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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 14:00 BST, The City Ground, Nottingham

Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira welcomes Eddie Howe to The City Ground on Sunday afternoon, as their Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United teams meet in the English Premier League. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Nottm Forest and Newcastle have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nottm Forest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nottm Forest
42%
7/529/20
Draw
28%
12/55/2
Newcastle
30%
7/47/4
Draw 1-1
13%
13/211/2
Nottm Forest 1-0
13%
10/117/2
Newcastle 1-0
10%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
10%
12/110/1
Nottm Forest 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
8%
14/111/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
11/117/2
Newcastle 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/110/1
Nottm Forest 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Nottm Forest 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Newcastle 3-1
2%
22/116/1
Newcastle 3-0
2%
33/120/1
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
25/118/1
Newcastle 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
4/67/10
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
6/521/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/610/11
Away 1st Goal
44%
1/121/20
No 1st Goal
6%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/73/5
BTTS - No
53%
5/45/4
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/33/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/47/2
Home/draw
70%
2/54/9
Away/draw
58%
8/158/15
Home/away
72%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
9/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
12/110/1
Home DNB
61%
8/113/4
Away DNB
50%
1/119/20
Nottm Forest win to nil
26%
7/2-
Newcastle win to nil
18%
9/2-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
21%
3/127/10
Nottm Forest / Newcastle
4%
25/118/1
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/110/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Newcastle
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
15%
5/117/4
Newcastle / Nottm Forest
4%
25/118/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
19%
7/216/5
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/110/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Nottm Forest have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Nottm Forest have conceded 39 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nottm Forest have played 17 games at home, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Newcastle lay in 14th place on 42 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3422753873 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Man City3321753770 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd34171071461 
d
 
2-2A
May 17
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Liverpool34177101358 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
5
A Villa3417710558 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Brighton34131110950 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 2
l
 
2-1A
7
Bournemouth3411167049 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Chelsea3413912848 
l
 
0-3A
May 4
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
9
Brentford3413912348 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
10
Fulham3414614-248 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
11
Everton3413813047 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
12
Sunderland34121012-946 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
13
C Palace33111012-343 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
14
Newcastle3412616-442 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
-
-
15
Leeds3491312-740 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nottm Forest3410915-439 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 10
17
West Ham349916-1636 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
3-1F
18
Spurs3481016-1034 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
19
Burnley344822-3420 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves343823-3817 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
Nottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
Nottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
Nottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
Nottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
Nottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 2Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 2Man City
Nottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
Nottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest5 - 0Sunderland
HNottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
HNottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 3A Villa
HNottm Forest0 - 2Everton
HNottm Forest1 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest0 - 1Fulham
HNottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
ANottm Forest0 - 3Everton
Newcastle 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
C Palace2 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea0 - 1Newcastle
Man City2 - 1Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Wolves0 - 0Newcastle
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
ANewcastle1 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Newcastle have beaten Nottm Forest in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nottm Forest since 1994
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
NFO
2
D
3
NEW
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
1 - 3Newcastle
2 - 3Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Nottm Forest1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
26
9
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
NFO
1
NEW
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 3
1 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle5 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Newcastle United of late. It has been 5 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Nottingham Forest.

Nottm Forest 16th Newcastle 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Nottm Forest have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
-31
Newcastle have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Nottm Forest
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.3
1
Attack rating
NFO
NEW
20%
better
view stats
Games scored20
26
Failed to score14
8
Scored first9
19
Goals scored41
46
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
NFO
NEW
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
26
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first22
11
Goals conceded45
50
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

Nottm Forest v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341347
N MilenkovićM Gibbs-WhiteI JesusE Anderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Milenković DEF34
6
-
E Anderson MID3432
7
-
M Gibbs-White MID34133
1
-
N Williams DEF3323
6
1
I Jesus FWD3354
1
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD3034
-
M Sels GLK27
2
-
O Hutchinson MID2714
1
-
I Sangaré MID2622
5
-
Murillo DEF251
5
-
D Ndoye FWD2411
1
-
N Domínguez MID2311
3
-
R Yates MID192
2
-
O Aina  DEF181
3
-
Morato DEF17
4
-
N. Savona DEF142
2
-
T Awoniyi FWD1321
1
-
C Wood FWD113
-
D Bakwa FWD111
1
-
J McAtee MID10
1
-
John GLK5
1
-
J Paula DEF5
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
L Netz DEF3
-
L Lucca FWD31
-
Z Abbott DEF2
-
A Gunn GLK1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299410
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Barnes FWD335
1
-
S Tonali MID322
3
-
M Thiaw DEF314
4
-
A Elanga FWD301
-
N Woltemade FWD3073
-
J Murphy FWD2931
2
-
L Hall DEF2611
4
-
A Gordon FWD2662
3
1
D Burn DEF252
9
1
Joelinton MID2521
9
-
B Guimarães MID2594
5
-
J Ramsey MID2421
4
1
N Pope  GLK23
2
-
L Miley MID2214
-
S Botman DEF2111
2
-
J Willock MID211
3
-
W Osula FWD204
-
K Trippier DEF191
3
-
T Livramento  DEF171
1
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1511
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK12
2
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-