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Liverpool v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Anfield, Liverpool

Arne Slot's Liverpool side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Saturday lunch time, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea arrive at the Anfield. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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Liverpool's next match is v Brentford at 16:00 on Sunday 24th May
Chelsea's next match is v Spurs at 20:15 on Tuesday 19th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Liverpool and Chelsea was on Saturday 9th May 2026
English Premier League
May 9th 2026
Liverpool 1
1 Chelsea
 
R. Gravenberch 6'35' E. Fernández
 
LIV
CHE
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
5
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
17
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
LiverpoolChelsea
 
G. Mamardashvili
V. van Dijk
I. Konaté (J. Gomez 77')
Milos Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister
C. Jones
C. Gakpo (F. Chiesa 77')
J. Frimpong
R. Gravenberchfootball icon
R. Ngumoha (A. Isak 67')
M. Cucurella
F. Jörgensen
L. Colwill
J. Hato
football iconE. Fernández
C. Palmer
(R. James 63') A. Nascimento dos Santos
J. Junqueira de Jesus
M. Gusto
W. Fofana
M. Caicedo Corozo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Liverpool and Chelsea's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
51%
1/122/1
Draw
23%
11/41/25
Chelsea
26%
12/525/1
Draw 1-1
11%
7/110/21
Liverpool 2-1
10%
17/217/4
Liverpool 1-0
8%
10/15/1
Liverpool 2-0
8%
12/15/1
Chelsea 2-1
7%
12/113/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/114/1
Liverpool 3-1
6%
16/122/1
Chelsea 1-0
6%
16/111/1
Liverpool 3-0
5%
20/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/111/1
Liverpool 3-2
4%
22/155/1
Chelsea 2-0
4%
22/116/1
Chelsea 3-1
3%
28/133/1
Liverpool 4-1
3%
33/170/1
Chelsea 3-2
3%
28/166/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/135/2
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/102/7
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/68/11
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/158/15
BTTS - No
40%
11/811/8
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/217/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/34/11
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/211/2
Home/draw
74%
3/101/14
Away/draw
49%
4/51/8
Home/away
77%
1/427/10
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/51/9
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/25/1
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/414/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/151/100
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/255/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/51/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/180/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/141/500
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Home DNB
67%
1/28/15
Away DNB
42%
6/411/8
Liverpool win to nil
24%
3/1-
Chelsea win to nil
11%
6/1-
Liverpool / Liverpool
27%
9/412/1
Liverpool / Chelsea
3%
28/150/1
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/133/1
Draw / Liverpool
15%
9/215/8
Draw / Chelsea
10%
15/227/10
Draw / Draw
13%
11/27/4
Chelsea / Liverpool
4%
20/145/1
Chelsea / Chelsea
15%
9/216/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 54 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 17 games at home winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 9th position in the Premier League on 48 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 30 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Chelsea have conceded 24 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City3623854377 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd37191171668 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
A Villa3718811662 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-2A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
5
Liverpool37178121059 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Brighton37141112953 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
8
Brentford37141013352 
May 24
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
9
Sunderland37131212-751 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
10
Chelsea36131013649 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
11
Newcastle3714716049 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
12
Everton37131014-249 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
13
Fulham3714716-649 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Leeds37111412-447 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
15
C Palace37111214-945 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
16
Nottm Forest37111016-343 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-3F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 19
w
 
0-1F
18
West Ham379919-2236 
w
 
5-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
19
Burnley364923-3621 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves3731024-4119 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Chelsea 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 1992
Liverpool
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
57
36
Games: Scored
28 / 33
24 / 33
Clean sheets
9 / 33
5 / 33
LIV
17
D
9
CHE
7
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
45
28
Games: Scored
26 / 34
20 / 34
Clean sheets
14 / 34
8 / 34
LIV
8
D
10
CHE
16
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Chelsea on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Chelsea of late. It has been 6 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday lunch time against Liverpool.

Liverpool 5th Chelsea 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Chelsea have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
12%
better
LIV
CHE
view stats
Games scored31
28
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
16
Goals scored59
54
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
7%
better
LIV
CHE
view stats
Games conceded25
26
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first13
17
Goals conceded47
48
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

Liverpool v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
37779
V Dijk C GakpoD SzoboszlaiD Szoboszlai
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Mamardashvili GLK10
-
C Jones DEF332
2
-
I Konaté DEF351
6
-
V Dijk  DEF376
4
-
M Kerkez DEF3321
4
-
R Gravenberch MID3553
5
-
A Mac Allister MID3624
6
-
J Frimpong MID202
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID3567
8
1
R. Ngumoha MID1821
-
C Gakpo FWD3575
3
-
Subs
F Woodman GLK3
-
J Gomez DEF202
4
-
A Robertson DEF231
-
T. Ndiaye DEF
-
T. Nyoni MID5
-
K. Morrison MID
-
F Chiesa FWD2621
3
-
W. Wright FWD
-
A Isak FWD1431
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3315512
E FernándezJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK5
-
L Colwill DEF2
-
W Fofana DEF231
5
1
J Hato DEF20
6
-
M Gusto MID3323
4
1
A Santos MID26
4
-
M Caicedo MID3131
11
1
M Cucurella  MID3214
7
1
C Palmer FWD2491
4
-
E Fernández FWD3493
9
-
J Pedro  FWD34155
4
-
Subs
G Slonina GLK
-
T Adarabioyo DEF16
2
-
T Chalobah DEF323
3
1
R James  DEF2824
4
-
J. Acheampong DEF151
1
-
R Lavia MID12
-
M. Eboue MID
-
L Delap FWD261
3
-
R. Kavuma-McQueen FWD
-