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Aston Villa v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Oct, 12:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Saturday lunch time, as Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side host Enzo Maresca’s Manchester City at the Villa Park. This preview has odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Premier League tie should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
22%
7/2
4%
-
Draw
21%
29/10
3%
-
Man City
57%
4/6
3%
-
Man City 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2-
Man City 2-0
8%
10/1-
Man City 1-0
8%
10/1-
Man City 3-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
A Villa 2-1
6%
16/1-
Man City 3-0
6%
16/1-
A Villa 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Man City 4-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Man City 4-0
3%
28/1-
A Villa 2-0
3%
28/1-
A Villa 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1/2
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
13/8
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/15
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - No
39%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
31%
2/1
3%
-
Home/draw
43%
23/20
5%
-
Away/draw
78%
2/11
2%
-
Home/away
79%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/4
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Home DNB
37%
5/2
8%
-
Away DNB
72%
2/7
3%
-
A Villa win to nil
9%
9/1
11%
-
Man City win to nil
26%
5/2-
A Villa / A Villa
12%
13/2
7%
-
A Villa / Man City
4%
20/1-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Villa
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Man City
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Man City / A Villa
3%
33/1-
Man City / Man City
33%
13/8
4%
-
Man City / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City77001221 
Oct 24
May 23
-
-
2
Arsenal7601618 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
Jan 30
Nov 29
3
Brighton75111816 
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
Oct 31
Jan 23
4
Chelsea7412413 
Feb 27
Dec 19
Dec 12
Apr 24
5
Liverpool7331112 
Dec 30
Mar 3
May 8
w
 
0-3F
6
Brentford7241510 
d
 
2-2A
May 8
May 1
Dec 5
7
Leeds7241310 
Dec 26
Feb 20
Dec 2
Jan 6
8
Everton7241110 
Dec 2
Jan 5
Mar 3
Dec 29
9
Hull723219 
Mar 13
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 19
Feb 27
10
Ipswich7304-49 
Jan 30
Nov 28
w
 
3-2F
May 15
11
Newcastle7223-48 
May 15
w
 
0-1F
Feb 20
Dec 26
12
A Villa7223-48 
-
-
May 23
Oct 24
13
Man Utd714207 
Jan 16
Nov 8
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
14
C Palace7214-87 
Dec 5
May 1
Apr 17
w
 
1-4F
15
Bournemouth7133-46 
Feb 10
Jan 2
w
 
2-1A
Apr 10
16
Coventry6204-66 
Apr 24
Dec 12
w
 
1-0F
Mar 13
17
Fulham7124-35 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Nov 21
Feb 6
18
Nottm Forest7124-45 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 20
Jan 16
Nov 7
19
Sunderland7115-84 
Nov 21
Feb 6
w
 
5-3F
May 30
20
Spurs6033-63 
May 30
w
 
2-3F
Jan 3
Feb 10
Win / draw / win form
3
Man City have won 3 consecutive away league games
A Villa 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 2Brentford
A Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa4 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 2Spurs
A Villa4 - 3Sunderland
A Villa2 - 0West Ham
A Villa1 - 4Chelsea
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa1 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 2Brentford
AA Villa3 - 2Spurs
HA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa0 - 0Hull
HA Villa0 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa0 - 4Brighton
AA Villa2 - 1Man City
HA Villa4 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa2 - 2Burnley
HA Villa1 - 2Spurs
AA Villa0 - 1Fulham
HA Villa4 - 3Sunderland
AA Villa1 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa2 - 0West Ham
AA Villa1 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 4Chelsea
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1Leeds
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
Man City 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool0 - 3Man City
Man Utd0 - 1Man City
C Palace1 - 4Man City
Bournemouth1 - 1Man City
Everton3 - 3Man City
Burnley0 - 1Man City
Chelsea0 - 3Man City
West Ham1 - 1Man City
Leeds0 - 1Man City
Liverpool1 - 2Man City
Spurs2 - 2Man City
Man Utd2 - 0Man City
Sunderland0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 2Man City
C Palace0 - 3Man City
Fulham4 - 5Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Man City
Brentford0 - 1Man City
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City3 - 2Ipswich
AMan City3 - 0Liverpool
HMan City5 - 3Sunderland
AMan City1 - 0Man Utd
HMan City1 - 0Coventry
AMan City4 - 1C Palace
HMan City2 - 1Bournemouth
HMan City1 - 2A Villa
AMan City1 - 1Bournemouth
HMan City3 - 0C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Brentford
AMan City3 - 3Everton
AMan City1 - 0Burnley
HMan City2 - 1Arsenal
AMan City3 - 0Chelsea
AMan City1 - 1West Ham
HMan City2 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Villa have beaten Man City in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Man City
Goals: Scored
28
34
Games: Scored
19 / 26
20 / 26
Clean sheets
6 / 26
7 / 26
AVL
8
D
8
MCI
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man City
1 - 2Man City
1 - 6Man City
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
1 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
A Villa
Goals: Scored
68
22
Games: Scored
25 / 26
15 / 26
Clean sheets
11 / 26
1 / 26
AVL
3
D
2
MCI
21
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
1 - 2A Villa
Man City2 - 1
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 2
Man City4 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City1 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
1 - 3A Villa
Man City1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. This run could continue, with Manchester City's PG an impressive 2.1.

A Villa 12th Man City 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
A Villa have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.2
2.1
Attack rating
AVL
MCI
60%
better
view stats
Games scored3
6
Failed to score3
0
Scored first1
5
Goals scored6
16
Avg. goals scored0.9
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for12
27
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
AVL
MCI
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded11
5
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%

A Villa v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7223
V LindelöfN JacksonJ McGinnM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Lindelöf DEF7
-
R Barkley MID7
-
E Buendía MID71
1
-
B Kamara MID71
-
J McGinn MID712
2
-
Z Suzuki GLK6
-
M Cash DEF6
3
-
T Mings DEF6
1
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF6
-
N Jackson FWD62
2
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD61
2
-
G. Hemmings FWD5
-
P Torres DEF4
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
-
I Maatsen DEF4
1
-
J Gomes MID41
2
1
J. Manzambi MID422
-
I. Mbaye FWD4
-
T Abraham FWD4
-
A Garnacho FWD3
-
M Bizot GLK1
-
L Goretzka MID1
-
L Bogarde MID1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7842
G DonnarummaE HaalandJ GvardiolJ Gvardiol
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK7
-
J Gvardiol DEF714
2
-
R Dias DEF7
-
M Guéhi DEF711
-
E Anderson MID71
1
-
E Haaland FWD78
-
A Semenyo FWD723
-
N. O'Reilly DEF6
1
-
R Cherki MID642
1
-
M Nunes DEF5
-
E Fernández MID51
1
-
P Foden MID512
1
1
I Ndiaye FWD51
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID4
1
-
M Kovacic MID31
-
J Doku FWD311
-
R. McAidoo FWD2
-
R Lewis DEF1
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF1
-
A. Andrade Elias FWD1
-