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Liverpool v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool and Manchester City go head to head at the Anfield on Sunday afternoon, with both Arne Slot and Pep Guardiola seeking a win in the English Premier League. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Liverpool's next match is v Newcastle at 19:30 on Wednesday 4th December
Manchester City's next match is v Nottm Forest at 19:30 on Wednesday 4th December
The last English Premier League meeting between Liverpool and Man City was on Sunday 1st December 2024
English Premier League
December 1st 2024
Liverpool 2
0 Man City
 
C. Gakpo 12'
M. Salah 78'
 
LIV
MCI
Shots On
7
2
Shots Off
7
3
Corners
7
4
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
9
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
LiverpoolMan City
 
C. Kelleher
J. Gomez
A. Robertson
V. van Dijk
T. Alexander-Arnold (J. Quansah 73')
R. Gravenberch
A. Mac Allister
D. Szoboszlai
C. Gakpofootball icon (D. Núñez Ribeiro 73')
M. Salahfootball icon (C. Jones 84')
L. Díaz Marulanda (H. Elliot 90')
S. Ortega Moreno
K. Walker
(J. Grealish 79') R. Lewis
M. Akanji
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
N. Aké
(S. Moreira de Oliveira 58') İ. Gündoğan
B. Silva
(J. Doku 57') M. Nunes
(K. De Bruyne 79') P. Foden
E. Haaland

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Liverpool and Man City's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
47%
1/1
17%
1/1
20%
Draw
25%
14/5
1%
27/10
3%
Man City
28%
5/2
35%
5/2
40%
Draw 1-1
12%
15/26/1
7%
Liverpool 1-0
10%
12/1
13%
9/1
9%
Liverpool 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
7/1
11%
Liverpool 2-0
8%
12/1
32%
10/1
15%
Man City 1-0
7%
18/1
27%
12/1
18%
Man City 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Draw 0-0
6%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/19/1
Liverpool 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
11/1
8%
Liverpool 3-0
4%
20/1
28%
14/1
21%
Man City 2-0
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
31%
Liverpool 3-2
3%
20/114/1
Man City 3-1
3%
25/1
37%
18/1
46%
Man City 3-2
2%
28/1
26%
18/1
27%
Liverpool 4-1
2%
28/1
29%
18/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/21/2
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
13/829/20
6%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
15%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/94/9
BTTS - No
44%
13/88/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/4
13%
21/10
16%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/2
38%
4/1
33%
Home/draw
72%
2/7
14%
3/10
13%
Away/draw
53%
4/5
18%
3/4
14%
Home/away
75%
1/42/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/72/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
9/24/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/523/20
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/68/13
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
3/1
7%
13/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/10
1%
1/10
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
65%
1/2
18%
10/21
19%
Away DNB
45%
6/4
37%
6/4
35%
Liverpool win to nil
24%
10/3
28%
-
Man City win to nil
14%
7/1
33%
-
Liverpool / Liverpool
26%
9/4
19%
21/10
18%
Liverpool / Man City
3%
25/1
13%
25/1
37%
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Liverpool
15%
9/2
21%
17/4
13%
Draw / Man City
10%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/119/4
4%
Man City / Liverpool
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Man City / Man City
15%
9/2
27%
9/2
41%
Man City / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Man City are in 4th position in the Premier League on 23 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Man City are unbeaten in 2 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Man City have conceded 2 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool 1311111834 
-
-
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal137421225 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
3
Chelsea137421225 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
4
Brighton13652523 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
5
Man City 13724323 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 22
-
-
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 14
Dec 4
Mar 8
7
Spurs136251420 
Apr 26
Dec 22
l
 
0-4A
Feb 25
8
Brentford13625320 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 18
w
 
2-1A
Jan 14
9
Man Utd13544419 
Jan 5
w
 
0-3F
Dec 15
Apr 5
10
Fulham13544019 
Dec 14
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
May 25
11
Newcastle13544019 
Feb 26
Dec 4
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
12
A Villa13544-319 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Apr 26
Dec 21
13
Bournemouth13535118 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
May 18
l
 
2-1A
14
West Ham13436-715 
Apr 12
Dec 29
Jan 4
w
 
1-3F
15
Everton13256-1111 
Apr 2
Dec 7
Dec 26
Apr 19
16
Leicester13247-1110 
Dec 26
Apr 19
Apr 2
Dec 29
17
C Palace13166-79 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Apr 12
Dec 7
18
Wolves13238-109 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
19
Ipswich13166-119 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1A
Jan 19
20
Southampton131210-155 
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Man City 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 1992
Liverpool
Man City
Goals: Scored
52
28
Games: Scored
26 / 27
17 / 27
Clean sheets
10 / 27
1 / 27
LIV
17
D
8
MCI
2
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
46
30
Games: Scored
22 / 27
19 / 27
Clean sheets
8 / 27
5 / 27
LIV
4
D
13
MCI
10
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Manchester City on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Liverpool's defensive record is to be admired, Arne Slot's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Manchester City makes sense in this context.

Liverpool 1st Man City 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Man City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Man City have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277922/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
9%
better
LIV
MCI
view stats
Games scored11
11
Failed to score1
1
Scored first9
6
Goals scored24
22
Avg. goals scored2
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
45%
better
LIV
MCI
view stats
Games conceded6
10
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded8
17
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
4
Conversion rate against9%
23%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%

Liverpool v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131174
V Dijk M SalahM SalahA Allister
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK7
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF121
2
-
J Gomez DEF4
-
V Dijk  DEF1311
1
-
A Robertson DEF12
1
-
R Gravenberch MID131
3
-
A Allister MID13
4
-
M Salah MID13117
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID1311
3
-
L Díaz  MID1352
-
C Gakpo FWD1321
3
-
Subs
V Jaroš GLK1
-
H Davies GLK
-
J Quansah DEF2
-
W Endo MID5
-
C Jones MID1011
-
H Elliot MID2
-
T Morton MID
-
T. Nyoni MID
-
D Núñez FWD1021
2
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131233
E HaalandE HaalandB SilvaR Dias
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK1
-
K Walker DEF9
1
-
R Dias DEF10
3
-
M Akanji DEF11
3
-
N Aké  DEF4
-
R Lewis MID122
2
-
I Gündogan MID121
-
B Silva MID133
3
-
P Foden MID101
1
-
M Nunes MID92
1
-
E Haaland FWD1312
2
-
Subs
Ederson GLK121
3
-
S Carson GLK
-
J Gvardiol DEF123
-
S Sávio MID102
2
-
N. O'Reilly MID
-
J McAtee MID1
-
J Grealish MID91
2
-
K Bruyne MID711
2
-
J Doku FWD911
-