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Burnley v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and their manager Scott Parker will be hoping for victory against Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Turf Moor in the English Premier League. In this preview you'll find the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Burnley's next match is v Arsenal at 20:00 on Monday 18th May
Aston Villa's next match is v Freiburg at 20:00 on Wednesday 20th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Burnley and A Villa was on Sunday 10th May 2026
English Premier League
May 10th 2026
Burnley 2
2 A Villa
 
J. Anthony 8'42' R. Barkley
Z. Flemming 58'56' O. Watkins
 
BRN
AVL
Shots On
6
7
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
2
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
18
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
BurnleyA Villa
 
K. Walker
M. Esteve
A. Tuanzebe
C. Ugochukwu (J. Laurent 79')
J. Anthonyfootball icon (J. Bruun Larsen 87')
M. Weiß
L. Pires Silva
F. Morris Luís (J. Ward-Prowse 87')
H. Mejbri (L. Foster 69')
L. Tchaouna
Z. Flemmingfootball icon (M. Amdouni 79')
 (L. Bogarde 80') M. Cash
(E. Buendía 74') V. Nilsson Lindelöf
E. Konsa Ngoyo
T. Mings
(D. Soares de Paulo 80') football iconR. Barkley
(L. Bailey Butler 85') J. McGinn
Y. Tielemans
football iconO. Watkins
D. Martínez
(L. Digne 74') I. Maatsen
M. Rogers

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Burnley or A Villa are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
25%
21/418/1
Draw
24%
7/21/9
A Villa
51%
12/2517/2
Draw 1-1
11%
8/15/2
A Villa 1-0
10%
15/26/1
A Villa 2-1
10%
8/123/10
A Villa 2-0
9%
7/16/1
Burnley 1-0
7%
18/113/2
Burnley 2-1
6%
20/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
A Villa 3-1
5%
12/15/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/14/11
A Villa 3-0
5%
11/19/1
Burnley 2-0
4%
40/110/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
25/110/3
Burnley 3-1
2%
50/133/1
A Villa 4-1
2%
22/112/1
A Villa 4-0
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/112/7
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1012/5
Home 1st Goal
44%
15/811/5
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/92/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/52/11
BTTS - No
45%
19/2010/3
BTTS - Home Win
13%
10/110/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/21/3
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/511/4
Home/draw
49%
13/81/18
Away/draw
75%
1/81/150
Home/away
76%
2/1111/2
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/91/12
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/36/1
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/45/4
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/94/7
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/61/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/140/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
42%
4/116/5
Away DNB
68%
1/62/11
Burnley win to nil
12%
10/1-
A Villa win to nil
26%
6/4-
Burnley / Burnley
8%
10/125/1
Burnley / A Villa
4%
20/133/1
Burnley / Draw
5%
18/128/1
Draw / Burnley
7%
12/115/2
Draw / A Villa
19%
7/21/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/121/10
A Villa / Burnley
2%
40/160/1
A Villa / A Villa
37%
5/411/2
A Villa / Draw
5%
16/128/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 69 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 5th place on 58 points in the Premier League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 7 and losing 8 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 9 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 17 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
l
 
0-2A
May 18
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
2
Man City3623854377 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
Man Utd37191171668 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
A Villa3718811662 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
5
Liverpool37178121059 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
7
Brighton37141112953 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
8
Brentford37141013352 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Sunderland37131212-751 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1F
10
Chelsea36131013649 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
11
Newcastle3714716049 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
12
Everton37131014-249 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Fulham3714716-649 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Leeds37111412-447 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
15
C Palace37111214-945 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nottm Forest37111016-343 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
18
West Ham379919-2236 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
19
Burnley364923-3621 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
20
Wolves3731024-4119 
May 24
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley0 - 1Man City
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 4Brentford
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Burnley2 - 2Spurs
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fulham1 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
Man Utd3 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth1 - 1A Villa
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
C Palace0 - 0A Villa
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
West Ham2 - 3A Villa
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 2Spurs
AA Villa0 - 1Fulham
HA Villa4 - 3Sunderland
AA Villa1 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa2 - 0West Ham
AA Villa1 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 4Chelsea
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1Leeds
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Villa have beaten Burnley in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
A Villa have not lost to Burnley in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
A Villa
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
BRN
1
D
2
AVL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
1 - 3A Villa
1 - 3A Villa
Burnley3 - 2
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A Villa since 2010
A Villa
Burnley
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
BRN
1
D
3
AVL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Burnley
A Villa5 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Burnley of late. It has been 7 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Aston Villa.

Aston Villa's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 5 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.7 for U. Emery Etxegoien's side suggests that run should continue.

Burnley 19th A Villa 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
A Villa have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
BRN
AVL
21%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score13
10
Scored first7
14
Goals scored35
48
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
BRN
AVL
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
26
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first26
18
Goals conceded71
44
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Burnley v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351059
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK1
-
K Walker DEF342
9
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF121
1
-
M Estève DEF33
1
-
L Pires DEF18
1
Florentino MID292
6
-
L Ugochukwu MID3331
2
1
L Tchaouna MID272
2
-
H Mejbri MID2514
8
-
J Anthony MID3582
4
-
Z Flemming FWD27101
4
-
Subs
M Dúbravka GLK35
1
-
Q Hartman DEF215
1
-
B Humphreys DEF18
5
-
J Ward-Prowse MID111
1
-
J Laurent MID321
7
1
J Larsen  FWD261
-
L Foster FWD2632
4
-
Z Amdouni FWD2
-
A Broja  FWD2411
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371479
M RogersO WatkinsL DigneM Cash
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK321
2
-
M Cash DEF3433
9
-
E Konsa DEF34
1
T Mings DEF16
1
-
I Maatsen DEF291
2
-
V Lindelöf MID161
-
R Barkley MID203
1
-
J McGinn MID2954
5
-
Y Tielemans MID244
-
M Rogers MID37106
7
-
O Watkins FWD36143
4
-
Subs
M Bizot GLK6
2
-
L Digne DEF317
3
-
P Torres DEF20
1
-
E Buendía MID3562
6
-
D Luiz MID121
1
-
L Bogarde MID27
5
-
L Bailey FWD121
1
-
T Abraham FWD122
-
J Sancho FWD232
-