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Manchester United v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 12:30 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira takes his Nottingham Forest side to the Old Trafford in the English Premier League on Sunday lunch time, with Michael Carrick's Manchester United their challengers. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Premier League showdown is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man Utd 51%	-	8/13
Draw 22%	-	18/5
Nottm Forest 26%	-	18/5
Draw 1-1 10%	-	15/2
Man Utd 2-1 10%	-	7/1
Man Utd 1-0 7%	-	7/1
Man Utd 2-0 7%	-	15/2
Nottm Forest 2-1 7%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	12/1
Man Utd 3-1 6%	-	10/1
Nottm Forest 1-0 5%	-	12/1
Man Utd 3-0 5%	-	10/1
Man Utd 3-2 4%	-	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	14/1
Nottm Forest 2-0 3%	-	20/1
Man Utd 4-1 3%	-	16/1
Nottm Forest 3-1 3%	-	25/1
Nottm Forest 3-2 3%	-	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	4/7
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	13/10
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	1/2
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	7/4
No 1st Goal 2%	-	12/1
BTTS - Yes 63%	-	4/6
BTTS - No 37%	-	11/10
BTTS - Home Win 29%	-	2/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	6/1
Home/draw 74%	-	1/5
Away/draw 49%	-	5/4
Home/away 78%	-	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	-	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	-	7/2
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	-	7/5
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	-	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	-	16/5
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	-	1/5
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	14/1
Home DNB 67%	-	1/4
Away DNB 42%	-	5/2
Man Utd win to nil 23%	-	-
Nottm Forest win to nil 11%	-	-
Man Utd / Man Utd 34%	-	13/10
Man Utd / Nottm Forest 3%	-	25/1
Man Utd / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Man Utd 16%	-	19/5
Draw / Nottm Forest 8%	-	9/1
Draw / Draw 11%	-	6/1
Nottm Forest / Man Utd 5%	-	16/1
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest 12%	-	11/2
Nottm Forest / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 10 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Nottm Forest are in 16th position in the Premier League on 39 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Nottm Forest have conceded 39 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Man Utd Nottm Forest
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	35	23	7	5	41	76	l 0-1A	w 2-3A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
2	Man City	33	21	7	5	37	70	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	d 2-2A
3	Man Utd	35	18	10	7	15	64	-	-	d 2-2A	May 17
4	Liverpool	35	17	7	11	12	58	w 3-2F	w 1-2F	l 0-1A	w 0-3F
5	A Villa	35	17	7	11	4	58	w 3-1F	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 3-1A
6	Bournemouth	35	12	16	7	3	52	d 4-4F	d 2-2F	May 24	l 2-0A
7	Brentford	35	14	9	12	6	51	w 2-1F	l 3-1A	w 3-1F	w 0-2F
8	Brighton	35	13	11	11	7	50	w 4-2F	May 24	l 0-2A	l 2-1A
9	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	8	48	w 2-1F	w 0-1F	l 0-3A	May 4
10	Fulham	35	14	6	15	-5	48	w 3-2F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
11	Everton	34	13	8	13	0	47	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	l 0-2A	l 3-0A
12	Sunderland	35	12	11	12	-9	47	w 2-0F	May 9	l 0-1A	w 0-5F
13	Newcastle	35	13	6	16	-2	45	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	May 10	l 2-0A
14	Leeds	35	10	13	12	-5	43	l 1-2A	d 1-1A	w 3-1A	l 3-1A
15	C Palace	34	11	10	13	-6	43	w 2-1A	w 1-2A	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
16	Nottm Forest	34	10	9	15	-4	39	May 17	d 2-2F	-	-
17	Spurs	35	9	10	16	-9	37	w 2-0F	d 2-2F	w 3-0F	w 0-3F
18	West Ham	35	9	9	17	-19	36	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	l 0-3A	w 1-2A
19	Burnley	35	4	8	23	-36	20	w 3-2F	d 2-2A	w 4-1A	d 1-1F
20	Wolves	35	3	9	23	-38	18	d 1-1F	w 1-4F	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd	3 - 2	Liverpool
Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
Man Utd	1 - 2	Leeds
Man Utd	3 - 1	A Villa
Man Utd	2 - 1	C Palace
Man Utd	2 - 0	Spurs
Man Utd	3 - 2	Fulham
Man Utd	2 - 0	Man City
Man Utd	1 - 1	Wolves
Man Utd	1 - 0	Newcastle
Man Utd	4 - 4	Bournemouth
Man Utd	1 - 1	West Ham
Man Utd	0 - 1	Everton
Man Utd	4 - 2	Brighton
Man Utd	2 - 0	Sunderland
Man Utd	2 - 1	Chelsea
Man Utd	3 - 2	Burnley
Man Utd	0 - 1	Arsenal
Man Utd	2 - 0	A Villa
Man Utd	0 - 2	West Ham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Man Utd	3 - 2	Liverpool
H	Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Man Utd	1 - 0	Chelsea
H	Man Utd	1 - 2	Leeds
A	Man Utd	2 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Man Utd	3 - 1	A Villa
A	Man Utd	1 - 2	Newcastle
H	Man Utd	2 - 1	C Palace
A	Man Utd	1 - 0	Everton
A	Man Utd	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Man Utd	2 - 0	Spurs
H	Man Utd	3 - 2	Fulham
A	Man Utd	3 - 2	Arsenal
H	Man Utd	2 - 0	Man City
A	Man Utd	2 - 2	Burnley
A	Man Utd	1 - 1	Leeds
H	Man Utd	1 - 1	Wolves
H	Man Utd	1 - 0	Newcastle
A	Man Utd	1 - 2	A Villa
H	Man Utd	4 - 4	Bournemouth

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland	0 - 5	Nottm Forest
Spurs	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
Man City	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
Brighton	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
Leeds	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
Brentford	0 - 2	Nottm Forest
West Ham	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
A Villa	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
Fulham	1 - 0	Nottm Forest
Everton	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
Wolves	0 - 1	Nottm Forest
Liverpool	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
Newcastle	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Arsenal	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
C Palace	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
West Ham	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
C Palace	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Spurs	1 - 2	Nottm Forest

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nottm Forest	5 - 0	Sunderland
H	Nottm Forest	4 - 1	Burnley
H	Nottm Forest	1 - 1	A Villa
A	Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Spurs
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 0	Fulham
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 2	Man City
A	Nottm Forest	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 0	Wolves
A	Nottm Forest	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Nottm Forest	1 - 1	C Palace
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 0	Brentford
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 0	Arsenal
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 1	West Ham
A	Nottm Forest	1 - 3	A Villa
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 2	Everton
H	Nottm Forest	1 - 2	Man City
A	Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Fulham
H	Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Spurs
A	Nottm Forest	0 - 3	Everton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Man Utd

Nottm Forest

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

0 / 8

MNU

NFO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
	2 - 3	Nottm Forest
Man Utd	3 - 2
Man Utd	3 - 0
Man Utd	3 - 0
Man Utd	4 - 1
Man Utd	5 - 0
	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
Man Utd	2 - 0

Nottm Forest

Man Utd

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

3 / 9

MNU

NFO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Nottm Forest	1 - 0
Nottm Forest	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Man Utd
	1 - 8	Man Utd
	0 - 4	Man Utd
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Man Utd

Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 22 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Nottingham Forest on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Man Utd 3rd	Nottm Forest 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+18 Nottm Forest have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

36%

better

MNU

NFO

view stats

Games scored	31		20
Failed to score	3		14
Scored first	23		9
Goals scored	60		41
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		14
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.2
KickOff rating		+36%

better

MNU

NFO

view stats

Games conceded	28		25
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	11		22
Goals conceded	46		45
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+1%

Man Utd v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	11	19	10
L Shaw	B Sesko	B Fernandes	Casemiro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Shaw DEF	35		1	8 -
D Dalot DEF	33	1	3	5 -
Casemiro MID	33	9	2	9 1
B Fernandes MID	32	8	19	5 -
L Yoro DEF	31			1 -
M Cunha FWD	31	9	2	3 -
B Sesko FWD	30	11	1	2 -
B Mbeumo FWD	30	9	3	4 -
S Lammens GLK	29			-
A Diallo FWD	29	2	2	2 -
K Mainoo MID	25	1	2	1 -
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF	23	3	3	5 -
M Ugarte MID	22			1 -
J Zirkzee FWD	21	2	1	2 -
H Maguire DEF	20	1	2	3 1
M Mount MID	20	3		1 -
N Mazraoui DEF	18			3 -
A. Heaven DEF	17		1	2 -
L Martínez DEF	15			1
M Ligt DEF	13	1		-
A Bayındır GLK	6			-
T Malacia DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	34	19	29
B Sesko	B Sesko	B Fernandes	B Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Sesko FWD	11	34	1
Casemiro MID	9	19	2	4
M Cunha FWD	9	33	2	3
B Mbeumo FWD	9	30	3	5
B Fernandes MID	8	22	19	29
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF	3	8	3	5
M Mount MID	3	5		1
A Diallo FWD	2	20	2	5
J Zirkzee FWD	2	7	1	2
D Dalot DEF	1	6	3	5
K Mainoo MID	1	3	2	2
H Maguire DEF	1	4	2	2
M Ligt DEF	1	3		2
L Shaw DEF		2	1	2
L Yoro DEF		3
M Ugarte MID		1
N Mazraoui DEF		1
A. Heaven DEF			1	1
L Martínez DEF				1
A Bayındır GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1824	88	184
B Fernandes	Casemiro	Casemiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Fernandes MID	1824	51	120
L Shaw DEF	1612	71	160
Casemiro MID	1546	88	184
D Dalot DEF	1092	49	128
L Yoro DEF	985	31	82
K Mainoo MID	867	34	82
S Lammens GLK	855	1	13
A Diallo FWD	827	36	118
M Cunha FWD	816	37	155
B Mbeumo FWD	761	25	82
L Martínez DEF	761	14	38
H Maguire DEF	714	18	87
M Ligt DEF	612	19	74
M Ugarte MID	502	46	80
A. Heaven DEF	495	22	55
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF	471	47	141
N Mazraoui DEF	468	25	59
M Mount MID	342	17	37
B Sesko FWD	306	5	85
J Zirkzee FWD	216	9	36
A Bayındır GLK	177		5
T Malacia DEF	7	1	1

Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	13	4	7
N Milenković	M Gibbs-White	I Jesus	E Anderson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Milenković DEF	34			6 -
E Anderson MID	34	3	2	7 -
M Gibbs-White MID	34	13	3	1 -
N Williams DEF	33	2	3	6 1
I Jesus FWD	33	5	4	1 -
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	30	3	4	-
M Sels GLK	27			2 -
O Hutchinson MID	27	1	4	1 -
I Sangaré MID	26	2	2	5 -
Murillo DEF	25	1		5 -
D Ndoye FWD	24	1	1	1 -
N Domínguez MID	23	1	1	3 -
R Yates MID	19		2	2 -
O Aina DEF	18		1	3 -
Morato DEF	17			4 -
N. Savona DEF	14	2		2 -
T Awoniyi FWD	13	2	1	1 -
C Wood FWD	11	3		-
D Bakwa FWD	11		1	1 -
J McAtee MID	10			1 -
John GLK	5			1 -
J Paula DEF	5			-
S Ortega GLK	3			-
L Netz DEF	3			-
L Lucca FWD	3	1		-
Z Abbott DEF	2			-
A Gunn GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	28	4	6
M Gibbs-White	M Gibbs-White	I Jesus	E Anderson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Gibbs-White MID	13	28	3	4
I Jesus FWD	5	16	4	5
E Anderson MID	3	9	2	6
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	3	10	4	5
C Wood FWD	3	8
N Williams DEF	2	18	3	6
I Sangaré MID	2	5	2	2
N. Savona DEF	2	3		1
T Awoniyi FWD	2	5	1	2
O Hutchinson MID	1	12	4	6
Murillo DEF	1	4		1
D Ndoye FWD	1	4	1	2
N Domínguez MID	1	5	1	2
L Lucca FWD	1	1
N Milenković DEF		1		1
R Yates MID		1	2
O Aina DEF		1	1
Morato DEF		1
D Bakwa FWD		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2159	95	274
E Anderson	E Anderson	E Anderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Anderson MID	2159	95	274
N Milenković DEF	1374	30	129
N Williams DEF	1184	84	196
Murillo DEF	1132	35	74
M Gibbs-White MID	1131	20	121
I Sangaré MID	903	58	108
M Sels GLK	677	1	11
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	656	16	60
O Aina DEF	628	31	86
Morato DEF	595	25	54
O Hutchinson MID	470	19	86
N Domínguez MID	413	46	72
N. Savona DEF	399	21	35
I Jesus FWD	370	21	143
D Ndoye FWD	282	23	69
R Yates MID	192	12	39
J Paula DEF	143	4	12
D Bakwa FWD	142	4	17
John GLK	130
C Wood FWD	112	1	27
J McAtee MID	73	4	11
S Ortega GLK	68		1
Z Abbott DEF	46	2	10
T Awoniyi FWD	45	1	14
L Netz DEF	30	1	2
A Gunn GLK	19
L Lucca FWD	13		6