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Liverpool v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 12:30 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Saturday lunch time sees Arne Slot’s Liverpool and Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea go head to head in a English Premier League clash at the Anfield. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we fully expect this fixture to deliver both happiness and despair to both sets of supporters. We predict both Liverpool and Chelsea to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the match seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
52%
9/10-
Draw
23%
11/4-
Chelsea
26%
13/5-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2-
Liverpool 2-1
10%
17/2-
Liverpool 1-0
8%
12/1-
Liverpool 2-0
8%
12/1-
Chelsea 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Liverpool 3-1
6%
14/1-
Chelsea 1-0
5%
18/1-
Liverpool 3-0
5%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1-
Liverpool 3-2
4%
20/1-
Chelsea 2-0
3%
25/1-
Liverpool 4-1
3%
28/1-
Chelsea 3-1
3%
28/1-
Chelsea 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1/2-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/8-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/9-
BTTS - No
39%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
21/10-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2-
Home/draw
74%
2/7-
Away/draw
48%
10/11-
Home/away
77%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
11/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/9-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Home DNB
67%
4/9-
Away DNB
42%
13/8-
Liverpool win to nil
24%
10/3-
Chelsea win to nil
11%
8/1-
Liverpool / Liverpool
29%
2/1-
Liverpool / Chelsea
3%
28/1-
Liverpool / Draw
7%
12/1-
Draw / Liverpool
16%
9/2-
Draw / Chelsea
10%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Chelsea / Liverpool
4%
20/1-
Chelsea / Chelsea
14%
5/1-
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 17 games at home winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 8th position in the Premier League on 48 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 30 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Chelsea have conceded 22 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3422753873 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City3321753770 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd34171071461 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Liverpool34177101358 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
May 9
5
A Villa3417710558 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
6
Brighton34131110950 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
7
Bournemouth3411167049 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Chelsea3413912848 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
-
-
9
Brentford3413912348 
May 24
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
10
Fulham3414614-248 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
11
Everton3413813047 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Sunderland34121012-946 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
13
C Palace33111012-343 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
14
Newcastle3412616-442 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
15
Leeds3491312-740 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Nottm Forest3410915-439 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
May 4
w
 
0-3F
17
West Ham349916-1636 
w
 
5-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
18
Spurs3481016-1034 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
19
Burnley344822-3420 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves343823-3817 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool3 - 1C Palace
Liverpool2 - 0Fulham
Liverpool1 - 1Spurs
Liverpool5 - 2West Ham
Liverpool1 - 2Man City
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Liverpool1 - 1C Palace
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool5 - 1Spurs
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool3 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 1Everton
HLiverpool2 - 0Fulham
ALiverpool1 - 2Brighton
HLiverpool1 - 1Spurs
ALiverpool1 - 2Wolves
HLiverpool5 - 2West Ham
ALiverpool1 - 0Nottm Forest
ALiverpool1 - 0Sunderland
HLiverpool1 - 2Man City
HLiverpool4 - 1Newcastle
ALiverpool2 - 3Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1Burnley
ALiverpool0 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool2 - 2Fulham
HLiverpool0 - 0Leeds
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 1Spurs
HLiverpool2 - 0Brighton
ALiverpool3 - 3Leeds
Chelsea 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Everton3 - 0Chelsea
A Villa1 - 4Chelsea
Arsenal2 - 1Chelsea
Wolves1 - 3Chelsea
C Palace1 - 3Chelsea
Fulham2 - 1Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Spurs0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
West Ham1 - 5Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea0 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea0 - 3Man City
AChelsea0 - 3Everton
HChelsea0 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea4 - 1A Villa
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 1992
Liverpool
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
57
36
Games: Scored
28 / 33
24 / 33
Clean sheets
9 / 33
5 / 33
LIV
17
D
9
CHE
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
Liverpool5 - 3
Liverpool2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
Liverpool4 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
0 - 2Chelsea
Liverpool2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool2 - 0
1 - 4Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Liverpool1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool4 - 2
Liverpool5 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool2 - 1
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
45
28
Games: Scored
26 / 34
20 / 34
Clean sheets
14 / 34
8 / 34
LIV
8
D
10
CHE
16
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Liverpool
1 - 2Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
1 - 2Liverpool
1 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Liverpool
0 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 1Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
0 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea4 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea4 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Chelsea on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Chelsea of late. It has been 5 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday lunch time against Liverpool.

Liverpool 4th Chelsea 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Chelsea have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
12%
better
LIV
CHE
view stats
Games scored30
27
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
16
Goals scored57
53
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
6%
better
LIV
CHE
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded44
45
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Liverpool v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341169
V Dijk H EkitikéM SalahD Szoboszlai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF344
4
-
A Mac Allister MID3324
5
-
I Konaté DEF321
6
-
R Gravenberch MID3243
5
-
D Szoboszlai MID3254
8
1
C Gakpo FWD3265
2
-
M Kerkez DEF3021
4
-
F Wirtz MID3053
1
-
C Jones MID302
1
-
H Ekitiké FWD28114
-
Alisson GLK25
1
-
M Salah FWD2576
1
-
F Chiesa FWD2321
3
-
A Robertson DEF221
-
J Frimpong DEF182
1
-
J Gomez DEF182
2
-
C Bradley DEF152
5
-
R. Ngumoha FWD152
-
A Isak FWD1331
-
G Mamardashvili GLK8
-
W Endo MID81
1
-
T. Nyoni MID5
-
F Woodman GLK2
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3214510
R SánchezJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK321
3
1
E Fernández MID3283
8
-
J Pedro  FWD32145
4
-
P Neto FWD3254
3
1
M Gusto DEF3123
3
1
T Chalobah DEF313
3
1
M Cucurella  DEF3013
6
1
M Caicedo MID2931
9
1
R James  DEF2724
4
-
L Delap FWD251
2
-
A Santos MID24
4
-
A Garnacho FWD2314
2
-
W Fofana DEF221
5
1
C Palmer MID2291
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2222
4
-
J Hato DEF19
5
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
J. Acheampong DEF151
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF15
2
-
R Lavia MID11
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Guiu FWD81
1
-
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
M Sarr DEF2
-
D Essugo MID2
1
-