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Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Eddie Howe welcomes Fabian Hürzeler to the St. James' Park on Saturday afternoon, as their Newcastle United and Brighton and Hove Albion teams meet in the English Premier League. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Newcastle United's next match is v West Ham at 17:30 on Sunday 17th May
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Leeds at 15:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Brighton was on Saturday 2nd May 2026
English Premier League
May 2nd 2026
Newcastle 3
1 Brighton
 
W. Osula 12'61' J. Hinshelwood
D. Burn 24'
H. Barnes 90'
 
NEW
BHA
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
2
10
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
10
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
NewcastleBrighton
 
N. Pope
S. Botman
J. Apolinário de Lira
S. Tonali
M. Thiaw
D. Burnfootball icon
J. Willock (L. Hall 68')
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (J. Ramsey 90')
J. Murphy (H. Barnes 68')
L. Miley
W. Osulafootball icon (Y. Wissa 68')
B. Verbruggen
J. van Hecke
(L. Dunk 88') football iconJ. Hinshelwood
(C. Kostoulas 80') C. Noom Quomah
Y. Minteh
(G. Rutter 80') D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
O. Boscagli
F. Kadıoğlu
(J. Veltman 18') M. Wieffer
P. Groß
K. Mitoma

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and despair to both home and away supporters. We expect both Newcastle and Brighton to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
37%
17/101/80
Draw
24%
13/522/1
Brighton
39%
29/20200/1
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Brighton 2-1
9%
10/19/1
Newcastle 2-1
8%
10/13/10
Brighton 1-0
7%
10/115/2
Newcastle 1-0
7%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/15/1
Brighton 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Newcastle 2-0
5%
16/123/10
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/1
Brighton 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Newcastle 3-1
4%
20/115/2
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/140/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
28/133/1
Brighton 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Newcastle 3-0
3%
28/19/2
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/63/10
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/59/4
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2121/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/610/11
No 1st Goal
3%
14/19/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/74/5
BTTS - No
39%
5/410/11
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/41/8
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/35/1
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/340/1
Home/draw
61%
8/151/1000
Away/draw
63%
4/99/2
Home/away
76%
2/71/9
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/91/25
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/39/1
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/412/5
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/92/7
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/118/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/61/300
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/160/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/117/2
Home DNB
54%
10/111/200
Away DNB
56%
4/540/1
Newcastle win to nil
17%
9/2-
Brighton win to nil
18%
4/1-
Newcastle / Newcastle
19%
7/22/13
Newcastle / Brighton
4%
25/114/1
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/2
Draw / Newcastle
12%
6/1125/1
Draw / Brighton
13%
11/2100/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1100/1
Brighton / Newcastle
4%
25/11/50
Brighton / Brighton
22%
3/1125/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 4 and won 7. Newcastle have conceded 42 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 17 games at home, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 30 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Brighton lay in 6th place on 50 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 10 and losing 4 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 17 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City3623854377 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd36181171565 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
4-2A
4
A Villa3718811662 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Liverpool37178121059 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
7
Brighton361411111053 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
8
Brentford3614913351 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
9
Chelsea36131013649 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
10
Everton36131013049 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
11
Fulham3614616-648 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
12
Sunderland36121212-948 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
13
Newcastle3613716-246 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
14
Leeds36101412-544 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
May 17
15
C Palace36111114-944 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nottm Forest36111015-243 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
18
West Ham369918-2036 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley364923-3621 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves363924-4118 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
Newcastle1 - 2Sunderland
Newcastle2 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 3Everton
Newcastle2 - 3Brentford
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Newcastle2 - 0C Palace
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
ANewcastle1 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brighton 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs2 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Sunderland0 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 2Brighton
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton2 - 0Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Liverpool
ABrighton1 - 0Sunderland
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Brighton have not lost to Newcastle in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Brighton
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
5 / 9
NEW
3
D
3
BHA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 1Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 3Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
NEW
1
D
5
BHA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newcastle 13th Brighton 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
0%
better
NEW
BHA
view stats
Games scored26
27
Failed to score8
7
Scored first19
15
Goals scored46
48
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
NEW
BHA
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
25
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first11
17
Goals conceded50
39
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Newcastle v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
319511
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK25
2
-
L Miley DEF2314
-
M Thiaw DEF334
4
-
S Botman DEF2311
2
-
D Burn DEF2712
10
1
B Guimarães MID2795
5
-
S Tonali MID342
4
-
J Willock MID221
3
-
J Murphy FWD3132
2
-
W Osula FWD225
-
Joelinton FWD2721
9
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK12
2
-
K Trippier DEF201
3
-
L Hall DEF2811
4
-
H Barnes MID357
1
-
J Ramsey MID2622
4
1
N Woltemade FWD3173
-
Y Wissa FWD1711
2
-
A Gordon FWD2662
3
1
A Elanga FWD301
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3613410
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK36
3
-
M Wieffer DEF2523
8
-
J Hecke DEF3433
9
-
O Boscagli DEF121
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF351
6
-
P Groß MID1713
2
-
C Quomah MID29
5
-
Y Minteh MID3234
3
-
J Hinshelwood MID2543
-
K Mitoma MID2531
5
-
D Welbeck FWD35131
5
-
Subs
J Steele GLK
-
Igor DEF4
-
L Dunk DEF311
10
-
M Cuyper DEF2823
2
-
J Veltman DEF231
5
-
Y Ayari MID2833
1
-
M O'Riley MID61
-
G Rutter FWD3034
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1921
2
-