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Tottenham Hotspur v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 20:00 BST, The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Roberto De Zerbi's Tottenham Hotspur side will have home backing in the English Premier League on Monday night, as Daniel Farke's Leeds United arrive at The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. All the odds are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Spurs or Leeds are in the sort of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spurs
34%
21/20-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Leeds
41%
23/10-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
Leeds 2-1
9%
12/1-
Leeds 1-0
8%
14/1-
Spurs 2-1
8%
17/2-
Spurs 1-0
7%
9/1-
Leeds 2-0
6%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Spurs 2-0
5%
11/1-
Leeds 3-1
5%
28/1-
Spurs 3-1
4%
16/1-
Leeds 3-0
3%
40/1-
Leeds 3-2
3%
33/1-
Spurs 3-2
3%
25/1-
Spurs 3-0
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
49%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13-
BTTS - No
41%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
5/1-
Home/draw
59%
1/3-
Away/draw
66%
8/11-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
51%
1/2-
Away DNB
58%
6/4-
Spurs win to nil
16%
3/1-
Leeds win to nil
20%
11/2-
Spurs / Spurs
25%
12/5-
Spurs / Leeds
3%
28/1-
Spurs / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Spurs
16%
9/2-
Draw / Leeds
11%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Leeds / Spurs
4%
22/1-
Leeds / Leeds
16%
9/2-
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Spurs have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Spurs have conceded 50 goals, scored 36, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Spurs have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 15th place on 40 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 17 away games, winning 2, drawing 8 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Spurs
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3422753873 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
2
Man City3321753770 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
3
Man Utd34171071461 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
4
Liverpool34177101358 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
5
A Villa3417710558 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
6
Brighton34131110950 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 17
l
 
3-0A
7
Bournemouth3411167049 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
8
Chelsea3413912848 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
9
Brentford3413912348 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
10
Fulham3414614-248 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
Everton3413813047 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Sunderland34121012-946 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
13
C Palace33111012-343 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Newcastle3412616-442 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
15
Leeds3491312-740 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
-
-
16
Nottm Forest3410915-439 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
17
West Ham349916-1636 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
May 24
18
Spurs3481016-1034 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
May 11
19
Burnley344822-3420 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 1
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves343823-3817 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
9
Spurs have not won in 9 consecutive home league games
6
Leeds have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Spurs 18TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Spurs have beaten Leeds in 6 consecutive home league meetings
6
Spurs have not lost to Leeds in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Spurs since 1993
Spurs
Leeds
Goals: Scored
29
17
Games: Scored
14 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
1 / 15
TOT
9
D
3
LEE
3
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Spurs
Goals: Scored
26
22
Games: Scored
13 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
3 / 16
TOT
5
D
3
LEE
8
Goal Statistics
Spurs 18th Leeds 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Spurs will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Spurs have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Spurs
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
9%
better
TOT
LEE
view stats
Games scored27
23
Failed to score7
11
Scored first14
14
Goals scored43
44
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
0%
better
TOT
LEE
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first19
16
Goals conceded53
51
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
0%

Spurs v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Spurs Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
319512
G VicarioRicharlisonX SimonsC Romero
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Vicario GLK31
1
-
M Ven DEF3141
8
1
P Porro DEF3012
8
-
J Palhinha MID2942
6
-
X Simons MID2825
5
1
Richarlison FWD2895
5
-
M Tel FWD273
-
D Spence DEF26
4
-
R Muani FWD2611
2
-
W Odobert FWD242
-
C Romero DEF2341
10
2
A Gray MID2322
5
-
P Sarr MID2323
2
-
R Bentancur  MID2211
6
-
L Bergvall MID2113
2
-
K Danso DEF20
6
-
M Kudus  FWD1925
3
-
D Udogie DEF161
3
-
D Solanke FWD153
1
-
C Gallagher MID121
1
-
Y Bissouma  MID10
4
-
R Drăguşin DEF9
-
J. de Souza Menezes DEF4
1
-
A Kinsky GLK3
-
B Davies DEF31
1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311158
G Gudmundsson D Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Aaronson MID3345
2
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF32
5
1
J Bogle  DEF3213
6
-
J Rodon DEF312
1
-
P Struijk DEF311
4
-
E Ampadu MID3111
8
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD31111
1
-
N Okafor FWD2771
3
-
L Nmecha  FWD2761
-
A Stach MID2643
3
-
J Justin  DEF2521
4
-
A Tanaka MID242
1
-
I Gruev MID233
3
-
J Bijol DEF2111
3
-
S Longstaff MID2022
2
-
W Gnonto FWD191
3
-
K Darlow GLK18
1
-
L Perri GLK16
2
-
D James FWD15
-
J Piroe FWD14
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
F Buonanotte MID2
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-