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Brighton and Hove Albion v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Jan, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Scott Parker’s Burnley are their visitors to the Amex Stadium. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Brighton to win

A Premier League home win for Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Brighton win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
60%
8/158/15
Draw
20%
3/116/5
Burnley
19%
21/45/1
Brighton 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
15/27/1
Brighton 2-0
9%
15/213/2
Brighton 1-0
8%
15/26/1
Brighton 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Brighton 3-0
6%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/114/1
Burnley 2-1
5%
20/114/1
Burnley 1-0
4%
18/114/1
Brighton 3-2
4%
25/120/1
Brighton 4-1
4%
22/118/1
Draw 0-0
4%
12/110/1
Brighton 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Burnley 2-0
2%
40/122/1
Brighton 4-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
11/1021/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/94/9
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/811/5
No 1st Goal
2%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
40%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
32%
9/49/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
12%
10/117/2
Home/draw
81%
1/81/8
Away/draw
40%
11/829/20
Home/away
80%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
10/314/5
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
4/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
9/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/110/1
Home DNB
75%
2/112/11
Away DNB
34%
7/217/5
Brighton win to nil
28%
13/8-
Burnley win to nil
8%
10/1-
Brighton / Brighton
36%
13/106/5
Brighton / Burnley
2%
40/133/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Brighton
19%
7/210/3
Draw / Burnley
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Burnley / Brighton
4%
20/116/1
Burnley / Burnley
8%
10/115/2
Burnley / Draw
5%
18/114/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Brighton have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Brighton have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 12 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 35 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1914322545 
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City1813142640 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa191234739 
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
Liverpool181026432 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
5
Chelsea198651130 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
6
Man Utd19865430 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
7
Sunderland18774228 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
8
Everton19847028 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 4
9
Newcastle19757226 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Brentford18828226 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
11
C Palace18756126 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
12
Fulham18828-126 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
13
Spurs18747425 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
14
Brighton19676125 
-
-
Apr 11
Jan 3
15
Bournemouth19586-623 
Jan 19
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
16
Leeds18558-720 
w
 
3-0F
May 17
w
 
2-0F
May 2
17
Nottm Forest195311-1218 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham193511-1714 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley193313-1712 
Jan 3
Apr 11
-
-
20
Wolves190316-293 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton0 - 0Sunderland
Brighton1 - 1West Ham
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Brighton3 - 2West Ham
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
ABrighton1 - 1Wolves
ABrighton3 - 1Chelsea
HBrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 2Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton0 - 2Everton
HBrighton1 - 1Fulham
ABrighton4 - 1Spurs
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Burnley have not lost to Brighton in 7 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2002
Brighton
Burnley
Goals: Scored
10
14
Games: Scored
7 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
6 / 13
BHA
2
D
7
BRN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Burnley
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Burnley since 2002
Burnley
Brighton
Goals: Scored
11
15
Games: Scored
11 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
2 / 13
BHA
4
D
7
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Burnley1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Brighton
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Brighton
Goal Statistics
Brighton 14th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Brighton will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Burnley have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
BHA
BRN
view stats
Games scored14
12
Failed to score4
6
Scored first6
4
Goals scored26
19
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
17%
better
BHA
BRN
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded25
34
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
2.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Brighton v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19847
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK19
3
-
Y Minteh FWD1914
-
L Dunk DEF18
7
-
J Hecke DEF1831
4
-
F Kadioglu DEF18
4
-
D Welbeck FWD188
3
-
D Amarilla MID173
5
-
Y Ayari MID171
-
G Rutter FWD1713
2
-
M Cuyper DEF162
1
-
C Quomah MID16
4
-
M Wieffer MID163
4
-
B Gruda FWD1511
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID1111
-
J Veltman DEF101
3
-
J Milner  MID1011
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD101
1
-
K Mitoma FWD911
1
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
D Coppola DEF5
2
-
T Watson FWD4
-
O Boscagli DEF3
1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19546
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK19
-
K Walker DEF181
6
-
L Ugochukwu MID183
1
1
J Cullen MID1822
2
-
J Anthony FWD1841
3
-
M Estève DEF17
-
J Larsen  FWD171
-
J Laurent MID161
2
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
Florentino MID151
2
-
Z Flemming FWD1551
3
-
L Tchaouna FWD151
1
-
H Ekdal DEF13
-
H Mejbri MID131
3
-
A Broja  FWD1311
-
L Foster FWD1321
1
-
M Edwards FWD91
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF8
1
-
J Worrall DEF6
-
L Pires DEF5
1
O Sonne DEF51
-
M Trésor MID4
-
B Humphreys DEF3
-
A Barnes FWD2
-