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Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Brighton and Hove Albion, led by manager Roberto De Zerbi, visit Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the St. James' Park on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Brentford at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Man Utd at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Brighton was on Saturday 11th May 2024
English Premier League
May 11th 2024
Newcastle 1
1 Brighton
 
S. Longstaff 45'18' J. Veltman
 
NEW
BHA
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
8
4
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
9
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
NewcastleBrighton
 
M. Dúbravka
E. Krafth
D. Burn
L. Hall (K. Trippier 90')
V. Livramento
E. Anderson
S. Longstafffootball icon (J. Apolinário de Lira 68')
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
A. Isak (H. Barnes 68')
A. Gordon
J. Murphy (M. Almirón Rejala 68')
B. Verbruggen
I. dos Santos de Paulo
A. Webster
L. Dunk
(T. Lamptey 40') football iconJ. Veltman
(B. Baker-Boatiey 67') F. Buonanotte
(J. Moder 67') J. Enciso
(C. Noom Quomah 87') B. Gilmour
P. Groß
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
(O. Offiah 87') S. Adingra
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Newcastle and Brighton to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean a losing bet but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
59%
3/5
3%
3/5
Draw
20%
15/4
6%
18/5
Brighton
21%
15/4
5%
19/5
4%
Newcastle 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
8%
10/115/2
Newcastle 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Newcastle 3-1
7%
11/117/2
5%
Newcastle 1-0
6%
14/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
Newcastle 3-0
6%
14/111/1
Brighton 2-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Newcastle 3-2
5%
18/112/1
Newcastle 4-1
4%
20/114/1
Brighton 1-0
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
Newcastle 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
25/116/1
Newcastle 4-2
3%
28/118/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
4/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
11/5-
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
25/1-
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/94/9
BTTS - No
35%
13/88/5
BTTS - Home Win
35%
8/5
4%
6/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
7%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
79%
2/11
1%
2/11
Away/draw
41%
13/10
3%
13/10
Home/away
80%
2/111/5
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
11/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
10/11-
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
10/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
11/5-
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
4/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
19%
-
Home DNB
73%
1/41/4
Away DNB
35%
11/413/5
3%
Newcastle win to nil
24%
5/2-
Brighton win to nil
7%
10/1
15%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
35%
7/513/10
3%
Newcastle / Brighton
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
13%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Newcastle
17%
4/119/5
4%
Draw / Brighton
7%
11/19/1
Draw / Draw
11%
15/26/1
Brighton / Newcastle
5%
16/114/1
Brighton / Brighton
11%
7/1
6%
6/1
Brighton / Draw
5%
16/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 78 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 48 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Brighton are in 11th position in the Premier League on 47 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 37 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Newcastle
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brighton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Man City3727736088 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Arsenal3727556186 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
 Liverpool37231044379 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-3F
 A Villa3720892068 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
6-1A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Spurs37196121063 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Chelsea37179111360 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
-
-
 Newcastle Home37176142157 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
 Man Utd3717614-357 
May 19
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-3F
d
 
2-2A
 West Ham37141013-1252 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
 Brighton Away37121213-548 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Bournemouth3713915-1248 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
 C Palace37121015-646 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Wolves3713717-1346 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Fulham3712817-844 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Everton3713915-1040 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 19
 Brentford3710918-739 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3F
w
 
2-3F
 Nottm Forest378920-1929 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
d
 
4-4F
l
 
1-0A
 Luton376823-3126 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
 Burnley375923-3624 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-8F
 Sheff Utd373727-6616 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Brighton
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
3 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
4 / 7
NEW
3
D
2
BHA
2
All league games since 2016
Newcastle
Brighton
Goals: Scored
13
16
Games: Scored
7 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
8 / 15
NEW
4
D
6
BHA
5
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Newcastle United in their clash with Brighton and Hove Albion, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 36 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Goals have been an issue for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 10 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Newcastle United.

Newcastle 7th Brighton 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+36
Newcastle have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Brighton have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258916/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2.3
1.3
Attack rating
26%
better
NEW
BHA
view stats
Games scored32
28
Failed to score5
9
Scored first21
15
Goals scored81
55
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate21%
14%
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
12%
better
NEW
BHA
view stats
Games conceded27
31
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first16
19
Goals conceded60
60
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate16%
18%
KickOff rating
+12%

Newcastle v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36201112
B GuimarãesA IsakA GordonA Gordon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK23
1
-
T Livramento  DEF261
1
-
E Krafth DEF16
1
-
D Burn DEF3222
3
-
L Hall DEF171
2
-
S Longstaff MID3462
7
-
B Guimarães MID3666
9
-
E Anderson MID202
3
-
J Murphy FWD2027
1
-
A Isak FWD29201
2
-
A Gordon FWD351111
12
-
Subs
N Pope  GLK14
-
A. Murphy DEF2
-
K Trippier DEF27110
5
-
P Dummett DEF4
-
H Barnes MID2043
2
-
M Almirón MID3232
2
-
J White MID3
1
-
Joelinton MID1921
5
-
M Ritchie MID131
1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
336108
L DunkS AdingraP GroßL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK21
3
-
J Veltman DEF2711
4
-
A Webster DEF14
2
-
L Dunk DEF3331
7
1
Igor DEF23
4
-
P Groß MID35410
6
-
B Gilmour MID291
7
1
F Buonanotte MID2731
7
-
J Enciso MID112
2
-
S Adingra MID3061
3
-
D Welbeck FWD2851
4
-
Subs
J Steele GLK16
-
T Lamptey  DEF183
3
-
O Offiah DEF4
-
A Lallana MID241
2
-
J Moder MID16
2
-
C Quomah MID26
7
-
M O’Mahony FWD3
1
-
B. Boaitey FWD
-
A Fati FWD182
2
-