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Brighton and Hove Albion v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 31st Aug, 14:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Pep Guardiola pays counterpart Fabian Hürzeler a visit on Sunday afternoon in the English Premier League, as their Manchester City and Brighton and Hove Albion charges go head to head at the Amex Stadium. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Man City ready themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both teams know they way to goal and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are aligned: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
23%
4.75-
Draw
22%
3.70-
Man City
56%
1.70-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00-
Man City 2-1
10%
9.50-
Man City 1-0
8%
11.00-
Man City 2-0
8%
11.00-
Man City 3-1
6%
13.00-
Brighton 2-1
6%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Man City 3-0
5%
17.00-
Brighton 1-0
5%
21.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Man City 3-2
4%
21.00-
Man City 4-1
3%
26.00-
Brighton 2-0
3%
29.00-
Man City 4-0
3%
29.00-
Brighton 3-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.57-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.38-
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.40-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.57-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.53-
BTTS - No
40%
2.38-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7.50-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.10-
Home/draw
44%
2.10-
Away/draw
77%
1.18-
Home/away
78%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.57-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.33-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Home DNB
38%
3.50-
Away DNB
71%
1.29-
Brighton win to nil
10%
10.00-
Man City win to nil
26%
3.50-
Brighton / Brighton
12%
7.50-
Brighton / Man City
4%
21.00-
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Brighton
8%
11.00-
Draw / Man City
17%
5.00-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
Man City / Brighton
3%
34.00-
Man City / Man City
33%
2.63-
Man City / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City110043 
Aug 31
Jan 7
-
-
2
Spurs110033 
Sep 20
Apr 18
Aug 23
Jan 31
3
Sunderland110033 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Dec 6
Dec 30
4
Liverpool110023 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Nov 8
Feb 7
5
Nottm Forest110023 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Mar 4
Dec 27
6
Arsenal110013 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Apr 18
Sep 21
7
Leeds110013 
Nov 1
May 17
Nov 29
Feb 28
8
Fulham101001 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
Feb 11
Dec 3
9
Brighton101001 
-
-
Jan 7
Aug 31
10
A Villa101001 
Dec 3
Feb 11
May 24
Oct 25
11
Chelsea101001 
Apr 25
Sep 27
Jan 3
Apr 11
12
Newcastle101001 
Oct 18
May 2
Feb 21
Nov 22
13
C Palace101001 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Mar 21
Dec 13
14
Everton1001-10 
Jan 31
Aug 24
Oct 18
May 2
15
Man Utd1001-10 
May 24
Oct 25
Sep 14
Jan 17
16
Bournemouth1001-20 
Jan 17
Sep 13
Nov 1
May 17
17
Brentford1001-20 
Nov 22
Feb 21
May 9
Oct 4
18
Burnley1001-30 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Sep 27
Apr 25
19
West Ham1001-30 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Dec 20
Mar 14
20
Wolves1001-40 
May 9
Oct 4
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
5
Brighton have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
5
Man City have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
5
Man City have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive away league games
Brighton 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Brighton3 - 2West Ham
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 2Wolves
Brighton3 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Brighton0 - 0Ipswich
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton1 - 1Fulham
ABrighton4 - 1Spurs
HBrighton3 - 2Liverpool
ABrighton2 - 0Wolves
HBrighton1 - 1Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 2West Ham
ABrighton2 - 4Brentford
HBrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 2C Palace
HBrighton0 - 3A Villa
ABrighton2 - 2Man City
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
HBrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton4 - 0Southampton
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton0 - 7Nottm Forest
HBrighton0 - 1Everton
ABrighton3 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton2 - 0Ipswich
HBrighton1 - 1Arsenal
Man City 1ST
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves0 - 4Man City
Fulham0 - 2Man City
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
AMan City2 - 2Brentford
HMan City4 - 1West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
8
23
Games: Scored
5 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
3 / 8
BHA
2
D
1
MCI
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 1
0 - 4Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Man City
Brighton3 - 2
0 - 5Man City
1 - 4Man City
0 - 2Man City
League games at Man City since 2018
Man City
Brighton
Goals: Scored
20
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
D
1
MCI
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City2 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 0
Man City1 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's defensive record is to be admired, Pep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Brighton and Hove Albion makes sense in this context.

Brighton 9th Man City 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.2
2
Attack rating
BHA
MCI
33%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored1
4
Avg. goals scored1
4
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
3
Conversion rate for11
36
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
BHA
MCI
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
0
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded1
0
Avg. goals conceded1
0
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
0
Conversion rate against17%
0%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+43%

Brighton v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1101
B VerbruggenM O'RileyF Kadioglu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK1
-
M Cuyper DEF1
-
J Hecke DEF1
-
F Kadioglu DEF1
1
-
L Dunk DEF1
-
J Milner  MID1
-
C Quomah MID1
-
Y Ayari MID1
-
M Wieffer MID1
-
M O'Riley MID11
-
D Amarilla MID1
1
-
K Mitoma FWD1
1
-
G Rutter FWD1
-
Y Minteh FWD1
-
D Welbeck FWD1
-
B Gruda FWD1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
J TraffordE HaalandR LewisN. O'Reilly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK1
-
J Stones DEF1
-
A. Khusanov DEF1
-
R Lewis DEF11
-
R Nouri DEF1
-
R Dias DEF1
-
N. O'Reilly MID1
1
-
O Bobb MID11
-
N González  MID1
-
M Nunes MID1
-
R Cherki MID11
-
T Reijnders MID111
1
-
B Silva MID1
-
J Doku FWD1
-
E Haaland FWD12
-
O Marmoush FWD1
-