arsenal2 - 0Brentford
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
C Palace2 - 0Brentford
West Ham0 - 2Brentford
Fulham3 - 1Brentford
Sunderland2 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
Wolves1 - 1Brentford
Ipswich0 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
Arsenal1 - 1Brentford
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Bournemouth1 - 2Brentford
Leicester0 - 4Brentford
West Ham0 - 1Brentford
C Palace1 - 2Brentford
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrentford0 - 2Chelsea
HBrentford3 - 0Sunderland
ABrentford4 - 2Everton
HBrentford0 - 0Spurs
HBrentford4 - 1Bournemouth
ABrentford2 - 0Wolves
HBrentford1 - 1Leeds
ABrentford0 - 2Spurs
ABrentford0 - 2Arsenal
HBrentford3 - 1Burnley
ABrentford1 - 2Brighton
HBrentford3 - 1Newcastle
ABrentford0 - 2C Palace
HBrentford3 - 2Liverpool
ABrentford2 - 0West Ham
HBrentford0 - 1Man City
HBrentford3 - 1Man Utd
ABrentford1 - 3Fulham
HBrentford2 - 2Chelsea
ABrentford1 - 2Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
A Villa have not lost to Brentford in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A Villa since 2016
A Villa
Brentford
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
AVL
2
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
A Villa4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Brentford since 2017
Brentford
A Villa
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
AVL
2
D
1
BRE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brentford
Brentford1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brentford2 - 1
Brentford1 - 0
Brentford2 - 1
Brentford3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Brentford on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 3rd Brentford 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Brentford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
AVL
BRE
12%
better
view stats
Games scored15
16
Failed to score7
6
Scored first7
14
Goals scored33
35
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
5%
better
AVL
BRE
view stats
Games conceded16
17
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first12
7
Goals conceded25
30
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%

A Villa v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22745
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2274
4
-
J McGinn MID2232
3
-
O Watkins FWD2271
1
-
M Cash DEF2132
5
-
L Digne DEF213
2
-
E Konsa DEF21
1
E Buendía MID2042
2
-
E Martínez GLK18
1
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
L Bogarde MID17
5
-
I Maatsen DEF16
1
-
Y Tielemans MID164
-
A Onana MID142
2
-
P Torres DEF13
-
E Guessand FWD131
-
J Sancho FWD11
-
V Lindelöf DEF101
-
T Mings DEF7
-
R Barkley MID71
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
H Elliot MID3
-
A García DEF2
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221646
C KelleherI ThiagoV JaneltK Schade
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK22
1
-
M Kayode DEF22
5
-
N Collins DEF2212
4
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID2212
4
-
I Thiago FWD22161
4
-
K Schade FWD2163
6
-
M Jensen MID202
1
-
K Lewis-Potter MID2021
1
-
J Henderson MID2013
4
-
M Damsgaard MID1913
-
R Henry DEF18
2
-
S Berg DEF17
1
-
V Janelt MID174
4
-
K Ajer DEF161
1
-
D Ouattara FWD163
3
-
A Hickey DEF14
1
-
F Onyeka MID61
-
F Carvalho MID61
-
R Nelson FWD6
-
E Pinnock DEF3
1
-
A Milambo MID1
-
R Donovan FWD1
-