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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

the Etihad Stadium masses welcome Brighton and Hove Albion's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Pep Guardiola's Manchester City clash with Fabian Hürzeler's team in the English Premier League. We have odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Manchester City's next match is v Bournemouth at 16:30 on Sunday 30th March
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Nottm Forest at 17:15 on Saturday 29th March
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and Brighton was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English Premier League
March 15th 2025
Man City 2
2 Brighton
 
E. Haaland 11'21' P. Estupiñán Tenorio
O. Marmoush 39'48' (OG)A. Khusanov
 
MCI
BHA
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
7
10
Corners
4
5
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
10
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
Man CityBrighton
 
S. Ortega Moreno
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
R. Lewis
A. Khusanovfootball icon
J. Gvardiol
İ. Gündoğan
N. González Iglesias
O. Marmoushfootball icon (K. De Bruyne 86')
S. Moreira de Oliveira (B. Silva 58')
J. Doku
E. Haalandfootball icon
B. Verbruggen
A. Webster
football iconP. Estupiñán Tenorio
J. van Hecke
J. Hinshelwood
(Y. Ayari 75') D. Gómez Amarilla
(M. Wieffer 87') C. Noom Quomah
(B. Gruda 83') Y. Minteh
(D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck 75') G. Rutter
J. Junqueira de Jesus
(S. Adingra 83') K. Mitoma

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Man City and Brighton to score 3 goals or more combined during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
49%
4/5
24%
4/5
25%
Draw
22%
31/10
18%
3/1
17%
Brighton
29%
29/10
35%
29/10
35%
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
10%
13/2
12%
Man City 2-1
9%
17/27/1
7%
Brighton 2-1
7%
14/1
29%
10/1
27%
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1
32%
9/1
23%
Man City 1-0
6%
12/1
37%
17/2
27%
Man City 2-0
6%
12/1
53%
9/1
33%
Man City 3-1
6%
14/1
25%
10/1
16%
Brighton 1-0
5%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Man City 3-0
4%
18/1
73%
12/1
37%
Brighton 2-0
4%
25/1
37%
18/1
17%
Brighton 3-1
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
28%
Brighton 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
18/1
34%
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
12%
12/1
Man City 4-1
3%
25/1
24%
16/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2
4%
10/21
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8
10%
6/4
9%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/4
26%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1/2
14%
10/21
15%
BTTS - No
34%
6/4
25%
6/4
25%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
2/1
4%
15/8
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
25%
17/5
20%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5/1
37%
9/2
39%
Home/draw
71%
1/4
12%
1/4
12%
Away/draw
51%
19/20
26%
19/20
28%
Home/away
78%
2/9
4%
1/4
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
10%
4/1
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5
8%
11/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/6
6%
13/20
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/4
13%
5/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/7
6%
2/7
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/2
19%
5/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/9
3%
1/9
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/112/1
Home DNB
64%
4/11
15%
4/11
16%
Away DNB
45%
2/1
33%
19/10
37%
Man City win to nil
20%
3/1
53%
-
Brighton win to nil
11%
8/1
18%
-
Man City / Man City
29%
15/8
31%
17/10
29%
Man City / Brighton
3%
28/1
29%
22/1
32%
Man City / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
Draw / Man City
16%
9/2
22%
19/5
14%
Draw / Brighton
9%
17/2
37%
15/2
29%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
7%
5/1
14%
Brighton / Man City
5%
18/114/1
Brighton / Brighton
13%
11/2
46%
5/1
33%
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Brighton are in 7th position in the Premier League on 46 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Brighton have conceded 18 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2921714270 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
2
Arsenal29161032958 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Nottm Forest2916671454 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
4
Chelsea2914781649 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
5
Man City Home2914691548 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
6
Newcastle281459947 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
0-1F
7
Brighton Away2912116647 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
Fulham291298545 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
9
A Villa291298-445 
Apr 28
l
 
2-1A
Apr 2
d
 
2-2F
10
Bournemouth2912891244 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Brentford2912512541 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
12
C Palace281099339 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 5
13
Man Utd2910712-337 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
14
Spurs29104151234 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
May 25
15
Everton297139-434 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
16
West Ham299713-1634 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
17
Wolves297517-1826 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 10
18
Ipswich293818-3417 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
19
Leicester294520-4017 
Apr 2
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
20
Southampton292324-499 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Man City 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Brighton 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Man City have beaten Brighton in 7 consecutive home league meetings
7
Man City have not lost to Brighton in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man City since 2018
Man City
Brighton
Goals: Scored
18
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
MCI
7
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
8
23
Games: Scored
5 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
3 / 8
MCI
5
D
1
BHA
2
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Brighton and Hove Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Manchester City have conceded in each of their last 6 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.5 for F. Hürzeler's side suggests that run should continue.

Man City 5th Brighton 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278082/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2
1.5
Attack rating
3%
better
MCI
BHA
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score4
4
Scored first15
16
Goals scored53
46
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
4%
better
MCI
BHA
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded38
40
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%

Man City v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282175
E HaalandE HaalandS SávioR Lewis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK10
1
-
R Lewis DEF2312
4
1
A. Khusanov DEF6
1
-
R Dias DEF18
3
-
J Gvardiol DEF285
1
-
I Gündogan MID253
1
-
N González  MID5
1
-
S Sávio MID2417
3
-
O Marmoush MID74
-
J Doku MID2035
1
-
E Haaland FWD28213
2
-
Subs
S Carson GLK
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF
-
M Nunes MID194
3
-
P Foden MID2472
2
-
J McAtee MID102
-
M Kovacic MID2441
5
-
J Grealish MID161
3
-
K Bruyne MID2026
2
-
B Silva MID2624
5
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27868
B VerbruggenJ Pedro J Pedro C Quomah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK271
6
-
J Hinshelwood DEF172
3
-
J Hecke DEF2711
5
-
A Webster DEF11
-
P Estupiñán DEF2211
3
-
C Quomah MID2521
7
1
D Amarilla MID7
-
Y Minteh MID2453
6
-
G Rutter MID2854
2
-
K Mitoma MID2974
1
-
J Pedro  FWD2386
4
-
Subs
C Rushworth GLK
-
E Cashin DEF
-
J Slater DEF
-
B Gruda MID131
-
Y Ayari MID251
3
-
M Wieffer MID1712
4
-
J. Knight MID
-
S Adingra FWD2021
-
D Welbeck FWD2274
2
-