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Brighton and Hove Albion v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th May, 16:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Fabian Hürzeler welcomes Michael Carrick to the Amex Stadium on Sunday afternoon, as their Brighton and Hove Albion and Manchester United sides meet in the English Premier League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for every one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Brighton and Man Utd have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
45%
2.10-
Draw
26%
3.70-
Man Utd
29%
3.10-
Draw 1-1
12%
8.00-
Brighton 1-0
11%
13.00-
Brighton 2-1
9%
10.00-
Man Utd 1-0
8%
17.00-
Brighton 2-0
8%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
17.00-
Man Utd 2-1
7%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
12.00-
Man Utd 2-0
5%
21.00-
Brighton 3-1
4%
17.00-
Brighton 3-0
4%
23.00-
Man Utd 3-1
3%
23.00-
Brighton 3-2
2%
21.00-
Man Utd 3-2
2%
26.00-
Man Utd 3-0
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.53-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
2.50-
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.10-
No 1st Goal
5%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.50-
BTTS - No
48%
2.50-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3.50-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5.00-
Home/draw
71%
1.36-
Away/draw
55%
1.70-
Home/away
74%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2.30-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.62-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.25-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
7.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.10-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17.00-
Home DNB
64%
1.57-
Away DNB
47%
2.25-
Brighton win to nil
25%
4.50-
Man Utd win to nil
15%
7.00-
Brighton / Brighton
25%
3.40-
Brighton / Man Utd
3%
26.00-
Brighton / Draw
7%
13.00-
Draw / Brighton
14%
6.00-
Draw / Man Utd
11%
8.00-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
Man Utd / Brighton
4%
21.00-
Man Utd / Man Utd
17%
5.00-
Man Utd / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Brighton have conceded 20 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 18 games at home, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 30 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Man Utd lay in 3rd place on 68 points in the Premier League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 11 and losing 5 games. They have scored 61 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man Utd have conceded 44 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Man Utd have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
2
Man City3623854377 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Man Utd37191171668 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
-
-
4
A Villa3718811662 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
5
Liverpool37178121059 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
4-4F
d
 
2-2F
7
Brighton37141112953 
-
-
w
 
4-2F
May 24
8
Brentford37141013352 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
Sunderland37131212-751 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Chelsea36131013649 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
11
Newcastle3714716049 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Everton37131014-249 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
13
Fulham3714716-649 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
14
Leeds37111412-447 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
15
C Palace37111214-945 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
16
Nottm Forest37111016-343 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
18
West Ham379919-2236 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Burnley364923-3621 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
20
Wolves3731024-4119 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
3
Brighton have won 3 consecutive home league games
Brighton 7TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton3 - 0Wolves
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton2 - 1Liverpool
Brighton0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
Brighton0 - 1C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Brighton0 - 0Sunderland
Brighton1 - 1West Ham
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton0 - 1Leeds
HBrighton3 - 0Wolves
ABrighton1 - 3Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton2 - 0Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Liverpool
ABrighton1 - 0Sunderland
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
Man Utd 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland0 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea0 - 1Man Utd
Bournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Man Utd
Everton0 - 1Man Utd
West Ham1 - 1Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 3Man Utd
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Leeds1 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
Wolves1 - 4Man Utd
C Palace1 - 2Man Utd
Spurs2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Brentford3 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Fulham1 - 1Man Utd
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd3 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan Utd0 - 0Sunderland
HMan Utd3 - 2Liverpool
HMan Utd2 - 1Brentford
AMan Utd1 - 0Chelsea
HMan Utd1 - 2Leeds
AMan Utd2 - 2Bournemouth
HMan Utd3 - 1A Villa
AMan Utd1 - 2Newcastle
HMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
AMan Utd1 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
HMan Utd2 - 0Spurs
HMan Utd3 - 2Fulham
AMan Utd3 - 2Arsenal
HMan Utd2 - 0Man City
AMan Utd2 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Leeds
HMan Utd1 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
BHA
5
MNU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 1
0 - 2Man Utd
Brighton1 - 0
Brighton4 - 0
2 - 3Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
Brighton3 - 2
Brighton1 - 0
League games at Man Utd since 2017
Man Utd
Brighton
Goals: Scored
17
13
Games: Scored
9 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
0 / 9
BHA
3
MNU
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd4 - 2
1 - 3Brighton
1 - 3Brighton
1 - 2Brighton
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Brighton 7th Man Utd 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
BHA
MNU
20%
better
view stats
Games scored29
32
Failed to score7
4
Scored first16
24
Goals scored52
63
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
7%
better
BHA
MNU
view stats
Games conceded26
29
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first18
11
Goals conceded42
48
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

Brighton v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3713410
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK37
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF361
6
-
D Welbeck FWD36131
5
-
J Hecke DEF3533
9
-
Y Minteh FWD3334
3
-
L Dunk DEF321
10
-
D Amarilla MID3151
9
-
G Rutter FWD3134
2
-
C Quomah MID30
5
-
M Cuyper DEF2923
2
-
Y Ayari MID2933
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID2643
-
M Wieffer DEF2523
8
-
K Mitoma FWD2531
5
-
J Veltman DEF241
5
-
C. Kostoulas FWD2021
2
-
J Milner  MID1911
2
-
P Groß MID1813
2
-
O Boscagli DEF121
2
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
M O'Riley MID61
-
S March FWD3
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
37112011
L ShawB SeskoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Shaw DEF3711
9
-
D Dalot DEF3413
5
-
Casemiro MID3492
10
1
B Fernandes MID34820
5
-
M Cunha FWD33102
4
-
B Mbeumo FWD32103
4
-
S Lammens GLK31
-
L Yoro DEF31
1
-
A Diallo FWD3122
2
-
B Sesko FWD30111
2
-
K Mainoo MID2712
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2533
5
-
J Zirkzee FWD2321
3
-
H Maguire DEF2212
3
1
M Ugarte MID22
1
-
M Mount  MID223
2
-
N Mazraoui  DEF19
3
-
A. Heaven DEF171
2
-
L Martínez  DEF17
1
M Ligt DEF131
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
T Malacia DEF2
-