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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The City Ground, Nottingham

Home advantage is often beneficial in the English Premier League, and Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira’s Nottingham Forest will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United are their opponents at The City Ground. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Nottingham Forest's next match is v Man Utd at 12:30 on Sunday 17th May
Newcastle United's next match is v West Ham at 17:30 on Sunday 17th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Nottm Forest and Newcastle was on Sunday 10th May 2026
English Premier League
May 10th 2026
Nottm Forest 1
1 Newcastle
 
E. Anderson 88'74' H. Barnes
 
NFO
NEW
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
2
1
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
16
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Nottm ForestNewcastle
 
N. Williams
F. Rodrigues
E. Andersonfootball icon
N. Domínguez (R. Yates 46')
T. Awoniyi (C. Wood 73')
I. da Cruz (L. Lucca 83')
J. da Cunha Filho
M. Sels
L. Netz (J. Mcatee 83')
N. Milenković
D. Bakwa (O. Giraud-Hutchinson 64')
N. Pope
L. Hall
S. Botman
J. Apolinário de Lira
S. Tonali
M. Thiaw
D. Burn
(H. Barnes 61') J. Murphy
(J. Ramsey 61') N. Woltemade
(K. Trippier 90') B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
(Y. Wissa 71') W. Osula

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're tipping a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Nottm Forest and Newcastle go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nottm Forest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nottm Forest
38%
5/228/1
Draw
28%
12/51/33
Newcastle
33%
11/1022/1
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
Nottm Forest 1-0
12%
12/111/2
Newcastle 1-0
11%
17/24/9
Draw 0-0
10%
10/111/10
Nottm Forest 2-1
8%
12/140/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
7%
20/125/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
9/120/1
Newcastle 2-0
6%
11/19/2
Draw 2-2
4%
12/180/1
Nottm Forest 3-1
3%
28/1125/1
Nottm Forest 3-0
3%
40/170/1
Newcastle 3-1
3%
18/166/1
Newcastle 3-0
2%
20/125/1
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
33/1150/1
Newcastle 3-2
2%
28/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4/510/3
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/11/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/516/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/118/5
No 1st Goal
7%
10/121/20
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/64/1
BTTS - No
54%
11/101/7
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/233/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/111/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
3/116/1
Home/draw
67%
7/101/12
Away/draw
62%
2/71/20
Home/away
72%
3/1017/5
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/417/10
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3/14/9
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
2/122/1
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/51/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/290/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/71/300
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
10/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/201/50
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/207/10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/121/20
Home DNB
58%
6/433/1
Away DNB
53%
1/21/1000
Nottm Forest win to nil
24%
11/2-
Newcastle win to nil
20%
11/4-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
17%
9/218/1
Nottm Forest / Newcastle
4%
22/133/1
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
11%
7/116/5
Draw / Newcastle
14%
9/28/5
Draw / Draw
15%
5/113/8
Newcastle / Nottm Forest
3%
33/145/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
24%
12/512/1
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Nottm Forest have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Nottm Forest have conceded 40 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nottm Forest have played 17 games at home, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Newcastle lay in 13th place on 45 points in the Premier League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Man City3623854377 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd36181171565 
d
 
2-2A
May 17
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
A Villa3718811662 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Liverpool37178121059 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Brighton361411111053 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Brentford3614913351 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
9
Chelsea36131013649 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
10
Everton36131013049 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
11
Fulham3614616-648 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
12
Sunderland36121212-948 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
13
Newcastle3613716-246 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
14
Leeds36101412-544 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
15
C Palace36111114-944 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
16
Nottm Forest36111015-243 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham369918-2036 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley364923-3621 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves363924-4118 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
Nottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
Nottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
Nottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
Nottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
Nottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 2Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 2Man City
Nottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
Nottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest3 - 1Chelsea
ANottm Forest5 - 0Sunderland
HNottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
HNottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 3A Villa
HNottm Forest0 - 2Everton
HNottm Forest1 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest0 - 1Fulham
HNottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
C Palace2 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea0 - 1Newcastle
Man City2 - 1Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Wolves0 - 0Newcastle
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle3 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
ANewcastle1 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Newcastle have beaten Nottm Forest in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nottm Forest since 1994
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
NFO
2
D
3
NEW
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
1 - 3Newcastle
2 - 3Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Nottm Forest1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
26
9
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
NFO
1
NEW
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 3
1 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle5 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Nottingham Forest's defensive record is to be admired, V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Newcastle United makes sense in this context.

Nottm Forest 16th Newcastle 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Nottm Forest have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
-31
Newcastle have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Nottm Forest
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
NFO
NEW
19%
better
view stats
Games scored21
27
Failed to score14
8
Scored first10
20
Goals scored44
49
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
NFO
NEW
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first22
11
Goals conceded46
51
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%

Nottm Forest v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35647
N MilenkovićI JesusI JesusN Williams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sels GLK29
2
-
J Paula DEF7
-
N Milenković DEF36
6
-
Morato DEF19
5
-
N Williams MID3523
6
1
E Anderson MID3642
7
-
N Domínguez MID2511
3
-
L Netz MID5
-
D Bakwa FWD132
1
-
I Jesus FWD3564
2
-
T Awoniyi FWD1541
1
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK3
-
R Yates MID212
3
-
J McAtee MID121
1
-
A. Whitehall MID
-
J. Sinclair MID
-
C Wood FWD133
-
E. da Silva Moreira FWD
-
L Lucca FWD41
-
O Hutchinson FWD2914
1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
319511
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK25
2
-
L Hall DEF2811
4
-
M Thiaw DEF334
4
-
S Botman DEF2311
2
-
D Burn DEF2712
10
1
B Guimarães MID2795
5
-
S Tonali MID342
4
-
Joelinton MID2721
9
-
J Murphy FWD3132
2
-
N Woltemade FWD3173
-
W Osula FWD225
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK12
2
-
K Trippier DEF201
3
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
H Barnes MID357
1
-
J Willock MID221
3
-
J Ramsey MID2622
4
1
Y Wissa FWD1711
2
-
A Gordon FWD2662
3
1
A Elanga FWD301
-