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Newcastle United v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Eddie Howe's Newcastle United side enjoy home advantage in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa visit the St. James' Park. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Spurs at 19:30 on Tuesday 10th February
Aston Villa's next match is v Brighton at 19:30 on Wednesday 11th February
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and A Villa was on Sunday 25th January 2026
English Premier League
January 25th 2026
Newcastle 0
2 A Villa
 
19' E. Buendía
88' O. Watkins
 
NEW
AVL
Shots On
4
8
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
6
5
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
NewcastleA Villa
 
N. Pope
K. Trippier
L. Hall
S. Botman
J. Apolinário de Lira (J. Ramsey 48')
S. Tonali (J. Willock 84')
Y. Wissa (N. Woltemade 62')
A. Gordon (A. Elanga 63')
H. Barnes
M. Thiaw
L. Miley
M. Cash
E. Konsa Ngoyo
(L. Bogarde 74') Y. Tielemans
(L. Digne 75') football iconE. Buendía
football iconO. Watkins
(T. Mings 75') P. Francisco Torres
D. Martínez
I. Maatsen
(V. Nilsson Lindelöf 89') A. Mvom Onana
M. Rogers
(L. Bailey Butler 59') J. Sancho

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this fixture: both teams to score. In Newcastle and A Villa we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Sunday afternoon. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.62.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
47%
23/20750/1
7%
Draw
23%
13/566/1
3%
A Villa
30%
23/10
6%
1/1000
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/219/5
Newcastle 2-1
9%
9/122/1
6%
Newcastle 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
7/1
A Villa 2-1
7%
12/1
15%
5/1
Newcastle 2-0
7%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/133/1
A Villa 1-0
6%
14/14/7
Newcastle 3-1
5%
16/180/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/19/1
A Villa 2-0
4%
20/1
10%
3/10
Newcastle 3-0
4%
22/116/1
Newcastle 3-2
4%
22/1125/1
11%
A Villa 3-1
3%
25/128/1
11%
A Villa 3-2
3%
28/1100/1
10%
Newcastle 4-1
2%
33/1150/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/619/5
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/52/13
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
3%
4/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/10
2%
6/5
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/117/2
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/15
3%
6/1
2%
BTTS - No
39%
11/8
2%
1/12
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4
7%
90/1
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/328/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/217/4
10%
Home/draw
70%
1/3
1%
45/1
1%
Away/draw
53%
4/61/1000
6%
Home/away
77%
2/71/1000
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
2%
13/10
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2
4%
11/20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
4%
28/1
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2
4%
1/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
10%
100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5
3%
1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
10%
1/50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/19/1
Home DNB
63%
8/15
4%
90/1
3%
Away DNB
46%
11/8
5%
1/300
7%
Newcastle win to nil
21%
10/3
6%
-
A Villa win to nil
13%
11/2
23%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
24%
12/5
2%
45/1
4%
Newcastle / A Villa
3%
28/1100/1
10%
Newcastle / Draw
7%
12/180/1
9%
Draw / Newcastle
14%
5/114/1
5%
Draw / A Villa
11%
7/1
6%
20/1
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
11/216/1
5%
A Villa / Newcastle
4%
22/1
9%
9/2
A Villa / A Villa
17%
9/2
9%
8/11
10%
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/13/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 13 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 11 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

A Villa lay in 3rd place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2517533256 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
2
Man City2414552647 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
A Villa251456947 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
4
Man Utd2512851044 
Mar 4
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
5
Chelsea2512761743 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
6
Liverpool241167639 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2512310539 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Everton251078037 
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Sunderland25997-236 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
10
Fulham2510411-234 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
11
Bournemouth258107-334 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Newcastle259610-133 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
13
Brighton247107231 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
14
Spurs257810029 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 10
May 2
w
 
1-2A
15
C Palace24789-429 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Leeds257810-929 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
17
Nottm Forest257513-1326 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
18
West Ham256514-1723 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
19
Burnley253616-2415 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
May 9
20
Wolves251519-328 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Newcastle2 - 0C Palace
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Fulham
Newcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle1 - 2Brighton
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 2Arsenal
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace0 - 0A Villa
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
West Ham2 - 3A Villa
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Newcastle have beaten A Villa in 4 consecutive home league meetings
17
Newcastle have not lost to A Villa in 17 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
A Villa
Goals: Scored
59
20
Games: Scored
26 / 29
16 / 29
Clean sheets
13 / 29
3 / 29
NEW
19
D
8
AVL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle5 - 1
Newcastle4 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle6 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle4 - 3
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle5 - 1
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
37
27
Games: Scored
21 / 29
18 / 29
Clean sheets
11 / 29
8 / 29
NEW
9
D
9
AVL
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa4 - 1
1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa4 - 1
A Villa2 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
A Villa4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Newcastle
0 - 2Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Aston Villa on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newcastle 9th A Villa 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Newcastle have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+3
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
7%
better
NEW
AVL
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score6
7
Scored first13
7
Goals scored32
33
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
5%
better
NEW
AVL
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first5
12
Goals conceded27
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%

Newcastle v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22736
S TonaliN WoltemadeL MileyD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK19
1
-
K Trippier DEF13
1
-
M Thiaw DEF223
3
-
S Botman DEF1411
1
-
L Hall DEF181
2
-
L Miley MID1913
-
S Tonali MID251
3
-
Joelinton MID192
5
-
H Barnes FWD245
-
Y Wissa FWD1111
1
-
A Gordon FWD1931
3
1
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK7
-
D Burn DEF172
5
1
A. Murphy DEF1
-
L. Shahar DEF
-
J Willock MID14
1
-
J Ramsey MID15
3
-
A Elanga FWD211
-
N Woltemade FWD2272
-
W Osula FWD121
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25855
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK21
1
-
M Cash DEF2432
5
-
E Konsa DEF24
1
P Torres DEF15
-
I Maatsen DEF19
2
-
A Onana MID162
2
-
Y Tielemans MID174
-
J Sancho MID141
-
M Rogers MID2585
4
-
E Buendía MID2352
3
-
O Watkins FWD2481
1
-
Subs
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
V Lindelöf DEF111
-
T Mings DEF9
-
L Digne DEF234
3
-
H Elliot MID4
-
L Bogarde MID20
5
-
L Bailey MID3
-
G. Hemmings MID2
-
E Guessand FWD
-