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Sunderland v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 16:30 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

It's a long trek for Daniel Farke's Leeds United side on Sunday afternoon, as they make their way to the Stadium of Light for a English Premier League tie with Régis Le Bris's Sunderland. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Sunderland and Leeds have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
34%
9/5
3%
-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Leeds
39%
29/20
3%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Leeds 1-0
10%
15/2-
Sunderland 1-0
10%
17/2-
Leeds 2-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-
Sunderland 2-1
8%
11/1-
Leeds 2-0
7%
12/1-
Sunderland 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Leeds 3-1
4%
22/1-
Sunderland 3-1
3%
25/1-
Leeds 3-0
3%
25/1-
Sunderland 3-0
2%
33/1-
Leeds 3-2
2%
33/1-
Sunderland 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
47%
21/20
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5-
BTTS - No
48%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1-
Home/draw
61%
8/15-
Away/draw
66%
2/5-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-
Home DNB
53%
1/1-
Away DNB
58%
8/11-
Sunderland win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-
Leeds win to nil
22%
3/1-
Sunderland / Sunderland
18%
15/4
5%
-
Sunderland / Leeds
3%
28/1-
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sunderland
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Leeds
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Leeds / Sunderland
3%
33/1-
Leeds / Leeds
20%
10/3
8%
-
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City77001221 
May 30
l
 
5-3A
Jan 6
Dec 2
2
Arsenal7601618 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 20
May 8
l
 
2-1F
3
Brighton75111816 
l
 
0-2A
May 8
Mar 13
d
 
1-1F
4
Chelsea7412413 
Nov 8
Jan 16
Jan 23
Nov 21
5
Liverpool7331112 
Jan 5
Dec 2
Apr 24
Dec 12
6
Brentford7241510 
Mar 13
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 17
7
Leeds7241310 
Oct 25
May 23
-
-
8
Everton7241110 
Feb 20
Dec 26
Jan 1
Feb 10
9
Hull723219 
Jan 2
Feb 10
Mar 3
Dec 29
10
Ipswich7304-49 
Apr 10
l
 
2-1A
Dec 5
May 1
11
Newcastle7223-48 
May 1
Dec 5
w
 
4-1F
Mar 20
12
A Villa7223-48 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Feb 20
Dec 26
13
Man Utd714207 
Mar 3
Dec 30
d
 
1-1A
May 15
14
C Palace7214-87 
Dec 19
Feb 27
d
 
0-00-0
May 30
15
Bournemouth7133-46 
May 15
l
 
2-0A
Feb 6
Oct 31
16
Coventry6204-66 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Nov 28
Jan 30
17
Fulham7124-35 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 17
Dec 19
Feb 27
18
Nottm Forest7124-45 
Dec 12
Apr 24
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
19
Sunderland7115-84 
-
-
May 23
Oct 25
20
Spurs6033-63 
Nov 29
Jan 30
Nov 7
Jan 16
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland0 - 2Brighton
Sunderland0 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 0Fulham
Sunderland2 - 1Chelsea
Sunderland0 - 0Man Utd
Sunderland0 - 5Nottm Forest
Sunderland1 - 0Spurs
Sunderland0 - 1Brighton
Sunderland1 - 3Fulham
Sunderland0 - 1Liverpool
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Sunderland2 - 1C Palace
Sunderland0 - 0Man City
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Sunderland2 - 0Wolves
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland0 - 2Brighton
ASunderland3 - 5Man City
HSunderland0 - 2Arsenal
ASunderland1 - 1Brentford
HSunderland1 - 0Fulham
ASunderland1 - 2Ipswich
HSunderland2 - 1Chelsea
ASunderland3 - 1Everton
HSunderland0 - 0Man Utd
ASunderland1 - 1Wolves
HSunderland0 - 5Nottm Forest
ASunderland3 - 4A Villa
HSunderland1 - 0Spurs
ASunderland2 - 1Newcastle
HSunderland0 - 1Brighton
ASunderland1 - 0Leeds
ASunderland1 - 1Bournemouth
HSunderland1 - 3Fulham
HSunderland0 - 1Liverpool
ASunderland0 - 3Arsenal
Leeds 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal2 - 1Leeds
Brighton1 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest0 - 1Leeds
West Ham3 - 0Leeds
Spurs1 - 1Leeds
Bournemouth2 - 2Leeds
Man Utd1 - 2Leeds
C Palace0 - 0Leeds
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Everton1 - 1Leeds
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 2Arsenal
HLeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds4 - 1Newcastle
ALeeds1 - 1Brighton
HLeeds1 - 1Brentford
ALeeds1 - 0Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3West Ham
HLeeds1 - 0Brighton
ALeeds1 - 1Spurs
HLeeds3 - 1Burnley
ALeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
HLeeds3 - 0Wolves
ALeeds2 - 1Man Utd
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1997
Sunderland
Leeds
Goals: Scored
12
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
SUN
3
D
2
LEE
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
2 - 3Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
League games at Leeds since 1996
Leeds
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
5 / 11
SUN
4
D
2
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Sunderland 19th Leeds 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Sunderland have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
SUN
LEE
33%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
4
Goals scored6
8
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
SUN
LEE
47%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded12
5
Avg. goals conceded2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
12
Conversion rate against24%
8%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+47%

Sunderland v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6312
R RoefsB BrobbeyT MeunierG Xhaka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK6
-
T Meunier DEF61
-
E Fée MID611
-
N Sadiki MID6
1
-
G Xhaka MID6
2
-
W Isidor FWD61
-
N Angulo FWD611
1
-
T Hume DEF5
-
D Ballard DEF5
2
-
N Mukiele DEF5
1
-
R Mandava DEF5
1
1
B Brobbey FWD53
1
-
K Danso DEF4
-
M Fofana FWD4
-
D. Methalie DEF2
1
-
C Rigg MID2
-
H Diarra MID21
-
O Alderete DEF1
-
L O'Nien DEF1
1
-
R Mundle FWD1
-
D. Bi FWD1
-
C Talbi FWD1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6313
J TraffordD Calvert-LewinT MuharemovićD Calvert-Lewin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK6
-
T Muharemović DEF61
1
-
J Bogle  DEF61
2
-
J Justin  DEF611
1
-
E Ampadu MID6
1
-
A Stach MID61
-
B Aaronson MID6
-
N Okafor FWD61
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD631
3
-
N Elvedi DEF5
-
A Tanaka MID51
2
-
H Wilson FWD5
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD51
-
J Bijol DEF4
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF41
-
D James FWD3
-
J Rodon DEF2
-
S Longstaff MID2
-
J Bahoya FWD2
-
M Bard DEF1
-