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Chelsea v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th May, 20:15 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Friday night sees Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea and Ruben Amorim’s Manchester United go up against one another in a English Premier League battle at the Stamford Bridge. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Chelsea to win

We are predicting Chelsea will come out on top after 90 minutes on Friday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when the game draws to a close at Stamford Bridge.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
61%
1.33
2%
-
Draw
21%
5.50
5%
-
Man Utd
18%
7.00-
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.50-
Draw 1-1
10%
12.00-
Chelsea 2-0
10%
8.50
6%
-
Chelsea 1-0
9%
11.00
16%
-
Chelsea 3-1
7%
11.00
8%
-
Chelsea 3-0
7%
10.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
21.00-
Man Utd 2-1
5%
23.00-
Man Utd 1-0
5%
26.00
13%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
21.00
11%
-
Chelsea 3-2
4%
23.00
12%
-
Chelsea 4-1
3%
19.00-
Chelsea 4-0
3%
17.00-
Man Utd 2-0
2%
41.00-
Chelsea 4-2
2%
34.00
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.44
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.75
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.25-
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.75-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.75
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
2.00
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2.62
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11.00
8%
-
Home/draw
82%
1.10-
Away/draw
39%
3.25-
Home/away
79%
1.14-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.14
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.50
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.10
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.73
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3.75
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.29
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6.50
7%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.11
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
19.00-
Home DNB
75%
1.12-
Away DNB
33%
6.00-
Chelsea win to nil
31%
2.50
5%
-
Man Utd win to nil
8%
15.00-
Chelsea / Chelsea
45%
1.91
2%
-
Chelsea / Man Utd
2%
41.00
20%
-
Chelsea / Draw
5%
19.00-
Draw / Chelsea
20%
4.33-
Draw / Man Utd
5%
19.00-
Draw / Draw
10%
9.00
6%
-
Man Utd / Chelsea
5%
19.00-
Man Utd / Man Utd
6%
15.00-
Man Utd / Draw
4%
21.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 18 games at home winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Man Utd are in 16th position in the Premier League on 39 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 5. Man Utd have conceded 45 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3625834683 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
2
Arsenal36181443368 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
3
Newcastle36206102366 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
4
Man City3619892465 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
5
Chelsea Home3618991963 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
May 16
6
A Villa361899763 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
7
Nottm Forest36188101262 
d
 
1-1A
May 25
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
8
Brentford36167131055 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-3F
9
Brighton3614139355 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Bournemouth361411111253 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
11
Fulham3614913151 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
C Palace36121311-249 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Everton3691512-542 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Wolves3612519-1341 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-6F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
West Ham36101016-1740 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
16
Man Utd Away3610917-1139 
May 16
d
 
1-1A
-
-
17
Spurs3611520438 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
18
Ipswich3641022-4222 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
19
Leicester365724-4722 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
Southampton362628-5712 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
9
Chelsea have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Chelsea2 - 1West Ham
Chelsea3 - 1Wolves
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1Brentford
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Chelsea4 - 2Brighton
Chelsea1 - 1C Palace
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Chelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea5 - 0West Ham
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea0 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea3 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 1Fulham
HChelsea2 - 2Ipswich
AChelsea0 - 0Brentford
HChelsea1 - 0Spurs
AChelsea0 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 0Leicester
HChelsea4 - 0Southampton
AChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea2 - 1West Ham
AChelsea1 - 3Man City
HChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea0 - 2Ipswich
HChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea0 - 0Everton
Man Utd 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Leicester0 - 3Man Utd
Everton2 - 2Man Utd
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Wolves2 - 0Man Utd
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 0Man Utd
Ipswich1 - 1Man Utd
West Ham2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
C Palace0 - 0Man Utd
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Brighton0 - 2Man Utd
C Palace4 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd0 - 2West Ham
AMan Utd3 - 4Brentford
AMan Utd1 - 1Bournemouth
HMan Utd0 - 1Wolves
AMan Utd1 - 4Newcastle
HMan Utd0 - 0Man City
AMan Utd0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan Utd3 - 0Leicester
HMan Utd1 - 1Arsenal
HMan Utd3 - 2Ipswich
AMan Utd2 - 2Everton
AMan Utd0 - 1Spurs
HMan Utd0 - 2C Palace
AMan Utd1 - 0Fulham
HMan Utd1 - 3Brighton
HMan Utd3 - 1Southampton
AMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
HMan Utd0 - 2Newcastle
AMan Utd0 - 2Wolves
HMan Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 1992
Chelsea
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
48
36
Games: Scored
26 / 32
20 / 32
Clean sheets
12 / 32
6 / 32
CHE
13
D
13
MNU
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea3 - 1
2 - 3Man Utd
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea5 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Man Utd
2 - 3Man Utd
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
48
32
Games: Scored
25 / 32
22 / 32
Clean sheets
10 / 32
7 / 32
CHE
6
D
13
MNU
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
0 - 3Chelsea
Draw3 - 3Draw
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd3 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Chelsea in their meeting with Manchester United, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 46 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Chelsea 5th Man Utd 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Man Utd have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278155/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
2
1
Attack rating
29%
better
CHE
MNU
view stats
Games scored29
22
Failed to score7
14
Scored first20
11
Goals scored62
42
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
12%
better
CHE
MNU
view stats
Games conceded27
27
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first14
22
Goals conceded43
53
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Chelsea v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3615810
M CaicedoC PalmerC PalmerM Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Caicedo MID3612
10
-
C Palmer MID35158
6
-
M Cucurella  DEF3441
9
1
E Fernández MID3467
8
-
L Colwill DEF3311
9
-
P Neto FWD3345
8
-
R Sánchez GLK30
5
-
M Gusto DEF301
4
-
J Sancho FWD3034
2
-
N Jackson FWD30105
7
1
N Madueke FWD3073
3
-
C Nkunku  FWD2732
4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF2011
3
-
R James  DEF171
1
-
W Fofana DEF14
10
-
R Lavia MID141
4
-
T Chalobah DEF131
2
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID121
-
T. George FWD711
1
-
M Mudryk FWD7
-
F Jörgensen GLK6
-
B Badiashile  DEF5
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
1
-
M Guiu FWD3
-
M. Amougou MID1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
338910
B FernandesB FernandesB FernandesM Ugarte
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mazraoui  DEF351
2
-
A Garnacho FWD3562
3
-
B Fernandes MID3489
3
2
A Onana GLK33
-
D Dalot DEF323
6
-
J Zirkzee FWD3231
2
-
R Höjlund FWD304
2
-
M Ligt DEF292
3
-
M Ugarte MID2812
10
-
H Maguire DEF251
7
-
A Diallo FWD2476
3
-
K Mainoo MID231
5
-
C Eriksen MID222
4
-
Casemiro MID221
3
-
L Yoro DEF21
6
-
L Martínez  DEF2021
7
-
M Mount  MID151
3
-
V Lindelöf DEF14
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF10
3
1
L Shaw DEF6
1
-
J Evans  DEF6
2
-
T. Collyer MID6
-
A Bayındır GLK3
-
A. Heaven DEF2
-