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Aston Villa v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 14:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery's Aston Villa side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Pep Guardiola's Manchester City arrive at the Villa Park. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither A Villa or Man City are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives A Villa and Man City an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
25%
4.10
7%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.60
7%
3.80
Man City
50%
1.85
6%
1.91
Draw 1-1
12%
7.50
6%
7.50
Man City 1-0
11%
10.00
9%
8.50
Man City 2-1
10%
9.508.00
Man City 2-0
9%
11.0010.00
A Villa 1-0
7%
17.00
11%
12.00
Draw 0-0
7%
13.00
24%
12.00
A Villa 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
Man City 3-1
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0012.00
Man City 3-0
5%
19.00
12%
15.00
A Villa 2-0
4%
26.00
21%
17.00
Man City 3-2
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
A Villa 3-1
2%
34.0021.00
Man City 4-1
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
Man City 4-0
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.67
6%
1.62
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
2.20
8%
2.15
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.30
3%
2.40
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.62
6%
1.65
No 1st Goal
4%
13.00
24%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.62
3%
1.60
BTTS - No
48%
2.20
5%
2.20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6.505.75
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.40
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.40
13%
3.30
Home/draw
50%
1.91
6%
1.91
Away/draw
75%
1.22
2%
1.25
Home/away
75%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.22
3%
1.20
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
4.33
10%
4.20
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2.75
11%
2.50
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.44
4%
1.48
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5.00
4%
4.40
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.17
2%
1.18
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10.00
13%
8.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13.00
24%
11.00
Home DNB
43%
3.00
15%
2.75
Away DNB
67%
1.36
5%
1.40
A Villa win to nil
13%
8.00
11%
-
Man City win to nil
28%
3.50-
A Villa / A Villa
13%
6.50
7%
5.75
A Villa / Man City
4%
21.0017.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / A Villa
10%
9.00
10%
8.00
Draw / Man City
16%
5.504.80
Draw / Draw
14%
6.50
7%
5.50
Man City / A Villa
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Man City / Man City
28%
3.00
8%
2.88
Man City / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 1. A Villa have conceded 5 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 2nd place on 16 points in the Premier League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man City have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal86111219 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
2
Man City85121116 
Oct 26
May 24
-
-
3
Liverpool8503315 
May 17
Nov 1
Nov 9
Feb 7
4
Bournemouth8431315 
Nov 9
Feb 7
Nov 2
May 17
5
Chelsea8422714 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Jan 3
Apr 11
6
Spurs8422714 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
7
Sunderland8422314 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Dec 6
Dec 30
8
Man Utd8413-113 
Dec 21
Mar 14
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
9
C Palace8341413 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
Mar 21
Dec 14
10
Brighton8332112 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
11
A Villa8332012 
-
-
May 24
Oct 26
12
Everton8323011 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 2
13
Brentford8314-110 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
May 9
w
 
0-1F
14
Newcastle823309 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
Feb 21
Nov 22
15
Fulham8224-48 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
Feb 11
Dec 2
16
Leeds8224-68 
Feb 21
Nov 23
Nov 29
Feb 28
17
Burnley8215-67 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
18
Nottm Forest8125-105 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Mar 4
Dec 27
19
West Ham8116-124 
Mar 21
Dec 14
Dec 20
Mar 14
20
Wolves8026-112 
Nov 30
Feb 28
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
3
Man City have won 3 consecutive league games
5
Man City have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
A Villa 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford0 - 1Man City
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Wolves0 - 4Man City
Fulham0 - 2Man City
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City5 - 1Burnley
AMan City1 - 1Arsenal
HMan City3 - 0Man Utd
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Man City
Goals: Scored
27
34
Games: Scored
18 / 25
20 / 25
Clean sheets
5 / 25
7 / 25
AVL
7
D
8
MCI
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man City
1 - 2Man City
1 - 6Man City
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
1 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
A Villa
Goals: Scored
67
20
Games: Scored
24 / 25
14 / 25
Clean sheets
11 / 25
1 / 25
AVL
2
D
2
MCI
21
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City2 - 1
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 2
Man City4 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City1 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
1 - 3A Villa
Man City1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's defensive record is to be admired, Pep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Aston Villa makes sense in this context.

Manchester City have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Aston Villa on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A Villa 11th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Man City have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
AVL
MCI
48%
better
view stats
Games scored4
7
Failed to score4
1
Scored first2
7
Goals scored8
17
Avg. goals scored1
2.1
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
AVL
MCI
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
4
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+32%

A Villa v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
M CashD MalenL DigneM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF81
2
-
L Digne DEF82
2
-
M Rogers MID812
-
J McGinn MID81
1
-
O Watkins FWD81
-
D Malen FWD82
-
E Konsa DEF7
1
E Buendía MID721
2
-
E Guessand FWD7
-
E Martínez GLK6
1
-
T Mings DEF6
-
L Bogarde MID6
1
-
B Kamara MID62
1
-
I Maatsen DEF5
1
-
P Torres DEF5
-
A Onana MID4
1
-
Y Tielemans MID4
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
H Elliot MID3
-
M Bizot GLK2
1
-
R Barkley MID2
-
J Sancho FWD1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
81132
T ReijndersE HaalandJ DokuN. O'Reilly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF8
-
T Reijnders MID812
1
-
B Silva MID81
1
-
J Doku FWD83
-
E Haaland FWD8111
-
N. O'Reilly DEF71
2
-
N González  MID7
1
-
O Bobb FWD71
-
M Nunes DEF61
1
-
P Foden FWD61
1
-
G Donnarumma GLK5
1
-
R Lewis DEF51
-
N Aké  DEF5
-
Rodri MID5
-
S Sávio FWD51
-
J Stones DEF4
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
J Gvardiol DEF41
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
R Nouri DEF3
1
-
R Cherki FWD31
-
O Marmoush FWD31
-
M Kovacic MID1
-