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Manchester City v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 17:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Keith Andrews will be hoping for a vital away win in the English Premier League on Saturday evening, as he takes his Brentford side to the Etihad Stadium to visit Manchester City and Josep Guardiola i Sala. Analysing both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Man City and Brentford's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.13.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man City 59%	1/3	-
Draw 21%	17/4	-
Brentford 20%	13/2	-
Man City 2-1 10%	17/2	-
Draw 1-1 10%	11/1	-
Man City 2-0 9%	8/1	-
Man City 1-0 9%	10/1	-
Man City 3-1 7%	10/1	-
Man City 3-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1	-
Brentford 2-1 5%	25/1	-
Brentford 1-0 5%	28/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	20/1	-
Man City 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Man City 4-1 3%	16/1	-
Man City 4-0 3%	16/1	-
Brentford 2-0 3%	50/1	-
Brentford 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	4/9	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	7/4	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/3	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	21/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	20/1	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 43%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	6/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	5/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	11/1	-
Home/draw 80%	1/10	-
Away/draw 41%	9/4	-
Home/away 79%	1/6	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/8	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	5/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	1/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	4/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	12/5	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/3	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	5/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/8	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/66	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	18/1	-
Home DNB 74%	1/9	-
Away DNB 35%	11/2	-
Man City win to nil 30%	6/4	-
Brentford win to nil 9%	16/1	-
Man City / Man City 45%	10/11	-
Man City / Brentford 2%	50/1	-
Man City / Draw 5%	18/1	-
Draw / Man City 20%	10/3	-
Draw / Brentford 4%	20/1	-
Draw / Draw 9%	17/2	-
Brentford / Man City 5%	16/1	-
Brentford / Brentford 6%	14/1	-
Brentford / Draw 4%	20/1	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 16 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 38 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Brentford are in 9th position in the Premier League on 48 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Brentford have conceded 18 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Man City Brentford
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	34	22	7	5	38	73	w 2-1F	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
2	Man City	33	21	7	5	37	70	-	-	l 0-1A	May 9
3	Man Utd	34	17	10	7	14	61	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	l 2-1A
4	Liverpool	34	17	7	10	13	58	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	w 3-2F	May 24
5	A Villa	34	17	7	10	5	58	May 24	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
6	Brighton	34	13	11	10	9	50	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	l 0-2A	l 2-1F
7	Bournemouth	34	11	16	7	0	49	w 3-1F	May 17	w 4-1F	d 0-00-0
8	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	8	48	d 1-1F	w 0-3F	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
9	Brentford	34	13	9	12	3	48	May 9	w 0-1F	-	-
10	Fulham	34	14	6	14	-2	48	w 3-0F	w 4-5F	d 0-00-0	l 3-1F
11	Everton	34	13	8	13	0	47	w 2-0F	May 4	d 2-2F	w 2-4F
12	Sunderland	34	12	10	12	-9	46	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
13	C Palace	33	11	10	12	-3	43	-	w 0-3F	May 17	l 2-0A
14	Newcastle	34	12	6	16	-4	42	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	w 3-1A	w 2-3A
15	Leeds	34	9	13	12	-7	40	w 3-2F	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
16	Nottm Forest	34	10	9	15	-4	39	d 2-2F	w 1-2F	l 0-2A	l 3-1A
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	-16	36	w 3-0F	d 1-1F	May 2	w 0-2F
18	Spurs	34	8	10	16	-10	34	l 0-2A	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
19	Burnley	34	4	8	22	-34	20	w 5-1F	w 0-1F	w 3-1F	w 3-4F
20	Wolves	34	3	8	23	-38	17	w 2-0F	w 0-4F	d 2-2F	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Man City have not lost in 15 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City	2 - 1	Arsenal
Man City	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
Man City	2 - 1	Newcastle
Man City	3 - 0	Fulham
Man City	2 - 0	Wolves
Man City	1 - 1	Brighton
Man City	1 - 1	Chelsea
Man City	3 - 0	West Ham
Man City	3 - 0	Sunderland
Man City	3 - 2	Leeds
Man City	3 - 0	Liverpool
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Man City	2 - 0	Everton
Man City	5 - 1	Burnley
Man City	3 - 0	Man Utd
Man City	0 - 2	Spurs
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Man City	1 - 0	Wolves
Man City	2 - 1	A Villa
Man City	5 - 2	C Palace

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Man City	1 - 0	Burnley
H	Man City	2 - 1	Arsenal
A	Man City	3 - 0	Chelsea
A	Man City	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Man City	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Man City	1 - 0	Leeds
H	Man City	2 - 1	Newcastle
H	Man City	3 - 0	Fulham
A	Man City	2 - 1	Liverpool
A	Man City	2 - 2	Spurs
H	Man City	2 - 0	Wolves
A	Man City	0 - 2	Man Utd
H	Man City	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Man City	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Man City	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Man City	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	Man City	3 - 0	West Ham
A	Man City	3 - 0	C Palace
H	Man City	3 - 0	Sunderland
A	Man City	5 - 4	Fulham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
Leeds	0 - 0	Brentford
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Brentford
Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
A Villa	0 - 1	Brentford
Chelsea	2 - 0	Brentford
Everton	2 - 4	Brentford
Wolves	0 - 2	Brentford
Spurs	2 - 0	Brentford
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford
Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
C Palace	2 - 0	Brentford
West Ham	0 - 2	Brentford
Fulham	3 - 1	Brentford
Sunderland	2 - 1	Brentford
Nottm Forest	3 - 1	Brentford
Wolves	1 - 1	Brentford
Ipswich	0 - 1	Brentford
Nottm Forest	0 - 2	Brentford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Brentford	1 - 2	Man Utd
H	Brentford	0 - 0	Fulham
H	Brentford	2 - 2	Everton
A	Brentford	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Brentford	2 - 2	Wolves
A	Brentford	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Brentford	4 - 3	Burnley
H	Brentford	0 - 2	Brighton
H	Brentford	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Brentford	3 - 2	Newcastle
A	Brentford	1 - 0	A Villa
H	Brentford	0 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Brentford	0 - 2	Chelsea
H	Brentford	3 - 0	Sunderland
A	Brentford	4 - 2	Everton
H	Brentford	0 - 0	Spurs
H	Brentford	4 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Brentford	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Brentford	1 - 1	Leeds
A	Brentford	0 - 2	Spurs

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Man City have not lost to Brentford in 5 consecutive league meetings

Man City

Brentford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

MCI

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City	2 - 1
Man City	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Brentford
Man City	2 - 0

Brentford

Man City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

MCI

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brentford
	0 - 1	Man City
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Man City
Brentford	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Man City

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Manchester City in their clash with Brentford, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive English Premier League outings.

	Man City 2nd	Brentford 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 60% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Brentford will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Man City have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-4 Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.5 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

27%

better

MCI

BRE

view stats

Games scored	29		23
Failed to score	4		11
Scored first	27		18
Goals scored	66		49
Avg. goals scored	2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	18		18
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+27%

30%

better

MCI

BRE

view stats

Games conceded	19		25
Clean sheets	14		9
Conceded first	5		12
Goals conceded	29		46
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+30%

Man City v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	24	10	9
E Haaland	E Haaland	R Cherki	B Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Silva MID	33	2	4	9 -
E Haaland FWD	32	24	7	2 -
N. O'Reilly DEF	31	5	3	4 -
G Donnarumma GLK	30			6 -
M Nunes DEF	30	1	5	4 -
R Cherki MID	28	4	10	1 -
P Foden MID	28	7	3	4 -
T Reijnders MID	26	5	2	2 -
R Dias DEF	25	2		3 -
J Doku FWD	25	2	5	-
N González MID	23	1		6 -
Rodri MID	20	1		2 -
S Sávio FWD	20		1	2 -
A. Khusanov DEF	18			2 -
O Marmoush FWD	17	1	3	2 -
J Gvardiol DEF	16	2	2	2 -
R Nouri DEF	15		2	2 -
N Aké DEF	15			1 -
A Semenyo FWD	12	5	1	1 -
M Guéhi DEF	11	1		2 -
R Lewis DEF	10		1	1 -
J Stones DEF	7			-
J Trafford GLK	3			-
M. Alleyne DEF	2			-
M Kovacic MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
24	53	10	16
E Haaland	E Haaland	R Cherki	R Cherki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Haaland FWD	24	53	7	9
P Foden MID	7	17	3	8
N. O'Reilly DEF	5	14	3	6
T Reijnders MID	5	15	2	4
A Semenyo FWD	5	11	1	3
R Cherki MID	4	13	10	16
B Silva MID	2	6	4	7
R Dias DEF	2	4
J Doku FWD	2	11	5	9
J Gvardiol DEF	2	5	2	1
M Nunes DEF	1	2	5	6
N González MID	1	2		1
Rodri MID	1	2		2
O Marmoush FWD	1	7	3	2
M Guéhi DEF	1	5		1
S Sávio FWD		10	1
A. Khusanov DEF		1
R Nouri DEF		2	2	2
N Aké DEF				2
R Lewis DEF			1	2
M. Alleyne DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1902	67	147
M Nunes	N. O'Reilly	N. O'Reilly

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Nunes DEF	1902	52	133
B Silva MID	1868	43	87
R Dias DEF	1688	14	82
Rodri MID	1522	40	107
N. O'Reilly DEF	1214	67	147
N González MID	1185	39	97
R Cherki MID	1134	25	100
P Foden MID	1064	31	85
J Gvardiol DEF	997	18	53
M Guéhi DEF	913	11	63
A. Khusanov DEF	834	24	47
G Donnarumma GLK	804	1	20
T Reijnders MID	743	11	48
J Doku FWD	621	19	140
R Nouri DEF	528	31	74
N Aké DEF	374	8	27
E Haaland FWD	342	15	123
A Semenyo FWD	302	14	45
S Sávio FWD	281	7	27
J Stones DEF	259		11
R Lewis DEF	234	6	16
O Marmoush FWD	145	12	38
M. Alleyne DEF	128	3	9
J Trafford GLK	107	2	5
M Kovacic MID	38		3

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	21	4	7
I Thiago	I Thiago	M Damsgaard	Y Yarmoliuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Yarmoliuk MID	34	1	2	7 -
I Thiago FWD	34	21	1	7 -
C Kelleher GLK	33			1 -
M Kayode DEF	33	1	1	6 -
M Jensen MID	32	3	1	3 -
K Lewis-Potter FWD	32	3	2	1 -
N Collins DEF	31	1	2	6 -
K Schade FWD	31	7	3	6 1
S Berg DEF	29		1	2 -
M Damsgaard MID	29	3	4	-
J Henderson MID	29	1	3	4 -
D Ouattara FWD	28	5	3	5 -
R Henry DEF	25		1	2 -
K Ajer DEF	24		1	3 -
V Janelt MID	22	1	4	7 -
A Hickey DEF	18			1 -
R Nelson FWD	9		1	-
F Carvalho MID	6	1		-
E Pinnock DEF	4			1 -
R Donovan FWD	4			-
H Valdimarsson GLK	1			-
A Milambo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
21	39	4	11
I Thiago	I Thiago	M Damsgaard	M Damsgaard

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Thiago FWD	21	39	1	5
K Schade FWD	7	22	3	9
D Ouattara FWD	5	16	3	9
M Jensen MID	3	8	1	10
K Lewis-Potter FWD	3	8	2	5
M Damsgaard MID	3	10	4	11
Y Yarmoliuk MID	1	4	2	1
M Kayode DEF	1	3	1	4
N Collins DEF	1	6	2	4
J Henderson MID	1	1	3	8
V Janelt MID	1	3	4	6
F Carvalho MID	1	1
S Berg DEF		6	1	4
R Henry DEF		1	1	1
K Ajer DEF		3	1	1
A Hickey DEF		1		1
R Nelson FWD		1	1
E Pinnock DEF		1
R Donovan FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1560	63	193
N Collins	Y Yarmoliuk	M Kayode

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Collins DEF	1560	26	124
S Berg DEF	1340	16	158
Y Yarmoliuk MID	1223	63	110
C Kelleher GLK	1154	1	14
J Henderson MID	1085	26	45
M Kayode DEF	1048	61	193
M Jensen MID	973	33	67
M Damsgaard MID	821	50	100
V Janelt MID	718	24	61
K Ajer DEF	623	35	97
I Thiago FWD	566	33	184
K Schade FWD	485	37	174
R Henry DEF	481	15	66
K Lewis-Potter FWD	444	19	73
D Ouattara FWD	434	20	119
A Hickey DEF	267	12	29
E Pinnock DEF	133	5	20
R Nelson FWD	71	4	11
H Valdimarsson GLK	41
F Carvalho MID	25	3	5
R Donovan FWD	16		8
A Milambo MID	11	3	5