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Arsenal v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 18th May, 20:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

It's a long trek for Scott Parker's Burnley side on Monday night, as they make their way to the Emirates Stadium for a English Premier League clash with Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our expansive database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Arsenal to win

As the stadium fills and the Arsenal players ready themselves for this match, the bookmakers are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Emirates Stadium has rarely been an easy place to go for Burnley in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Monday night. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.11.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
75%
1.081.11
Draw
16%
11.0010.00
Burnley
9%
26.0019.00
Arsenal 2-0
13%
7.006.50
Arsenal 1-0
10%
10.008.50
Arsenal 3-0
10%
6.506.00
Arsenal 2-1
9%
13.0011.00
Draw 1-1
8%
23.0017.00
Arsenal 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Arsenal 4-0
6%
8.508.00
Arsenal 4-1
4%
17.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
23.0021.00
Draw 2-2
3%
41.0029.00
Burnley 1-0
3%
41.0029.00
Arsenal 5-0
3%
13.0011.00
Burnley 2-1
3%
51.0034.00
Arsenal 3-2
3%
41.0029.00
Arsenal 5-1
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.361.36
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
3.202.88
Home 1st Goal
62%
1.171.13
Away 1st Goal
35%
4.756.00
No 1st Goal
3%
23.0019.00
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.502.60
BTTS - No
53%
1.501.44
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2.883.20
BTTS - Draw
12%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Away Win
5%
29.0026.00
Home/draw
91%
1.011.01
Away/draw
25%
8.006.50
Home/away
84%
1.051.05
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.111.11
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
6.506.00
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.001.95
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.801.80
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
3.203.00
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.361.35
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
5.505.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.141.15
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
23.0019.00
Home DNB
86%
1.031.01
Away DNB
20%
17.0015.00
Arsenal win to nil
44%
1.62-
Burnley win to nil
5%
26.00-
Arsenal / Arsenal
59%
1.441.40
Arsenal / Burnley
1%
81.0061.00
Arsenal / Draw
3%
29.0026.00
Draw / Arsenal
20%
4.004.50
Draw / Burnley
2%
41.0029.00
Draw / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Burnley / Arsenal
4%
23.0021.00
Burnley / Burnley
3%
41.0021.00
Burnley / Draw
2%
41.0026.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 36 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 18 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 68 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 18 games at home winning 14, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 40 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 21 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 45 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 71 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
May 18
2
Man City3623854377 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
3
Man Utd37191171668 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
4
A Villa3718811662 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
5
Liverpool37178121059 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
7
Brighton37141112953 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
8
Brentford37141013352 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1A
9
Sunderland37131212-751 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
10
Chelsea36131013649 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
11
Newcastle3714716049 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
12
Everton37131014-249 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
13
Fulham3714716-649 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
14
Leeds37111412-447 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
15
C Palace37111214-945 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
16
Nottm Forest37111016-343 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
18
West Ham379919-2236 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley364923-3621 
May 18
w
 
0-2F
-
-
20
Wolves3731024-4119 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Arsenal have won 3 consecutive league games
4
Burnley have lost 4 consecutive away league games
10
Burnley have not won in 10 consecutive league games
3
Arsenal have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal3 - 0Fulham
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Arsenal2 - 0Everton
Arsenal2 - 1Chelsea
Arsenal3 - 0Sunderland
Arsenal2 - 3Man Utd
Arsenal0 - 0Liverpool
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Wolves
Arsenal2 - 0Brentford
Arsenal4 - 1Spurs
Arsenal1 - 0C Palace
Arsenal2 - 0West Ham
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal1 - 0West Ham
HArsenal3 - 0Fulham
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal1 - 2Man City
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 0Everton
AArsenal1 - 0Brighton
HArsenal2 - 1Chelsea
AArsenal4 - 1Spurs
AArsenal2 - 2Wolves
AArsenal1 - 1Brentford
HArsenal3 - 0Sunderland
AArsenal4 - 0Leeds
HArsenal2 - 3Man Utd
AArsenal0 - 0Nottm Forest
HArsenal0 - 0Liverpool
AArsenal3 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal4 - 1A Villa
HArsenal2 - 1Brighton
AArsenal1 - 0Everton
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds3 - 1Burnley
Nottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
Fulham3 - 1Burnley
Everton2 - 0Burnley
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Arsenal have beaten Burnley in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Arsenal have not lost to Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arsenal since 2010
Arsenal
Burnley
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
ARS
7
D
1
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Burnley
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
3
16
Games: Scored
3 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
7 / 10
ARS
7
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Arsenal
0 - 5Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Burnley look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches, and it could be a long night for S. Parker's men.

Arsenal 1st Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Burnley have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.4
0.7
Attack rating
41%
better
ARS
BRN
view stats
Games scored33
23
Failed to score3
13
Scored first25
8
Goals scored68
37
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
50%
better
ARS
BRN
view stats
Games conceded18
32
Clean sheets18
4
Conceded first9
26
Goals conceded26
73
Avg. goals conceded0.7
2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+50%

Arsenal v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361465
D RayaV GyökeresL TrossardV Gyökeres
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK36
1
-
M Zubimendi MID3651
4
-
D Rice MID3545
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD34141
5
-
W Saliba DEF301
2
-
J Timber DEF3035
5
-
G Magalhães DEF3034
4
-
E Eze MID3072
1
-
L Trossard FWD3066
2
-
B Saka FWD3075
2
-
G Martinelli FWD2813
3
-
N Madueke FWD2521
-
R Calafiori DEF2412
5
-
P Hincapié DEF2312
2
-
M Ødegaard MID2316
-
M Merino MID2143
1
-
C Mosquera DEF18
4
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF18
3
-
G Jesus  FWD132
2
-
B White DEF121
-
K Havertz FWD1012
-
C Nörgaard MID6
-
M. Dowman FWD51
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351059
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK35
1
-
J Anthony FWD3582
4
-
K Walker DEF342
9
-
M Estève DEF33
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID3331
2
1
J Laurent MID321
7
1
Florentino MID292
6
-
L Tchaouna FWD272
2
-
Z Flemming FWD27101
4
-
J Larsen  FWD261
-
L Foster FWD2632
4
-
H Mejbri MID2514
8
-
A Broja  FWD2411
-
M Edwards FWD2213
-
Q Hartman DEF215
1
-
H Ekdal DEF19
-
B Humphreys DEF18
5
-
L Pires DEF18
1
J Cullen MID1822
2
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF121
1
-
J Worrall DEF111
-
J Ward-Prowse MID111
1
-
M Trésor MID6
-
A Barnes FWD6
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD2
-
M Weiß GLK1
-