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Arsenal v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 17:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

the Emirates Stadium masses welcome Newcastle United's fans on Saturday evening, as Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal face Eddie Howe's charges in the English Premier League. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Arsenal and Newcastle will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Mikel Arteta Amatriain or Eddie Howe has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arsenal 55%	1.48 3%	1.50
Draw 23%	4.33 3%	4.50
Newcastle 22%	6.00 12%	5.75
Draw 1-1 11%	9.50 5%	8.50
Arsenal 1-0 10%	9.50 6%	8.00
Arsenal 2-1 10%	9.00 5%	8.00
Arsenal 2-0 9%	9.00 6%	8.00
Arsenal 3-1 6%	13.00 8%	11.00
Newcastle 1-0 6%	21.00	15.00
Newcastle 2-1 6%	21.00 10%	15.00
Arsenal 3-0 6%	12.00 18%	10.00
Draw 0-0 6%	17.00 13%	15.00
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00 11%	13.00
Arsenal 3-2 3%	23.00 12%	17.00
Newcastle 2-0 3%	41.00 17%	23.00
Arsenal 4-1 3%	21.00 10%	17.00
Arsenal 4-0 3%	21.00 10%	17.00
Newcastle 3-1 2%	41.00 20%	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	1.57 3%	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	2.38 3%	2.30
Home 1st Goal 54%	1.44 3%	1.44
Away 1st Goal 42%	2.75 5%	3.00
No 1st Goal 3%	17.00 13%	13.00
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.70 6%	1.73
BTTS - No 45%	2.05 5%	2.00
BTTS - Home Win 26%	2.88	2.90
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.50 9%	5.25
BTTS - Away Win 11%	10.00 14%	8.50
Home/draw 78%	1.13 3%	1.13
Away/draw 45%	2.63 5%	2.50
Home/away 77%	1.20 2%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1.17 3%	1.17
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	5.00 11%	4.50
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2.50	2.38
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1.53	1.53
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	4.33 4%	4.00
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1.22 2%	1.20
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	8.00 11%	7.50
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.08 1%	1.07
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	17.00	13.00
Home DNB 71%	1.18 3%	1.18
Away DNB 38%	4.50 13%	4.20
Arsenal win to nil 29%	2.75 5%	-
Newcastle win to nil 11%	11.00 15%	-
Arsenal / Arsenal 37%	2.25 5%	2.15
Arsenal / Newcastle 2%	41.00	29.00
Arsenal / Draw 6%	15.00 12%	13.00
Draw / Arsenal 18%	4.50 6%	4.50
Draw / Newcastle 7%	13.00 13%	11.00
Draw / Draw 12%	7.50	6.50
Newcastle / Arsenal 4%	21.00	17.00
Newcastle / Newcastle 9%	11.00 17%	8.00
Newcastle / Draw 5%	19.00 11%	13.00

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 16 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 14th position in the Premier League on 42 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Newcastle have conceded 38 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arsenal Newcastle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	33	21	7	5	37	70	-	-	l 1-2F	Apr 25
2	Man City	32	20	7	5	36	67	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	w 2-1F	l 2-1A
3	Man Utd	33	16	10	7	13	58	l 2-3F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
4	A Villa	33	17	7	9	6	58	w 4-1F	l 2-1A	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
5	Liverpool	33	16	7	10	11	55	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	l 2-3A	l 4-1F
6	Chelsea	33	13	9	11	11	48	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
7	Brentford	33	13	9	11	4	48	w 2-0F	d 1-1F	l 2-3F	l 3-1F
8	Bournemouth	33	11	15	7	0	48	l 1-2A	w 2-3A	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0
9	Brighton	33	12	11	10	6	47	w 2-1F	w 0-1F	May 2	l 2-1A
10	Everton	33	13	8	12	1	47	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	l 2-3A	w 1-4F
11	Sunderland	33	12	10	11	-4	46	w 3-0F	d 2-2A	l 1-2F	l 1-0A
12	Fulham	33	13	6	14	-3	45	May 2	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	May 24
13	C Palace	31	11	9	11	-1	42	w 1-0F	May 24	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
14	Newcastle	33	12	6	15	-3	42	Apr 25	w 1-2A	-	-
15	Leeds	33	9	12	12	-7	39	w 5-0F	w 0-4F	w 4-3A	d 0-00-0
16	Nottm Forest	33	9	9	15	-9	36	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	May 10
17	West Ham	32	8	8	16	-17	32	w 2-0F	May 10	May 17	l 3-1F
18	Spurs	33	7	10	16	-11	31	w 4-1F	w 1-4F	d 2-2F	w 1-2F
19	Burnley	33	4	8	21	-33	20	May 17	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	w 1-3F
20	Wolves	33	3	8	22	-37	17	w 2-1F	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Arsenal	2 - 0	Everton
Arsenal	2 - 1	Chelsea
Arsenal	3 - 0	Sunderland
Arsenal	2 - 3	Man Utd
Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
Arsenal	2 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 1	Wolves
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford
Arsenal	4 - 1	Spurs
Arsenal	1 - 0	C Palace
Arsenal	2 - 0	West Ham
Arsenal	1 - 1	Man City
Arsenal	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
Arsenal	5 - 0	Leeds
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Arsenal	2 - 2	C Palace
Arsenal	1 - 1	Brentford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arsenal	1 - 2	Man City
H	Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	Everton
A	Arsenal	1 - 0	Brighton
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Chelsea
A	Arsenal	4 - 1	Spurs
A	Arsenal	2 - 2	Wolves
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Brentford
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	Sunderland
A	Arsenal	4 - 0	Leeds
H	Arsenal	2 - 3	Man Utd
A	Arsenal	0 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
A	Arsenal	3 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Brighton
A	Arsenal	1 - 0	Everton
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Wolves
A	Arsenal	1 - 2	A Villa
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace	2 - 1	Newcastle
Chelsea	0 - 1	Newcastle
Man City	2 - 1	Newcastle
Spurs	1 - 2	Newcastle
Liverpool	4 - 1	Newcastle
Wolves	0 - 0	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Man Utd	1 - 0	Newcastle
Sunderland	1 - 0	Newcastle
Everton	1 - 4	Newcastle
Brentford	3 - 1	Newcastle
West Ham	3 - 1	Newcastle
Brighton	2 - 1	Newcastle
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Newcastle
Leeds	0 - 0	Newcastle
A Villa	0 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
A Villa	4 - 1	Newcastle
Leicester	0 - 3	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Chelsea
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Man Utd
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Everton
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	Man City
A	Newcastle	2 - 1	Spurs
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Liverpool
H	Newcastle	0 - 2	A Villa
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Wolves
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	C Palace
A	Newcastle	3 - 1	Burnley
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Man Utd
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Spurs

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Arsenal have not lost to Newcastle in 13 consecutive home league meetings

Arsenal

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

26 / 30

12 / 30

Clean sheets

18 / 30

4 / 30

ARS

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 0
Arsenal	4 - 0
Arsenal	2 - 0
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	4 - 1
Arsenal	3 - 0
Arsenal	7 - 3
Arsenal	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Newcastle
Arsenal	3 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 0
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 2
Arsenal	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Newcastle
Arsenal	5 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Newcastle
Arsenal	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Newcastle
Arsenal	2 - 1

Newcastle

Arsenal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

18 / 31

20 / 31

Clean sheets

11 / 31

13 / 31

ARS

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Newcastle	1 - 0
Newcastle	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Arsenal
Newcastle	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Arsenal
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Newcastle	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	1 - 2	Arsenal
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	0 - 1	Arsenal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
	1 - 3	Arsenal
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Arsenal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Arsenal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	1 - 0
Newcastle	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Arsenal 1st	Newcastle 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-23 Newcastle have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

24%

better

ARS

NEW

view stats

Games scored	29		26
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	22		19
Goals scored	62		46
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	19		15
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+24%

32%

better

ARS

NEW

view stats

Games conceded	17		25
Clean sheets	15		8
Conceded first	8		10
Goals conceded	24		49
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		18%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+32%

Arsenal v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	12	5	5
D Raya	V Gyökeres	D Rice	V Gyökeres

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Raya GLK	33			1 -
M Zubimendi MID	33	5	1	4 -
D Rice MID	32	4	5	2 -
V Gyökeres FWD	31	12		5 -
J Timber DEF	30	3	5	5 -
L Trossard FWD	28	5	5	1 -
W Saliba DEF	27	1		1 -
G Magalhães DEF	27	3	4	4 -
E Eze MID	27	6	2	1 -
G Martinelli FWD	27	1	3	2 -
B Saka FWD	27	6	4	1 -
P Hincapié DEF	22	1	2	2 -
R Calafiori DEF	22	1	2	5 -
N Madueke FWD	22	2	1	-
M Merino MID	21	4	3	1 -
M Ødegaard MID	21	1	5	-
C Mosquera DEF	16			3 -
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	15			3 -
G Jesus FWD	12	2		2 -
B White DEF	9		1	-
K Havertz FWD	8	1	1	-
C Nörgaard MID	6			-
M. Dowman FWD	4	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	26	5	15
V Gyökeres	B Saka	D Rice	D Rice

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Gyökeres FWD	12	18		3
E Eze MID	6	14	2	5
B Saka FWD	6	26	4	8
M Zubimendi MID	5	9	1	1
L Trossard FWD	5	11	5	5
D Rice MID	4	13	5	15
M Merino MID	4	9	3	4
J Timber DEF	3	7	5	4
G Magalhães DEF	3	5	4	5
N Madueke FWD	2	7	1	5
G Jesus FWD	2	10
W Saliba DEF	1	1		1
G Martinelli FWD	1	11	3	3
P Hincapié DEF	1	1	2	2
R Calafiori DEF	1	6	2
M Ødegaard MID	1	7	5	6
K Havertz FWD	1	3	1
M. Dowman FWD	1	1
B White DEF		1	1	2
C Nörgaard MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1881	66	158
D Rice	J Timber	B Saka

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Rice MID	1881	65	130
W Saliba DEF	1835	33	116
M Zubimendi MID	1756	61	138
G Magalhães DEF	1488	34	154
J Timber DEF	1085	66	147
D Raya GLK	985	1	20
P Hincapié DEF	764	41	88
B Saka FWD	683	36	158
M Ødegaard MID	683	17	38
L Trossard FWD	657	26	82
R Calafiori DEF	652	31	92
E Eze MID	532	17	79
C Mosquera DEF	475	27	44
M Merino MID	355	26	79
N Madueke FWD	330	21	71
V Gyökeres FWD	281	6	63
B White DEF	253	15	34
G Martinelli FWD	218	11	49
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	196	6	24
K Havertz FWD	105	5	29
G Jesus FWD	91	4	19
M. Dowman FWD	25	3	10
C Nörgaard MID	23		2

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	4	9
M Thiaw	B Guimarães	B Guimarães	Joelinton

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Barnes FWD	32	5		1 -
S Tonali MID	31		2	3 -
M Thiaw DEF	30	4		4 -
A Elanga FWD	29		1	-
N Woltemade FWD	29	7	3	-
J Murphy FWD	28	3	1	2 -
L Hall DEF	26	1	1	4 -
A Gordon FWD	26	6	2	3 1
Joelinton MID	25	2	1	9 -
D Burn DEF	24		2	8 1
B Guimarães MID	24	9	4	5 -
J Ramsey MID	23	2	1	4 1
N Pope GLK	22			1 -
L Miley MID	21	1	4	-
S Botman DEF	20	1	1	2 -
J Willock MID	20		1	3 -
K Trippier DEF	19		1	3 -
W Osula FWD	19	4		-
T Livramento DEF	17		1	1 -
F Schär DEF	16			1 -
Y Wissa FWD	14	1	1	1 -
A Ramsdale GLK	12			2 -
A. Murphy DEF	1			-
E Krafth DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	21	4	9
B Guimarães	A Gordon	B Guimarães	J Murphy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Guimarães MID	9	18	4	6
N Woltemade FWD	7	13	3	3
A Gordon FWD	6	21	2	4
H Barnes FWD	5	18		4
M Thiaw DEF	4	13		1
W Osula FWD	4	7
J Murphy FWD	3	12	1	9
Joelinton MID	2	10	1	3
J Ramsey MID	2	4	1
L Hall DEF	1	5	1	4
L Miley MID	1	4	4	3
S Botman DEF	1	4	1	2
Y Wissa FWD	1	5	1	1
S Tonali MID		7	2	4
A Elanga FWD		4	1	2
D Burn DEF		1	2
N Pope GLK		1
J Willock MID		4	1	2
K Trippier DEF			1	2
T Livramento DEF		1	1	1
F Schär DEF		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1408	52	155
M Thiaw	B Guimarães	M Thiaw

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Thiaw DEF	1408	35	155
S Tonali MID	1360	32	99
B Guimarães MID	1193	52	131
L Hall DEF	1092	49	146
K Trippier DEF	1013	24	68
S Botman DEF	907	14	92
D Burn DEF	899	32	124
F Schär DEF	796	14	66
L Miley MID	768	27	81
Joelinton MID	766	37	133
T Livramento DEF	654	22	61
J Ramsey MID	548	27	62
H Barnes FWD	519	13	52
A Gordon FWD	517	19	100
N Pope GLK	474	1	14
J Murphy FWD	429	14	47
A Elanga FWD	408	14	62
A Ramsdale GLK	400		6
N Woltemade FWD	307	22	87
J Willock MID	250	18	40
Y Wissa FWD	71	3	13
W Osula FWD	59	3	22
E Krafth DEF	19
A. Murphy DEF	1