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Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Anfield, Liverpool

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Arne Slot’s Liverpool will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion are their opponents at the Anfield. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

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Liverpool's next match is v A Villa at 20:00 on Saturday 9th November
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Man City at 17:30 on Saturday 9th November
The last English Premier League meeting between Liverpool and Brighton was on Saturday 2nd November 2024
English Premier League
November 2nd 2024
Liverpool 2
1 Brighton
 
C. Gakpo 69'14' F. Kadıoğlu
M. Salah 72'
 
LIV
BHA
Shots On
8
5
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
9
7
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
10
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
LiverpoolBrighton
 
C. Kelleher
K. Tsimikas
T. Alexander-Arnold
I. Konaté (J. Gomez 46')
V. van Dijk
A. Mac Allister (C. Jones 66')
R. Gravenberch
D. Szoboszlai (L. Díaz Marulanda 66')
M. Salahfootball icon (C. Bradley 90')
D. Núñez Ribeiro (W. Endo 77')
C. Gakpofootball icon
B. Verbruggen
(B. Gruda 76') J. Veltman
P. Estupiñán Tenorio
J. van Hecke
(J. Moder 87') football iconF. Kadıoğlu
(E. Ferguson 88') J. Hinshelwood
I. dos Santos de Paulo
(M. Wieffer 76') Y. Ayari
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
G. Rutter
(S. Adingra 87') K. Mitoma

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Liverpool and Brighton will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Arne Slot or Fabian Hürzeler has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.17 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
55%
4/11
4%
2/5
3%
Draw
23%
17/4
17%
9/2
10%
Brighton
23%
13/26/1
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/1
26%
17/2
12%
Liverpool 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
13/2
Liverpool 1-0
10%
11/1
20%
17/2
19%
Liverpool 2-0
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Liverpool 3-1
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Brighton 2-1
6%
22/116/1
13%
Brighton 1-0
6%
28/1
12%
18/1
27%
Liverpool 3-0
5%
10/1
8%
17/2
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
22/1
35%
16/1
13%
Liverpool 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Brighton 2-0
3%
40/128/1
12%
Liverpool 4-1
3%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Liverpool 4-0
3%
16/1
11%
12/1
Brighton 3-1
2%
50/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
2/5
9%
4/11
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2/1
20%
19/10
18%
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/7
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/2-
No 1st Goal
3%
22/1
35%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/13
3%
3/5
6%
BTTS - No
44%
6/5
5%
5/4
10%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
7/5
13%
7/5
11%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1
9%
8/1
Home/draw
77%
1/101/10
1%
Away/draw
45%
2/1
9%
2/1
9%
Home/away
77%
1/6
1%
2/13
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/9
5%
1/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/2
30%
5/1
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
1/1
13%
10/11
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/5
11%
4/5
15%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/5
20%
2/1
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
4/11
9%
7/20
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/2
21%
17/4
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/7
4%
1/7
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
1/200
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Home DNB
71%
1/8
2%
2/15
2%
Away DNB
39%
5/1
9%
17/4
9%
Liverpool win to nil
28%
13/8-
Brighton win to nil
11%
14/1-
Liverpool / Liverpool
41%
1/1
9%
19/20
5%
Liverpool / Brighton
2%
40/128/1
15%
Liverpool / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Liverpool
19%
7/210/3
3%
Draw / Brighton
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2
19%
7/1
14%
Brighton / Liverpool
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Brighton / Brighton
8%
12/1
8%
17/2
6%
Brighton / Draw
5%
18/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Brighton are in 6th position in the Premier League on 16 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Brighton are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Brighton have conceded 5 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Liverpool Home108111325 
-
-
May 18
l
 
2-1F
Man City107211023 
Dec 1
Feb 22
Nov 9
Mar 15
Nottm Forest10541719 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 14
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
Chelsea10532818 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
Feb 15
l
 
4-2F
Arsenal10532618 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
A Villa10532218 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Apr 1
Dec 30
Spurs105141116 
Apr 26
Dec 22
w
 
3-2A
May 25
Brighton Away10442316 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
-
-
Fulham10433115 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Mar 8
Dec 5
Bournemouth10433115 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Feb 25
Nov 23
Newcastle10433015 
Feb 26
Dec 4
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Brentford10415-113 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 18
Dec 27
Apr 19
Man Utd10334-312 
Jan 5
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Jan 19
West Ham10325-611 
Apr 12
Dec 29
Apr 26
Dec 21
Leicester10244-410 
Dec 26
Apr 19
Apr 12
Dec 8
Everton10235-79 
Apr 2
Dec 7
Jan 25
w
 
0-3F
C Palace10145-57 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Dec 15
Apr 5
Ipswich10055-115 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 16
Southampton10118-124 
Mar 8
Nov 24
Nov 29
Feb 22
Wolves10037-133 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Brighton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 2018
Liverpool
Brighton
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
LIV
4
D
2
BHA
1
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
LIV
4
D
2
BHA
1
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Liverpool 1st Brighton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Brighton have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277889/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
5%
better
LIV
BHA
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score1
1
Scored first7
5
Goals scored17
16
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
40%
better
LIV
BHA
view stats
Games conceded4
6
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded5
12
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+40%

Liverpool v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10754
T Alexander-ArnoldM SalahM SalahA Allister
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK4
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF101
2
-
I Konaté DEF1011
3
-
V Dijk  DEF1011
1
-
K Tsimikas DEF6
-
D Szoboszlai MID101
3
-
R Gravenberch MID10
2
-
A Allister MID10
4
-
M Salah FWD1075
-
D Núñez FWD711
2
-
C Gakpo FWD1011
2
-
Subs
V Jaroš GLK1
-
J Gomez DEF3
-
A Robertson DEF9
1
-
J Quansah DEF1
-
C Bradley DEF5
-
W Endo MID3
-
C Jones MID711
-
T Morton MID
-
L Díaz  FWD1052
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10632
D WelbeckD WelbeckK MitomaB Verbruggen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK8
2
-
J Veltman DEF9
1
-
J Hecke DEF81
1
-
Igor DEF5
2
-
P Estupiñán DEF7
2
-
F Kadioglu MID61
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID91
2
-
Y Ayari MID8
1
-
K Mitoma MID1013
-
G Rutter MID923
1
-
D Welbeck FWD1062
1
-
Subs
J Steele GLK2
-
T Lamptey  DEF11
-
M Wieffer MID71
-
C Quomah MID811
1
-
B Gruda MID3
-
J Enciso MID7
-
S Adingra MID611
-
J Moder MID1
-
E Ferguson FWD51
-