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Newcastle United v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 17:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Newcastle United are in English Premier League action on Saturday evening, as Matthias Jaissle attempts to outsmart Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side at the St. James' Park. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for both teams to score, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Newcastle may feel optimistic ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might A Villa. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no obvious victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Newcastle 47%	21/20	-
Draw 23%	13/5 3%	-
A Villa 30%	9/4 2%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	7/1	-
Newcastle 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Newcastle 1-0 8%	10/1 8%	-
A Villa 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Newcastle 2-0 7%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
A Villa 1-0 6%	14/1	-
Newcastle 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 12%	-
A Villa 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Newcastle 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Newcastle 3-2 4%	22/1	-
A Villa 3-1 3%	25/1	-
A Villa 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Newcastle 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	8/13	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	13/10	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	8/15	-
BTTS - No 39%	11/8	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	13/5	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 70%	1/3 2%	-
Away/draw 53%	8/11	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	6/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	8/15	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 12%	-
Home DNB 63%	8/15	-
Away DNB 46%	11/8	-
Newcastle win to nil 21%	3/1 8%	-
A Villa win to nil 13%	6/1	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 26%	12/5	-
Newcastle / A Villa 3%	28/1	-
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Newcastle 15%	5/1	-
Draw / A Villa 11%	7/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	11/2	-
A Villa / Newcastle 4%	22/1 10%	-
A Villa / A Villa 16%	9/2	-
A Villa / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Newcastle A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	8	15	Dec 26	Feb 20	Oct 24	May 23
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	4	12	Nov 21	Jan 23	l 0-1A	Apr 17
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	11	10	Jan 30	Nov 29	Apr 10	l 4-0A
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	6	9	Feb 27	Dec 19	Oct 10	May 8
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	4	9	Mar 20	l 4-1A	Dec 26	Feb 20
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	3	9	d 2-2F	Apr 10	Dec 30	Mar 3
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	3	9	Nov 2	Feb 6	Dec 2	Jan 5
8	Hull	5	2	2	1	2	8	w 2-1F	May 30	Mar 13	d 0-00-0
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	0	8	-	-	May 15	Oct 17
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7	Feb 10	Jan 3	Feb 27	Dec 19
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-4	6	Apr 24	Dec 12	Jan 30	Nov 28
12	Man Utd	5	1	2	2	0	5	Dec 2	Jan 7	Jan 16	Nov 8
13	Nottm Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5	Dec 30	Mar 3	l 1-2A	Mar 20
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4	Dec 5	May 1	Nov 21	Feb 6
15	C Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4	May 23	Oct 25	Dec 5	May 1
16	A Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4	Oct 17	May 15	-	-
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3	d 2-2A	Mar 13	Feb 10	Jan 2
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3	May 8	Oct 12	Apr 24	Dec 12
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2	Jan 16	Nov 7	Oct 31	Jan 23
20	Spurs	5	0	2	3	-6	2	Apr 17	w 0-2F	May 30	w 2-3F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle	2 - 1	Hull
Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Newcastle	2 - 2	Liverpool
Newcastle	3 - 1	West Ham
Newcastle	3 - 1	Brighton
Newcastle	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Newcastle	1 - 2	Sunderland
Newcastle	2 - 1	Man Utd
Newcastle	2 - 3	Everton
Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
Newcastle	0 - 2	A Villa
Newcastle	4 - 3	Leeds
Newcastle	2 - 0	C Palace
Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
Newcastle	2 - 2	Spurs
Newcastle	2 - 1	Man City
Newcastle	2 - 1	Fulham
Newcastle	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Hull
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	2 - 0	Spurs
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Liverpool
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	Fulham
H	Newcastle	3 - 1	West Ham
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	3 - 1	Brighton
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Chelsea
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Man Utd
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Everton
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	Man City
A	Newcastle	2 - 1	Spurs
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Liverpool

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs	2 - 3	A Villa
Hull	0 - 0	A Villa
Brighton	4 - 0	A Villa
Man City	1 - 2	A Villa
Burnley	2 - 2	A Villa
Fulham	1 - 0	A Villa
Nottm Forest	1 - 1	A Villa
Man Utd	3 - 1	A Villa
Wolves	2 - 0	A Villa
Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
Newcastle	0 - 2	A Villa
C Palace	0 - 0	A Villa
Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
West Ham	2 - 3	A Villa
Brighton	3 - 4	A Villa
Leeds	1 - 2	A Villa
Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa
Spurs	1 - 2	A Villa
Sunderland	1 - 1	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	A Villa	3 - 2	Spurs
H	A Villa	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	A Villa	0 - 0	Hull
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Arsenal
A	A Villa	0 - 4	Brighton
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Man City
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Liverpool
A	A Villa	2 - 2	Burnley
H	A Villa	1 - 2	Spurs
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Fulham
H	A Villa	4 - 3	Sunderland
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	A Villa	2 - 0	West Ham
A	A Villa	1 - 3	Man Utd
H	A Villa	1 - 4	Chelsea
A	A Villa	0 - 2	Wolves
H	A Villa	1 - 1	Leeds
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Brighton
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Brentford

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newcastle

A Villa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

26 / 30

17 / 30

Clean sheets

13 / 30

4 / 30

NEW

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
	0 - 2	A Villa
Newcastle	3 - 0
Newcastle	5 - 1
Newcastle	4 - 0
Newcastle	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	1 - 0
Newcastle	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Newcastle	6 - 0
Newcastle	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	A Villa
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	3 - 0
Newcastle	3 - 0
	0 - 1	A Villa
Newcastle	2 - 1
Newcastle	1 - 0
Newcastle	4 - 3
Newcastle	1 - 0
Newcastle	3 - 1
Newcastle	5 - 1

A Villa

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

21 / 29

18 / 29

Clean sheets

11 / 29

8 / 29

NEW

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
A Villa	4 - 1
	1 - 3	Newcastle
A Villa	3 - 0
A Villa	2 - 0
A Villa	2 - 0
A Villa	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Newcastle
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
A Villa	1 - 0
A Villa	1 - 0
A Villa	4 - 1
A Villa	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
A Villa	4 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Newcastle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Newcastle
A Villa	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Newcastle
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Newcastle
	0 - 2	Newcastle

Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Aston Villa on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Newcastle 9th	A Villa 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 74% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+15 Newcastle have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted	+3 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season

56%

better

NEW

AVL

view stats

Games scored	5		2
Failed to score	0		3
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	9		4
Avg. goals scored	1.8		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		9
Conversion rate for	22		11
Avg. XG for	1		0.9
KickOff rating		+56%

better

NEW

AVL

view stats

Games conceded	4		4
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	2		3
Goals conceded	9		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		14
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	2		1.8
KickOff rating		+1%

Newcastle v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	2	3
L Hornicek	J Willock	H Barnes	J Murphy

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hornicek GLK	5			1 -
L Hall DEF	5	1	1	-
S Botman DEF	5			1 -
M Thiaw DEF	5			-
S. Steur MID	5			-
J Willock MID	5	2		-
L Miley MID	5			1 -
J Murphy FWD	5			3 -
H Barnes FWD	5	1	2	-
Y Wissa FWD	5	1	1	2 -
A Dedic DEF	4		1	-
N González MID	3			1 -
A. Bamba MID	3			-
J Ramsey MID	3	1		1 -
A Elanga FWD	3	2		1 -
M Fernandez FWD	3			-
B. Touré FWD	3	1		-
F Schär DEF	2			-
T Livramento DEF	2		1	1 -
W Osula FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	1
J Willock	H Barnes	H Barnes	L Hall

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Willock MID	2	3		1
A Elanga FWD	2	3		1
L Hall DEF	1	2	1	1
H Barnes FWD	1	4	2	1
Y Wissa FWD	1	3	1	1
J Ramsey MID	1	1
B. Touré FWD	1	1
S Botman DEF		1
A Dedic DEF			1
T Livramento DEF			1
W Osula FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
284	13	31
S Botman	L Hall	L Hall

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Botman DEF	284	5	26
M Thiaw DEF	259		22
L Miley MID	250	6	16
L Hall DEF	224	13	31
S. Steur MID	159	4	5
L Hornicek GLK	158		1
A Dedic DEF	116	8	20
N González MID	110		5
J Willock MID	108	5	15
H Barnes FWD	99	3	19
Y Wissa FWD	86	6	31
A Elanga FWD	48	4	12
J Ramsey MID	40	2	4
J Murphy FWD	37	4	12
M Fernandez FWD	29	2	6
T Livramento DEF	19	2	2
B. Touré FWD	15		5
F Schär DEF	7
A. Bamba MID	6	3	4
W Osula FWD	5	1	1

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	2	2
V Lindelöf	E Buendía	J McGinn	J McGinn

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Lindelöf DEF	5			-
R Barkley MID	5			-
E Buendía MID	5	1		-
B Kamara MID	5		1	-
J McGinn MID	5		2	2 -
G. Hemmings FWD	5			-
Z Suzuki GLK	4			-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF	4			-
I Maatsen DEF	4			1 -
M Cash DEF	4			2 -
T Mings DEF	4			1 -
N Jackson FWD	4	1		2 -
T Abraham FWD	4			-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	4	1		1 -
M Ruggeri DEF	3			-
P Torres DEF	3			-
A Garnacho FWD	3			-
J Gomes MID	2			1 1
J. Manzambi MID	2	1	1	-
I. Mbaye FWD	2			-
M Bizot GLK	1			-
L Bogarde MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	2	1
E Buendía	E Buendía	J McGinn	R Barkley

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Buendía MID	1	2
N Jackson FWD	1	2		1
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	1	1
J. Manzambi MID	1	2	1	1
V Lindelöf DEF		1
R Barkley MID		1		1
B Kamara MID			1	1
J McGinn MID			2	1
G. Hemmings FWD		1		1
I Maatsen DEF		1
I. Mbaye FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
276	9	25
V Lindelöf	B Kamara	B Kamara

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Lindelöf DEF	276	1	3
B Kamara MID	241	9	25
R Barkley MID	204	7	18
T Mings DEF	160	4	14
Z Suzuki GLK	149		2
E Buendía MID	140	8	24
M Cash DEF	122	6	13
J McGinn MID	118	5	22
P Torres DEF	104	1	4
I Maatsen DEF	98	7	9
A Wan-Bissaka DEF	82	9	12
G. Hemmings FWD	57	7	15
M Ruggeri DEF	53	2	5
N Jackson FWD	50		15
J Gomes MID	39	9	14
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	31	2	5
M Bizot GLK	29
J. Manzambi MID	28	2	5
T Abraham FWD	18	1	4
A Garnacho FWD	16		1
I. Mbaye FWD	10	1	1
L Bogarde MID	2		1