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Burnley v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 14:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Scott Parker's Burnley side enjoy home advantage in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa travel to the Turf Moor. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 33%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
A Villa 41%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
A Villa 1-0 10%	-	-
A Villa 2-1 9%	-	-
Burnley 1-0 9%	-	-
Burnley 2-1 8%	-	-
A Villa 2-0 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Burnley 2-0 5%	-	-
A Villa 3-1 4%	-	-
A Villa 3-0 3%	-	-
Burnley 3-1 3%	-	-
A Villa 3-2 3%	-	-
Burnley 3-2 2%	-	-
Burnley 3-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	-
BTTS - No 46%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	-	-
Home/draw 59%	-	-
Away/draw 67%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 51%	-	-
Away DNB 59%	-	-
Burnley win to nil 17%	-	-
A Villa win to nil 22%	-	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 66 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 5th place on 58 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 7 and losing 7 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 9 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 17 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	34	22	7	5	38	73	l 0-2A	May 17	w 2-1F	l 4-1A
2	Man City	33	21	7	5	37	70	l 0-1A	l 5-1A	w 1-0F	May 24
3	Man Utd	34	17	10	7	14	61	d 2-2F	l 3-2A	w 2-1A	l 3-1A
4	Liverpool	34	17	7	10	13	58	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	May 17	l 2-0A
5	A Villa	34	17	7	10	5	58	May 10	l 2-1A	-	-
6	Brighton	34	13	11	10	9	50	l 0-2A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	w 3-4A
7	Bournemouth	34	11	16	7	0	49	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	w 4-0F	d 1-1F
8	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	8	48	l 0-2A	d 1-1A	l 1-4F	w 1-2A
9	Brentford	34	13	9	12	3	48	l 3-4A	l 3-1A	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
10	Fulham	34	14	6	14	-2	48	l 2-3A	l 3-1F	w 3-1A	l 1-0A
11	Everton	34	13	8	13	0	47	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
12	Sunderland	34	12	10	12	-9	46	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	w 4-3F	d 1-1F
13	C Palace	33	11	10	12	-3	43	l 0-1A	w 2-3A	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0
14	Newcastle	34	12	6	16	-4	42	l 1-3A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
15	Leeds	34	9	13	12	-7	40	w 2-0F	May 1	d 1-1A	w 1-2A
16	Nottm Forest	34	10	9	15	-4	39	d 1-1A	l 4-1F	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	-16	36	l 0-2A	l 3-2F	w 2-0F	w 2-3A
18	Spurs	34	8	10	16	-10	34	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	May 3	w 1-2A
19	Burnley	34	4	8	22	-34	20	-	-	w 2-1F	May 10
20	Wolves	34	3	8	23	-38	17	May 24	w 2-3F	w 1-0F	l 2-0A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burnley have not won in 13 consecutive home league games

A Villa have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Burnley have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	0 - 1	Man City
Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
Burnley	0 - 0	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burnley	0 - 1	Man City
A	Burnley	1 - 4	Nottm Forest
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Fulham
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
H	Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Burnley	3 - 2	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
A	Burnley	0 - 3	Sunderland
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
H	Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 2	Newcastle

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fulham	1 - 0	A Villa
Nottm Forest	1 - 1	A Villa
Man Utd	3 - 1	A Villa
Wolves	2 - 0	A Villa
Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
Newcastle	0 - 2	A Villa
C Palace	0 - 0	A Villa
Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
West Ham	2 - 3	A Villa
Brighton	3 - 4	A Villa
Leeds	1 - 2	A Villa
Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa
Spurs	1 - 2	A Villa
Sunderland	1 - 1	A Villa
Everton	0 - 0	A Villa
Brentford	1 - 0	A Villa
Man Utd	2 - 0	A Villa
Bournemouth	0 - 1	A Villa
Man City	2 - 1	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Fulham
H	A Villa	4 - 3	Sunderland
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	A Villa	2 - 0	West Ham
A	A Villa	1 - 3	Man Utd
H	A Villa	1 - 4	Chelsea
A	A Villa	0 - 2	Wolves
H	A Villa	1 - 1	Leeds
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Brighton
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Brentford
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Newcastle
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Everton
A	A Villa	0 - 0	C Palace
H	A Villa	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	A Villa	1 - 4	Arsenal
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Man Utd
A	A Villa	3 - 2	West Ham
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Arsenal

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

A Villa have beaten Burnley in 3 consecutive league meetings

A Villa have not lost to Burnley in 5 consecutive league meetings

Burnley

A Villa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

BRN

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
	1 - 3	A Villa
	1 - 3	A Villa
Burnley	3 - 2
	1 - 2	A Villa
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

A Villa

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

2 / 7

BRN

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa	2 - 1
A Villa	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Burnley
A Villa	5 - 2

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Burnley of late. It has been 6 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Aston Villa.

	Burnley 19th	A Villa 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-17 A Villa have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

BRN

AVL

18%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		24
Failed to score	13		10
Scored first	7		14
Goals scored	34		47
Avg. goals scored	1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+18%

BRN

AVL

28%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		25
Clean sheets	4		9
Conceded first	25		17
Goals conceded	68		42
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+28%

Burnley v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	9	5	9
M Dúbravka	Z Flemming	Q Hartman	K Walker

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	34			1 -
J Anthony FWD	33	7	1	4 -
K Walker DEF	32		2	9 -
L Ugochukwu MID	32	3	1	2 1
M Estève DEF	31			1 -
J Laurent MID	30	1		7 1
Florentino MID	27		2	6 -
J Larsen FWD	25		1	-
L Tchaouna FWD	25	1		1 -
L Foster FWD	25	3	2	4 -
Z Flemming FWD	25	9	1	3 -
H Mejbri MID	23	1	3	7 -
A Broja FWD	23	1	1	-
M Edwards FWD	22	1	3	-
Q Hartman DEF	20		5	1 -
H Ekdal DEF	18			-
J Cullen MID	18	2	2	2 -
B Humphreys DEF	17			4 -
L Pires DEF	16			1
A Tuanzebe DEF	11	1		1 -
J Worrall DEF	11		1	-
J Ward-Prowse MID	9		1	1 -
M Trésor MID	6			-
A Barnes FWD	6			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	5	7
Z Flemming	J Anthony	Q Hartman	J Anthony

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Flemming FWD	9	19	1
J Anthony FWD	7	20	1	7
L Ugochukwu MID	3	7	1
L Foster FWD	3	6	2	2
J Cullen MID	2	6	2	4
J Laurent MID	1	4
L Tchaouna FWD	1	7		1
H Mejbri MID	1	4	3	4
A Broja FWD	1	6	1	1
M Edwards FWD	1	6	3	5
A Tuanzebe DEF	1	1
K Walker DEF			2	4
M Estève DEF		1		1
Florentino MID		1	2
J Larsen FWD		4	1	2
Q Hartman DEF		3	5	6
H Ekdal DEF		1
B Humphreys DEF		2		1
L Pires DEF		1		1
J Worrall DEF			1	1
J Ward-Prowse MID		1	1	5
A Barnes FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1241	80	126
K Walker	Florentino	K Walker

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Walker DEF	1241	47	126
M Estève DEF	1234	40	126
M Dúbravka GLK	1167	1	30
Florentino MID	902	80	117
J Cullen MID	866	31	66
J Anthony FWD	757	38	118
B Humphreys DEF	727	26	62
Q Hartman DEF	712	50	67
L Ugochukwu MID	708	48	108
J Laurent MID	614	44	87
H Ekdal DEF	613	21	74
A Tuanzebe DEF	445	12	33
L Pires DEF	443	24	41
H Mejbri MID	395	25	83
J Ward-Prowse MID	345	10	29
M Edwards FWD	322	11	44
J Larsen FWD	284	12	32
L Foster FWD	275	16	65
L Tchaouna FWD	267	15	45
Z Flemming FWD	231	12	97
J Worrall DEF	155	4	25
A Broja FWD	144	6	62
M Trésor MID	27	1	1
A Barnes FWD	11		8

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	11	6	8
M Rogers	O Watkins	L Digne	M Cash

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Rogers MID	34	9	5	6 -
O Watkins FWD	33	11	2	3 -
E Konsa DEF	32			1
E Buendía MID	32	5	2	6 -
M Cash DEF	31	3	2	8 -
E Martínez GLK	29			2 -
L Digne DEF	29		6	3 -
J McGinn MID	27	4	3	4 -
I Maatsen DEF	26		1	2 -
L Bogarde MID	25			5 -
A Onana MID	24	2		3 -
Y Tielemans MID	21		4	-
J Sancho FWD	21		2	-
P Torres DEF	19			1 -
B Kamara MID	18	1	3	5 -
R Barkley MID	17	2		-
T Mings DEF	14			-
V Lindelöf DEF	13		1	-
T Abraham FWD	11	2		-
D Luiz MID	10	1		1 -
L Bailey FWD	10		1	1 -
M Bizot GLK	6			2 -
A García DEF	5			-
H Elliot MID	4			-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	31	6	13
O Watkins	M Rogers	L Digne	M Rogers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Watkins FWD	11	31	2	4
M Rogers MID	9	31	5	13
E Buendía MID	5	10	2	3
J McGinn MID	4	9	3	6
M Cash DEF	3	10	2	4
A Onana MID	2	7		1
R Barkley MID	2	6		3
T Abraham FWD	2	3		1
B Kamara MID	1	4	3
D Luiz MID	1	3		2
E Konsa DEF		2		1
E Martínez GLK				1
L Digne DEF		5	6	4
I Maatsen DEF		5	1	4
Y Tielemans MID		5	4	5
J Sancho FWD		4	2	3
T Mings DEF		3		1
V Lindelöf DEF			1	1
L Bailey FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1972	57	142
E Konsa	M Cash	M Rogers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Konsa DEF	1972	21	94
M Cash DEF	1261	57	124
P Torres DEF	1114	22	58
E Martínez GLK	1091		26
M Rogers MID	978	35	142
Y Tielemans MID	970	49	108
A Onana MID	840	47	121
B Kamara MID	818	37	116
T Mings DEF	705	4	46
L Digne DEF	694	34	82
J McGinn MID	691	27	101
I Maatsen DEF	643	36	86
E Buendía MID	601	40	104
V Lindelöf DEF	455	5	13
L Bogarde MID	454	23	49
O Watkins FWD	429	22	106
D Luiz MID	371	11	30
J Sancho FWD	348	6	24
R Barkley MID	297	10	40
M Bizot GLK	198		2
L Bailey FWD	111	7	19
H Elliot MID	74		3
T Abraham FWD	36	4	9
A García DEF	24	1	1
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	17		3