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Newcastle United v West Ham United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 17:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

West Ham United, led by manager Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo, visit Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the St. James' Park on Sunday evening in the English Premier League. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Premier League clash will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
50%
-1.95
Draw
21%
-3.70
West Ham
28%
-3.60
Newcastle 2-1
9%
-8.50
Draw 1-1
9%
-7.50
Draw 2-2
7%
-10.00
West Ham 2-1
7%
-12.00
Newcastle 2-0
6%
-12.00
Newcastle 3-1
6%
-12.00
Newcastle 1-0
6%
-11.00
Newcastle 3-2
5%
-15.00
West Ham 1-0
4%
-15.00
Newcastle 3-0
4%
-15.00
West Ham 3-2
3%
-21.00
West Ham 2-0
3%
-19.00
West Ham 3-1
3%
-19.00
Newcastle 4-1
3%
-21.00
Draw 0-0
3%
-15.00
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
-1.48
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
-2.50
Home 1st Goal
52%
-1.65
Away 1st Goal
47%
-2.30
No 1st Goal
1%
-13.00
BTTS - Yes
67%
-1.44
BTTS - No
33%
-2.60
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-3.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
-4.00
BTTS - Away Win
18%
-5.25
Home/draw
72%
-1.29
Away/draw
50%
-1.83
Home/away
79%
-1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
-1.14
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
-5.25
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
-2.10
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
-1.65
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
-3.50
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
-1.25
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
-6.00
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
-1.10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-13.00
Home DNB
65%
-1.44
Away DNB
43%
-2.60
Newcastle win to nil
20%
--
West Ham win to nil
10%
--
Newcastle / Newcastle
26%
-2.90
Newcastle / West Ham
4%
-21.00
Newcastle / Draw
7%
-11.00
Draw / Newcastle
15%
-5.25
Draw / West Ham
10%
-8.00
Draw / Draw
13%
-5.75
West Ham / Newcastle
5%
-17.00
West Ham / West Ham
14%
-5.50
West Ham / Draw
7%
-11.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 18 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

West Ham are in 18th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 9 and won 6. West Ham have conceded 56 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
West Ham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3523754176 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
May 10
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City3321753770 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Man Utd35181071564 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
4
Liverpool35177111258 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
A Villa3517711458 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
6
Bournemouth3512167352 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
7
Brentford3514912651 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
8
Brighton35131111750 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
Chelsea3413912848 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-5F
l
 
3-2F
10
Fulham3514615-548 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
11
Everton3413813047 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
12
Sunderland35121112-947 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
13
Newcastle3513616-245 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
May 17
14
Leeds35101312-543 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
l
 
2-1A
15
C Palace34111013-643 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nottm Forest3410915-439 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
17
Spurs3591016-937 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham359917-1936 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
-
-
19
Burnley354823-3620 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves353923-3818 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
3
West Ham have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle3 - 1Brighton
Newcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
Newcastle1 - 2Sunderland
Newcastle2 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 3Everton
Newcastle2 - 3Brentford
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Newcastle2 - 0C Palace
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle3 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle1 - 2Bournemouth
ANewcastle1 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
West Ham 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford3 - 0West Ham
C Palace0 - 0West Ham
A Villa2 - 0West Ham
Fulham0 - 1West Ham
Liverpool5 - 2West Ham
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Chelsea3 - 2West Ham
Spurs1 - 2West Ham
Wolves3 - 0West Ham
Man City3 - 0West Ham
Brighton1 - 1West Ham
Man Utd1 - 1West Ham
Bournemouth2 - 2West Ham
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Arsenal2 - 0West Ham
Everton1 - 1West Ham
Nottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
Sunderland3 - 0West Ham
Ipswich1 - 3West Ham
Man Utd0 - 2West Ham
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWest Ham0 - 3Brentford
HWest Ham2 - 1Everton
AWest Ham0 - 0C Palace
HWest Ham4 - 0Wolves
AWest Ham0 - 2A Villa
HWest Ham1 - 1Man City
AWest Ham1 - 0Fulham
AWest Ham2 - 5Liverpool
HWest Ham0 - 0Bournemouth
HWest Ham1 - 1Man Utd
AWest Ham2 - 0Burnley
AWest Ham2 - 3Chelsea
HWest Ham3 - 1Sunderland
AWest Ham2 - 1Spurs
HWest Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
AWest Ham0 - 3Wolves
HWest Ham2 - 2Brighton
HWest Ham0 - 1Fulham
AWest Ham0 - 3Man City
HWest Ham2 - 3A Villa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newcastle since 1992
Newcastle
West Ham
Goals: Scored
52
33
Games: Scored
21 / 28
18 / 28
Clean sheets
10 / 28
7 / 28
NEW
14
D
8
WHU
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 2West Ham
Newcastle4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4West Ham
Newcastle3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3West Ham
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1West Ham
Newcastle5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle4 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3West Ham
0 - 1West Ham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
League games at West Ham since 1993
West Ham
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
40
43
Games: Scored
22 / 29
19 / 29
Clean sheets
10 / 29
7 / 29
NEW
12
D
7
WHU
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT West Ham
West Ham3 - 1
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 5Newcastle
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Newcastle
2 - 3Newcastle
West Ham2 - 0
2 - 3Newcastle
West Ham2 - 0
West Ham1 - 0
1 - 3Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Newcastle
2 - 4Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
West Ham3 - 0
West Ham1 - 0
West Ham2 - 1
West Ham2 - 0
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
West Ham2 - 0
1 - 3Newcastle
2 - 4Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

West Ham United's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Newcastle United have conceded in each of their last 5 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.5 for N. Simões Espírito Santo's side suggests that run should continue.

Newcastle 13th West Ham 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that West Ham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
West Ham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
West Ham
2
1.5
Attack rating
13%
better
NEW
WHU
view stats
Games scored27
23
Failed to score8
12
Scored first20
15
Goals scored49
42
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
15%
better
NEW
WHU
view stats
Games conceded27
29
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first11
18
Goals conceded51
61
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+15%

Newcastle v West Ham Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
309511
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Barnes FWD346
1
-
S Tonali MID332
4
-
M Thiaw DEF324
4
-
A Elanga FWD301
-
N Woltemade FWD3073
-
J Murphy FWD3032
2
-
L Hall DEF2711
4
-
D Burn DEF2612
10
1
Joelinton MID2621
9
-
B Guimarães MID2695
5
-
A Gordon FWD2662
3
1
J Ramsey MID2521
4
1
N Pope  GLK24
2
-
L Miley MID2314
-
S Botman DEF2211
2
-
J Willock MID221
3
-
W Osula FWD215
-
K Trippier DEF191
3
-
T Livramento  DEF171
1
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1611
2
-
A Ramsdale GLK12
2
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
West Ham Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
358107
J BowenJ BowenJ BowenM Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bowen FWD35810
4
-
M Fernandes MID3333
7
-
T Soucek MID325
2
1
E Diouf DEF295
5
-
C Wilson FWD2961
1
-
K Mavropanos DEF283
2
-
C Summerville FWD2851
5
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF232
4
-
K Walker-Peters DEF221
2
-
F Potts MID221
1
-
S Magassa MID221
4
-
J Todibo DEF211
4
1
M Kilman DEF21
4
-
A Areola GLK201
-
M Hermansen GLK15
-
T Castellanos FWD154
5
-
O. Scarles DEF13
2
-
A Disasi DEF11
1
-
Pablo FWD111
-
M. Kanté MID9
1
-
A Traoré FWD9
1
-
E. Mayers DEF6
-